Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
November 21, 2025, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - SW 18-22, Seas NW 4.6-9.3 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - WNW 12-15, Seas NW 7.2-10 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - WNW 12-15, Seas NW 7.2-10 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - SSW 9-11, Seas NW --? ft @ 15sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - W 10-12, Seas NW 2.2-6.9 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NW 6-7, Seas WNW --? ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 12-15, Seas W 2.4-3.5 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 13-16, Seas WNW 2.5-4.6 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - NW 14-18, Seas WNW 2.3-4.8 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 13-16, Seas WNW 1.9-6.2 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 N 14-17, Seas NW 3.9-9.2 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas WNW 1.9-6.2 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-17, Seas NW 3.8-8.1 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 N 10-12, Seas NW 3.9-6.7 ft @ 15sec, Middle 2/3 N 7-9, Seas NW 2.9-7 ft @ 15sec, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 N 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
A COLD FRONT IS ANALYZED FROM 30N117W TO 23N130W TO 24N140W.
MODERATE NW WINDS ARE NOTED ON EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT, WHILE
FRESH SW WINDS PREVAIL IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA WATERS.
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS GENERALLY PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN
THE ROUGH RANGE N OF 27N, AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
SLIGHT SEAS ARE NOTED OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, A SECONDARY PUSH OF COLD AIR ACCOMPANIED BY AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT
THROUGH SAT NIGHT, GENERATING FRESH TO STRONG NW TO W WINDS WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE. ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL USHER IN A SET OF
LARGE NW SWELL, WHICH WILL SPREAD OVER THE WATERS WEST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS THROUGH MON BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. FRESH TO STRONG N
GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM SAT
NIGHT TO SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - SW 11-14, Seas WSW 2.5-3.3 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - WSW 9-11, Seas WSW 4-4.7 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - WNW 11-14, Seas WSW 3.6-4.5 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - WNW 5-6, Seas W 1.6-1.9 ft @ 14sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.7-2 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.4-2.6 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.5-4.3 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.7-4.5 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
MONDAY - Northern Half WNW 10-13, Seas W 1.8-3.3 ft @ 16sec, Southern Half NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.7-4.5 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.6-4.4 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.5-3.4 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half WSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.7-2 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.4-2.6 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.5-4.3 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.7-4.5 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.7-4.5 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.6-4.4 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.5-3.4 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.1-1.6 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.4-2.1 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 1.8-2.7 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.3-3.2 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.2-3.2 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSW 2.2-3.2 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - N 14-18, Seas SW 2.1-3.9 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 14-17, Seas SW 2.5-4.2 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
MONDAY - N 14-17, Seas SW 2.5-4.2 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - NW 7-9, Seas SW 0.9-1.9 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - WNW 7-9, Seas SW 0.9-1.8 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.2-3.5 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.3-3.6 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
MONDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.3-3.6 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - WNW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
FOR THE FORECAST, A SECONDARY PUSH OF COLD AIR ACCOMPANIED BY AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT
THROUGH SAT NIGHT, GENERATING FRESH TO STRONG NW TO W WINDS WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE. ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL USHER IN A SET OF
LARGE NW SWELL, WHICH WILL SPREAD OVER THE WATERS WEST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS THROUGH MON BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. FRESH TO STRONG N
GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM SAT
NIGHT TO SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - NNW 16-20, Seas SSW 1.6-2.8 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - WNW 7-9, Seas SW --? ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas SSW 3-4.2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - WNW 7-9, Seas SW --? ft @ 16sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
MONDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.9-3.8 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - NNW 21-26, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 08N120W. ITCZ FROM 08N120W TO
07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE NOTED N OF 05N AND E OF 85W...AND
FROM 06N TO 08N AND W OF 133W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 08N120W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 08N120W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS NOTED N OF 05N AND E OF 85W, AND FROM 06N TO 08N AND W OF
133W.
A 1009 MB GALE-LOW IS CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 31N122W. A
COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N117W TO 23N130W TO 24N140W. STRONG TO
NEAR GALE WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT OF THE LOW,
REACHING THE WATERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W. MODERATE TO
FRESH WINDS PREVAIL N OF THE FRONT. A 1032 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS
CENTERED NEAR 35N140W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS
SUPPORTING FRESH WINDS N OF THE ITCZ TO NEAR 21N AND W OF 130W.
SEAS OVER THESE WATERS ARE IN THE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH RANGES.
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS, AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS CONTINUE TO PULSE OVER THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH.
SEAS ARE IN THE MODERATE RANGE.
FOR THE FORECAST, A SECONDARY PUSH OF COLD AIR ACCOMPANIED BY AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT
THROUGH SAT NIGHT, GENERATING FRESH TO STRONG NW TO W WINDS WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE. ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL USHER IN A SET OF
LARGE NW SWELL, WHICH WILL SPREAD OVER THE WATERS WEST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS THROUGH MON BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. FRESH TO STRONG N
GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM SAT
NIGHT TO SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED.
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS CONTINUE TO PULSE OVER THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH.
SEAS ARE IN THE MODERATE RANGE.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 18-22, Seas S 1.1-2.5 ft @ 7sec
TONITE - ENE 15-19, Seas SSW 1.1-2.7 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - NE 18-22, Seas SW 1.9-3.3 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - ENE 18-22, Seas SSW 2-3.4 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
MONDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 1.4-3.1 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas SSW 1.2-2.8 ft @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas SW 0.9-2.6 ft @ 15sec
THURSDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (12.1 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (12.1 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (3.3 days old)
Updated 18 Nov 2025 17:58:56 GMT (3.3 days old)
95 miles SE of Monterey, California
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/18/t5xoet/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.