Tehuantepec Forecast
February 17, 2026, 3:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Tehuantepec Forecast
Questions/Comments visit https://svsarana.com
This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
.WITHIN 16N94.5W TO 16.5N94.5W TO 16N95.5W TO 15N95.5W TO 14N95W
TO 14.5N94.5W TO 16N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...
NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
A COLD FRONT STRETCHES FROM THE FAR NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
NEAR 27.5N115W TO OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT 15N125W. FRESH TO NEAR
GALE-FORCE SW WINDS ARE IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD
OF THE FRONT, WITH FRESH TO STRONG WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT
OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE N OF 27N. A GALE WARNING IS IN
PLACE JUST N OF 30N IN THE SAN DIEGO COASTAL WATERS FOR EARLY
TODAY AND AGAIN TONIGHT. BUILDING SEAS IN ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH NW
SWELL ARE ARRIVING BEHIND THE FRONT. FRESH TO STRONG N GAP WINDS
ARE IN THE IMMEDIATE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC PER RECENT ASCAT
SCATTEROMETER DATA. WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE WATERS WITH MODERATE SEAS, EXCEPT LOCALLY FRESH
WINDS NEAR CABO CORRIENTES, AND SLIGHT SEAS IN THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE COLD FRONT FROM THE FAR NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA TO OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE
THROUGH TONIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG S TO SW WINDS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT AND IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA WILL PERSIST THROUGH
ABOUT MIDDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA WATERS
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THROUGH FRI, PRODUCING FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS NEARSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA TO NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES WED THROUGH THU NIGHT. STRONG TO NEAR GALE-FORCE W TO
SW WINDS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA EARLY WED THROUGH WED EVENING, THEN AGAIN THU NIGHT
INTO EARLY FRI DUE TO LOCALIZED TROUGHING. NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS THE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH WED, THEN
BECOME REINFORCED WED NIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK,
DECAYING DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THIS MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING, THEN BECOME ONSHORE WED THROUGH SAT. LOOKING AHEAD,
LONG RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST A
STRONG GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC LATE IN THE UPCOMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK,
ALTHOUGH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS BEING SO FAR OUT IN TIME. PLEASE STAY
TUNED AS WE GET CLOSER TO THIS NEXT POTENTIAL EVENT.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 12-15, Seas SSW 2.9-3.9 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.1-2.8 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.1-2.8 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - W 3-4, Seas SSW 1-3 ft @ 12sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
THURSDAY - W 3-4, Seas SSW 1-3 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - NNW 38-47, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - N 36-45, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?