Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
June 30, 2025, 3:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 15.6N 102.6W 998 MB AT 1500 UTC JUN
30 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 105 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE
FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 99W AND 103.5W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 17.4N 105.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120
NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 8 M. ELSEWHERE FROM
15N TO 20N BETWEEN 101W AND 108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
4 M. FROM 09N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 103W AND 114W SW WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 19.2N 108.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
150 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 102W AND 113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. FROM
08N TO 15N BETWEEN 104W AND 114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NW 13-16, Seas W 4.3-5.1 feet @ 11sec
TONITE - NW 13-16, Seas W 4.3-5.1 feet @ 11sec
TUESDAY - NW 12-15, Seas WNW 3.7-5.2 feet @ 10sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NW 12-15, Seas WNW 3.7-5.2 feet @ 10sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NW 14-17, Seas SSW 4.7-5.5 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 14-17, Seas SSW 4.7-5.5 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NW 14-17, Seas NW 4.9-6 feet @ 7sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NW 14-17, Seas NW 4.9-6 feet @ 7sec
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 14-18, Seas SSW 3.7-4.9 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 14-18, Seas SSW 3.7-4.9 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas SSW 3.1-4.5 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - WNW 10-12, Seas SSW 3.1-4.5 feet @ 14sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.9-5.3 feet @ 19sec, Middle 2/3 NW 10-13, Seas SSW 0-6.2 feet @ 19sec, Southern 1/3 ENE 14-17, Seas SSE 0-12.7 feet @ 12sec
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 10-12, Seas SSW 3.1-5.7 feet @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 12-15, Seas SSE 0-8.3 feet @ 11sec, Southern 1/3 ESE 19-24, Seas S 0-11 feet @ 11sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 0-6.5 feet @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 ESE 21-26, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 SE 18-23, Seas S 0-9.3 feet @ 10sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 SSE 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 WNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 NE 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
ELSEWHERE, A RIDGE DOMINATES THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA, SUPPORTING MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NW WINDS.
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NW WINDS ARE IN THE VICINITY OF CABO SAN
LUCAS. LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS ARE SEEN IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
LATEST SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWED MODERATE TO FRESH E WINDS IN THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. OUTSIDE OF FLOSSIE, SEAS ARE MODERATE IN
MIXED SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WILL MOVE TO 16.5N
103.8W THIS EVENING, STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE NEAR 17.4N 105.4W
TUE MORNING, 18.2N 106.9W TUE EVENING, 19.2N 108.2W WED MORNING,
20.0N 109.3W WED EVENING, AND WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR
20.9N 110.4W THU MORNING. FLOSSIE WILL BECOME POST-TROPICAL AS IT
MOVES TO NEAR 23.0N 112.6W EARLY FRI. OTHERWISE, A STRENGTHENING
SURFACE RIDGE N OF THE AREA SHOULD INDUCE FRESH TO STRONG SE
WINDS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 14-18, Seas W 4.4-4.8 feet @ 5sec
TONITE - W 14-18, Seas W 4.4-4.8 feet @ 5sec
TUESDAY - NNW 14-18, Seas SSW 0-3.3 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 14-18, Seas SSW 0-3.3 feet @ 14sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - SSE 9-11, Seas SSW 1-3.5 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - SSE 9-11, Seas SSW 1-3.5 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY - S 10-12, Seas SSW 1.3-3.5 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - S 10-12, Seas SSW 1.3-3.5 feet @ 14sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 0-4.1 feet @ 19sec, Southern Half SSE 10-13, Seas S 0-9 feet @ 12sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas SSW 1.9-4.2 feet @ 15sec, Southern Half SE 19-24, Seas SSW 0-9.9 feet @ 10sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half SSW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half S 12-15, Seas SSW 0-8.2 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half SE 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half W 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - SSE 9-11, Seas SSW 1-3.5 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - SSE 9-11, Seas SSW 1-3.5 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY - S 10-12, Seas SSW 1.3-3.5 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - S 10-12, Seas SSW 1.3-3.5 feet @ 14sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
WEDNESDAY - SSE 10-13, Seas S 0-9 feet @ 12sec
THURSDAY - SE 19-24, Seas SSW 0-9.9 feet @ 10sec
FRIDAY - S 12-15, Seas SSW 0-8.2 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY - W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - W 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - S 9-11, Seas SSW 1.2-2.8 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - S 9-11, Seas SSW 1.2-2.8 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY - SSW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-3 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - SSW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-3 feet @ 14sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
WEDNESDAY - SE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-7.8 feet @ 11sec
THURSDAY - S 18-23, Seas SSW 0-6.5 feet @ 15sec
FRIDAY - SSE 9-11, Seas SSW 0-6 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY - NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - S 8-10, Seas SSW 0-3.6 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - S 8-10, Seas SSW 0-3.6 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY - SSE 11-14, Seas SSW 0-3.8 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - SSE 11-14, Seas SSW 0-3.8 feet @ 14sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
WEDNESDAY - SE 24-30, Seas SSW 0-10.1 feet @ 11sec
THURSDAY - SSE 24-30, Seas SW 0-9.7 feet @ 10sec
FRIDAY - S 13-16, Seas SSW 0-7.5 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY - WNW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - E 22-28, Seas SSE 7.3-7.8 feet @ 8sec
TONITE - E 22-28, Seas SSE 7.3-7.8 feet @ 8sec
TUESDAY - ESE 22-28, Seas SSW 6.1-7.1 feet @ 8sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - ESE 22-28, Seas SSW 6.1-7.1 feet @ 8sec
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
WEDNESDAY - WNW 12-15, Seas SSW 0-7.5 feet @ 16sec
THURSDAY - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 0-8 feet @ 16sec
FRIDAY - ESE 14-17, Seas SSW 0-6.6 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - ESE 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - SE 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
ELSEWHERE, A RIDGE DOMINATES THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA, SUPPORTING MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NW WINDS.
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NW WINDS ARE IN THE VICINITY OF CABO SAN
LUCAS. LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS ARE SEEN IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
LATEST SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWED MODERATE TO FRESH E WINDS IN THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. OUTSIDE OF FLOSSIE, SEAS ARE MODERATE IN
MIXED SWELL.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - WSW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-4.5 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - WSW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-4.5 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NW 15-19, Seas SSW 2-5.2 feet @ 16sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NW 15-19, Seas SSW 2-5.2 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
WEDNESDAY - N 14-18, Seas SSW 0-5.5 feet @ 18sec
THURSDAY - E 15-19, Seas SSW 2.5-6.7 feet @ 16sec
FRIDAY - SSW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - SW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 11N94W, THEN CONTINUES
W OF T.S. FLOSSIE FROM 14N112W TO 08N140W. ASIDE FROM THE
CONVECTION RELATED TO T.S. FLOSSIE, SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 04N TO 08N E OF 81W
TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...AND FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 111W AND
120W.
THE REMAINDER OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC REGION IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF A 1028 MB HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED NEAR 40N138W. ITS
ASSOCIATED RIDGE DOMINATES THE WATERS N OF THE ITCZ/MONSOON
TROUGH AND W OF 110W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND
THE MONSOON TROUGH CURRENTLY SUPPORTS AN AREA OF MODERATE TO
FRESH NE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH TO ABOUT 16N BETWEEN 115W
AND 119W. ELSEWHERE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE, GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS
ARE OBSERVED S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. SEAS ARE IN GENERAL 4 TO 6
FT.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 11N94W, THEN CONTINUES
W OF T.S. FLOSSIE FROM 14N112W TO 08N140W. ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION
RELATED TO T.S. FLOSSIE, SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 04N TO 08N E OF 81W TO THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA, AND FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 111W AND 120W.
.FROM 10N TO 11.5N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
A RIDGE POSITIONED NORTH OF THE AREA SUPPORTS FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG NE TO E WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, AND DOWNWIND
TO ABOUT 89W. SEAS ARE 5 TO 7 FT WITHIN THESE WINDS. MEANWHILE,
LATEST SATELLITE-DERIVED WIND DATA SHOW MODERATE TO LOCALLY
FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS SOUTH OF 05N, AND LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
N OF 05N. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS DOMINATE THE REMAINDER OF THE
OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS, WITH THE HIGHEST SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT
BETWEEN ECUADOR AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - NE 18-22, Seas SSW 1.7-4.4 feet @ 18sec
TONITE - NE 18-22, Seas SSW 1.7-4.4 feet @ 18sec
TUESDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas S 1.6-4.9 feet @ 16sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - ENE 19-24, Seas S 1.6-4.9 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
WEDNESDAY - NE 17-21, Seas SW 0-5.3 feet @ 17sec
THURSDAY - NE 20-25, Seas SW 2.2-5.6 feet @ 16sec
FRIDAY - ENE 16-20, Seas SW 0-4.8 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY - ENE 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - ENE 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (2.4 days old)
Updated 28 Jun 2025 08:44:10 GMT (2.4 days old)
SCOTIA SEA
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/06/28/25179001/1/WECA42/WECA42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (2.4 days old)
Updated 28 Jun 2025 08:44:54 GMT (2.4 days old)
in the Scotia Sea, southeast of South America
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/06/28/syk51t/1/WEXX32/WEXX32.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.