Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

December 1, 2025, 3:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - N 7-9, Seas WNW 2.3-5.5 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 6-7, Seas WNW --? ft @ 16sec
TUESDAY - N 8-10, Seas WNW 1.8-5.6 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NW 6-7, Seas WNW --? ft @ 16sec

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NNW 10-13, Seas WNW 1.3-4.7 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - NNW 5-6, Seas WNW 3.4-5.2 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas WNW 1.5-4.6 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 5-6, Seas WNW 3.4-5.2 ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 10-12, Seas WNW 3.5-7.3 ft @ 17sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NNE 9-11, Seas WNW 4.3-7 ft @ 18sec
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 5-6, Seas WNW 2-6.8 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NNE 2-2, Seas WNW 2.1-5.9 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 N 11-14, Seas WNW 2.5-4.5 ft @ 13sec, Middle 2/3 NW 6-8, Seas WNW 1.5-5.2 ft @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 NW 7-9, Seas W 2.2-5 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.5-4.3 ft @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 7-9, Seas W 2.4-4.9 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

HIGHER PRESSURE OVER MEXICO IS CAUSING FRESH GAP WINDS IN THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. A 1010 MB LOW TO THE SW OF THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS IS LEADING TO SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY NEAR
THE ISLANDS. FRESH NE TO E WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THIS AREA AND
EXTEND NE TO CABO CORRIENTES AND THE MOUTH OF THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS ARE LIKELY IN THE
STRONGER CONVECTION, ESPECIALLY AROUND SOCORRO ISLAND. THE
REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS IN A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS. MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL FOR MOST OFFSHORE WATERS,
WITH SLIGHT SEAS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WILL
PULSE TO STRONG TONIGHT AND AGAIN LATE TUE INTO WED MORNING. A
TROUGH JUST SW OF THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS WILL MEANDER NEAR
THE ISLANDS THROUGH TUE, BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND
POSSIBLY LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS. LOOKING AHEAD,
MODERATE LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL WILL REACH THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
NORTE OFFSHORE WATERS TUE, THEN SUBSIDE STARTING THU.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - WNW 9-11, Seas W 1-2.8 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - WNW 5-6, Seas W --? ft @ 16sec
TUESDAY - W 6-8, Seas W 1.4-3 ft @ 20sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - WNW 5-6, Seas W --? ft @ 16sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - N 14-18, Seas NNW 5.1-5.6 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.5-2.7 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.5-2.6 ft @ 11sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 6-8, Seas SSW 1-2.4 ft @ 12sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1-2.4 ft @ 11sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas W 1.1-3.3 ft @ 15sec, Southern Half NE 9-11, Seas SSW 2.2-3.1 ft @ 11sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half NW 6-8, Seas SW 0.9-2.6 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half SSW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.3-2.8 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half WNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half N 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern Half N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - N 14-18, Seas NNW 5.1-5.6 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.5-2.7 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.5-2.6 ft @ 11sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 6-8, Seas SSW 1-2.4 ft @ 12sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
WEDNESDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1-2.4 ft @ 11sec
THURSDAY - NE 9-11, Seas SSW 2.2-3.1 ft @ 11sec
FRIDAY - SSW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.3-2.8 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY - N 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.1-3 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - N 9-11, Seas SSW 1.9-2.8 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.1-2.3 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - N 5-6, Seas SSW 1.1-2.3 ft @ 12sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
WEDNESDAY - N 5-6, Seas SSW 1.1-2.3 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas WSW 2.3-3.3 ft @ 17sec
FRIDAY - N 15-19, Seas SW 2.5-3.4 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY - NE 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - N 16-20, Seas WNW 1.3-5.1 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY - NNE 19-24, Seas W 3.1-5.5 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY - N 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - N 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
WEDNESDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas WNW 0.6-3.2 ft @ 20sec
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - W 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN
2.5 M.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.

HIGHER PRESSURE OVER MEXICO IS CAUSING FRESH GAP WINDS IN THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. A 1010 MB LOW TO THE SW OF THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS IS LEADING TO SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY NEAR
THE ISLANDS. FRESH NE TO E WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THIS AREA AND
EXTEND NE TO CABO CORRIENTES AND THE MOUTH OF THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS ARE LIKELY IN THE
STRONGER CONVECTION, ESPECIALLY AROUND SOCORRO ISLAND. THE
REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS IN A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS. MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL FOR MOST OFFSHORE WATERS,
WITH SLIGHT SEAS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WILL
PULSE TO STRONG TONIGHT AND AGAIN LATE TUE INTO WED MORNING. A
TROUGH JUST SW OF THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS WILL MEANDER NEAR
THE ISLANDS THROUGH TUE, BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND
POSSIBLY LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS. LOOKING AHEAD,
MODERATE LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL WILL REACH THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
NORTE OFFSHORE WATERS TUE, THEN SUBSIDE STARTING THU.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - NW 15-19, Seas SSW 1.5-3.3 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.8-3.5 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.8-3.5 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - N 14-17, Seas SSW 3.1-4.4 ft @ 12sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
WEDNESDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.2-3.1 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - SW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - SW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N85W TO 07N90W TO 05N96W. THE
ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 05N96W TO 07N106W TO 10N112W THEN RESUMES
FROM 09N130W AND BEYOND 07N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 108W AND 117W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 09N E OF 95W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N85W TO 07N90W TO 05N96W. THE
ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 05N96W TO 07N106W TO 10N112W THEN RESUMES
FROM 09N130W AND BEYOND 07N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 108W AND 117W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 09N E OF
95W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
SURFACE RIDGING EXTENDING ACROSS THE NORTHERN CARIBBEAN SUPPORTS
MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. SOUTH OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH AND BETWEEN ECUADOR AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS,
WINDS ARE GENTLE TO MODERATE FROM THE S TO SW. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. MODERATE SEAS DOMINATE THE REGIONAL
WATERS.
WEAK LOW PRESSURE OF 1014 MB IS NEAR 28N133W WITH A WEAK COLD
FRONT TRAILING FROM THIS LOW TO 24N135W OVER TO 23N140W. ONLY
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS ACCOMPANY AND FOLLOW THE FRONT
AND LOW, AND ASSOCIATED SWELL IS SUPPORTING 8 TO 11 FT SEAS N OF
25N AND W OF 137W. A DEEP LAYER TROUGH WITH AN AXIS ROUGHLY
ALONG 115W, FROM 10N TO 20N IS CAUSING CONVECTION, DESCRIBED IN
THE MONSOON TROUGH SECTION ABOVE. FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 112W
AND 122W, FRESH WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH. THE REST
OF THE TROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODEST
RIDGING, LEAVING WINDS MAINLY GENTLE, AND SEAS MODERATE.

HIGHER PRESSURE OVER MEXICO IS CAUSING FRESH GAP WINDS IN THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. A 1010 MB LOW TO THE SW OF THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS IS LEADING TO SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY NEAR
THE ISLANDS. FRESH NE TO E WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THIS AREA AND
EXTEND NE TO CABO CORRIENTES AND THE MOUTH OF THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS ARE LIKELY IN THE
STRONGER CONVECTION, ESPECIALLY AROUND SOCORRO ISLAND. THE
REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS IN A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS. MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL FOR MOST OFFSHORE WATERS,
WITH SLIGHT SEAS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH GAP WINDS WILL PULSE NIGHTLY THIS WEEK
IN THE PAPAGAYO REGION. MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND MODERATE
SEAS ARE FORECAST ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

SURFACE RIDGING EXTENDING ACROSS THE NORTHERN CARIBBEAN SUPPORTS
MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. SOUTH OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH AND BETWEEN ECUADOR AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS,
WINDS ARE GENTLE TO MODERATE FROM THE S TO SW. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. MODERATE SEAS DOMINATE THE REGIONAL
WATERS.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 15-19, Seas SW 0.9-3.3 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - ENE 14-18, Seas SW 1-3.1 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - ENE 14-18, Seas SW 1-3.1 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - ENE 14-17, Seas SW --? ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
WEDNESDAY - ENE 16-20, Seas SSW 1-3 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - ENE 16-20, Seas S 1-3.1 ft @ 11sec
FRIDAY - NE 14-17, Seas SW 1.2-3.2 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - NE 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - ENE 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (3.2 days old)
Updated 28 Nov 2025 03:43:39 GMT (3.2 days old)
ABOUT 169 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAVAII ISLAND

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/28/25332000/1/WEZS42/WEZS42.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.

See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (3.5 days old)
Updated 27 Nov 2025 21:02:14 GMT (3.5 days old)
15 miles NE of Monterey, California

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/27/t6ekw0/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.