Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

November 15, 2025, 3:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - WSW 6-8, Seas NW 3.4-7.1 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - WSW 7-9, Seas NW 3.4-6.6 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - SSW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NW 8-10, Seas NW 4.2-7.4 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - NW 8-10, Seas NW 3.3-6.8 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - NNW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 WNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 S 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

IN ADDITION TO THE LARGE NW SWELL DESCRIBED IN THE SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION, FRESH TO STRONG S TO SW WINDS AND SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ACTIVE ALONG THE COLD FRONT
APPROACHING THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. MODERATE SW WINDS
ARE STARTING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE
FRONT, BUT LIGHT BREEZES AND 1 TO 2 FT PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS
THE GULF. FARTHER SOUTH, FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS ARE STILL
ACTIVE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, REACHING PRIMARILY 180 NM
OFFSHORE, WITH SEAS TO 7 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES AND 4 TO
6 FT SEAS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF
MEXICO.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS IN
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS
MORNING, THEN DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
NORTH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD. FARTHER NORTH, A WEAKENING
STATIONARY FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DRIFT EASTWARD ACROSS BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY, BRINGING FRESH TO
OCCASIONALLY STRONG WINDS AND SEAS TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL TO THE
WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG SW GAP
WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE FRONT
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SUN. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS LATE MON INTO MIDWEEK. WINDS MAY PULSE
TO STRONG IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATE MON.

LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING FRONTAL BOUNDARY: A STATIONARY FRONT
EXTENDS FROM 30N117W TO 15N140W, THEN IS STATIONARY TO 14N138W.
A FEW SHOWERS ARE SEEN NEAR THIS BOUNDARY. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD WHILE IT WEAKENS AND DISSIPATES OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. AN EARLIER SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS CAPTURED
MODERATE TO FRESH N-NE WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. LONG- PERIOD NW
SWELL BEHIND THE BOUNDARY SUPPORTS ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS,
PEAKING AROUND 13 FT NORTH OF 24N AND BETWEEN 115W AND 130W. THIS
WAS CONFIRMED BY AN ALTIMETER PASS AROUND 06Z. THE ROUGH SEAS
HAVE REACHED THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND WILL
CONTINUE TO EXPAND SOUTHWARD TODAY, REACHING THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS TONIGHT. THESE SEAS WILL ALSO REACH 10N IN THE WESTERN
WATERS LATER TODAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH SUN.
FOR THE FORECAST, OUTSIDE OF THE AREA IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION, THE FRESH SW WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BETWEEN 90W AND 100W, SUPPORTING SEAS TO 9
FT. LOOKING AHEAD, THE LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS IT MOVES INTO THE TROPICAL PACIFIC AND MIXES
WITH SHORTER-PERIOD WIND WAVES GENERATED BY MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WINDS. ANOTHER FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE WATERS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT WEEK, FOLLOWED BY LARGE NW SWELL
NORTH OF 28N AND EAST OF 130W. LOOKING AHEAD, A BUILDING RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN WATERS WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS
AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE TRADE WATERS WEST OF 120W BY MIDWEEK.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - WNW 6-7, Seas WNW 1.7-2.6 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - WNW 6-7, Seas W 1.5-2.7 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NW 8-10, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
SUNDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
MONDAY - Northern Half W 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern Half WNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern Half WNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half N 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half N 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half N 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 8-10, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
SUNDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - N 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 6-8, Seas SW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NW 4-5, Seas SSW --? ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
MONDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NNE 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - WSW 3-4, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
MONDAY - E 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - E 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - E 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - E 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - WSW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N95W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.

IN ADDITION TO THE LARGE NW SWELL DESCRIBED IN THE SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION, FRESH TO STRONG S TO SW WINDS AND SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ACTIVE ALONG THE COLD FRONT
APPROACHING THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. MODERATE SW WINDS
ARE STARTING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE
FRONT, BUT LIGHT BREEZES AND 1 TO 2 FT PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS
THE GULF. FARTHER SOUTH, FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS ARE STILL
ACTIVE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, REACHING PRIMARILY 180 NM
OFFSHORE, WITH SEAS TO 7 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES AND 4 TO
6 FT SEAS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF
MEXICO.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS IN
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS
MORNING, THEN DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
NORTH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD. FARTHER NORTH, A WEAKENING
STATIONARY FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DRIFT EASTWARD ACROSS BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY, BRINGING FRESH TO
OCCASIONALLY STRONG WINDS AND SEAS TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL TO THE
WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG SW GAP
WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE FRONT
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SUN. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS LATE MON INTO MIDWEEK. WINDS MAY PULSE
TO STRONG IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATE MON.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - NW 6-7, Seas SW 4.7-5.6 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 7-9, Seas SW 5-5.9 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas SW 5-5.9 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - SSW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
MONDAY - SSW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - SSW 3-4, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - SW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - SW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - SSW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 06N105W. ITCZ FROM 06N105W
TO 09N125W AND BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO
08N BETWEEN 95W AND 100W...AND FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 121W AND
127W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 06N105W. THE ITCZ
STRETCHES FROM 06N105W TO 09N125W AND BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 95W AND
100W, AND FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 121W AND 127W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
ASIDE FROM THE NW SWELL BEHIND STATIONARY FRONT DESCRIBED IN THE
SPECIAL FEATURE SECTION, AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
PERSISTS ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 90W AND 100W. FRESH
SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE FLOWING INTO THIS AREA, WITH 6 TO 8 FT SEAS
SOUTHWARD TO THE EQUATOR, MIXING WITH NW SWELL. IN THE REMAINDER
OF THE BASIN, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE
PRESENT.
FOR THE FORECAST, OUTSIDE OF THE AREA IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION, THE FRESH SW WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BETWEEN 90W AND 100W, SUPPORTING SEAS TO 9
FT. LOOKING AHEAD, THE LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS IT MOVES INTO THE TROPICAL PACIFIC AND MIXES
WITH SHORTER-PERIOD WIND WAVES GENERATED BY MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WINDS. ANOTHER FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE WATERS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT WEEK, FOLLOWED BY LARGE NW SWELL
NORTH OF 28N AND EAST OF 130W. LOOKING AHEAD, A BUILDING RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN WATERS WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS
AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE TRADE WATERS WEST OF 120W BY MIDWEEK.

IN ADDITION TO THE LARGE NW SWELL DESCRIBED IN THE SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION, FRESH TO STRONG S TO SW WINDS AND SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ACTIVE ALONG THE COLD FRONT
APPROACHING THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. MODERATE SW WINDS
ARE STARTING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE
FRONT, BUT LIGHT BREEZES AND 1 TO 2 FT PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS
THE GULF. FARTHER SOUTH, FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS ARE STILL
ACTIVE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, REACHING PRIMARILY 180 NM
OFFSHORE, WITH SEAS TO 7 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES AND 4 TO
6 FT SEAS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF
MEXICO.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS IN
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS
MORNING, THEN DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
NORTH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD. FARTHER NORTH, A WEAKENING
STATIONARY FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DRIFT EASTWARD ACROSS BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY, BRINGING FRESH TO
OCCASIONALLY STRONG WINDS AND SEAS TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL TO THE
WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG SW GAP
WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE FRONT
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SUN. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS LATE MON INTO MIDWEEK. WINDS MAY PULSE
TO STRONG IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATE MON.

A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NORTH OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA
DOMINATES THE BASIN, SUPPORTING MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO
MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE PREVALENT.
FOR THE FORECAST, A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE PATTERN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
BASIN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, SUPPORTING MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS
AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. WINDS WILL FRESHEN UP BY MIDWEEK IN
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, WHILE MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF 05N.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - NE 11-14, Seas SW 0.9-3.4 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - ENE 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
MONDAY - NE 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - ENE 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - ENE 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - ENE 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NE 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (5.9 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (5.9 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.

See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (6.4 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 09:43:42 GMT (6.4 days old)
55 miles SE of Amukta Pass, Alaska

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/09/t5gddc/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.