Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
November 18, 2025, 3:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NW 6-8, Seas NW 2.8-3.5 ft @ 8sec
TONITE - NW 6-8, Seas NW 2.8-3.5 ft @ 8sec
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 10-12, Seas WNW 2.1-2.4 ft @ 5sec
TONITE - NW 13-16, Seas WNW 2.4-2.5 ft @ 10sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 13-16, Seas WNW 2.4-2.5 ft @ 10sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NW 14-18, Seas NW 3-3.6 ft @ 12sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NW 14-18, Seas NW 3-3.6 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NW 10-12, Seas NW 2.3-3.7 ft @ 11sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 N 9-11, Seas NW 2.9-7.2 ft @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 12-15, Seas WNW 2.8-5.4 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 ENE 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
.WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 31N115W TO 30N114W TO
31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SW TO W WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 26N112W TO 17N127W. A COLD FRONT
IS ANALYZED FROM 30N115W TO 23N139W. LATEST SCATTEROMETER DATA
DEPICTS MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT
IS ALSO BRINGING ROUGH SEAS IN LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL MAINLY N OF
28N. FRESH TO STRONG SW WINDS ARE ALSO AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA, WITH MODERATE SEAS. A WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT ELSEWHERE SUPPORT MAINLY LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS WITH
MODERATE SEAS IN NW SWELL, EXCEPT SLIGHT SEAS IN THE REMAINDER
GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, STRONG WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THROUGH TONIGHT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE, REACHING PUNTA EUGENIA THIS EVENING
WHILE GRADUALLY WEAKENING, AND DISSIPATE N OF CABO SAN LAZARO BY
WED. ROUGH SEAS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS
THE OUTER OFFSHORE WATERS N OF CABO SAN LAZARO THROUGH THU.
OTHERWISE, A NEW COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE OFFSHORE WATERS THU NIGHT FOLLOWED BY LARGE
SWELL BRINGING ROUGH SEAS TO THE WATERS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA
THROUGH SAT.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 5-6, Seas W 1.8-1.9 ft @ 7sec
TONITE - W 6-8, Seas W --? ft @ 7sec
WEDNESDAY - W 9-11, Seas WNW 1.7-2.6 ft @ 11sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - W 6-8, Seas W --? ft @ 7sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NW 9-11, Seas NNW 1.8-1.8 ft @ 4sec
TONITE - NNW 8-10, Seas NW 1.7-1.8 ft @ 4sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas NW 1.7-1.8 ft @ 4sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NW 4-5, Seas SSE 0.9-1.2 ft @ 8sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
THURSDAY - Northern Half NW 10-13, Seas W 2.3-2.5 ft @ 17sec, Southern Half N 10-13, Seas SSE 1.6-1.9 ft @ 7sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 9-11, Seas SSE 1.7-1.9 ft @ 7sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half W 10-12, Seas WSW 0.6-2.4 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half WSW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.3-2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - Northern Half N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 9-11, Seas NNW 1.8-1.8 ft @ 4sec
TONITE - NNW 8-10, Seas NW 1.7-1.8 ft @ 4sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas NW 1.7-1.8 ft @ 4sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NW 4-5, Seas SSE 0.9-1.2 ft @ 8sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
THURSDAY - N 10-13, Seas SSE 1.6-1.9 ft @ 7sec
FRIDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSE 1.7-1.9 ft @ 7sec
SATURDAY - WSW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.3-2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 7-9, Seas NW 0.4-1.2 ft @ 5sec
TONITE - WNW 4-5, Seas WNW --? ft @ 6sec
WEDNESDAY - N 3-4, Seas S 0.4-1 ft @ 7sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - WNW 4-5, Seas WNW --? ft @ 6sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
THURSDAY - NW 9-11, Seas S 0.4-1 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.3-1.6 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.6-2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - N 10-13, Seas WNW 1.4-2.3 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas WSW 1.9-2.8 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - N 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - N 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
THURSDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas S 0.3-1.6 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas SW 0.7-1.8 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SW 0.9-1.9 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - SSW 6-8, Seas SSW 0.5-2.5 ft @ 7sec
TONITE - W 7-9, Seas SSW 0.7-2.3 ft @ 7sec
WEDNESDAY - W 7-9, Seas SSW 0.7-2.3 ft @ 7sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - N 10-12, Seas SSW 0.6-1.7 ft @ 6sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
THURSDAY - N 10-12, Seas SSW 0.6-1.7 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - SE 2-3, Seas SSW 1.3-2.3 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - N 7-9, Seas SSW 2.8-3.8 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY - WNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 09N108W. ITCZ FROM 09N108W
TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 113W AND
129W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 09N108W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 09N108W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS ONGOING FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 113W AND 129W.
A SURFACE TROUGH FROM 26N112W TO 17N127W. A COLD FRONT
IS ANALYZED FROM 30N115W TO 23N139W. LATEST SCATTEROMETER DATA
DEPICTS MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT
IS ALSO BRINGING ROUGH SEAS IN LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL, WHICH ARE
ALREADY AFFECTING THE WATERS N OF 25N AND E OF 132W. ELSEWHERE N
OF THE ITCZ AND W OF 127W, A SURFACE RIDGE PREVAILS, BEING
ANCHORED BY A 1025 MB HIGH CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32N137W.
ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE
PRESENT.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
GENTLE TO MODERATE NE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
AND DOWNWIND TO NEAR 88W. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AMERICA
OFFSHORE WATERS, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS PREVAIL.
BETWEEN ECUADOR AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS, WINDS ARE GENTLE TO
MODERATE FROM THE SOUTH, WITH SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE WEATHER PATTERN
ACROSS THE REGION AS A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT IS FORECAST TO
PREVAIL. THIS WILL SUPPORT MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT
TO MODERATE SEAS THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK. IN THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO, GENTLE TO MODERATE NE TO E WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE
SEAS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SAT, WITH PULSING WINDS TO 20 KT AT
NIGHT. MODERATE SEAS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP WITH THESE WINDS.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 16-20, Seas SW 0.8-1.7 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - ENE 14-18, Seas SW 0.7-1.6 ft @ 6sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 16-20, Seas SW 0.7-1.6 ft @ 6sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - ENE 14-17, Seas SW 0.8-1.7 ft @ 6sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
THURSDAY - ENE 16-20, Seas SSW 0.6-1.6 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas S 0.5-1.8 ft @ 6sec
SATURDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas S 0.8-2.4 ft @ 7sec
SUNDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas SSW 1.1-2.9 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (8.9 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (8.9 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (0.1 days old)
Updated 18 Nov 2025 17:58:56 GMT (0.1 days old)
95 miles SE of Monterey, California
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/18/t5xoet/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
WEAK53 PAAQ 181758
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
958 AM PST Tue Nov 18 2025
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 4.1
* Origin Time 0854 AKST Nov 18 2025
0954 PST Nov 18 2025
1754 UTC Nov 18 2025
* Coordinates 35.5 North 120.9 West
* Depth 4 miles
* Location 95 miles SE of Monterey, California
180 miles NW of Los Angeles, California
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$