Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
September 17, 2025, 9:01 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NE 9-11, Seas SSW 0-5.3 feet @ 15sec
TONITE - NE 9-11, Seas SSW 0-5.3 feet @ 15sec
THURSDAY - SW 4-5, Seas SSW 0-5.1 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - SW 4-5, Seas SSW 0-5.1 feet @ 14sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - WNW 5-6, Seas SSW 0-5.1 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - WNW 5-6, Seas SSW 0-5.1 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1-4.5 feet @ 13sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1-4.5 feet @ 13sec
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - SSE 6-7, Seas SSW 0-5.6 feet @ 15sec
TONITE - SSE 6-7, Seas SSW 0-5.6 feet @ 15sec
THURSDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 0-4.8 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 0-4.8 feet @ 14sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 9-11, Seas SW 1-4.1 feet @ 12sec, Middle 2/3 N 9-11, Seas SSW 2.2-4.4 feet @ 13sec, Southern 1/3 E 11-14, Seas S 0-6.4 feet @ 12sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 10-13, Seas S 2.6-6.4 feet @ 12sec, Middle 2/3 SE 6-8, Seas S 0-7.6 feet @ 12sec, Southern 1/3 SE 9-11, Seas S 0-7.9 feet @ 12sec
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 N 10-12, Seas S 2.9-6.7 feet @ 12sec, Middle 2/3 W 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 WNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 WNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS, AND SEAS OF 7-8 FT, ARE FUNNELING
ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIO IS
CENTERED NEAR 24.5N118.5W. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS, AND SEAS TO 8
FT, ARE NOTED IN THE VICINITY OF THE REMNANT LOW. MODERATE TO
FRESH WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH EP96 ARE OFF THE COAST OF SW MEXICO,
WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE 7-9 FT RANGE. OTHERWISE, GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS DOMINATE THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6
FT RANGE OFF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND 6-8 FT OVER THE
REMAINDER OF OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. SEAS ARE IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE
OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, REACHING 5 FT AT THE ENTRANCE OF
THE GULF.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS WILL PULSE IN
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TONIGHT, WITH MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH
WINDS PULSING AFTERWARDS. INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE, EP96, BEING MONITORED WITH A HIGH
CHANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. WINDS WILL BE MODERATE OR
WEAKER ELSEWHERE WITH MODERATE TO LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS, EXCEPT
SLIGHT SEAS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 6-8, Seas SSW 0-3.9 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - W 6-8, Seas SSW 0-3.9 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - W 9-11, Seas SSW 2.2-3.4 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - W 9-11, Seas SSW 2.2-3.4 feet @ 14sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - W 6-7, Seas SSW 0-5.1 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - W 6-7, Seas SSW 0-5.1 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - W 6-7, Seas SSW 0-5 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - W 6-7, Seas SSW 0-5 feet @ 14sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
FRIDAY - Northern Half N 9-11, Seas SSW 0-3.1 feet @ 13sec, Southern Half SSE 11-14, Seas S 0-6.4 feet @ 12sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half W 6-8, Seas S 0-4.8 feet @ 12sec, Southern Half S 7-9, Seas SSW 0-7.5 feet @ 12sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half W 9-11, Seas SW 0-6.2 feet @ 11sec
MONDAY - Northern Half W 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern Half WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half W 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - W 6-7, Seas SSW 0-5.1 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - W 6-7, Seas SSW 0-5.1 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - W 6-7, Seas SSW 0-5 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - W 6-7, Seas SSW 0-5 feet @ 14sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
FRIDAY - SSE 11-14, Seas S 0-6.4 feet @ 12sec
SATURDAY - S 7-9, Seas SSW 0-7.5 feet @ 12sec
SUNDAY - W 9-11, Seas SW 0-6.2 feet @ 11sec
MONDAY - NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
TUESDAY - W 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - WNW 6-7, Seas SSW 0-4.7 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - WNW 6-7, Seas SSW 0-4.7 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - SW 4-5, Seas SSW 0-4.2 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - SW 4-5, Seas SSW 0-4.2 feet @ 14sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
FRIDAY - SSW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-6.1 feet @ 11sec
SATURDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SW 0-5.6 feet @ 11sec
SUNDAY - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
TUESDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - E 5-6, Seas SSW 0-5.9 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - E 5-6, Seas SSW 0-5.9 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - SE 10-13, Seas SSW 0-5.5 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - SE 10-13, Seas SSW 0-5.5 feet @ 14sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
FRIDAY - SE 15-19, Seas SSW 0-7.3 feet @ 11sec
SATURDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas SW 0-6.9 feet @ 11sec
SUNDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
TUESDAY - S 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - SE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-7.5 feet @ 15sec
TONITE - SE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-7.5 feet @ 15sec
THURSDAY - WSW 6-7, Seas SSW 0-6.3 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - WSW 6-7, Seas SSW 0-6.3 feet @ 14sec
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
FRIDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas SSW 0-7 feet @ 13sec
SATURDAY - NW 9-11, Seas WSW 0-6.6 feet @ 10sec
SUNDAY - WSW 6-7, Seas WSW 0-5.3 feet @ 11sec
MONDAY - WSW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
TUESDAY - WSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.WITHIN 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO 15N95W TO
16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO
15N95W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS, AND SEAS OF 7-8 FT, ARE FUNNELING
ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIO IS
CENTERED NEAR 24.5N118.5W. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS, AND SEAS TO 8
FT, ARE NOTED IN THE VICINITY OF THE REMNANT LOW. MODERATE TO
FRESH WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH EP96 ARE OFF THE COAST OF SW MEXICO,
WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE 7-9 FT RANGE. OTHERWISE, GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS DOMINATE THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6
FT RANGE OFF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND 6-8 FT OVER THE
REMAINDER OF OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. SEAS ARE IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE
OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, REACHING 5 FT AT THE ENTRANCE OF
THE GULF.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS WILL PULSE IN
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TONIGHT, WITH MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH
WINDS PULSING AFTERWARDS. INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE, EP96, BEING MONITORED WITH A HIGH
CHANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. WINDS WILL BE MODERATE OR
WEAKER ELSEWHERE WITH MODERATE TO LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS, EXCEPT
SLIGHT SEAS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - NNE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-6.5 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - NNE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-6.5 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - SSE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-5.7 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - SSE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-5.7 feet @ 14sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
FRIDAY - SE 6-8, Seas SSW 0-5.4 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - SSE 8-10, Seas SW 0-4.8 feet @ 15sec
SUNDAY - S 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - SSE 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
TUESDAY - E 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N104.5W TO
14N114W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 04N
TO 10N E OF 95W...AND FROM 08N TO 18N BETWEEN 102W AND 120W.
A TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS NEAR 82W TO THE N OF 02N TO THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA, MOVING WEST AT AROUND 10 KT. NEARBY CONVECTION IS
DISCUSSED IN THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION BELOW.
A TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS NEAR 104W/105W, FROM 01N TO 17N NEAR THE
SW COAST OF MEXICO, MOVING SLOWLY WEST AROUND 5 KT. NEARBY
CONVECTION IS DISCUSSED IN THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION BELOW.
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE ON THE
HIGH POTENTIAL OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION WITH THIS TROPICAL
WAVE AND ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE, INVEST EP96, ALONG IT.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO LOW PRES NEAR
12.5N104.5W TO 14N114W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 04N TO 10N EAST OF 95W,
AND FROM 08N TO 18N BETWEEN 102W AND 120W.
MODERATE GAP WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, WITH LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS ARE SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. SEAS ARE IN THE
6-8 FT RANGE IN S TO SW SWELL ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, ROUGH SEAS OVER THE REGIONAL WATERS WILL
SUBSIDE THROUGH WED, EXCEPT MAY PERSIST OFFSHORE OFFSHORE OF
COLOMBIA THROUGH COSTA RICA INTO EARLY THU. MODERATE TO FRESH NE
GAP WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH MIDWEEK.
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH S TO SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH MIDWEEK, WITH MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS ELSEWHERE
AND OTHERWISE.
THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIO IS CENTERED NEAR 24.5N118.5W. MODERATE
TO FRESH WINDS, AND SEAS TO 8 FT, ARE NOTED IN THE VICINITY OF
THE REMNANT LOW. OUTSIDE OF CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF MARIO AND EP96, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS, AND SEAS
OF 4-7 FT PREVAIL N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. MODERATE TO FRESH
WINDS PREVAIL S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. SEAS S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH ARE IN THE 5-8 FT RANGE W OF 120W, AND 6-10 FT RANGE E OF
120W IN S TO SW SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, MARIO WILL MOVE NW AND DISSIPATE BY THU
EVENING. MAINLY MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL S OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH, EXCEPT LOCALLY FRESH IN THE CENTRAL WATERS NEAR THE AXIS
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. ROUGH SEAS IN THE CENTRAL WATERS S
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH MIDWEEK, THEN WILL
CONSOLIDATE AROUND EP96, WHICH HAS A HIGH CHANCE OF TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION. A WEAK COLD FRONT MAY MOVE THROUGH THE
NORTHERN WATERS LATE THIS WEEK, LEADING TO INCREASING NE WINDS
AND BUILDING SEAS NORTH OF 25N AND WEST OF 120W INTO THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND.
FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS, AND SEAS OF 7-8 FT, ARE FUNNELING
ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIO IS
CENTERED NEAR 24.5N118.5W. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS, AND SEAS TO 8
FT, ARE NOTED IN THE VICINITY OF THE REMNANT LOW. MODERATE TO
FRESH WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH EP96 ARE OFF THE COAST OF SW MEXICO,
WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE 7-9 FT RANGE. OTHERWISE, GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS DOMINATE THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6
FT RANGE OFF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND 6-8 FT OVER THE
REMAINDER OF OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. SEAS ARE IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE
OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, REACHING 5 FT AT THE ENTRANCE OF
THE GULF.
MODERATE GAP WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, WITH LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS ARE SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. SEAS ARE IN THE
6-8 FT RANGE IN S TO SW SWELL ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, ROUGH SEAS OVER THE REGIONAL WATERS WILL
SUBSIDE THROUGH WED, EXCEPT MAY PERSIST OFFSHORE OFFSHORE OF
COLOMBIA THROUGH COSTA RICA INTO EARLY THU. MODERATE TO FRESH NE
GAP WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH MIDWEEK.
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH S TO SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH MIDWEEK, WITH MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS ELSEWHERE
AND OTHERWISE.
MODERATE GAP WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, WITH LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS ARE SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. SEAS ARE IN THE
6-8 FT RANGE IN S TO SW SWELL ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, ROUGH SEAS OVER THE REGIONAL WATERS WILL
SUBSIDE THROUGH WED, EXCEPT MAY PERSIST OFFSHORE OFFSHORE OF
COLOMBIA THROUGH COSTA RICA INTO EARLY THU. MODERATE TO FRESH NE
GAP WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH MIDWEEK.
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH S TO SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH MIDWEEK, WITH MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS ELSEWHERE
AND OTHERWISE.
.WITHIN 04N81W TO 06N83W TO 04N86W TO 02N85W TO 02N82W TO
04N81W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - SSE 9-11, Seas SW 0-5.1 feet @ 15sec
TONITE - SSE 9-11, Seas SW 0-5.1 feet @ 15sec
THURSDAY - SE 10-12, Seas SW 0-5.1 feet @ 15sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - SE 10-12, Seas SW 0-5.1 feet @ 15sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
FRIDAY - S 7-9, Seas SSW 0-4.4 feet @ 13sec
SATURDAY - SSE 6-8, Seas SSW 0-4.3 feet @ 13sec
SUNDAY - W 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - WSW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
TUESDAY - SSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (4.4 days old)
Updated 13 Sep 2025 03:49:44 GMT (4.4 days old)
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (0.3 days old)
Updated 17 Sep 2025 06:40:20 GMT (0.3 days old)
100 miles S of Kodiak City, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/09/17/t2pznb/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
WEAK53 PAAQ 170640
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
1040 PM AKDT Tue Sep 16 2025
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 4.6
* Origin Time 2236 AKDT Sep 16 2025
2336 PDT Sep 16 2025
0636 UTC Sep 17 2025
* Coordinates 56.3 North 152.2 West
* Depth 2 miles
* Location 100 miles S of Kodiak City, Alaska
345 miles SW of Anchorage, Alaska
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$