Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
May 9, 2026, 9:01 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SW 4.6-6.2 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - NW 10-13, Seas WSW 4.8-5.9 ft @ 17sec
SUNDAY - NW 10-13, Seas WSW 4.8-5.9 ft @ 17sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 12-15, Seas SW 4.6-6.2 ft @ 17sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NW 11-14, Seas SW 3.7-6 ft @ 18sec
TONITE - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 3.6-6 ft @ 18sec
SUNDAY - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 3.6-6 ft @ 18sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-12, Seas SW 3.9-5.8 ft @ 15sec
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.1-5.2 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 14-18, Seas SSW 3.7-5.9 ft @ 18sec
SUNDAY - NW 14-18, Seas SSW 3.7-5.9 ft @ 18sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 14-17, Seas SW 2.9-5.4 ft @ 16sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 NW 11-14, Seas SW 3.4-5.5 ft @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 NW 14-18, Seas SW 3.1-5.5 ft @ 16sec
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 12-15, Seas SSW 1.7-4.8 ft @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 NW 11-14, Seas W 4.2-5.3 ft @ 13sec, Southern 1/3 NW 10-13, Seas SW 2.6-4.8 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 3.1-5.8 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 3-5.6 ft @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 WNW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.9-4.8 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 WNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.6-5.5 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 WNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
RECENT SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWED MODERATE TO FRESH NW
TO N-NW WINDS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA, EAST OF 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED NEAR 33N131W. RECENT SATELLITE ALTIMETER DATA SHOWED
4-6 FT SEAS IN NW SWELL, EXCEPT TO 7 FT JUST TO THE NW OF ISLA
GUADALUPE. MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS PREVAIL FROM BAJA SUR AND
CABO SAN LUCAS SOUTHWARD BEYOND THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS AND
CABO CORRIENTES TO 18N, WHERE SEAS ARE ALSO 4 TO 6 FT. GENTLE NW
WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, THEN BECOME
MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS FROM THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF TO CABO
CORRIENTES, WHERE SEAS ARE 3 TO 5 FT. GENTLE BREEZES AND
MODERATE SEAS IN A MIX OF NW AND SW SWELL ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE TO
THE EAST, BECOMING MODERATE SW WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PREVAIL
ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS TO THE SOUTH OF TEHUANTEPEC, OAXACA, AND
GUERRERO.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE AREA WILL SUPPORT MODERATE
TO FRESH NW WINDS AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS IN NW SWELL OFF
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE INTO SAT EVENING, BEFORE THE HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO WEAKEN THROUGH MIDWEEK. THE WEAKENED PRESSURE PATTERN
WILL SUPPORT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ACROSS THE BAJA WATERS
THROUGH WED. LARGE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS THE
OUTER WATERS OF BAJA NORTE AND MOVE INTO THE WATERS JUST NW OF
ISLA GUADALUPE SAT EVENING THROUGH SUN EVENING. LOOKING AHEAD,
STRONG GAP WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
SOUTHERN MEXICO.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 11-14, Seas SSW 2.7-3.9 ft @ 19sec
TONITE - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW --? ft @ 20sec
SUNDAY - W 10-12, Seas SSW 2.3-3.7 ft @ 17sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW --? ft @ 20sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NW 6-7, Seas SSW 2.6-4.6 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NW 6-7, Seas SSW 2.6-4.6 ft @ 20sec
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
MONDAY - Northern Half WNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2-3.4 ft @ 15sec, Southern Half Not available yet
TUESDAY - Northern Half NW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.7-3.2 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
THURSDAY - Northern Half N 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half NNW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 6-7, Seas SSW 2.6-4.6 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NW 6-7, Seas SSW 2.6-4.6 ft @ 20sec
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - WSW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - W 8-10, Seas SSW 1.4-5.7 ft @ 18sec
TONITE - NW 6-7, Seas SSW --? ft @ 19sec
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
MONDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.9-5 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
RECENT SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWED MODERATE TO FRESH NW
TO N-NW WINDS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA, EAST OF 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED NEAR 33N131W. RECENT SATELLITE ALTIMETER DATA SHOWED
4-6 FT SEAS IN NW SWELL, EXCEPT TO 7 FT JUST TO THE NW OF ISLA
GUADALUPE. MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS PREVAIL FROM BAJA SUR AND
CABO SAN LUCAS SOUTHWARD BEYOND THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS AND
CABO CORRIENTES TO 18N, WHERE SEAS ARE ALSO 4 TO 6 FT. GENTLE NW
WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, THEN BECOME
MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS FROM THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF TO CABO
CORRIENTES, WHERE SEAS ARE 3 TO 5 FT. GENTLE BREEZES AND
MODERATE SEAS IN A MIX OF NW AND SW SWELL ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE TO
THE EAST, BECOMING MODERATE SW WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PREVAIL
ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS TO THE SOUTH OF TEHUANTEPEC, OAXACA, AND
GUERRERO.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE AREA WILL SUPPORT MODERATE
TO FRESH NW WINDS AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS IN NW SWELL OFF
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE INTO SAT EVENING, BEFORE THE HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO WEAKEN THROUGH MIDWEEK. THE WEAKENED PRESSURE PATTERN
WILL SUPPORT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ACROSS THE BAJA WATERS
THROUGH WED. LARGE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS THE
OUTER WATERS OF BAJA NORTE AND MOVE INTO THE WATERS JUST NW OF
ISLA GUADALUPE SAT EVENING THROUGH SUN EVENING. LOOKING AHEAD,
STRONG GAP WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
SOUTHERN MEXICO.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
MONDAY - WNW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.1-5.2 ft @ 16sec
TUESDAY - N 15-19, Seas SSW 3.9-5.8 ft @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - N 21-26, Seas SSW 5.2-6.9 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - NNW 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N74W TO 06.5N80W TO 10N89W TO
06.5N121W. ITCZ FROM 06.5N122W TO 05N134W TO BEYOND 05.5N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 05.5N TO 08N E OF 83.5W.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 05N TO
13N BETWEEN 93.5W AND 117W AND FROM 02N TO 10N BETWEEN 118W AND
140W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N74W TO 06.5N80W TO 10N89W TO
06.5N121W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 06.5N122W TO 05N134W TO
BEYOND 05.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM
05.5N TO 08N E OF 83.5W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 05N TO 13N BETWEEN 93.5W AND
117W, AND FROM 02N TO 10N BETWEEN 118W AND 140W.
RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE DATA INDICATED MODERATE TO FRESH
NE TRADE WINDS FROM 05N TO 23N WEST OF 115W, TO THE SOUTH OF A
1025 MB CENTERED NEAR 33N131W. RECENT SATELLITE ALTIMETER
DATA SHOWED 6-9 FT SEAS IN MIXED SWELL ACROSS THIS AREA.
MODERATE OR WEAKER BREEZES AND 4-6 FT SEAS ARE NORTH OF 23N,
WITH GENTLE BREEZES AND 5-8 FT COMBINED SEAS IN SW SWELL SOUTH
OF THE ITCZ. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ABOUT THE ITCZ W OF 100W.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE RIDGE WILL CHANGE LITTLE ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH SAT EVENING, BEFORE WEAKENING AND DRIFTING NORTHWARD SUN
THROUGH TUE. THE ASSOCIATED WEAKENED PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
SUPPORT MODERATE TRADES, AND FRESH AT TIMES, NORTH OF THE ITCZ
TO ABOUT 24N AND WEST OF 120W SUN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH
SEAS OF 7-8 FT ACROSS THIS AREA. MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE WEEK. ROUGH
SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN BUILDING SOUTHERLY SWELL S OF THE EQUATOR
TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUN.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE AREA WILL SUPPORT MODERATE
TO FRESH NW WINDS AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS IN NW SWELL OFF
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE INTO SAT EVENING, BEFORE THE HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO WEAKEN THROUGH MIDWEEK. THE WEAKENED PRESSURE PATTERN
WILL SUPPORT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ACROSS THE BAJA WATERS
THROUGH WED. LARGE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS THE
OUTER WATERS OF BAJA NORTE AND MOVE INTO THE WATERS JUST NW OF
ISLA GUADALUPE SAT EVENING THROUGH SUN EVENING. LOOKING AHEAD,
STRONG GAP WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
SOUTHERN MEXICO.
RECENT SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATED MOSTLY LIGHT TO GENTLE
BREEZES ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND
SOUTHWARD TO ECUADOR, WITH FRESH E TO SE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE
PAPAGAYO REGION TO SOUTH OF THE GULF OF FONSECA, AND MODERATE
NORTHERLY WINDS SPILLING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF PANAMA
AND TO NEAR 05.5N. COMBINED SEAS ARE MOSTLY 4-6 FT EXCEPT 6 TO 8
FT IN SW SWELL SOUTH OF 02N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
CONTINUES ACROSS THE GULF OF PANAMA AND WATERS OF SW PANAMA.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH EASTERLY GAP WINDS WILL PULSE AT
NIGHT TO STRONG ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN
SOUTHERLY SWELL ARE EXPECTED. EXPECT LARGE SW SWELL REACHING THE
SOUTHERN WATERS OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS TONIGHT TO PERSIST THROUGH
SAT BEFORE SUBSIDING SAT NIGHT.
RECENT SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATED MOSTLY LIGHT TO GENTLE
BREEZES ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND
SOUTHWARD TO ECUADOR, WITH FRESH E TO SE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE
PAPAGAYO REGION TO SOUTH OF THE GULF OF FONSECA, AND MODERATE
NORTHERLY WINDS SPILLING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF PANAMA
AND TO NEAR 05.5N. COMBINED SEAS ARE MOSTLY 4-6 FT EXCEPT 6 TO 8
FT IN SW SWELL SOUTH OF 02N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
CONTINUES ACROSS THE GULF OF PANAMA AND WATERS OF SW PANAMA.
RECENT SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATED MOSTLY LIGHT TO GENTLE
BREEZES ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND
SOUTHWARD TO ECUADOR, WITH FRESH E TO SE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE
PAPAGAYO REGION TO SOUTH OF THE GULF OF FONSECA, AND MODERATE
NORTHERLY WINDS SPILLING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF PANAMA
AND TO NEAR 05.5N. COMBINED SEAS ARE MOSTLY 4-6 FT EXCEPT 6 TO 8
FT IN SW SWELL SOUTH OF 02N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
CONTINUES ACROSS THE GULF OF PANAMA AND WATERS OF SW PANAMA.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 19-24, Seas SW 1.9-4.8 ft @ 18sec
TONITE - ENE 19-24, Seas SW 1.7-4.7 ft @ 18sec
SUNDAY - ENE 22-27, Seas SW 2.5-4.8 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - ENE 19-24, Seas SW 2-4.4 ft @ 16sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
MONDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas SW 2-4.4 ft @ 16sec
TUESDAY - NE 18-22, Seas SW 2.1-4 ft @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - E 21-26, Seas SW 2.6-4.8 ft @ 16sec
THURSDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SW 2.2-4.7 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY - ENE 21-26, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (19.2 days old)
Updated 20 Apr 2026 09:24:54 GMT (19.2 days old)
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (0.3 days old)
Updated 09 May 2026 04:47:26 GMT (0.3 days old)
35 miles S of Amchitka, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2026/05/09/ter6en/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
WEAK53 PAAQ 090447
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
847 PM AKDT Fri May 8 2026
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 5.3
* Origin Time 2042 AKDT May 08 2026
2142 PDT May 08 2026
0442 UTC May 09 2026
* Coordinates 51.0 North 179.1 East
* Depth 31 miles
* Location 35 miles S of Amchitka, Alaska
190 miles SW of Adak, Alaska
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$