Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
March 10, 2026, 3:01 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
A 1007 MB SURFACE LOW NEAR PUNTA EUGENIA IS SHIFTING TOWARD THE
NE TONIGHT. NORTHWEST OF THE LOW, A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE PREVAILS
AND EXTENDS TO 120W. THIS IS PRODUCING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW AND ALSO BETWEEN THE
LOW AND 130W, RESULTING IN FRESH TO STRONG W TO NW WINDS OVER
THE SW SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW, EXTENDING TO APPROXIMATELY 22N
FROM THE LOW CENTER. ROUGH SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL ARE WITHIN
THESE WINDS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW,
WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER. THIS SURFACE LOW IS ALSO SUPPORTED
BY A DEEP LAYERED UPPER LEVEL LOW, WHICH IS AIDING IN PRODUCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE BAHIA DE SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO AND THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, THE
PROXIMITY OF THE LOW IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH SW TO W
WINDS AND SEAS TO 4 FT. BETWEEN CABO SAN LUCAS TO THE OFFSHORE
WATERS OF MANZANILLO, WINDS ARE MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH FROM
THE NW, AND SEAS ARE MODERATE TO 6 FT IN NW SWELL. LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW NEAR PUNTA EUGENIA WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD BEFORE DISSIPATING OVER CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUE
MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE WATERS BETWEEN CABO SAN
LAZARO AND PUNTA EUGENIA TONIGHT. MODERATE TO FRESH SW TO W WINDS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE GULF WILL
DIMINISH TUE MORNING. BEHIND THE EXITING LOW, A RIDGE WILL BUILD
TOWARDS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND CABO CORRIENTES, WHILE NEW NW
SWELL ENTERS THE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. FRESH TO STRONG
NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN BAJA SUR AND CABO CORRIENTES,
INCLUDING LAS TRES MARIAS, FROM LATE TUE THROUGH WED EVENING.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL ALSO FRESHEN INSIDE THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
WED THROUGH THU MORNING. OTHERWISE, A STRONG GAP WIND EVENT IS
FORECAST TO BEGIN ACROSS TEHUANTEPEC ON THU MORNING, WITH WINDS
REACHING GALE-FORCE THU EVENING, THEN DIMINISHING BELOW GALE-
FORCE BY LATE FRI MORNING. MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS ARE FORECAST
ACROSS ALL THE MEXICAN OFFSHORES SAT AND SAT NIGHT.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND
DISSIPATE OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
TONIGHT INTO TUE. NEW HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP NW OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA TUE, AND EXTEND A RIDGE ACROSS THE E PACIFIC
SUBTROPICAL WATERS. AS A RESULT, NEW NW SWELL WILL MOVE INTO THE
WATERS W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA OFFSHORES TO ABOUT 130W TUE NIGHT
AND WED, AND SUBSIDE THU NIGHT. OTHERWISE, LARGE S-SW CROSS-
EQUATORIAL SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE N AND NE, PRODUCING
ROUGH SEAS AS FAR N AS 20N THROUGH WED, BEFORE SUBSIDING FROM
EAST TO WEST WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI.
HIGH PRESSURE OF 1027 MB REMAINS WELL TO THE NW OF THE REGION.
AN ASSOCIATED BROAD RIDGE COVERS THE WATERS N OF ABOUT 10N AND W
OF 115W. THE RELATED PRESSURE GRADIENT IS SUSTAINING FRESH NE
WINDS FROM 04N TO 15N BETWEEN 125W AND 140W. ROUGH SEAS OF 7 TO 8
FT IN MIXED SWELL PREVAIL WITH THESE WINDS. A 1007 MB LOW
PRESSURE IS NEARING TO COAST OF CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA, WITH
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG W TO NW WINDS EXTENDING NORTHWESTWARD TO
127W AND SOUTHWARD TO 22.5N. ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE OF MODERATE OR
WEAKER AND SEAS MODERATE IN MIXED SWELL.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
THURSDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
FRIDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
SATURDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
SUNDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
MONDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 05N77W TO 04N88W TO 03N97W. THE
ITCZ IS ANALYZED FROM 03N100W TO 01N120W AND BEYOND 02N140W.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 02N TO 07N E OF 95W. NUMEROUS
MODERATE TO STRONG S OF THE EQUATOR BETWEEN 82W AND 92W.
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 01N TO 14N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W.
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 05N77W TO 04N88W TO 03N97W. THE
ITCZ IS ANALYZED FROM 03N100W TO 01N120W AND BEYOND 02N140W.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 02N TO 07N E
OF 95W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ONGOING S OF
THE EQUATOR BETWEEN 82W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 01N TO 14N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E GAP WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS TO 7 FT
CONTINUE ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION, AND EXTEND DOWNWIND NEAR
88W. MODERATE TO FRESH N TO NE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL
ACROSS THE GULF OF PANAMA AND DOWNSTREAM TO 06N. LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE ELSEWHERE N OF 01S.
OTHERWISE, CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS
THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS OFFSHORES WITH SEAS TO 9 FT.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH GAP WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE TO
STRONG AT NIGHT ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH FRI NIGHT AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS N OF THE AREA. MODERATE N WINDS WILL ALSO
PULSE TO FRESH IN THE GULF OF PANAMA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MAINLY
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. CROSS-EQUATORIAL S-SW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH TUE NIGHT, BEFORE SUBSIDING
WEDNESDAY.
.03 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N86W TO 12N88W TO 10N88W TO
10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.27 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N87W TO 12N88W TO 11N88W TO 10N88W
TO 10N86W TO 11N86W TO 12N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N89W TO 12N92W TO 10N93W TO 09N91W
TO 10N89W TO 11N89W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S
TO SW SWELL.
FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E GAP WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS TO 7 FT
CONTINUE ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION, AND EXTEND DOWNWIND NEAR
88W. MODERATE TO FRESH N TO NE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL
ACROSS THE GULF OF PANAMA AND DOWNSTREAM TO 06N. LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE ELSEWHERE N OF 01S.
OTHERWISE, CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS
THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS OFFSHORES WITH SEAS TO 9 FT.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH GAP WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE TO
STRONG AT NIGHT ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH FRI NIGHT AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS N OF THE AREA. MODERATE N WINDS WILL ALSO
PULSE TO FRESH IN THE GULF OF PANAMA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MAINLY
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. CROSS-EQUATORIAL S-SW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH TUE NIGHT, BEFORE SUBSIDING
WEDNESDAY.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (1.9 days old)
Updated 08 Mar 2026 09:34:29 GMT (1.9 days old)
ABOUT 174 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAVAII ISLAND
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2026/03/08/26067001/1/WEZS42/WEZS42.txt
ZCZC
WEZS42 PHEB 080934
TIBPPG
ASZ001>004-081134-
TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
1034 PM SST SAT MAR 07 2026
...NO TSUNAMI THREAT FROM A NEARBY EARTHQUAKE...
AUDIENCE
--------
EMERGENCY MANAGERS... MEDIA... GENERAL PUBLIC
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.0 OCCURRED
ABOUT 174 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAVAII ISLAND AT 1028 PM SST ON
SATURDAY MARCH 7 2026.
* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO
AMERICAN SAMOA FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.
* SOME AREAS MAY HAVE EXPERIENCED MODERATE SHAKING.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* NO TSUNAMI IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.0
* ORIGIN TIME 1028 PM SST MAR 07 2026
* COORDINATES 16.1 SOUTH 173.7 WEST
* DEPTH 39 MILES
* LOCATION ABOUT 174 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAVAII ISLAND
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND ON THE
INTERNET AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.
$$
NNNN
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (1.3 days old)
Updated 08 Mar 2026 22:48:40 GMT (1.3 days old)
30 miles SE of Buldir I., Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2026/03/08/tblr1s/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
WEAK53 PAAQ 082248
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
248 PM AKDT Sun Mar 8 2026
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 5.0
* Origin Time 1442 AKDT Mar 08 2026
1542 PDT Mar 08 2026
2242 UTC Mar 08 2026
* Coordinates 51.9 North 176.2 East
* Depth 1 miles
* Location 30 miles SE of Buldir I., Alaska
305 miles W of Adak, Alaska
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$