Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America



December 11, 2025, 9:00 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
FRIDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas NW 1.5-6 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NW 7-9, Seas W --? ft @ 14sec

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - NW 8-10, Seas NW 1.2-4.8 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY - NW 10-12, Seas NW 1.2-4.9 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NW 7-9, Seas NW 1.6-5.8 ft @ 16sec

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 2-3, Seas WNW 0.6-3.2 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - NNE 2-3, Seas WSW --? ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY NIGHT - NNW 6-8, Seas WNW 1-4.1 ft @ 16sec

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 NW 8-10, Seas WNW 1.3-5.6 ft @ 15sec, Southern 1/3 NNW 6-8, Seas WNW 1-4.1 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 10-12, Seas WNW 1.6-3.8 ft @ 12sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 6-8, Seas WNW 1.5-5.1 ft @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 12-15, Seas W 2.4-3.5 ft @ 12sec, Middle 2/3 NW 8-10, Seas WNW 1.7-3.6 ft @ 12sec, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas W 2.9-3.7 ft @ 11sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 9-11, Seas WNW 1.9-3.3 ft @ 12sec, Southern 1/3 NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1-3 ft @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS ARE OVER AND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC PER RECENT ASCAT SCATTEROMETER DATA, WITH SEAS OF 5-7
FT. ELSEWHERE, A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED N OF
THE AREA TO ACROSS THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS RIDGE AND A TROUGH
OVER WESTERN MEXICO IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS
IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AS WELL AS NEAR
CABO CORRIENTES. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN LONG
PERIOD MIXED SWELLS ARE NOTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, WITH SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS IN THE GULF
OF CALIFORNIA AND NEARSHORE SW MEXICO.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP WINDS WILL
PREVAIL IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH FRI MORNING, THEN
MODERATE TO FRESH THROUGH SAT MORNING. WINDS OVER TEHUANTEPEC
WILL STRENGTHEN AGAIN ON SAT AFTERNOON AND NIGHT, POSSIBLY
REACHING GALE-FORCE SUN NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST MON NIGHT. MAINLY
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE, LOCALLY FRESH NEAR CABO CORRIENTES AND IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - WNW 6-8, Seas SSW 0.7-2 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - NNW 7-9, Seas SSW --? ft @ 13sec
FRIDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas W 1-2.4 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NNW 7-9, Seas SSW --? ft @ 13sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.3-3.1 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.4-3.1 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.4-3.1 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NNW 9-11, Seas S 1.7-2.7 ft @ 13sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
SATURDAY - Northern Half W 6-8, Seas W 0.9-2.4 ft @ 15sec, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas SW 1.8-2.8 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas W 0.8-2.1 ft @ 13sec, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas S 2-2.9 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - Northern Half W 7-9, Seas SW 0.9-1.9 ft @ 17sec, Southern Half NNW 8-10, Seas SW 1.7-2.7 ft @ 17sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.3-3.1 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.4-3.1 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.4-3.1 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NNW 9-11, Seas S 1.7-2.7 ft @ 13sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SATURDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SW 1.8-2.8 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas S 2-2.9 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SW 1.7-2.7 ft @ 17sec
TUESDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.3-2.3 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - N 6-7, Seas SSW --? ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY - NW 6-8, Seas S 1-2.1 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - N 6-7, Seas SSW --? ft @ 12sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
SATURDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SW 1.2-2.2 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SW 1.2-2.1 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NW 6-7, Seas SW 1-2 ft @ 17sec
TUESDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.5-2.9 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - N 10-13, Seas SSW --? ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
SATURDAY - N 10-13, Seas W 1.1-3.2 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - N 7-9, Seas W 1.2-3.2 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - N 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
FRIDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas SSW 1-2.9 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.2-3 ft @ 12sec

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
SATURDAY - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.2-3 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - WNW 12-15, Seas SW 1.1-3 ft @ 16sec
TUESDAY - NW 11-14, Seas SW 1.3-3.1 ft @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 13N97W TO 13N96W TO
14N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.

FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS ARE OVER AND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC PER RECENT ASCAT SCATTEROMETER DATA, WITH SEAS OF 5-7
FT. ELSEWHERE, A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED N OF
THE AREA TO ACROSS THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS RIDGE AND A TROUGH
OVER WESTERN MEXICO IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS
IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AS WELL AS NEAR
CABO CORRIENTES. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN LONG
PERIOD MIXED SWELLS ARE NOTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, WITH SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS IN THE GULF
OF CALIFORNIA AND NEARSHORE SW MEXICO.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP WINDS WILL
PREVAIL IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH FRI MORNING, THEN
MODERATE TO FRESH THROUGH SAT MORNING. WINDS OVER TEHUANTEPEC
WILL STRENGTHEN AGAIN ON SAT AFTERNOON AND NIGHT, POSSIBLY
REACHING GALE-FORCE SUN NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST MON NIGHT. MAINLY
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE, LOCALLY FRESH NEAR CABO CORRIENTES AND IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE N WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF
PANAMA. OTHERWISE, MAINLY GENTLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL N OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, EXCEPT PULSING TO
MODERATE TO FRESH IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, LOCALLY STRONG AT
TIMES. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL S OF MONSOON TROUGH.
MODERATE SEAS IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SEAS MAY BUILD OFFSHORE GUATEMALA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK DUE TO A
POSSIBLE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - NNW 21-26, Seas SSW 4.3-5.1 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - N 16-20, Seas NNW 6.8-7.3 ft @ 7sec
FRIDAY - N 16-20, Seas NNW 6.8-7.3 ft @ 7sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 0.9-2.8 ft @ 12sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
SATURDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas SW 1.3-3 ft @ 17sec
SUNDAY - N 20-25, Seas NW 3.7-4.5 ft @ 6sec
MONDAY - N 26-32, Seas NNW 7-7.4 ft @ 6sec
TUESDAY - N 22-28, Seas NNW 10.1-10.4 ft @ 7sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08.5N78W TO 06.5N90W TO 10N109W TO 09N110W. ITCZ
FROM 09N110W TO 10.5N133W TO BEYOND 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 99W AND 108.5W...AND FROM
06.5N TO 18.5N BETWEEN 109W AND 140W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08.5N78W TO 06.5N90W TO 10N109W
TO 09N110W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 09N110W TO 10.5N133W TO
BEYOND 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 99W AND 108.5W, AND
FROM 06.5N TO 18.5N BETWEEN 109W AND 140W.

HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE WATERS N OF THE ITCZ AND MONSOON
TROUGH. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ AND MONSOON TROUGH
IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS N OF THE ITCZ TO AROUND 20N
AND WEST OF 110W PER RECENT ASCAT SCATTEROMETER PASSES. SEAS ARE
IN THE 5 TO 7 FT RANGE OVER THESE WATERS. GENTLE TO MODERATE
WINDS, AND SEAS OF 4 TO 7 FT, PREVAIL ELSEWHERE OVER THE
DISCUSSION WATERS, EXCEPT NEAR 30N140W WHERE NEW NW SWELL IS
ARRIVING AND BUILDING SEAS TO AROUND 8-9 FT AS CONFIRMED BY
RECENT ALTIMETER DATA.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE N WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF
PANAMA. OTHERWISE, MAINLY GENTLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL N OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, EXCEPT PULSING TO
MODERATE TO FRESH IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, LOCALLY STRONG AT
TIMES. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL S OF MONSOON TROUGH.
MODERATE SEAS IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SEAS MAY BUILD OFFSHORE GUATEMALA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK DUE TO A
POSSIBLE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT.

FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS ARE OVER AND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC PER RECENT ASCAT SCATTEROMETER DATA, WITH SEAS OF 5-7
FT. ELSEWHERE, A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED N OF
THE AREA TO ACROSS THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS RIDGE AND A TROUGH
OVER WESTERN MEXICO IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS
IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AS WELL AS NEAR
CABO CORRIENTES. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN LONG
PERIOD MIXED SWELLS ARE NOTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, WITH SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS IN THE GULF
OF CALIFORNIA AND NEARSHORE SW MEXICO.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP WINDS WILL
PREVAIL IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH FRI MORNING, THEN
MODERATE TO FRESH THROUGH SAT MORNING. WINDS OVER TEHUANTEPEC
WILL STRENGTHEN AGAIN ON SAT AFTERNOON AND NIGHT, POSSIBLY
REACHING GALE-FORCE SUN NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST MON NIGHT. MAINLY
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE, LOCALLY FRESH NEAR CABO CORRIENTES AND IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N88W TO 10N88W TO 10N87W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N86W TO 12N87W TO 11N89W TO 10N89W TO
10N87W TO 11N86W TO 12N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS ARE OVER AND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF
OF PAPAGAYO. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE N OF 05N, EXCEPT
MODERATE IN THE GULF OF PANAMA PER EARLIER ASCAT DATA. GENTLE TO
LOCALLY MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS PREVAIL S OF 05N, EXCEPT
LOCALLY FRESH NEAR THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF GUAYAQUIL. SEAS
ARE MAINLY MODERATE IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL, WITH EXCEPTION OF
SLIGHT SEAS NEARSHORE FROM COLOMBIA NORTHWARD TO COSTA RICA, AS
WELL AS NEAR THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE N WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF
PANAMA. OTHERWISE, MAINLY GENTLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL N OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, EXCEPT PULSING TO
MODERATE TO FRESH IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, LOCALLY STRONG AT
TIMES. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL S OF MONSOON TROUGH.
MODERATE SEAS IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SEAS MAY BUILD OFFSHORE GUATEMALA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK DUE TO A
POSSIBLE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT.

FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS ARE OVER AND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF
OF PAPAGAYO. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE N OF 05N, EXCEPT
MODERATE IN THE GULF OF PANAMA PER EARLIER ASCAT DATA. GENTLE TO
LOCALLY MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS PREVAIL S OF 05N, EXCEPT
LOCALLY FRESH NEAR THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF GUAYAQUIL. SEAS
ARE MAINLY MODERATE IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL, WITH EXCEPTION OF
SLIGHT SEAS NEARSHORE FROM COLOMBIA NORTHWARD TO COSTA RICA, AS
WELL AS NEAR THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE N WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF
PANAMA. OTHERWISE, MAINLY GENTLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL N OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, EXCEPT PULSING TO
MODERATE TO FRESH IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, LOCALLY STRONG AT
TIMES. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL S OF MONSOON TROUGH.
MODERATE SEAS IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SEAS MAY BUILD OFFSHORE GUATEMALA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK DUE TO A
POSSIBLE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SSW 1.6-3.1 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - ENE 18-23, Seas SSW 1.8-3.1 ft @ 13sec
FRIDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SSW 1.8-3.1 ft @ 13sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NE 16-20, Seas SW 0.7-2.6 ft @ 12sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
SATURDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 1.5-3.1 ft @ 17sec
SUNDAY - NE 18-23, Seas SW 1.5-3 ft @ 16sec
MONDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 1.5-3.1 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - ENE 21-26, Seas SW 2.5-3.6 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (2.8 days old)
Updated 08 Dec 2025 18:13:10 GMT (2.8 days old)


See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (2.8 days old)
Updated 08 Dec 2025 17:51:10 GMT (2.8 days old)
55 miles NW of Yakutat, Alaska

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/12/08/t6ypc1/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.