Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
November 14, 2025, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - SSW 11-14, Seas NW 3.5-6.9 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - SW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - SW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNE 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NNW 8-10, Seas NW 4.2-7.4 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - NW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 WNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 WNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 SSW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
MODERATELY STRONG 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL MEXICO IS
SUPPORTING STRONG TO NEAR-GALE N TO NE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. FRESH NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS REACH UP TO 300 NM
FROM THE COAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. FARTHER NORTH, THE
COLD FRONT MENTIONED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION IS
APPROACHING GUADALUPE ISLAND, FOLLOWED BY LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL TO
8 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE, WITH 4 TO 6 FT
SEAS OFF MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS AND 1 TO 3 FT IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL
PERSIST IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM UNTIL SAT
WHILE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD.
FARTHER NORTH, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY THROUGH SAT, BRINGING FRESH TO
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND SEAS TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL TO THE WATERS
OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE TODAY AND SAT. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG
SW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE
FRONT SAT INTO EARLY SUN. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING FRONTAL BOUNDARY: A COLD FRONT EXTENDS
FROM 30N119W TO 20N125W, AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTED AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY. THE FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATERS OF THE DISCUSSION
AREA NORTH OF 20N INTO SAT. RECENT DATA FROM ALTIMETER SATELLITE
PASSES AND SOFAR DRIFTING BUOYS INDICATE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH
COMBINED SEAS UP TO 15 FT FOLLOW THE FRONT, AND ACROSS THE AREA
WEST OF A LINE FROM ROUGHLY GUADALUPE ISLAND TO 18N140W. RECENT
SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASSES ALSO CONFIRMED MODERATE TO FRESH
WINDS AS WELL BEHIND THE FRONT. THE ROUGH SEAS WILL REACH SOUTH
TO 10N AND THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATE TODAY INTO
SAT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH SUN.
FOR THE FORECAST, OUTSIDE OF THE AREA IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION, FRESH SW WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BETWEEN 90W AND 100W, SUPPORTING SEAS TO 8
FT. LOOKING AHEAD, THE LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS IT MOVES INTO THE TROPICAL PACIFIC AND MIXES
WITH SHORTER- PERIOD WIND WAVES GENERATED BY MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WINDS. ANOTHER FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE WATERS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT WEEK, FOLLOWED BY LARGE NW SWELL
NORTH OF 28N AND EAST OF 130W.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - N 10-12, Seas WNW 1.7-2.6 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - NW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - N 8-10, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
MONDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern Half W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WSW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern Half NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WSW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - N 8-10, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - WSW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - WSW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - N 6-7, Seas SW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - W 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - N 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
MONDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NNE 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - W 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - WNW 2-3, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
MONDAY - E 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - ESE 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - ESE 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - E 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 13N97W TO 11N99W TO 11N97W TO 13N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... NE WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
MODERATELY STRONG 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL MEXICO IS
SUPPORTING STRONG TO NEAR-GALE N TO NE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. FRESH NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS REACH UP TO 300 NM
FROM THE COAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. FARTHER NORTH, THE
COLD FRONT MENTIONED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION IS
APPROACHING GUADALUPE ISLAND, FOLLOWED BY LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL TO
8 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE, WITH 4 TO 6 FT
SEAS OFF MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS AND 1 TO 3 FT IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL
PERSIST IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM UNTIL SAT
WHILE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD.
FARTHER NORTH, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY THROUGH SAT, BRINGING FRESH TO
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND SEAS TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL TO THE WATERS
OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE TODAY AND SAT. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG
SW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE
FRONT SAT INTO EARLY SUN. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 14-18, Seas SW 4.7-5.6 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - SW 2-2, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - S 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - SSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
MONDAY - SSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - WSW 3-4, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - SW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - SW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 05N105W. ITCZ FROM 05N105W TO
09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 05N105W. THE ITCZ
STRETCHES FROM 05N105W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS OBSERVED FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS LOCATED NORTH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
CONTINUES TO SUPPORT FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG EASTERLY TRADE
WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION. SEAS IN THESE WATERS
ARE 6-9 FT. MEANWHILE, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS ARE FOUND SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. IN THE
REST OF THE BASIN, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
ARE PREVALENT. A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTED
AFFECTING THE NEARSHORE AND OFFSHORE WATERS OF COSTA RICA, PANAMA
AND COLOMBIA.
OUTSIDE OF THE IMPACTS DISCUSSED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION
ABOVE, THE MAIN ISSUE IS FRESH SW WINDS IN THE DEEP TROPICS EAST
OF 100W, NORTH OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS, FLOWING INTO THE MONSOON
TROUGH. SEAS TO 8 FT ARE POSSIBLE WITH COMPONENTS OF NW AND SW
SWELL. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 5 TO 7 FT SEAS DOMINATE THE
BASIN ELSEWHERE, PRIMARILY WITH NW SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, OUTSIDE OF THE AREA IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION, FRESH SW WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BETWEEN 90W AND 100W, SUPPORTING SEAS TO 8
FT. LOOKING AHEAD, THE LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS IT MOVES INTO THE TROPICAL PACIFIC AND MIXES
WITH SHORTER- PERIOD WIND WAVES GENERATED BY MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WINDS. ANOTHER FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE WATERS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT WEEK, FOLLOWED BY LARGE NW SWELL
NORTH OF 28N AND EAST OF 130W.
MODERATELY STRONG 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL MEXICO IS
SUPPORTING STRONG TO NEAR-GALE N TO NE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. FRESH NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS REACH UP TO 300 NM
FROM THE COAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. FARTHER NORTH, THE
COLD FRONT MENTIONED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION IS
APPROACHING GUADALUPE ISLAND, FOLLOWED BY LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL TO
8 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE, WITH 4 TO 6 FT
SEAS OFF MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS AND 1 TO 3 FT IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL
PERSIST IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM UNTIL SAT
WHILE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD.
FARTHER NORTH, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY THROUGH SAT, BRINGING FRESH TO
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND SEAS TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL TO THE WATERS
OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE TODAY AND SAT. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG
SW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE
FRONT SAT INTO EARLY SUN. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS LOCATED NORTH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
CONTINUES TO SUPPORT FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG EASTERLY TRADE
WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION. SEAS IN THESE WATERS
ARE 6-9 FT. MEANWHILE, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS ARE FOUND SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. IN THE
REST OF THE BASIN, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
ARE PREVALENT. A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTED
AFFECTING THE NEARSHORE AND OFFSHORE WATERS OF COSTA RICA, PANAMA
AND COLOMBIA.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - E 10-12, Seas SW 0.9-3.4 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - ENE 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - ENE 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - ENE 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
MONDAY - NE 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - ENE 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - ENE 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - ENE 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (5.1 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (5.1 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (5.7 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 09:43:42 GMT (5.7 days old)
55 miles SE of Amukta Pass, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/09/t5gddc/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.