Tehuantepec Forecast
November 11, 2025, 3:02 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Tehuantepec Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...STORM WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 13N97W TO 14N95W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO
45 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO 15N93W TO
16N96W TO 14N97W TO 10N101W TO 11N96W TO 14N94W NE WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO
14N98W TO 10N101W TO 11N95W TO 15N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5 TO 4 M IN N SWELL.
.03 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N97W TO 12N98W TO
12N96W TO 13N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 10N101W TO 10N98W TO 12N94W
TO 15N93W NE WINDS 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5.5 M. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 14N99W TO 11N101W TO 09N96W TO
12N93W TO 15N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M IN N SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO
16N95W TO 12N99W TO 10N104W TO 10N99W TO 11N97W TO 14N94W NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
16N94W TO 14N103W TO 10N107W TO 07N102W TO 06N96W TO 09N88W TO
16N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO
15N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 16N94W N
TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 10N87W TO 12N110W TO 16N122W TO 11N122W TO 08N111W TO
01N100W TO 10N87W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN N TO NE
SWELL.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 13N97W TO 14N95W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO
45 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO 15N93W TO
16N96W TO 14N97W TO 10N101W TO 11N96W TO 14N94W NE WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO
14N98W TO 10N101W TO 11N95W TO 15N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5 TO 4 M IN N SWELL.
.03 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N97W TO 12N98W TO
12N96W TO 13N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 10N101W TO 10N98W TO 12N94W
TO 15N93W NE WINDS 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5.5 M. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 14N99W TO 11N101W TO 09N96W TO
12N93W TO 15N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M IN N SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO
16N95W TO 12N99W TO 10N104W TO 10N99W TO 11N97W TO 14N94W NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
16N94W TO 14N103W TO 10N107W TO 07N102W TO 06N96W TO 09N88W TO
16N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO
15N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 16N94W N
TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 10N87W TO 12N110W TO 16N122W TO 11N122W TO 08N111W TO
01N100W TO 10N87W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN N TO NE
SWELL.
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING: COLD, DRY AIR AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE ARE POOLING ACROSS SOUTHERN MEXICO AND THE WESTERN GULF OF
AMERICA, AND ARE CURRENTLY FUNNELING INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
THIS FOLLOWS A COLD FRONT THAT NOW EXTENDS FROM THE NW ATLANTIC TO
THE NW CARIBBEAN. ALL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE INDICATING GAP WINDS
WILL INCREASE FURTHER OVERNIGHT. IT IS PLAUSIBLE THAT THE CURRENT
STRONG GALES WILL INCREASE TO MINIMAL STORM FORCE WINDS LATE THIS
EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SEAS WILL PEAK AROUND 24 FT (7 M)
TUE MORNING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY DIMINISH TUE
AFTERNOON THROUGH WED MORNING BEFORE FALLING BELOW GALE FORCE AROUND
MIDDAY WED. STRONG WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH FRI.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THE STORM WARNING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
A 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 28N122W EXTENDS
SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. GENTLE TO MODERATE
NW-N WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE NOTED OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA,
EXCEPT FOR SEAS TO 8 FT SW OF THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. MODERATE
OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS ARE EVIDENT IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. IN THE REMAINDER OF THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS,
OUTSIDE OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM WATERS,
MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, GAP WINDS ACROSS TEHUANTEPEC WILL DIMINISH
BELOW STORM FORCE EARLY TUE, BUT GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO PULSE ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC INTO THU. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL DIMINISH FURTHER THROUGH SAT. FARTHER NORTH, A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATE
THU THROUGH SAT. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG SW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE FRONT FRI. FRESH TO
STRONG NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA LATE THU THROUGH SAT.
SWELL AND MODERATE TO FRESH N WINDS GENERATED FROM THE GALE-
FORCE GAP WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ARE AFFECTING THE
WATERS OFF GUATEMALA BEYOND 90 NM. FARTHER EAST, FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG EASTERLY GAP WINDS AND SEAS TO 6 FT MAY BE ONGOING ACROSS
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, SUPPORTED BY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING NORTH
OF THE AREA. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY BREEZES AND
MODERATE SEAS IN S SWELL ARE PREVALENT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ACTIVE ALONG THE PACIFIC COASTS OF COLOMBIA,
PANAMA AND COSTA RICA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS WILL PULSE EACH NIGHT AND
MORNING THROUGH MIDWEEK ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION AS A STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS NORTH OF THE AREA. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG
N TO NE WINDS WILL BRIEFLY OCCUR ACROSS AND DOWNWIND OF THE GULF
OF FONSECA AND SOUTH OF EL SALVADOR TUE NIGHT INTO MIDDAY WED.
OFFSHORE OF GUATEMALA, EXPECT FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG N TO NE
WINDS AND VERY ROUGH SEAS TONIGHT THROUGH WED AS A SIGNIFICANT
STORM FORCE WIND EVENT OCCURS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ROUGH
SEAS WILL EXPAND SOUTHEASTWARD TO WELL OFFSHORE OF EL SALVADOR
AND GUATEMALA EARLY TUE INTO WED AND PERSIST THROUGH FRI.
A 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED IN THE NE WATERS
DOMINATES MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE TROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC,
OUTSIDE OF THE REGION DESCRIBED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION.
IN THE EASTERN WATERS, A STRONG GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC IS PRODUCING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS
NORTH OF 09N AND BETWEEN 95W AND 101W. FARTHER WEST, A SURFACE
TROUGH IS ANALYZED ALONG 118W IN THE TRADE WATERS. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH EASTERLY WINDS AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS ARE FOUND
FROM 11N TO 20N AND BETWEEN 110W AND 135W. MEANWHILE, MODERATE
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS PREVAIL SOUTH OF 07N. ELSEWHERE,
MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE PRESENT.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUE EAST OF 110W WILL BE
THE PLUME OF WINDS AND SWELL GENERATED BY THE STORM-FORCE WIND
EVENT DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, WITH FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS EAST OF 110W FROM 02N TO 14N THROUGH
MID WEEK. THE OTHER IMPACTS TO SEAS ELSEWHERE ARE DESCRIBED
ABOVE IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION. LOOKING AHEAD, A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WATERS NORTH OF 15N LATER IN THE WEEK.
STRONG WINDS AND AND ROUGH SEAS WILL FOLLOW THIS FRONT.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 30-38, Seas SW 4.6-5.6 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - N 21-26, Seas SW 3.9-4.9 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - N 21-26, Seas SW 3.9-4.9 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - N 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
THURSDAY - N 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 20-25, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - S 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - SSE 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?