Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
November 5, 2026, 9:00 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
Questions/Comments visit https://svsarana.com
This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NW 10-13, Seas NW 4-7.1 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 7-9, Seas NW 0-6.5 ft @ 13sec
FRIDAY - N 10-13, Seas NW 0-7 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - N 10-12, Seas WNW 0-7.5 ft @ 15sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NW 8-10, Seas WNW 0-6.2 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NNW 7-9, Seas WNW 0-6.3 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - WNW 9-11, Seas WNW 0-6.1 ft @ 13sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - WNW 10-12, Seas NW 0-6.2 ft @ 16sec
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 9-11, Seas WNW 2.2-4.7 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NW 7-9, Seas WNW 2.3-4.8 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY - NW 10-13, Seas W 1.7-4.8 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NW 9-11, Seas W 0-4.8 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 N 12-15, Seas NW 0-7.5 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 WNW 10-12, Seas NW 0-6.2 ft @ 16sec, Southern 1/3 NW 9-11, Seas W 0-4.8 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 NNE 10-13, Seas NW 2.3-7.6 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 N 6-8, Seas NW 0-7 ft @ 16sec, Southern 1/3 ENE 10-13, Seas WNW 0-5.2 ft @ 17sec
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 N 10-12, Seas NW 0-6.8 ft @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 N 6-8, Seas NW 0-6.6 ft @ 16sec, Southern 1/3 S 2-3, Seas WNW 0-4.7 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 7-9, Seas NW 0-8.7 ft @ 15sec, Middle 2/3 WNW 6-8, Seas WNW 0-6.1 ft @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 NW 6-8, Seas WNW 0-5.5 ft @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 7-9, Seas WNW 0-5.4 ft @ 13sec, Middle 2/3 NW 6-8, Seas WNW 0-6.2 ft @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 NW 9-11, Seas WNW 0-5.4 ft @ 14sec
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
MODERATE NW WINDS ARE PRESENT IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE
REGION. SEAS IN THESE WATERS ARE 7 TO 9 FT. MODERATE GAP WINDS
HAVE ALSO DEVELOPED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE,
ACROSS THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
PREVAIL, WITH MODERATE SEAS IN MAINLY SW SWELL, MIXED WITH NW
SWELL WEST OF 110W, AND EXCEPT FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, WHERE
SLIGHT SEAS DOMINATE.
LARGE NW SWELL WILL IMPACT THE BAJA WATERS INTO TONIGHT. THE
NEXT PULSE OF LARGE NW SWELL WILL REACH THE BAJA WATERS BEGINNING
FRI. FRESH WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
AND NEAR CABO CORRIENTES STARTING FRI AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. LOOKING AHEAD, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP WINDS WILL
DEVELOP IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FRI NIGHT, INCREASING SUN
NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE SW GULF OF AMERICA, WITH
GALES POSSIBLE MON NIGHT. A SET OF LARGE AND ROUGH NW SWELL IS
LIKELY TO APPROACH BAJA CALIFORNIA MON.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 9-11, Seas WSW 0-2.8 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - NNW 6-7, Seas WSW 0-2.8 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NNW 6-7, Seas WSW 0-2.8 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NNW 8-10, Seas SW 0-2.7 ft @ 14sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - SW 7-9, Seas SSW 1-3.1 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - W 5-6, Seas SSW 0-3.1 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY - W 5-6, Seas SSW 0-3.1 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - N 3-4, Seas SSW 0-2.7 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
SATURDAY - Northern Half W 10-13, Seas WSW 0.8-2.8 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half NW 8-10, Seas SSW 0-2.7 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half W 13-16, Seas WSW 0-2.5 ft @ 16sec, Southern Half WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1-2.7 ft @ 17sec
MONDAY - Northern Half SE 6-8, Seas WSW 0-2.3 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half N 5-6, Seas SSW 0-2.9 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half W 7-9, Seas WSW 0-2.5 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half NW 3-4, Seas SW 0-2.4 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas SW 0-2.4 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half NW 2-3, Seas SW 0-2.6 ft @ 14sec
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - SW 7-9, Seas SSW 1-3.1 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - W 5-6, Seas SSW 0-3.1 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY - W 5-6, Seas SSW 0-3.1 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - N 3-4, Seas SSW 0-2.7 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SATURDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 0-2.7 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1-2.7 ft @ 17sec
MONDAY - N 5-6, Seas SSW 0-2.9 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY - NW 3-4, Seas SW 0-2.4 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 2-3, Seas SW 0-2.6 ft @ 14sec
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.1-2.8 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NNW 6-8, Seas SSW 0-2.8 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.7-2.7 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - N 5-6, Seas SSW 0-2.6 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
SATURDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1-2.5 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas SSW 0-2.4 ft @ 16sec
MONDAY - NW 6-7, Seas SW 0-2.2 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - ENE 5-6, Seas SW 0-2 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SW 0-2.4 ft @ 14sec
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - N 9-11, Seas SW 0-3.8 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - N 9-11, Seas SW 0-3.7 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SW 1.5-3.6 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - N 9-11, Seas SW 0-3.7 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
SATURDAY - N 10-12, Seas WSW 0-3.6 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - N 10-13, Seas WSW 0-3.6 ft @ 16sec
MONDAY - N 6-8, Seas WSW 0-3.5 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY - NNW 5-6, Seas WSW 0-3.2 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas W 0-3.9 ft @ 14sec
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - W 10-12, Seas SSW 1.7-3.8 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.6-3.9 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - W 8-10, Seas SSW 1-3.5 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-3.5 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
SATURDAY - WNW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-3.5 ft @ 17sec
SUNDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-3.5 ft @ 16sec
MONDAY - W 6-7, Seas SW 0-3.4 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas WSW 0.7-3.2 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SW 0.9-3.3 ft @ 14sec
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N95W TO
15N95W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M..48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN
16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N95W TO 15N95W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S111W TO 03S114W TO 03S115W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S110W TO 02S111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
MODERATE NW WINDS ARE PRESENT IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE
REGION. SEAS IN THESE WATERS ARE 7 TO 9 FT. MODERATE GAP WINDS
HAVE ALSO DEVELOPED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE,
ACROSS THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
PREVAIL, WITH MODERATE SEAS IN MAINLY SW SWELL, MIXED WITH NW
SWELL WEST OF 110W, AND EXCEPT FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, WHERE
SLIGHT SEAS DOMINATE.
LARGE NW SWELL WILL IMPACT THE BAJA WATERS INTO TONIGHT. THE
NEXT PULSE OF LARGE NW SWELL WILL REACH THE BAJA WATERS BEGINNING
FRI. FRESH WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
AND NEAR CABO CORRIENTES STARTING FRI AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. LOOKING AHEAD, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP WINDS WILL
DEVELOP IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FRI NIGHT, INCREASING SUN
NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE SW GULF OF AMERICA, WITH
GALES POSSIBLE MON NIGHT. A SET OF LARGE AND ROUGH NW SWELL IS
LIKELY TO APPROACH BAJA CALIFORNIA MON.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - ENE 6-7, Seas SSW 0-3.8 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - NNW 6-7, Seas SSW 0-4 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NW 16-20, Seas SSW 0-3.8 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - N 13-16, Seas SSW 1.8-4.1 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
SATURDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 0-4.1 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NNE 7-9, Seas SSW 1.3-3.7 ft @ 16sec
MONDAY - NNW 26-32, Seas NNW 8.4-9 ft @ 7sec
TUESDAY - N 28-35, Seas NNW 11.3-11.7 ft @ 8sec
WEDNESDAY - N 17-21, Seas SSW 5.1-5.8 ft @ 14sec
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N87W TO 10N93W TO 07N113W TO
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 00N TO 13N E OF 92W...FROM 00N
TO 12N BETWEEN 107W AND 121W...AND FROM 05N TO 14N BETWEEN 131W
AND 138W.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA: DEEP-LAYER TROUGHING
OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN EXTENDS SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND INTO THE TROPICAL
EASTERN PACIFIC. THIS FEATURE WILL INTERACT WITH ENHANCED LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE AND ONSHORE FLOW SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS WILL FAVOR HEAVY PRECIPITATION
DEVELOPING ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA STARTING TODAY AND LASTING
THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
ACROSS NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA, WITH THE BULK OF PRECIPITATION
OCCURRING THROUGH THURSDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER AGENCY AND THE INTERNATIONAL DESK AT THE WEATHER
PREDICTION CENTER FOR MORE DETAILS.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 12N87W TO THE LOW PRESSURE
OFFSHORE NICARAGUA OF 1008 MB NEAR 10N93W TO A 1011 MB LOW
PRESSURE NEAR 07N113W TO BEYOND 08N140W.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE
NORTH AND LOWER PRESSURE ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH IS LEADING TO
WIDESPREAD FRESH NE TO E WINDS ACROSS WATERS N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH AND WEST OF 125W, LOCALLY STRONG NEAR 15N135W. LONG
PERIOD NW SWELL AND WIND-WAVES ARE COMBINING TO CREATE ROUGH SEAS
OVER THE SAME AREA. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL,
WITH MODERATE SEAS.
MODERATE NW WINDS ARE PRESENT IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE
REGION. SEAS IN THESE WATERS ARE 7 TO 9 FT. MODERATE GAP WINDS
HAVE ALSO DEVELOPED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE,
ACROSS THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
PREVAIL, WITH MODERATE SEAS IN MAINLY SW SWELL, MIXED WITH NW
SWELL WEST OF 110W, AND EXCEPT FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, WHERE
SLIGHT SEAS DOMINATE.
LARGE NW SWELL WILL IMPACT THE BAJA WATERS INTO TONIGHT. THE
NEXT PULSE OF LARGE NW SWELL WILL REACH THE BAJA WATERS BEGINNING
FRI. FRESH WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
AND NEAR CABO CORRIENTES STARTING FRI AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. LOOKING AHEAD, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP WINDS WILL
DEVELOP IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FRI NIGHT, INCREASING SUN
NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE SW GULF OF AMERICA, WITH
GALES POSSIBLE MON NIGHT. A SET OF LARGE AND ROUGH NW SWELL IS
LIKELY TO APPROACH BAJA CALIFORNIA MON.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - WSW 7-9, Seas SW 0-4 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - SW 6-7, Seas SW 0-3.9 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY - WSW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-3.9 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - SE 3-4, Seas SSW 0-3.8 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
SATURDAY - S 11-14, Seas SSW 0-3.8 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - ESE 14-17, Seas SW 0-5.2 ft @ 8sec
MONDAY - SE 6-8, Seas SW 0-4.5 ft @ 16sec
TUESDAY - NE 10-13, Seas SW 2.2-3.1 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 3.3-3.9 ft @ 14sec
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (11.5 days old)
Updated 25 Oct 2026 02:27:01 GMT (11.5 days old)
BONIN ISLANDS JAPAN REGION
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2026/10/24/26297050/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (0.4 days old)
Updated 05 Nov 2026 05:01:47 GMT (0.4 days old)
75 miles SW of Eureka, California
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2026/11/05/to0j1g/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
WEAK53 PAAQ 050501
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
901 PM PST Wed Nov 4 2026
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 4.5
* Origin Time 1956 AKST Nov 04 2026
2056 PST Nov 04 2026
0456 UTC Nov 05 2026
* Coordinates 40.4 North 125.5 West
* Depth 8 miles
* Location 75 miles SW of Eureka, California
245 miles NW of San Francisco, California
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$