Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

February 10, 2026, 9:03 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

Questions/Comments visit https://svsarana.com

This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 11-14, Seas WNW 2.2-6.9 ft @ 12sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 12-15, Seas WNW 2.6-6.7 ft @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 14-18, Seas WNW 6.2-6.8 ft @ 12sec, Middle 2/3 NW 15-19, Seas WNW 3.8-6.5 ft @ 11sec, Southern 1/3 NW 17-21, Seas WNW 3.3-5.8 ft @ 12sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 10-13, Seas WNW 6.4-7.6 ft @ 15sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 15-19, Seas WNW 4.1-6.6 ft @ 11sec, Southern 1/3 NW 18-22, Seas WNW 3.5-5.6 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 9-11, Seas NW 5-7.5 ft @ 18sec, Southern 1/3 WNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 WNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 WNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE WINDS AND 6 TO 8 FT SEAS PERSIST
ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF MEXICO. SEAS ARE
5 TO 7 FT OVERALL, EXCEPT 1 TO 3 FT SEAS IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS WILL PULSE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THE FRONT WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE AS IT
MOVES INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE WED INTO THU. LARGE NW SWELL
WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT INTO THE WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE
WED AND WED NIGHT, AND IN THE OUTER WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO WED NIGHT INTO THU. LOOKING AHEAD,
ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH BAJA CALIFORNIA FRI FOLLOWED BY FRESH
NW WINDS AND LARGE SWELL NEAR GUADALUPE ISLAND. FARTHER SOUTH,
FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL PULSE ACROSS THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TODAY, AND THEN AGAIN WED NIGHT INTO THU
NIGHT.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED OVER THE GULF OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS DEPICTED NORTH FROM 06N TO 20N
BETWEEN 105W AND 113W IN ASSOCIATION TO AN UPPER UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH. FARTHER WEST, RECENT SCATTEROMETER PASS CONFIRMED
MODERATE TO FRESH NE TRADE WINDS EXTENDING NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO
NEAR 20N, WEST OF 125W. FARTHER NORTH, THE SCATTEROMETER CAPTURED
A CIRCULATION NEAR 34N131W, WHICH IS THE PARENT LOW ACCOMPANYING
A COLD FRONT MOVING FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE DISCUSSION
WATERS NORTH OF 23.5N WEST OF 130W. FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS AND
LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOW THE FRONT. THE SWELL IS REINFORCING AN
AREA OF OLDER SWELL IN EXCESS OF 8 FT COVERING MOST OF THE AREA
WEST OF 120W.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD
ACROSS THE WATERS NORTH OF 20N TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH WED.
THIS WILL IN TURN ALLOW THE FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS IN THE
DEEP TROPICS WEST OF 125W TO DIMINISH THROUGH TODAY. THE
ASSOCIATED ROUGH SEAS WILL SUBSIDE ACCORDINGLY. MEANWHILE, FRESH
TO STRONG NW WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WILL FOLLOW THE
FRONT AS IT CONTINUES EASTWARD AND REACHES FROM 30N124W TO
22N140W BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH TONIGHT,
BUT LARGE SHORTER-PERIOD NW SWELL OF 8 TO 15 FT WILL COVER THE
AREA NORTH OF 25N AND WEST OF 120W BEFORE DECAYING BELOW 8 FT
THROUGH WED. LOOKING AHEAD, A LOW PRESSURE AREA AND ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATERS NORTH OF 20N WED
THROUGH FRI, FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH
TO VERY ROUGH SEAS.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas WSW 1.4-3.7 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - N 11-14, Seas WSW 1.3-3.5 ft @ 14sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - WSW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.5-3.1 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.7-3.5 ft @ 19sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.1-3.8 ft @ 18sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 3.1-4.4 ft @ 18sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
THURSDAY - Northern Half N 11-14, Seas WSW 1.3-3.5 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.7-4.1 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half WNW 14-18, Seas SW 3.2-3.7 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half NW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.9-4.2 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half NNW 14-17, Seas SW 3.5-4.4 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half NNW 14-18, Seas SSW 1.8-3.2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half N 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 13-16, Seas SSW 4.3-4.9 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - Northern Half WNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - WSW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.5-3.1 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.7-3.5 ft @ 19sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.1-3.8 ft @ 18sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 3.1-4.4 ft @ 18sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
THURSDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.7-4.1 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.9-4.2 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - NNW 14-18, Seas SSW 1.8-3.2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NW 13-16, Seas SSW 4.3-4.9 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - WSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.4-3 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2-3.2 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 14-17, Seas SSW 2.4-3.9 ft @ 18sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - N 6-8, Seas SSW 2.6-4 ft @ 17sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
THURSDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.8-3.5 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - NW 14-17, Seas SSW 2-3 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - N 10-12, Seas SSW 2.5-3.2 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - N 12-15, Seas WSW 2.3-5.4 ft @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - N 8-10, Seas W --? ft @ 13sec

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas SW 1.9-4 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - N 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - WNW 8-10, Seas SW 1-4.2 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 7-9, Seas SW 1.3-4.3 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 7-9, Seas SW 1.3-4.3 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NW 4-5, Seas SW --? ft @ 15sec

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas SW 2.2-4 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - W 10-13, Seas SW 1.3-3.5 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NW 7-9, Seas SW 2-3.6 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N97W TO 14N95W TO 14N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N95W TO 13N102W TO 07N107W
TO 03N105W TO 02N98W TO 06N93W TO 14N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 09N97W TO 09N100W TO 08N106W TO 04N106W
TO 03N100W TO 05N95W TO 09N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN W SWELL.

STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE WINDS AND 6 TO 8 FT SEAS PERSIST
ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF MEXICO. SEAS ARE
5 TO 7 FT OVERALL, EXCEPT 1 TO 3 FT SEAS IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS WILL PULSE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THE FRONT WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE AS IT
MOVES INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE WED INTO THU. LARGE NW SWELL
WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT INTO THE WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE
WED AND WED NIGHT, AND IN THE OUTER WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO WED NIGHT INTO THU. LOOKING AHEAD,
ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH BAJA CALIFORNIA FRI FOLLOWED BY FRESH
NW WINDS AND LARGE SWELL NEAR GUADALUPE ISLAND. FARTHER SOUTH,
FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL PULSE ACROSS THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TODAY, AND THEN AGAIN WED NIGHT INTO THU
NIGHT.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 12-15, Seas SW 3.2-4.5 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - N 12-15, Seas SW 3.2-4.5 ft @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNW 22-27, Seas SSW 2.6-4.6 ft @ 17sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
THURSDAY - NNW 22-27, Seas SSW 2.6-4.6 ft @ 17sec
FRIDAY - NNW 18-22, Seas SSW 3.9-5.4 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - S 7-9, Seas SSW 1.1-3.3 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NNW 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
SURFACE TROUGH FROM 07N84W TO 01N95W TO 01N12W. ITCZ FROM
01N112W TO 03N140W.

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N84W TO 01N95W TO 01N12W. THE
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 01N112W TO 03N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION
IS DEPICTED IN RELATION TO THESE FEATURES.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED OVER THE GULF OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS DEPICTED NORTH FROM 06N TO 20N
BETWEEN 105W AND 113W IN ASSOCIATION TO AN UPPER UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH. FARTHER WEST, RECENT SCATTEROMETER PASS CONFIRMED
MODERATE TO FRESH NE TRADE WINDS EXTENDING NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO
NEAR 20N, WEST OF 125W. FARTHER NORTH, THE SCATTEROMETER CAPTURED
A CIRCULATION NEAR 34N131W, WHICH IS THE PARENT LOW ACCOMPANYING
A COLD FRONT MOVING FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE DISCUSSION
WATERS NORTH OF 23.5N WEST OF 130W. FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS AND
LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOW THE FRONT. THE SWELL IS REINFORCING AN
AREA OF OLDER SWELL IN EXCESS OF 8 FT COVERING MOST OF THE AREA
WEST OF 120W.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS WILL PULSE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THE FRONT WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE AS IT
MOVES INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE WED INTO THU. LARGE NW SWELL
WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT INTO THE WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE
WED AND WED NIGHT, AND IN THE OUTER WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO WED NIGHT INTO THU. LOOKING AHEAD,
ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH BAJA CALIFORNIA FRI FOLLOWED BY FRESH
NW WINDS AND LARGE SWELL NEAR GUADALUPE ISLAND. FARTHER SOUTH,
FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL PULSE ACROSS THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TODAY, AND THEN AGAIN WED NIGHT INTO THU
NIGHT.

FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK, WITH SEAS NOT APPRECIABLY SUBSIDING UNTIL SUN. MODERATE
WINDS AND SEAS WILL PERSIST ELSEWHERE.

.WITHIN 12N86W TO 12N89W TO 11N90W TO 09N89W TO 09N87W TO 10N86W
TO 12N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 25 TO
30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE NW TO W WINDS, WITH SEAS 5 TO 8 FT
PREVAIL ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION. MODERATE TO FRESH N
WINDS AND SEAS 3 TO 5 FT PREVAIL OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA. GENTLE
BREEZES AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE IN A MIX OF
SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK, WITH SEAS NOT APPRECIABLY SUBSIDING UNTIL SUN. MODERATE
WINDS AND SEAS WILL PERSIST ELSEWHERE.

STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE NW TO W WINDS, WITH SEAS 5 TO 8 FT
PREVAIL ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION. MODERATE TO FRESH N
WINDS AND SEAS 3 TO 5 FT PREVAIL OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA. GENTLE
BREEZES AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE IN A MIX OF
SWELL.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 21-26, Seas WSW 4-4.9 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - ENE 21-26, Seas SW 3.8-4.8 ft @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 22-27, Seas SW 3.8-4.9 ft @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - ENE 19-24, Seas SW 3.1-4.6 ft @ 18sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
THURSDAY - NE 20-25, Seas SW 3-4.5 ft @ 17sec
FRIDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SW 2.5-4.2 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas SW 1.8-3.5 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - ENE 15-19, Seas SW 1-2.8 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - NE 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (14.2 days old)
Updated 27 Jan 2026 09:40:25 GMT (14.2 days old)
ON THE SOUTHEASTERN FLANK OF MAUNA LOA

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2026/01/27/26027050/1/WEHW42/WEHW42.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.

See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (5.9 days old)
Updated 04 Feb 2026 15:29:31 GMT (5.9 days old)
75 miles SW of Talkeetna, Alaska

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2026/02/04/t9xxha/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.