Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

February 21, 2026, 9:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N95W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...
N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.33 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W
TO 13N95W TO 15N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS
30 TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 15N97W TO 12N98W
TO 12N96W TO 13N94W TO 15N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...
N TO NE WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 7.0 M. WITHIN 13N93W TO
15N92W TO 15N96W TO 13N99W TO 11N99W TO 11N95W TO 13N93W NE WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas NW 3-4.5 ft @ 10sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 14-17, Seas WNW 4.1-4.8 ft @ 13sec

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NNW 10-12, Seas NW 4.6-6.2 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - NNW 10-12, Seas NW 4.6-6.2 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY - NW 11-14, Seas NW 4-4.4 ft @ 11sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 9-11, Seas NW 3.8-4.3 ft @ 11sec

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 N 14-17, Seas WNW 4.1-4.8 ft @ 13sec, Middle 2/3 NW 9-11, Seas NW 3.8-4.3 ft @ 11sec, Southern 1/3 SE 5-6, Seas W 1-3.3 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 10-13, Seas WNW 3.1-4.3 ft @ 12sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NW 10-13, Seas WSW 1.9-2.9 ft @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 12-15, Seas NW 4.6-4.9 ft @ 12sec, Middle 2/3 WNW 9-11, Seas NW 1.9-4.7 ft @ 13sec, Southern 1/3 NW 11-14, Seas WSW 2.4-3.3 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 9-11, Seas NW 2-4.6 ft @ 13sec, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas WNW 2.3-4 ft @ 13sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

.15 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 27N110W TO 29N112W TO 28N113W TO
27N112W TO 25N111W TO 25N110W TO 27N110W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 27N110W TO 29N112W TO 28N113W TO
24N111W TO 23N109W TO 25N109W TO 27N110W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 28N111W TO 28N112W TO 27N112W TO
26N111W TO 25N110W TO 26N110W TO 28N111W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

SURFACE RIDGING EXTENDING FROM A 1021 MB HIGH NEAR 31N123W COVERS
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS AND CONTINUE TO SUPPORT MODERATE
TO LOCALLY FRESH NW WINDS ALONG WITH MODERATE SEAS IN NW SWELL,
EXCEPT FOR DECAYING ROUGH SEAS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA. IN THE GULF
OF CALIFORNIA, WINDS ARE MODERATE TO FRESH FROM THE NW AND SEAS
ARE SLIGHT TO 3 FT. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE
SEAS ARE ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE NEXT GAP WIND EVENT ACROSS THE TEHUNATEPEC
REGION IS EXPECTED BY SUN MORNING AS A RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE
EASTERN SLOPES OF THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS IN MEXICO, BEHIND A
COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF AMERICA. WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO SUDDENLY INCREASE TO 35 TO 40 KT, WITH SEAS BUILDING
TO 12 FT BY SUN EVENING. WINDS WILL FURTHER INCREASE TO STORM
FORCE MON MORNING, WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 25 FT. STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH MON NIGHT, HOWEVER WINDS WILL
DIMINISH BELOW GALE-FORCE EARLY ON WED. LARGE SEAS GENERATED FROM
THIS STRONG GAP WIND EVENT WILL SPREAD WELL AWAY FROM THE
TEHUANTEPEC AREA, WITH SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER REACHING AS FAR WEST
AS 110W BY TUE EVENING. OTHERWISE, HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT
BASIN WILL INDUCE FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE GULF
OF CALIFORNIA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MON MORNING.

FOR THE FORECAST, A COLD FRONT WILL REACH 30N140W BY THIS
EVENING, THEN MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NW WATERS, EXTENDING FROM
30N135W TO 26N140W BY MON MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT
LATE SUN THROUGH LATE MON. A NEW SET OF LONG PERIOD NW SWELL WILL
FOLLOW THE FRONT, BUILDING SEAS TO 13 OR 14 FT OVER THE NW
CORNER OF THE FORECAST REGION BY MON MORNING. AT THE SAME TIME,
A SURFACE RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE WATERS BETWEEN THE FRONT AND
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - N 9-11, Seas SW 0.7-2.1 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 8-10, Seas SW --? ft @ 13sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NW 17-21, Seas NW 3.9-4.2 ft @ 5sec
TONITE - NW 16-20, Seas NW 4.8-5.1 ft @ 6sec
SUNDAY - NNW 17-21, Seas NW 6-6.2 ft @ 7sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 9-11, Seas NW 5-5.2 ft @ 7sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
MONDAY - Northern Half WSW 6-8, Seas WSW 0.4-1.9 ft @ 12sec, Southern Half NNW 9-11, Seas NW 5-5.2 ft @ 7sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half WSW 6-7, Seas W 0.4-1.9 ft @ 11sec, Southern Half NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.8-2.6 ft @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half W 6-8, Seas WSW 1.1-2.2 ft @ 12sec, Southern Half NW 8-10, Seas SSW 2-2.7 ft @ 16sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WNW 6-8, Seas SSW 1.4-2.3 ft @ 19sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 17-21, Seas NW 3.9-4.2 ft @ 5sec
TONITE - NW 16-20, Seas NW 4.8-5.1 ft @ 6sec
SUNDAY - NNW 17-21, Seas NW 6-6.2 ft @ 7sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 9-11, Seas NW 5-5.2 ft @ 7sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas NW 5-5.2 ft @ 7sec
TUESDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.8-2.6 ft @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 2-2.7 ft @ 16sec
THURSDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas SSW 1.4-2.3 ft @ 19sec
FRIDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.7-2.3 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - N 10-12, Seas SSW 1.9-2.5 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY - N 10-12, Seas SSW 1.9-2.5 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 6-7, Seas SSW --? ft @ 13sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.6-2.2 ft @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SSW 1.1-1.9 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - W 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - WSW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - W 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - WSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SW 1.2-2.6 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 7-9, Seas SSW 0.8-2.6 ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
MONDAY - WNW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.9-3.1 ft @ 17sec
TUESDAY - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.8-3.2 ft @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - WSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - WSW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N95W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...
N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.33 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W
TO 13N95W TO 15N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS
30 TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 15N97W TO 12N98W
TO 12N96W TO 13N94W TO 15N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...
N TO NE WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 7.0 M. WITHIN 13N93W TO
15N92W TO 15N96W TO 13N99W TO 11N99W TO 11N95W TO 13N93W NE WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: THE NEXT GAP WIND EVENT ACROSS
THE TEHUNATEPEC REGION IS EXPECTED BY SUN MORNING AS A RIDGE
BUILDS ACROSS THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS IN
MEXICO, BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF
AMERICA. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SUDDENLY INCREASE TO 35 TO 40 KT,
WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT BY SUN EVENING. WINDS WILL FURTHER
INCREASE TO STORM FORCE MON MORNING, WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 25 FT.
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH MON NIGHT,
HOWEVER WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE-FORCE EARLY ON WED. LARGE
SEAS GENERATED FROM THIS STRONG GAP WIND EVENT WILL SPREAD WELL
AWAY FROM THE TEHUANTEPEC AREA, WITH SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER
REACHING AS FAR WEST AS 110W BY TUE EVENING.
A STORM WARNING WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY. MARINE INTERESTS
TRANSITING ACROSS OR IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SUN EVENING
THROUGH TUE SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS UPCOMING GAP WIND EVENT, AND
TAKE THE NECESSARY ACTION TO AVOID THIS HAZARDOUS MARINE
CONDITIONS OVER THE AFFECTED WATERS. PLEASE READ THE LATEST NWS
HIGH SEAS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. PLEASE,
SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - NW 7-9, Seas SW 1.1-2.7 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NNW 33-41, Seas NNW 12.3-12.5 ft @ 8sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 34-43, Seas NNW 15.5-15.6 ft @ 9sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
MONDAY - N 34-43, Seas NNW 15.5-15.6 ft @ 9sec
TUESDAY - N 26-33, Seas NNW 16.8-16.8 ft @ 9sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 21-26, Seas N 7.9-8.1 ft @ 7sec
THURSDAY - WSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 01N100W. A SECOND TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 07N77W TO 00N88W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS MAINLY ALONG THE EQUATOR
FROM 00N103W TO 02S120W TO 01S140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 03S
TO 10N E OF 90W.

A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 01N100W. A SECOND TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM 07N77W TO 00N88W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS MAINLY ALONG THE EQUATOR
FROM 00N103W TO 02S120W TO 01S140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS NOTED FROM 03S TO 10N E OF 90W.

A STORM WARNING WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY. MARINE INTERESTS
TRANSITING ACROSS OR IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SUN EVENING
THROUGH TUE SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS UPCOMING GAP WIND EVENT, AND
TAKE THE NECESSARY ACTION TO AVOID THIS HAZARDOUS MARINE
CONDITIONS OVER THE AFFECTED WATERS. PLEASE READ THE LATEST NWS
HIGH SEAS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA WILL
SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E GAP WINDS OVER THE PAPAGAYO
REGION THROUGH WED NIGHT, HOWEVER INCREASING TO NEAR GALE-FORCE
SPEEDS FROM MON MORNING THROUGH WED. BUILDING SEAS MAY REACH 11
FT ON TUE WITH THIS GAP WIND EVENT. LOOKING AHEAD, SEAS GENERATED
IN THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION ARE FORECAST TO PROPAGATE ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR SUN NIGHT THROUGH
TUE NIGHT WITH SEAS BUILDING TO AROUND 19 FT.

.21 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N86W TO 11N88W TO 10N88W TO
10N87W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N86W TO 11N88W TO 10N88W
TO 10N87W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 11N88W TO 10N88W
TO 10N87W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 18-22, Seas SW 1.3-2.9 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - ENE 18-22, Seas SW 1.9-3.1 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - ENE 21-26, Seas SSW 3.1-4 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - ENE 22-27, Seas SSW 3.1-4 ft @ 12sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
MONDAY - NE 22-28, Seas SSW 3.2-4.1 ft @ 12sec
TUESDAY - NE 26-32, Seas ENE 4.7-5.4 ft @ 5sec
WEDNESDAY - NE 30-37, Seas ENE 4.9-5.6 ft @ 5sec
THURSDAY - ENE 23-29, Seas SSW 3.9-4.6 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - ENE 22-27, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (7.5 days old)
Updated 14 Feb 2026 02:36:09 GMT (7.5 days old)
VANUATU

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2026/02/14/26045000/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.

See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (7.2 days old)
Updated 14 Feb 2026 09:01:56 GMT (7.2 days old)
20 miles NW of Palmer, Alaska

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2026/02/14/tafy9z/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.