Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
November 22, 2025, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - WNW 10-13, Seas NW 6.7-9.7 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - WNW 12-15, Seas NW 7.3-10.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - N 10-13, Seas NW 3.5-8.6 ft @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 13-16, Seas NW 3.7-8 ft @ 16sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NNW 15-19, Seas WNW 2.6-5.2 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NNW 13-16, Seas WNW 2-6 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas WNW 2-6 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 14-18, Seas W 3.2-4.4 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas NW 3.7-8 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 N 7-9, Seas NW 2.7-7.1 ft @ 16sec, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NW 5-6, Seas WNW 1.6-4.6 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
.WITHIN 32N114W TO 32N115W TO 31N115W TO 30N115W TO 29N114W TO
30N113W TO 32N114W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...NW TO N
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE WATERS
WITH FRESH TO STRONG WINDS PREVAILING N OF 24N. FRESH TO STRONG
N WINDS ARE ALSO NOTED OVER THE NORTHERN SECTION OF THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-14 FT RANGE W OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE. ELSEWHERE, SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER
THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, SEAS ARE
3 FT OR LESS.
LARGE NW SWELL OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS:
A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 28N117W. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT PRESENT ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS W OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE IS SUPPORTING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS W OF THE
LOW. THE LOW WILL SHIFT FURTHER EASTWARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WHILE WEAKENING. THIS WILL LOOSEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
FURTHER DIMINISH WINDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS USHERED IN A LARGE SET OF
NW SWELL. VERY ROUGH SEAS GREATER THAN 12 FT ARE CURRENTLY N OF
25N BETWEEN 118W AND 126W. THESE ROUGH SEAS WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 12
FT TONIGHT. SEAS ARE CURRENTLY PEAKING NEAR 14 FT.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT, GENERATING FRESH
TO STRONG NW TO W WINDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. LARGE NW SWELL
ACCOMPANYING THIS LOW WILL SPREAD OVER THE WATERS WEST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS THROUGH MON BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. FRESH TO STRONG N
GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH
SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - WNW 10-13, Seas WSW 3.4-4.3 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - W 9-11, Seas WSW 2.5-3.4 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas W 1.9-3.4 ft @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - W 9-11, Seas WSW 2.5-3.4 ft @ 14sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.9-3.7 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.5-4.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.5-4.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.1-4 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
TUESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.1-4 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.3-3.3 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.9-3.1 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half WSW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.9-3.7 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.5-4.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.5-4.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.1-4 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
TUESDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.1-4 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.3-3.3 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.9-3.1 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NW 13-16, Seas SSW 1.5-2.5 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.3-3.1 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.3-3.1 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2-3.1 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TUESDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2-3.1 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - N 6-7, Seas SSW 1.1-2.4 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1-2.5 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - NNE 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - WNW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.2-3.5 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.3-3.6 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.3-3.6 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 6-8, Seas SSW 1.7-3.7 ft @ 12sec
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TUESDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SSW 1.7-3.7 ft @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M IN NE SWELL.
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE WATERS
WITH FRESH TO STRONG WINDS PREVAILING N OF 24N. FRESH TO STRONG
N WINDS ARE ALSO NOTED OVER THE NORTHERN SECTION OF THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-14 FT RANGE W OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE. ELSEWHERE, SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER
THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, SEAS ARE
3 FT OR LESS.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT, GENERATING FRESH
TO STRONG NW TO W WINDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. LARGE NW SWELL
ACCOMPANYING THIS LOW WILL SPREAD OVER THE WATERS WEST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS THROUGH MON BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. FRESH TO STRONG N
GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH
SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 16-20, Seas SSW 2.7-3.8 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNE 14-18, Seas SSW --? ft @ 16sec
MONDAY - N 10-13, Seas SSW 2-3.8 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNE 14-18, Seas SSW --? ft @ 16sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - N 23-29, Seas NNW 9.6-10.1 ft @ 7sec
FRIDAY - N 21-26, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 07N103W. ITCZ FROM 07N103W TO
07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 116W AND
122W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 07N103W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 07N103W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 116W AND 122W.
ASIDE FROM THE WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE
CENTER OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A
1027 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 36N136W AND LOWER PRESSURE
IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING FRESH WINDS N OF THE
ITCZ AND W OF 120W. OUTSIDE OF THE LARGE SWELL AREA DESCRIBED
ABOVE, NW SWELL IS PROPAGATING ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 15N, WITH
SEAS IN THE 8-12 FT RANGE W OF A LINE FROM 26N114W TO 14N140W.
SEAS OF 8-10 FT ARE ALSO OVER THE WATERS N OF THE ITCZ TO 15N
AND W OF 130W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS OF 4-7 FT
PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT, GENERATING FRESH
TO STRONG NW TO W WINDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. LARGE NW SWELL
ACCOMPANYING THIS LOW WILL SPREAD OVER THE WATERS WEST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS THROUGH MON BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. FRESH TO STRONG N
GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH
SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 10N87W TO 10N86W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SSW 2.2-3.5 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - ENE 17-21, Seas SSW 2.3-3.5 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 1.8-3.2 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY NIGHT - ENE 17-21, Seas SSW 1-2.7 ft @ 12sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TUESDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas SSW 1-2.7 ft @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - NE 17-21, Seas SW 1.2-2.7 ft @ 15sec
THURSDAY - NE 19-24, Seas SW 1.6-3.3 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NE 19-24, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (13.1 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (13.1 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (0.4 days old)
Updated 22 Nov 2025 15:41:27 GMT (0.4 days old)
80 miles SW of Palmer, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/22/t64wst/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
WEAK53 PAAQ 221541
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
641 AM AKST Sat Nov 22 2025
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 4.7
* Origin Time 0639 AKST Nov 22 2025
0739 PST Nov 22 2025
1539 UTC Nov 22 2025
* Coordinates 61.2 North 151.3 West
* Depth 56 miles
* Location 80 miles SW of Palmer, Alaska
45 miles W of Anchorage, Alaska
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$