Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America



December 4, 2025, 9:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
FRIDAY - NNE 13-16, Seas WNW 1.4-4.8 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NNW 11-14, Seas SW 2.8-4.5 ft @ 14sec

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY NIGHT - N 6-7, Seas W 1.4-4.5 ft @ 14sec

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - E 6-8, Seas WNW 1.6-6 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - ENE 8-10, Seas WNW --? ft @ 17sec
FRIDAY - SSW 4-5, Seas WNW 1.3-4.7 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - ENE 8-10, Seas WNW --? ft @ 17sec

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 11-14, Seas SW 2.8-4.5 ft @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 N 6-7, Seas W 1.4-4.5 ft @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 NE 5-6, Seas WSW 1.5-3.9 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 9-11, Seas WSW 2-4 ft @ 13sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 7-9, Seas WSW 1.3-4.1 ft @ 12sec, Southern 1/3 ENE 6-8, Seas WSW 1.2-3.6 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 9-11, Seas WNW 1.2-4.7 ft @ 13sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 8-10, Seas WNW 1.4-4.3 ft @ 15sec, Southern 1/3 NNE 3-4, Seas W 1.1-3.7 ft @ 12sec
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 10-13, Seas WNW 2.5-4.4 ft @ 12sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 6-8, Seas WNW 1.4-4.5 ft @ 13sec, Southern 1/3 WNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 N 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

A SURFACE TROUGH PREVAILING SW OF THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS IS
AIDING IN SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF
SOCORRO ISLAND. FRESH GAP WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. MODERATE N WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC AND OFF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.
OTHERWISE, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL
ACROSS THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS AND THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, WHILE SLIGHT SEAS PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE SURFACE TROUGH JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE
REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS WILL KEEP THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE ISLANDS
THROUGH TONIGHT. MODERATE TO FRESH N WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TONIGHT.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - N 14-17, Seas SSW 3.2-3.9 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - N 13-16, Seas NNW 3.2-3.9 ft @ 4sec
FRIDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
SATURDAY - Northern Half WNW 7-9, Seas SW 1-2.4 ft @ 13sec, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.8-3.2 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas SW 0.7-2.4 ft @ 12sec, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3-3.8 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - Northern Half NW 6-7, Seas SW 0.9-2.4 ft @ 12sec, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.5-4.2 ft @ 12sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half SW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 12-15, Seas S 2.8-3.5 ft @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half WSW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - N 14-17, Seas SSW 3.2-3.9 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - N 13-16, Seas NNW 3.2-3.9 ft @ 4sec
FRIDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SATURDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.8-3.2 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3-3.8 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.5-4.2 ft @ 12sec
TUESDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas S 2.8-3.5 ft @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 17-21, Seas WSW 1.6-2.8 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - N 14-18, Seas SW 4.1-4.7 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY - N 14-18, Seas SW 4.1-4.7 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - ENE 8-10, Seas SSW 2.6-3.5 ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
SATURDAY - ENE 8-10, Seas SSW 2.6-3.5 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.5-2.6 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - N 9-11, Seas SSW 1.9-2.7 ft @ 12sec
TUESDAY - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - N 16-20, Seas WNW 1.2-5 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - N 15-19, Seas WNW 2.8-5.4 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY - N 15-19, Seas WNW 2.8-5.4 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NE 13-16, Seas W 2.6-4.8 ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
SATURDAY - NE 13-16, Seas W 2.6-4.8 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - N 11-14, Seas SW 1.6-3.3 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NNE 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - W 6-7, Seas SW 0.7-3.2 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

A SURFACE TROUGH PREVAILING SW OF THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS IS
AIDING IN SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF
SOCORRO ISLAND. FRESH GAP WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. MODERATE N WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC AND OFF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.
OTHERWISE, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL
ACROSS THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS AND THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, WHILE SLIGHT SEAS PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - WSW 7-9, Seas SSW 1-2.9 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - NNW 23-29, Seas SSW 4.4-5.2 ft @ 16sec
TUESDAY - NNW 26-33, Seas NNW 12.9-13.2 ft @ 8sec
WEDNESDAY - N 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 09N100W. ITCZ FROM 09N100W TO
11N121W...THEN RESUMES FROM 07N128W TO BEYOND 04N140W. A SURFACE
TROUGH BREAKS THE ITCZ...FROM 22N119W TO 07N127W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH AND E OF 86W...FROM 06N TO 12N
BETWEEN 99W AND 107W...AND FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 118W AND
126W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 09N100W. THE ITCZ RUNS
FROM 09N100W TO 11N121W, THEN RESUMES FROM 07N128W TO BEYOND
04N140W. A SURFACE TROUGH BREAKS THE ITCZ, ANALYZED FROM 22N119W
TO 07N127W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE MONSOON
TROUGH AND E OF 86W, FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 99W AND 107W, AND
FROM 07N TO 12N AND 118W AND 126W.

A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING ROUGHLY ALONG 122W AND N OF
07N IS INDUCING NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
FROM 07N TO 12N AND 118W AND 126W. TO THE WEST OF THIS AXIS,
MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS, WITH ROUGH SEAS, DOMINATE N OF THE ITCZ.
ELSEWHERE, GENTLE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
SURFACE RIDGING EXTENDING ACROSS THE NORTHERN CARIBBEAN SUPPORTS
FRESH NE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN PAPAGAYO REGION. S OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH, GENTLE S TO SW WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
ELSEWHERE, MAINLY LIGHT WINDS WITH MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.

A SURFACE TROUGH PREVAILING SW OF THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS IS
AIDING IN SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF
SOCORRO ISLAND. FRESH GAP WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. MODERATE N WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC AND OFF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.
OTHERWISE, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL
ACROSS THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS AND THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, WHILE SLIGHT SEAS PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH GAP WINDS WILL PERSIST NEAR
THE PAPAGAYO REGION INTO TONIGHT. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND
SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE INTO THE START OF
NEXT WEEK.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 18-22, Seas S 1.1-3.2 ft @ 11sec
TONITE - ENE 13-16, Seas S 0.9-3.1 ft @ 11sec
FRIDAY - NE 14-18, Seas SW 1-3.1 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - ENE 18-22, Seas S 1.1-3.2 ft @ 11sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - ENE 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (6.4 days old)
Updated 28 Nov 2025 03:43:39 GMT (6.4 days old)
ABOUT 169 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAVAII ISLAND

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/28/25332000/1/WEZS42/WEZS42.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.


See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (6.7 days old)
Updated 27 Nov 2025 21:02:14 GMT (6.7 days old)
15 miles NE of Monterey, California

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/27/t6ekw0/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.