Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
November 12, 2025, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N95W TO 14N97W TO 13N99W TO 12N98W TO 12N95W TO 13N94W
TO 16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N91W TO
13N99W TO 11N110W TO 03N104W TO 03N94W TO 11N91W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN N TO NE SWELL.
.09 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 15N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 30 TO 35
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO 15N94W TO
15N96W TO 14N96W TO 13N96W TO 14N95W TO 14N94W N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N95W TO
12N99W TO 12N115W TO 04N108W TO 00N102W TO 03N95W TO 13N95W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NE SWELL.
.21 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE EXCEPT WINDS LESS THAN 35 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 15N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 30 TO 35
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N96W TO
14N97W TO 12N97W TO 11N96W TO 15N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N94W TO 15N94W TO 16N95W TO 12N98W TO
10N99W TO 08N98W TO 13N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NW 6-8, Seas NW 2.9-5.8 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - SW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NNW 11-14, Seas NW 3.2-6.4 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - NW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 SSW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 SSW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 WSW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 SW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 S 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
FOR THE FORECAST, THE GALE-FORCE N WINDS IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE INTO THU NIGHT. ROUGH TO VERY
ROUGH SEAS ACCOMPANY THESE GALES DOWNSTREAM. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH LATE FRI AS THE HIGH PRESSURE NORTH
OF THE AREA WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD. FARTHER NORTH, A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
LATE THU THROUGH SAT. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG SW GAP WINDS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE FRONT LATE SAT INTO
EARLY SUN. FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO 12 FT WILL
FOLLOW THE FRONT OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATE THU INTO SAT, BEFORE
SUBSIDING SUN.
LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING FRONTAL BOUNDARY: A COLD FRONT MOVING
INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH-CENTRAL PACIFIC, AND IS CURRENTLY
PASSING 30N140W. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS
THE WATERS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NORTH OF 20N INTO SAT. LARGE
NW SWELL IN EXCESS OF 12 FT AND WIND SPEEDS TO NEAR GALE- FORCE
WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT OVER THE WATERS NORTH OF 25N FROM LATE
TODAY INTO SAT. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO PEAK AROUND 17 FT THU. ROUGH
SEAS WILL REACH SOUTH TO 10N AND THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA LATE FRI INTO SAT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH SUN.
A 1018 MB HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IS NEAR GUADALUPE ISLAND NEAR
28N120W. THE WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT SUPPORTS GENTLE TO LOCALLY
MODERATE NW WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
OFFSHORE WATERS. ELSEWHERE OUTSIDE OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND
DOWNSTREAM WATERS, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO
MODERATE SEAS ARE PREVALENT.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 8-10, Seas W 1.8-2.6 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - N 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
SATURDAY - Northern Half N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern Half WNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - Northern Half W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern Half NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SATURDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - N 5-6, Seas SW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - N 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - N 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
SATURDAY - N 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - N 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
SATURDAY - N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - N 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - ENE 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - ENE 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - ENE 2-3, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
SATURDAY - WSW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - W 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.WITHIN 16N95W TO 14N97W TO 13N99W TO 12N98W TO 12N95W TO 13N94W
TO 16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N91W TO
13N99W TO 11N110W TO 03N104W TO 03N94W TO 11N91W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN N TO NE SWELL.
.09 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 15N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 30 TO 35
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO 15N94W TO
15N96W TO 14N96W TO 13N96W TO 14N95W TO 14N94W N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N95W TO
12N99W TO 12N115W TO 04N108W TO 00N102W TO 03N95W TO 13N95W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NE SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 15N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 30 TO 35
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N96W TO
14N97W TO 12N97W TO 11N96W TO 15N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N94W TO 15N94W TO 16N95W TO 12N98W TO
10N99W TO 08N98W TO 13N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: A 1029 MB HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF AMERICA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT STRONG TO
NEAR-GALES NORTHERLY GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
A RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS INDICATED WINDS TO 30 KT
ACROSS THE BASIN. THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY PULSE TO GALE FORCE
TONIGHT DUE TO ADDED DRAINAGE EFFECTS. IN ADDITION, STRONG TO
NEAR-GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
TO 10N AND WEST TO 100W. SEAS ARE CURRENTLY PEAKING AROUND 12 FT
(4 M) AND ROUGH SEAS EXTEND SOUTH TO 02N AND WEST TO 110W. WINDS
AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH AS THE HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS AND SHIFT
EASTWARD IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BUT PULSES TO GALE-FORCE WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THU NIGHT. SEAS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE, DECREASING BELOW 8 FT FRI NIGHT.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THE GALE WARNING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
A 1018 MB HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IS NEAR GUADALUPE ISLAND NEAR
28N120W. THE WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT SUPPORTS GENTLE TO LOCALLY
MODERATE NW WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
OFFSHORE WATERS. ELSEWHERE OUTSIDE OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND
DOWNSTREAM WATERS, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO
MODERATE SEAS ARE PREVALENT.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE GALE-FORCE N WINDS IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE INTO THU NIGHT. ROUGH TO VERY
ROUGH SEAS ACCOMPANY THESE GALES DOWNSTREAM. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH LATE FRI AS THE HIGH PRESSURE NORTH
OF THE AREA WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD. FARTHER NORTH, A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
LATE THU THROUGH SAT. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG SW GAP WINDS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE FRONT LATE SAT INTO
EARLY SUN. FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO 12 FT WILL
FOLLOW THE FRONT OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATE THU INTO SAT, BEFORE
SUBSIDING SUN.
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE REGION CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE
BASIN. THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH PRESSURE AND
LOWER PRESSURES IN THE DEEP TROPICS RESULT IN FRESH TO STRONG
N-NE WINDS IN THE GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR OFFSHORE WATERS,
CAPTURED BY A SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS AROUND 16 UTC.
FARTHER WEST, A STRONG GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
IS PRODUCING SEAS TO 9 FT AND FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG N WINDS IN
THE WATERS OFF GUATEMALA BEYOND 60 NM.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS WILL PULSE EACH NIGHT
AND MORNING OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION AS
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN. OFFSHORE OF
GUATEMALA, EXPECT ROUGH SEAS THROUGH FRI AS GALE-FORCE GAP WIND
EVENT CONTINUES IN THE NEARBY GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE,
MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PERSIST INTO THE
WEEKEND.
EAST OF 110W, A SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS FROM 16 UTC SHOWED
THAT A STRONG GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS
SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG NE-E WINDS FROM 07N TO 13N. SEAS IN
THESE WATERS ARE 8-12 FT. DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH AN
UPPER TROUGH BETWEEN 105W AND 110W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W.
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENT FLOW ENHANCED BY THE OUTFLOW FROM THE
TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT IS SUPPORTING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ FROM 07N TO 10N
BETWEEN 90W TO 115W. MEANWHILE, A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE ACTIVE ON THE NORTHERN END OF A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 125W
FROM 10N TO 18N. SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ, RECENT
ALTIMETER SATELLITE PASSES CONFIRMED SEAS TO 8 FT, PRIMARILY IN
SOUTHERLY SWELL. FARTHER NORTH, A 1012 MB OCCLUDED LOW IS
CENTERED NEAR 27N135W, SUPPORTING FRESH WINDS A LOCALLY ROUGH
SEAS IN THE VICINITY. THIS FEATURE IS ABOUT TO BE OVERTAKEN BY A
COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST, CURRENTLY EXTENDING
FROM 30N135W TO 26N140W. ELSEWHERE, WEAK HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES
AND SUSTAINS MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 18-23, Seas SW 4.6-5.5 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - N 19-24, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 19-24, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - N 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
SATURDAY - N 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - ESE 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - S 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - S 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 07N90W TO 06N105W. ITCZ FROM
06N105W TO 09N115W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W TO 115W...AND FROM 11N TO 14N
BETWEEN 102W AND 106W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 07N90W TO 06N105W. THE
ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 06N105W TO 09N115W TO BEYOND 10N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ACTIVE FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN
90W TO 115W, AND FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W.
EAST OF 110W, A SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS FROM 16 UTC SHOWED
THAT A STRONG GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS
SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG NE-E WINDS FROM 07N TO 13N. SEAS IN
THESE WATERS ARE 8-12 FT. DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH AN
UPPER TROUGH BETWEEN 105W AND 110W IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W.
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENT FLOW ENHANCED BY THE OUTFLOW FROM THE
TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT IS SUPPORTING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ FROM 07N TO 10N
BETWEEN 90W TO 115W. MEANWHILE, A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE ACTIVE ON THE NORTHERN END OF A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 125W
FROM 10N TO 18N. SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ, RECENT
ALTIMETER SATELLITE PASSES CONFIRMED SEAS TO 8 FT, PRIMARILY IN
SOUTHERLY SWELL. FARTHER NORTH, A 1012 MB OCCLUDED LOW IS
CENTERED NEAR 27N135W, SUPPORTING FRESH WINDS A LOCALLY ROUGH
SEAS IN THE VICINITY. THIS FEATURE IS ABOUT TO BE OVERTAKEN BY A
COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST, CURRENTLY EXTENDING
FROM 30N135W TO 26N140W. ELSEWHERE, WEAK HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES
AND SUSTAINS MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, OUTSIDE OF THE AREA IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION, THE WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE GAP WIND EVENT
WILL GRADUALLY DIMISH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE LARGE
SOUTHERLY SWELL IS SUBSIDING BELOW 8 FT, AND WILL BE OVERTAKEN BY
NORTHERLY SWELL MOVING INTO THE REGION. MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS WILL THEN PREVAIL SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH
AND ITCZ INTO THE WEEKEND.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: A 1029 MB HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF AMERICA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT STRONG TO
NEAR-GALES NORTHERLY GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
A RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS INDICATED WINDS TO 30 KT
ACROSS THE BASIN. THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY PULSE TO GALE FORCE
TONIGHT DUE TO ADDED DRAINAGE EFFECTS. IN ADDITION, STRONG TO
NEAR-GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
TO 10N AND WEST TO 100W. SEAS ARE CURRENTLY PEAKING AROUND 12 FT
(4 M) AND ROUGH SEAS EXTEND SOUTH TO 02N AND WEST TO 110W. WINDS
AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH AS THE HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS AND SHIFT
EASTWARD IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BUT PULSES TO GALE-FORCE WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THU NIGHT. SEAS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE, DECREASING BELOW 8 FT FRI NIGHT.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE GALE-FORCE N WINDS IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE INTO THU NIGHT. ROUGH TO VERY
ROUGH SEAS ACCOMPANY THESE GALES DOWNSTREAM. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH LATE FRI AS THE HIGH PRESSURE NORTH
OF THE AREA WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD. FARTHER NORTH, A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
LATE THU THROUGH SAT. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG SW GAP WINDS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE FRONT LATE SAT INTO
EARLY SUN. FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO 12 FT WILL
FOLLOW THE FRONT OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATE THU INTO SAT, BEFORE
SUBSIDING SUN.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS WILL PULSE EACH NIGHT
AND MORNING OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION AS
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN. OFFSHORE OF
GUATEMALA, EXPECT ROUGH SEAS THROUGH FRI AS GALE-FORCE GAP WIND
EVENT CONTINUES IN THE NEARBY GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE,
MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PERSIST INTO THE
WEEKEND.
.WITHIN 10N86W TO 11N86W TO 10N92W TO 08N94W TO 07N92W TO 08N89W
TO 10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N86W TO 11N86W TO 10N92W TO 08N94W TO
07N92W TO 08N89W TO 10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
07N89W TO 07N90W TO 05N93W TO 03N95W TO 03N92W TO 04N87W TO
07N89W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN SW SWELL.
THE SAME HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORCING FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY
TRADE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AREA. MEANWHILE,
GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY BREEZES AND MODERATE SEAS IN S SWELL
ARE PREVALENT ELSEWHERE.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 0.9-3.4 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - ENE 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY NIGHT - ENE 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
SATURDAY - ENE 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - SE 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NE 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - ENE 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (3.1 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (3.1 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (3.7 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 09:43:42 GMT (3.7 days old)
55 miles SE of Amukta Pass, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/09/t5gddc/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.