Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
December 28, 2025, 9:02 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N95W TO
15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.33 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 13N98W TO 12N101W TO 11N100W
TO 12N95W TO 15N93W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NE 10-12, Seas NW 1.7-4.4 ft @ 10sec
TONITE - ENE 6-8, Seas NW 1.7-4 ft @ 10sec
TUESDAY - ESE 7-9, Seas NW 1.7-3.3 ft @ 10sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - SE 13-16, Seas NW 1.5-2.9 ft @ 10sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - N 7-9, Seas NW 3.6-6.6 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - NNW 10-12, Seas NW --? ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - ESE 5-6, Seas NW 1.2-3.4 ft @ 10sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - SE 17-21, Seas SW 1.1-2.8 ft @ 12sec
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - E 15-19, Seas NW 2.6-4.4 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - ENE 9-11, Seas NW 2.5-4.1 ft @ 12sec
TUESDAY - ENE 9-11, Seas NW 2.5-4.1 ft @ 12sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NE 2-3, Seas WNW 0.9-2.5 ft @ 10sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 SE 20-25, Seas NW 1.4-2.9 ft @ 10sec, Middle 2/3 SE 17-21, Seas SW 1.1-2.8 ft @ 12sec, Southern 1/3 SSE 10-12, Seas SW 0.8-2.3 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 S 9-11, Seas S 5-5.4 ft @ 8sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NNE 5-6, Seas SSE 1.5-3.1 ft @ 8sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 NW 11-14, Seas WNW 1.2-4.2 ft @ 12sec, Southern 1/3 NW 16-20, Seas WNW 1.7-3.4 ft @ 13sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 W 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N114W TO 31N115W TO
30N115W TO 29N114W TO 30N113W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N112W TO 31N113W TO 30N115W TO
26N111W TO 25N110W TO 28N111W TO 29N112W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OF 1035 MB IS LOCATED WELL NORTH OF THE
AREA NEAR 42N131W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE HIGH SOUTHWARD
TO NEAR 20N AND WEST OF THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. ITS RELATED
GRADIENT IS ALLOWING FOR FRESH NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS TO EXIST
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A DECAYING
NORTHWEST SWELL IS PROVIDING FOR ROUGH SEAS OFFSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA, EXCEPT FOR MODERATE SEAS SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS.
MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHWEST WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE
FOUND IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, WHILE MODERATE NORTH WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS ARE IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC REGION. ELSEWHERE,
MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, NW SWELL PROPAGATING THROUGH THE OFFSHORE
WATERS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
THROUGH EARLY MON. FRESH TO STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO
TUE NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE REGION. GENTLE
TO MODERATE NORTH WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC REGION WILL
BECOME FRESH NORTH WINDS EARLY ON MON. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF AMERICA MON INTO TUE. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SUPPORT THE NEXT GAP WIND EVENT
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - SSE 3-4, Seas W 0.5-2.2 ft @ 11sec
TONITE - NNE 2-2, Seas W --? ft @ 12sec
TUESDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TONITE - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half SE 13-16, Seas SSW 0.7-1.4 ft @ 12sec, Southern Half NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half W 11-14, Seas WSW 1.6-3 ft @ 12sec, Southern Half NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern Half WNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N95W TO
15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.33 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 13N98W TO 12N101W TO 11N100W
TO 12N95W TO 15N93W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES AND EASTERN MEXICO IN THE WAKE OF AN
UPCOMING GULF OF AMERICA COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT. THIS WILL INDUCE GALE-FORCE WINDS NORTH WINDS
INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC REGION BEGINNING ON MON NIGHT.
THESE WINDS MAY PEAK TO 45 KT GOING INTO THE MIDDLE PART OF THE
WEEK. BRIEF GUSTS TO STORM FORCE CANNOT BE RULED OUT ON TUE
NIGHT. SEAS WITH THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY BUILD TO THE
RANGE OF 11 TO 15 FT. MARINERS TRANSITING THROUGH THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC DURING THIS TIME ARE URGED TO TAKE THE NECESSARY
ACTION TO AVOID THE HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS THAT WILL BE
IMPACTING THESE WATERS. CONDITIONS IN THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION ARE
FORECAST TO BEGIN TO IMPROVE EARLY ON THU.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR DETAILS ON
A GALE WARNING THAT IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OF 1035 MB IS LOCATED WELL NORTH OF THE
AREA NEAR 42N131W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE HIGH SOUTHWARD
TO NEAR 20N AND WEST OF THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. ITS RELATED
GRADIENT IS ALLOWING FOR FRESH NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS TO EXIST
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A DECAYING
NORTHWEST SWELL IS PROVIDING FOR ROUGH SEAS OFFSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA, EXCEPT FOR MODERATE SEAS SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS.
MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHWEST WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE
FOUND IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, WHILE MODERATE NORTH WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS ARE IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC REGION. ELSEWHERE,
MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, NW SWELL PROPAGATING THROUGH THE OFFSHORE
WATERS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
THROUGH EARLY MON. FRESH TO STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO
TUE NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE REGION. GENTLE
TO MODERATE NORTH WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC REGION WILL
BECOME FRESH NORTH WINDS EARLY ON MON. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF AMERICA MON INTO TUE. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SUPPORT THE NEXT GAP WIND EVENT
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 08N103W...WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO
ITCZ TO 10N125W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 07N BETWEEN
114W AND 130W. THIS AREA IS ALSO ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE
TROUGH...ANALYZED FROM 22N122W TO 10N130W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 08N103W, WHERE IT
TRANSITIONS TO THE ITCZ TO 10N125W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED N OF 07N BETWEEN 114W AND 130W.
THIS AREA IS ALSO ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH, ANALYZED FROM
22N122W TO 10N130W.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 11N88W TO 10N88W TO
10N87W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF AMERICA HAS AN
ASSOCIATED BROAD RIDGE THAT STRETCHES SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARD
CENTRAL AMERICA. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER
PRESSURE TO ITS SOUTH IS ALLOWING FOR FRESH TO STRONG NORTHEAST
TO EAST WINDS TO EXITS IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION ALONG WITH
MODERATE SEAS. WEAK LOW PRESSURE OFF COLOMBIA IS PRODUCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF THE GULF OF PANAMA
FROM 05N TO 07.5N BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 80W.
ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT PULSING FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY TRADE WINDS
IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. GENTLE TO
MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF PANAMA
THROUGH THE PERIOD, PULSING TO FRESH AT NIGHT AT TIMES. GENTLE OR
LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE
THROUGH THE PERIOD.
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF AMERICA HAS AN
ASSOCIATED BROAD RIDGE THAT STRETCHES SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARD
CENTRAL AMERICA. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER
PRESSURE TO ITS SOUTH IS ALLOWING FOR FRESH TO STRONG NORTHEAST
TO EAST WINDS TO EXITS IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION ALONG WITH
MODERATE SEAS. WEAK LOW PRESSURE OFF COLOMBIA IS PRODUCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF THE GULF OF PANAMA
FROM 05N TO 07.5N BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 80W.
ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT PULSING FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY TRADE WINDS
IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. GENTLE TO
MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF PANAMA
THROUGH THE PERIOD, PULSING TO FRESH AT NIGHT AT TIMES. GENTLE OR
LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE
THROUGH THE PERIOD.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (1.4 days old)
Updated 27 Dec 2025 15:21:54 GMT (1.4 days old)
TAIWAN REGION
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/12/27/25361000/1/WEZS42/WEZS42.txt
ZCZC
WEZS42 PHEB 271521
TIBPPG
ASZ001>004-271721-
TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
421 AM SST SAT DEC 27 2025
...NO TSUNAMI THREAT FROM A DISTANT EARTHQUAKE...
AUDIENCE
--------
EMERGENCY MANAGERS... MEDIA... GENERAL PUBLIC
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.7 OCCURRED IN
THE TAIWAN REGION AT 406 AM SST ON SATURDAY DECEMBER 27
2025.
* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO
AMERICAN SAMOA FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* NO TSUNAMI IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.7
* ORIGIN TIME 406 AM SST DEC 27 2025
* COORDINATES 24.7 NORTH 122.1 EAST
* DEPTH 22 MILES
* LOCATION TAIWAN REGION
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND ON THE
INTERNET AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.
$$
NNNN
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (0.3 days old)
Updated 28 Dec 2025 18:54:16 GMT (0.3 days old)
55 miles N of Yakutat, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/12/28/t7ztop/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
WEAK53 PAAQ 281854
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
954 AM AKST Sun Dec 28 2025
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 4.6
* Origin Time 0951 AKST Dec 28 2025
1051 PST Dec 28 2025
1851 UTC Dec 28 2025
* Coordinates 60.4 North 139.9 West
* Depth 1 miles
* Location 55 miles N of Yakutat, Alaska
245 miles NW of Juneau, Alaska
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$