Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
February 6, 2026, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 15.5N94.5W TO 16N95W TO 15.5N95.5W TO 15N95.5W TO
14.5N95W TO 15N94.5W TO 15.5N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N96W TO 13N98W TO 11N102W TO
11N100W TO 11N96W TO 15N94W NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N92W TO 16N95W TO 11N107W TO
07N105W TO 06N100W TO 09N93W TO 13N92W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5 TO 3 M IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N97W TO 13N97W TO
13N96W TO 14N95W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...
N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
15N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N97W TO 12N98W TO 12N97W TO 12N95W TO
15N94W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT 25 TO 30 KT N OF 14N. SEAS
2.5 TO 3 M.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 13N96W TO
13N95W TO 14N94W TO 16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N
TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT N OF 14.5N N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE.
...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N86W TO 11N88W TO 10N88W TO 09N89W TO 10N85W
TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N88W TO 11N89W TO 10N89W TO
09N88W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - NNW 11-14, Seas WNW 2.2-8.3 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas WNW 2.2-8.3 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - WNW 2-3, Seas WNW --? ft @ 18sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas WNW 3.2-9.3 ft @ 18sec
TONITE - NW 13-16, Seas WNW 3.4-10 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NW 13-16, Seas WNW 3.4-10 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 9-11, Seas WNW 3.2-7.3 ft @ 14sec
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 10-13, Seas WNW 2.4-8.3 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - NW 13-16, Seas WNW 2.4-8.6 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NW 14-18, Seas WNW 2.8-8.7 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 15-19, Seas WNW 3.6-7.4 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 NW 10-13, Seas WNW 3-6.9 ft @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 NW 15-19, Seas WNW 3.6-7.4 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 W 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 WNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 21N107W TO 26N115W TO 16N122W TO
21N140W TO 04N140W TO 03N112W TO 21N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND WITHIN 60 NM OF
SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS EXCEPT NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM
08N TO 15N W OF 130W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST W
OF 130W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT JUST NW OF AREA. WITHIN
30N133W TO 30N140W TO 21N140W TO 21N136W TO 30N133W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN NW SWELL.
ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, LIGHT TO GENTLE NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS ARE WEST OF ABOUT 108W WHILE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS ARE EAST OF 108W. GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS ARE NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA. LIGHT AND
WEAKER WINDS ARE IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, EXCEPT FOR GENTLE
NORTHWEST WINDS SOUTH OF 28N. SEAS ARE 4 TO 6 FT IN LONG-PERIOD
SWELL WEST OF 110W, AND 3 TO 5 FT ALSO IN LONG-PERIOD NORTHWEST
SWELL EAST OF 110W. THE EXCEPTION IS THAT NORTHWEST SWELL IS MIXING
WITH A LONG-PERIOD SOUTH SWELL COMPONENT TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. LOWER SEAS OF 3 FT OR LESS ARE IN
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, A SET OF
LONG-PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELL WILL ENTER THE WATERS OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA THIS AFTERNOON, AND SPREAD ACROSS THE WATERS WEST OF 100W
DURING THE WEEKEND BEFORE DECAYING. ANOTHER SET OF LONG-PERIOD
NORTHWEST SWELL MAY ARRIVE OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT
WEEK, BUT IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS WIDESPREAD AS THE CURRENT ONE.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 10-12, Seas W 1.3-4.1 ft @ 18sec
TONITE - NW 10-13, Seas W 1.3-5.5 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NW 10-13, Seas W 1.3-5.5 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - WNW 8-10, Seas W 2-4.3 ft @ 14sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - N 8-10, Seas SSW 1.5-2.1 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - WSW 5-6, Seas WSW 1.4-2.2 ft @ 17sec
SUNDAY - NW 7-9, Seas SW 1.1-2.2 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 6-7, Seas SW 1.1-2.3 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
MONDAY - Northern Half WNW 8-10, Seas W 2-4.3 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.3-2.7 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 1.8-3 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half W 7-9, Seas WSW 1.1-3.7 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half NW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.3-3.5 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half W 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - N 8-10, Seas SSW 1.5-2.1 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - WSW 5-6, Seas WSW 1.4-2.2 ft @ 17sec
SUNDAY - NW 7-9, Seas SW 1.1-2.2 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 6-7, Seas SW 1.1-2.3 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.3-2.7 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 1.8-3 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.3-3.5 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - NW 6-7, Seas W 1-3 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - S 3-4, Seas SSW --? ft @ 12sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas WSW 1.2-2.8 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NW 13-16, Seas SSW 2.1-3.3 ft @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.1-3.7 ft @ 18sec
THURSDAY - NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas W 1.9-4.8 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - WNW 9-11, Seas WNW 0.9-2.6 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - WNW 8-10, Seas WNW 1.2-2.7 ft @ 19sec
SUNDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas WNW 1.2-2.7 ft @ 19sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - WNW 3-4, Seas W --? ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
MONDAY - W 9-11, Seas W 1-4.4 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY - E 3-4, Seas W 2.1-4.4 ft @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.WITHIN 15.5N94.5W TO 16N95W TO 15.5N95.5W TO 15N95.5W TO
14.5N95W TO 15N94.5W TO 15.5N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N96W TO 13N98W TO 11N102W TO
11N100W TO 11N96W TO 15N94W NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N92W TO 16N95W TO 11N107W TO
07N105W TO 06N100W TO 09N93W TO 13N92W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5 TO 3 M IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N97W TO 13N97W TO
13N96W TO 14N95W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...
N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
15N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N97W TO 12N98W TO 12N97W TO 12N95W TO
15N94W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT 25 TO 30 KT N OF 14N. SEAS
2.5 TO 3 M.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 13N96W TO
13N95W TO 14N94W TO 16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N
TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT N OF 14.5N N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE.
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE EASTERN SLOPES OF MEXICO AND RELATIVELY
LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON
TROUGH IS SUPPORTING GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS OVER THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC TO AROUND 35 KT ALONG WITH PEAK SEAS TO 15 FT (4.5 M).
THESE GALE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE SAT
NIGHT. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS. STRONG
TO NEAR GALE-FORCE WINDS WILL THEN PREVAIL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. PLEASE
SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS.
ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, LIGHT TO GENTLE NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS ARE WEST OF ABOUT 108W WHILE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS ARE EAST OF 108W. GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS ARE NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA. LIGHT AND
WEAKER WINDS ARE IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, EXCEPT FOR GENTLE
NORTHWEST WINDS SOUTH OF 28N. SEAS ARE 4 TO 6 FT IN LONG-PERIOD
SWELL WEST OF 110W, AND 3 TO 5 FT ALSO IN LONG-PERIOD NORTHWEST
SWELL EAST OF 110W. THE EXCEPTION IS THAT NORTHWEST SWELL IS MIXING
WITH A LONG-PERIOD SOUTH SWELL COMPONENT TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. LOWER SEAS OF 3 FT OR LESS ARE IN
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, A SET OF
LONG-PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELL WILL ENTER THE WATERS OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA THIS AFTERNOON, AND SPREAD ACROSS THE WATERS WEST OF 100W
DURING THE WEEKEND BEFORE DECAYING. ANOTHER SET OF LONG-PERIOD
NORTHWEST SWELL MAY ARRIVE OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT
WEEK, BUT IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS WIDESPREAD AS THE CURRENT ONE.
ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH
SEAS ARE OVER THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS OF GUATEMALA ASSOCIATED
WITH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE FORCE GAP WIND EVENT. OTHERWISE,
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
A 1025 MB HIGH CENTER IS ANALYZED AT 28N129.5W, WITH AN ASSOCIATED
RIDGE EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD TO NEAR 21N110W. LATEST
SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE DATA SHOWS LIGHT TO GENTLE ANTICYCLONE
NEAR THE HIGH CENTER NORTH OF ABOUT 20N AND WEST OF 120W. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH CENTER AND RIDGE AND RELATIVELY
LOWER PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH WITH THE ITCZ IS PRODUCING FRESH TO
LOCALLY STRONG TRADES FROM 07N TO 20N WEST OF 120W. SEAS OVER THESE
WATERS ARE 6 TO 9 FT IN LONG-PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELL, EXCEPT FOR
HIGHER SEAS OF 9 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN LONG-PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELL
NORTH OF 11N. FRESH EAST WINDS GENERATED FROM THE ONGOING GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND GALE EVENT ARE SPREADING WESTWARD REACHING TO
NEAR 110W AS SEEN IN THE LATEST SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE DATA PASS
OVER THOSE WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, ASIDE FROM THE LARGE WEST TO NORTHWEST SWELL
DESCRIBED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
WATERS NORTH OF 20N THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN BETWEEN THE HIGH PRESSURE AND
RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ LEADING TO AN
EXPANSION OF THE FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG TRADES FROM 07N TO 20N
AND WEST OF 110W. THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH SOME EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT IMPACTS THE NW PART OF THE
DISCUSSION DOMAIN. THAT COLD FRONT MAY MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF
30N140W EARLY NEXT WEEK USHERING IN FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND A
REINFORCING SET OF NORTHWEST SWELL OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA. MEANWHILE, ROUGH SEAS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE OPEN
WATERS WEST OF THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AND SOUTH OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH THE THE WEEKEND, WITH THE NEXT GALE-FORCE GAP
WIND EVENTS FORECAST TO MATERIALIZE OVER THOSE WATERS.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - NNW 22-28, Seas NNW 5.9-6 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - NNW 21-26, Seas NNW 6.6-6.8 ft @ 7sec
SUNDAY - NNW 21-26, Seas NNW 6.6-6.8 ft @ 7sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 16-20, Seas NW 4.9-5.4 ft @ 6sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
MONDAY - N 16-20, Seas NW 4.9-5.4 ft @ 6sec
TUESDAY - N 7-9, Seas SW 2-3.7 ft @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 19-24, Seas SSW 1.9-4.2 ft @ 18sec
THURSDAY - NNW 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 06N84W TO 01N90W TO
03N100W TO 03N106W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 03N106W TO 03N110W TO
03N120W TO 05N130W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM
N OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 100W AND 105W AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE
TROUGH BETWEEN 89W AND 92W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NORTHWEST COLOMBIA THROUGH
EXTREME SOUTHERN PANAMA, AND CONTINUES TO 06N84W TO 01N90W AND
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO 03N100W TO 03N106W, WHERE IT TRANSITIONS
TO THE ITCZ TO 03N110W TO 03N120W TO 05N130W AND TO BEYOND 05N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE
TROUGH BETWEEN 100W-105W AND WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE TROUGH
BETWEEN 88W-92W.
A 1025 MB HIGH CENTER IS ANALYZED AT 28N129.5W, WITH AN ASSOCIATED
RIDGE EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD TO NEAR 21N110W. LATEST
SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE DATA SHOWS LIGHT TO GENTLE ANTICYCLONE
NEAR THE HIGH CENTER NORTH OF ABOUT 20N AND WEST OF 120W. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH CENTER AND RIDGE AND RELATIVELY
LOWER PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH WITH THE ITCZ IS PRODUCING FRESH TO
LOCALLY STRONG TRADES FROM 07N TO 20N WEST OF 120W. SEAS OVER THESE
WATERS ARE 6 TO 9 FT IN LONG-PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELL, EXCEPT FOR
HIGHER SEAS OF 9 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN LONG-PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELL
NORTH OF 11N. FRESH EAST WINDS GENERATED FROM THE ONGOING GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND GALE EVENT ARE SPREADING WESTWARD REACHING TO
NEAR 110W AS SEEN IN THE LATEST SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE DATA PASS
OVER THOSE WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, ASIDE FROM THE LARGE WEST TO NORTHWEST SWELL
DESCRIBED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
WATERS NORTH OF 20N THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN BETWEEN THE HIGH PRESSURE AND
RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ LEADING TO AN
EXPANSION OF THE FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG TRADES FROM 07N TO 20N
AND WEST OF 110W. THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH SOME EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT IMPACTS THE NW PART OF THE
DISCUSSION DOMAIN. THAT COLD FRONT MAY MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF
30N140W EARLY NEXT WEEK USHERING IN FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND A
REINFORCING SET OF NORTHWEST SWELL OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA. MEANWHILE, ROUGH SEAS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE OPEN
WATERS WEST OF THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AND SOUTH OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH THE THE WEEKEND, WITH THE NEXT GALE-FORCE GAP
WIND EVENTS FORECAST TO MATERIALIZE OVER THOSE WATERS.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE EASTERN SLOPES OF MEXICO AND RELATIVELY
LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON
TROUGH IS SUPPORTING GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS OVER THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC TO AROUND 35 KT ALONG WITH PEAK SEAS TO 15 FT (4.5 M).
THESE GALE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE SAT
NIGHT. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS. STRONG
TO NEAR GALE-FORCE WINDS WILL THEN PREVAIL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
GULF OF PAPAGAYO GALE WARNING: FRESH TO STRONG NORTHEAST TO WINDS
WILL PULSE IN THE PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. WINDS MAY REACH MINIMAL GALE-FORCE DURING THE WEEKEND DUE
TO A TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
NORTH AND THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH. ROUGH SEAS WILL
ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS.
FOR THE FORECAST ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, A GALE-FORCE
GAP WIND EVENT IN TEHUANTEPEC WILL PRODUCE ROUGH SEAS WELL
OFFSHORE THE WESTERN GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR WATERS THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT. MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHERLY GAP WINDS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA
WILL INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG SPEEDS SAT AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
TO LATE ON MON.
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N86W TO 11N88W TO 10N88W TO 09N89W TO 10N85W
TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N88W TO 11N89W TO 10N89W TO
09N88W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE.
GULF OF PAPAGAYO GALE WARNING: FRESH TO STRONG NORTHEAST TO WINDS
WILL PULSE IN THE PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. WINDS MAY REACH MINIMAL GALE-FORCE DURING THE WEEKEND DUE
TO A TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
NORTH AND THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH. ROUGH SEAS WILL
ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...CORRECTED
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. PLEASE SEE
THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR DETAILS.
ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH
SEAS ARE OVER THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS OF GUATEMALA ASSOCIATED
WITH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE FORCE GAP WIND EVENT. OTHERWISE,
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, A GALE-FORCE
GAP WIND EVENT IN TEHUANTEPEC WILL PRODUCE ROUGH SEAS WELL
OFFSHORE THE WESTERN GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR WATERS THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT. MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHERLY GAP WINDS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA
WILL INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG SPEEDS SAT AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
TO LATE ON MON.
FOR THE FORECAST, ASIDE FROM THE LARGE WEST TO NORTHWEST SWELL
DESCRIBED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
WATERS NORTH OF 20N THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN BETWEEN THE HIGH PRESSURE AND
RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ LEADING TO AN
EXPANSION OF THE FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG TRADES FROM 07N TO 20N
AND WEST OF 110W. THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH SOME EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT IMPACTS THE NW PART OF THE
DISCUSSION DOMAIN. THAT COLD FRONT MAY MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF
30N140W EARLY NEXT WEEK USHERING IN FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND A
REINFORCING SET OF NORTHWEST SWELL OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA. MEANWHILE, ROUGH SEAS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE OPEN
WATERS WEST OF THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AND SOUTH OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH THE THE WEEKEND, WITH THE NEXT GALE-FORCE GAP
WIND EVENTS FORECAST TO MATERIALIZE OVER THOSE WATERS.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 08N78W TO 09N80W TO 07N82W TO 05N82W TO
05N80W TO 06N78W TO 08N78W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA AND
NEAR THE AZUERO PENINSULA...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
FOR THE FORECAST ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, A GALE-FORCE
GAP WIND EVENT IN TEHUANTEPEC WILL PRODUCE ROUGH SEAS WELL
OFFSHORE THE WESTERN GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR WATERS THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT. MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHERLY GAP WINDS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA
WILL INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG SPEEDS SAT AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
TO LATE ON MON.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 26-32, Seas ENE 4.6-5 ft @ 5sec
TONITE - ENE 26-32, Seas ENE 4.7-4.9 ft @ 5sec
SUNDAY - ENE 26-32, Seas ENE 4.7-4.9 ft @ 5sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - ENE 25-31, Seas ENE 4.6-5 ft @ 5sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
MONDAY - ENE 25-31, Seas ENE 4.6-5 ft @ 5sec
TUESDAY - ENE 22-27, Seas SW 3.8-4.7 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas SW 2.1-3.9 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (10.7 days old)
Updated 27 Jan 2026 09:40:25 GMT (10.7 days old)
ON THE SOUTHEASTERN FLANK OF MAUNA LOA
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2026/01/27/26027050/1/WEHW42/WEHW42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (2.4 days old)
Updated 04 Feb 2026 15:29:31 GMT (2.4 days old)
75 miles SW of Talkeetna, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2026/02/04/t9xxha/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.