Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

November 6, 2025, 9:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NNW 15-19, Seas NW 3.5-6.9 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 14-18, Seas NW 3.4-6.6 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NNW 14-18, Seas NW 3.4-6.6 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - WNW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NNW 13-16, Seas NW 4.5-7.6 ft @ 18sec
TONITE - NW 13-16, Seas NW 3.2-6.6 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY - NW 13-16, Seas NW 3.2-6.6 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
FRIDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 WNW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N115W TO 30N140W TO 08N139W TO
09N124W TO 30N115W...INCLUDING SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY...WINDS 20
KT OR LESS EXCEPT NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 10N TO 18N W OF
125W...AND NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 28N BETWEEN BAJA CALIFORNIA
AND 118W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST NE PART.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 21N112W TO 30N116W TO 21N140W TO
04N140W TO 05N127W TO 21N112W...INCLUDING SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY
AND WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M
IN NW SWELL.

FRESH TO STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS, AND SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FT,
ARE OVER AND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AS INDICATED BY
OVERNIGHT SCATTEROMETER AND ALTIMETER SATELLITE DATA PASSES.
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
DISCUSSION WATERS, INCLUDING IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. SEAS ARE
IN THE 6 TO 8 FT RANGE WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND 4
TO 7 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. SEAS ARE 3
FT OR LESS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE FRESH TO STRONG WINDS IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC WILL DIMINISH THROUGH FRI. A SET OF LARGE NORTHWEST
SWELL WILL ENTER THE WATERS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA TODAY. THE SWELL
WILL PROPAGATE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH FRI NIGHT, THEN SUBSIDE DURING THE
WEEKEND. THE NEXT GAP WIND EVENT FOR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
REGION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUN NIGHT, WITH WINDS POSSIBLY
REACHING GALE-FORCE BY EARLY MON MORNING.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 14-17, Seas WNW 1.7-2.6 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - NNW 14-18, Seas W --? ft @ 18sec
FRIDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - WNW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NW 10-12, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NNW 6-8, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - E 2-2, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
SATURDAY - Northern Half W 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - Northern Half W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern Half NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half WNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 10-12, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NNW 6-8, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - E 2-2, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SATURDAY - NW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - W 4-5, Seas SW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NE 4-5, Seas SSW --? ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - SSW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - SSE 2-3, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
SATURDAY - ENE 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NNE 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
FRIDAY - SSW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - W 1-1, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
SATURDAY - NNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNE 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - N 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
FRIDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
SATURDAY - NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - WSW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

.WITHIN 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W TO
16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

FRESH TO STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS, AND SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FT,
ARE OVER AND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AS INDICATED BY
OVERNIGHT SCATTEROMETER AND ALTIMETER SATELLITE DATA PASSES.
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
DISCUSSION WATERS, INCLUDING IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. SEAS ARE
IN THE 6 TO 8 FT RANGE WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND 4
TO 7 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. SEAS ARE 3
FT OR LESS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE FRESH TO STRONG WINDS IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC WILL DIMINISH THROUGH FRI. A SET OF LARGE NORTHWEST
SWELL WILL ENTER THE WATERS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA TODAY. THE SWELL
WILL PROPAGATE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH FRI NIGHT, THEN SUBSIDE DURING THE
WEEKEND. THE NEXT GAP WIND EVENT FOR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
REGION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUN NIGHT, WITH WINDS POSSIBLY
REACHING GALE-FORCE BY EARLY MON MORNING.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 14-17, Seas SW 4.6-5.6 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - N 10-13, Seas SW 4.1-5.1 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - N 10-13, Seas SW 4.1-5.1 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - WSW 2-2, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
SATURDAY - SW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNE 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NNW 38-48, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NNW 36-45, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - N 23-29, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 08N90W TO 07N97W TO
08N106W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N120W 1013 MB TO 09N130W. ITCZ FROM
09N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
60 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 121W AND 123W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM
08N TO 09.5N BETWEEN 120W AND 123W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN COLOMBIA
SOUTHWESTWARD TO 07N78W TO 08N90W TO 07N97W TO 08N106W
TO LOW PRESSURE NEAR 11N120W 1013 MB AND TO 09N130W, WHERE IT
TRANSITIONS TO THE ITCZ TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN WITHIN 60 NM OF THE
TROUGH BETWEEN 121W-123W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 08N TO 09.5N BETWEEN 120W-123W.

A WEAKENING FRONTAL TROUGH IS ANALYZED OVER THE NW WATERS ALONG
A POSITION FROM NEAR 30N129W TO 27N140W. IT IS FOLLOWED BY A
LARGE SET OF LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL AS DISCUSSED ABOVE IN THE
SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER
OF THE WATERS N OF ABOUT 20N, ANCHORED BY A 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 27N184W. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE IN THE VICINITY OF THE
HIGH CENTER AND THAT OF THE TROUGH AS SEEN IN OVERNIGHT
SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE DATA PASSES. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER PRESSURE WITHIN THE
MONSOON TROUGH, AND IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS FROM 10N TO 20N AND WEST OF
128W, AND FROM 11N TO 20N BETWEEN 120W AND 128W. AN OVERNIGHT
SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE DATA PASS INDICATES FRESH TO STRONG TRADES
FROM 10N TO 18N WEST OF 128W. MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS
PREVAIL SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ. SEAS ARE IN THE 8 TO 9 FT
RANGE FROM 10N TO 20N AND W OF 110W IN A MIX OF SUBSIDING NW SWELL
AND NE WIND WAVES. AN ALTIMETER SATELLITE DATA PASS FROM 02Z
REVEALED THESE SEAS. SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FT ARE ELSEWHERE.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS ARE IN THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO REGION AS WAS NOTED IN AN OVERNIGHT SCATTEROMETER
SATELLITE DATA PASS. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE N
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE S OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH. SEAS ARE IN THE 4 TO 6 FT RANGE OVER THE
DISCUSSION WATERS PER LATEST ALTIMETER SATELLITE DATA PASSES.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL TROUGH WILL
DISSIPATE TODAY. THE NW SWELL OVER THE NW WATERS WILL PROPAGATE
SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK, WITH SEAS GREATER THAN
8 FT COVERING MUCH OF THE WATERS N OF 10N AND W OF 113W BY FRI
EVENING BEFORE STARTING TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE. ANOTHER SET OF NW
SWELL WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS ON SUN AND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THE MODERATE FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS SOUTH OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE PERSISTENT AT FRESH
SPEEDS BEGINNING TONIGHT EAST OF ABOUT 115W BEFORE DIMINISHING TO
GENTLE TO MODERATE SPEEDS ON SAT.

GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS ARE IN THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO REGION AS WAS NOTED IN AN OVERNIGHT SCATTEROMETER
SATELLITE DATA PASS. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE N
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE S OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH. SEAS ARE IN THE 4 TO 6 FT RANGE OVER THE
DISCUSSION WATERS PER LATEST ALTIMETER SATELLITE DATA PASSES.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS
IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION WILL BECOME LIGHT AND GENTLE ON
FRI AND CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH SUN. MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHEAST
WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION STARTING
SUN NIGHT. OTHERWISE, RELATIVELY QUIET CONDITIONS ARE THEN
EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE REGION FOR THE MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
FRIDAY - ENE 11-14, Seas SW 0.9-3.4 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - SSE 3-4, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
SATURDAY - ENE 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - ENE 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - ENE 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (2.3 days old)
Updated 04 Nov 2025 07:49:32 GMT (2.3 days old)
ABOUT 102 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/04/25308003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.

See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (2.3 days old)
Updated 04 Nov 2025 06:30:16 GMT (2.3 days old)
20 miles SE of Kotzebue, Alaska

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/04/t56v7t/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.