Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

February 18, 2026, 9:00 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - WNW 14-17, Seas NW 7.3-7.5 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - NNW 14-17, Seas NW 7.1-7.6 ft @ 11sec
THURSDAY - NW 14-18, Seas NW 9.1-10.2 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NW 12-15, Seas WNW --? ft @ 13sec

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NNW 16-20, Seas WNW 8.2-8.5 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - NNW 16-20, Seas NW 5.2-8.4 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas NW 5.2-8.4 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NW 13-16, Seas NW 8.6-8.7 ft @ 14sec

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 18-23, Seas WNW 4-6.1 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 18-23, Seas WNW 4.1-6.7 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - NW 18-23, Seas WNW 4.1-6.7 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NW 18-23, Seas WNW 4.5-5.9 ft @ 15sec

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 12-15, Seas NW 7.1-7.2 ft @ 13sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 14-17, Seas NW 8.4-8.5 ft @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 NW 18-23, Seas WNW 4.5-5.9 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 NNW 12-15, Seas NW 4.5-6.7 ft @ 13sec, Southern 1/3 NNE 1-1, Seas W 0.8-4.5 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas NW 2.6-4.3 ft @ 10sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-18, Seas NW 3.2-4.2 ft @ 10sec, Middle 2/3 NW 10-13, Seas NW 4-4.4 ft @ 11sec, Southern 1/3 S 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 WSW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

.06 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 31.5N113.5W TO 30.5N115W. WITHIN
31N113W TO 31N114W TO 31N115W TO 30N115W TO 30N114W TO 31N113W
...INCLUDING THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SW WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH ALONG 30.5N. CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 31N113.5W TO 30.5N115W. WITHIN
31N113W TO 31N114W TO 31N115W TO 30N115W TO 30N114W TO 30N113W TO
31N113W...INCLUDING THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SW TO W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

THE TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY OVER NW MEXICO
TO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA HAS DISSIPATED OVER OUR AREA.
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NW OF THE AREA EXTENDS A RIDGE FROM NW TO
SE ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS. A LOCALLY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGING AND TROUGHING NEAR SW MEXICO SUPPORTS FRESH
TO STRONG NW-N WINDS NEAR CABO CORRIENTES. WINDS ARE MAINLY
MODERATE OR WEAKER ELSEWHERE, EXCEPT LOCALLY FRESH POSSIBLY
NEARSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD, AS
WELL AS FROM THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TO NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES. ROUGH SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER ARE SPREADING OFFSHORE
BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NEAR CABO SAN LAZARO NORTHWESTWARD. SEAS
ARE MAINLY MODERATE ELSEWHERE, EXCEPT SLIGHT IN THE MAJORITY OF
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AS WELL AS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE BUILD IN ACROSS
THE AREA WATERS THROUGH FRI, PRODUCING FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG
NORTHERLY WINDS NEARSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH THU NIGHT.
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS NEAR CABO CORRIENTES WILL PERSIST FOR THE
NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE DIMINISHING TO FRESH. FRESH WINDS WILL
DOMINATE THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA SAT THROUGH
SUN NIGHT DUE TO A LOCALLY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT. NW SWELL WILL
CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY,
THEN BECOME REINFORCED TONIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK,
DECAYING DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
SIGNIFICANT LARGE NW SWELL: NEW LARGE AND SIGNIFICANT SWELL WITH
SEAS OF 12 FT OR GREATER IS JUST N OF 30N AND PROPAGATING
SOUTHWARD, WHILE ROUGH SEAS COVER A LARGE AREA AHEAD OF IT,
ACROSS THE WATERS N FO 08N AND W OF 114W. SEAS OF 12 FT OR
GREATER WILL COVER THE WATERS FROM 26N TO 30N BETWEEN BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND 140W BY THIS EVENING WHILE PEAKING AROUND 15 FT
NEAR 30N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W, THEN GRADUALLY DECAYING BACK
BELOW 12 FT BY THU EVENING. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT
AND LARGE NW SWELL EVENT IS POSSIBLE IN THE NW WATERS LATE IN THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. PLEASE REFER TO THE
LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE DETAILS.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - WNW 14-18, Seas W 4.9-5 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - NNW 13-16, Seas W 3.7-4.8 ft @ 11sec
THURSDAY - WNW 17-21, Seas W 4.4-4.9 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NNW 11-14, Seas W 4.7-5.2 ft @ 6sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 15-19, Seas NW 4.6-4.9 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - NNW 14-17, Seas NW 4.6-4.9 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas NW 4.6-4.9 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.9-3.5 ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
FRIDAY - Northern Half NNW 15-19, Seas SW 2.9-3.4 ft @ 13sec, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3-3.6 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half NNW 16-20, Seas SW 2.8-3.3 ft @ 13sec, Southern Half NW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.3-3.7 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half NNW 11-14, Seas SW 1.4-1.9 ft @ 12sec, Southern Half NW 15-19, Seas NW 4.5-4.8 ft @ 6sec
MONDAY - Northern Half NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 0.6-2.1 ft @ 12sec, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas NW 4.8-5 ft @ 6sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half N 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 15-19, Seas NW 4.6-4.9 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - NNW 14-17, Seas NW 4.6-4.9 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas NW 4.6-4.9 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.9-3.5 ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
FRIDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3-3.6 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - NW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.3-3.7 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NW 15-19, Seas NW 4.5-4.8 ft @ 6sec
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas NW 4.8-5 ft @ 6sec
TUESDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 1.9-2.5 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - N 8-10, Seas SW 2.5-3 ft @ 15sec
THURSDAY - N 8-10, Seas SW 2.5-3 ft @ 15sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW --? ft @ 13sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
FRIDAY - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 2-2.6 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 2-2.5 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - N 9-11, Seas SSW 2-2.5 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SW 1.9-3.3 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - NE 2-2, Seas SSW --? ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - W 9-11, Seas SW 1.4-3.1 ft @ 15sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - WNW 6-8, Seas SW 1.7-3.3 ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
FRIDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas SW 1.7-3.3 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas SW 1.6-3 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - WNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

THE TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY OVER NW MEXICO
TO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA HAS DISSIPATED OVER OUR AREA.
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NW OF THE AREA EXTENDS A RIDGE FROM NW TO
SE ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS. A LOCALLY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGING AND TROUGHING NEAR SW MEXICO SUPPORTS FRESH
TO STRONG NW-N WINDS NEAR CABO CORRIENTES. WINDS ARE MAINLY
MODERATE OR WEAKER ELSEWHERE, EXCEPT LOCALLY FRESH POSSIBLY
NEARSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD, AS
WELL AS FROM THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TO NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES. ROUGH SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER ARE SPREADING OFFSHORE
BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NEAR CABO SAN LAZARO NORTHWESTWARD. SEAS
ARE MAINLY MODERATE ELSEWHERE, EXCEPT SLIGHT IN THE MAJORITY OF
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AS WELL AS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
LOOKING AHEAD, LONG RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR
AT LEAST A STRONG GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC LATE IN THE UPCOMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK,
ALTHOUGH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS BEING SO FAR OUT IN TIME. PLEASE STAY
TUNED AS WE GET CLOSER TO THIS NEXT POTENTIAL EVENT.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - SW 6-7, Seas SSW 0.9-3 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - WSW 5-6, Seas SSW 0.9-3 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - WSW 5-6, Seas SSW 0.9-3 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - N 6-8, Seas SSW --? ft @ 13sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - NNW 35-44, Seas NNW 15.5-15.6 ft @ 9sec
MONDAY - N 35-44, Seas NNW 17-17.1 ft @ 9sec
TUESDAY - N 27-34, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
TROUGH FROM 08.5N84W TO 01N97W. ITCZ FROM 01N97W TO 00.5N120W TO
BEYOND 04.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 02N TO 06N BETWEEN 85W
AND 95W.

A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08.5N84W TO 01N97W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
01N97W TO 00.5N120W TO BEYOND 04.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 02N TO 06N BETWEEN 85W AND 95W.

FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE WATERS N OF
THE ITCZ WHILE THE DEEP LAYERED TROUGHING PERSISTS IN THE
W-CENTRAL WATERS NEAR 140W. THIS SCENARIO WILL SUPPORT A BROAD
AREA OF FRESH TO NEAR GALE-FORCE TRADES N OF THE ITCZ TO NEAR
24N AND W OF 130W THROUGH EARLY FRI, ALONG WITH ROUGH TO VERY
ROUGH SEAS. EXPECT ACTIVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO ACCOMPANY
THESE INCREASING TRADES. MARINE CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE BY THE
END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE DISTURBANCE
DISSIPATES AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS. NEW, LARGE AND
SIGNIFICANT SWELLS MAY MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS BY THE END OF THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E GAP WINDS AND MODERATE
SEAS WILL PULSE ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA FROM THE NORTH, CONTINUING THROUGH
EARLY THU, THEN BECOME MODERATE TO FRESH THEREAFTER. FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS MAY RETURN THERE LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. MODERATE N TO NE WINDS WILL PULSE TO LOCALLY FRESH FROM
THE GULF OF PANAMA TO SOUTH OF THE AZUERO PENINSULA THROUGH TODAY.
ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS
WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 12N89W TO 11N89W TO 10N89W TO 10N88W
TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NE TO E OFFSHORE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS
THE PAPAGAYO REGION, ALONG WITH 4 TO 7 FT SEAS. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE GULF OF
PANAMA AND VEER NE AND PASS SOUTH OF THE AZUERO PENINSULA. WINDS
ARE LIGHT TO GENTLE ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE MAINLY 2 TO 4 FT
ELSEWHERE, LOCALLY TO 5 FT.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E GAP WINDS AND MODERATE
SEAS WILL PULSE ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA FROM THE NORTH, CONTINUING THROUGH
EARLY THU, THEN BECOME MODERATE TO FRESH THEREAFTER. FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS MAY RETURN THERE LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. MODERATE N TO NE WINDS WILL PULSE TO LOCALLY FRESH FROM
THE GULF OF PANAMA TO SOUTH OF THE AZUERO PENINSULA THROUGH TODAY.
ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS
WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 21-26, Seas SSW 2.5-3.6 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - ENE 18-23, Seas SSW 2.3-3.5 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas SSW 1.7-3.1 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - ENE 17-21, Seas SW 1.3-3 ft @ 15sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
FRIDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas SW 1.3-3 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - NE 17-21, Seas SW 1.4-2.9 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - ENE 21-26, Seas SSW 2.4-3.5 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - ENE 22-27, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - ENE 22-28, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (4.5 days old)
Updated 14 Feb 2026 02:36:09 GMT (4.5 days old)
VANUATU

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2026/02/14/26045000/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.

See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (4.2 days old)
Updated 14 Feb 2026 09:01:56 GMT (4.2 days old)
20 miles NW of Palmer, Alaska

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2026/02/14/tafy9z/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.