Tehuantepec Forecast

October 16, 2025, 9:24 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Tehuantepec Forecast

Questions/Comments visit https://svsarana.com

This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO 15N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO (INVEST EP91): A BROAD 1007 MB AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE IS NEAR 12N97W. DISORGANIZED NUMEROUS MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS TO ITS NORTH FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 95.5W
AND 98W. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 KT ARE TO ITS NORTH TO
NEAR 14N, THEN FRESH TO STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE NORTH
OF 14N ASSOCIATED WITH AN ONGOING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND
EVENT. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS OR OVER THE WEEKEND. THE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR
NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND THROUGH THE NEXT
7 DAYS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.

BROAD HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING ACROSS THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF
A RECENTLY DISSIPATED COLD FRONT. NORTHWEST SWELL IS PRODUCING
SEAS OF 6 TO 9 FT OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. SEAS ARE 5 TO 7
FT ELSEWHERE WEST OF 108W. FRESH TO STRONG NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS ARE IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AS WELL AS DOWNWIND FROM THE
GULF TO NEAR 14N ALONG WITH SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FT. MOSTLY LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS AND SEAS OF 4 TO 6 FT ARE ELSEWHERE, WITH SEAS OF 1
TO 3 FT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA NORTH OF ITS ENTRANCE.
FOR THE FORECAST, NORTHWEST SWELL MOVING THROUGH THE WATERS W OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THIS MORNING. FRESH TO
STRONG, NORTHERLY GAP WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WILL
DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE, A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE,
INVEST EP91, IS OFFSHORE SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 12N97W. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS OR OVER THE WEEKEND. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. REGARDLESS
OF DEVELOPMENT, EXPECT THE POTENTIAL FOR INCREASING WINDS AND
BUILDING SEAS.

SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet