Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
October 7, 2026, 2:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.9N 121.8W 979 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 07
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 210 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 10 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N119W TO 24N122W TO
24N123W TO 20N124W TO 18N121W TO 21N118W TO 23N119W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 6.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 26N118W TO
27N129W TO 18N129W TO 14N124W TO 15N116W TO 18N115W TO 26N118W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.9 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 21.9N 123.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE
QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 25N122W TO 26N125W TO 23N127W TO 21N126W TO 20N123W TO
21N121W TO 25N122W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 6.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 24N119W TO 28N124W TO 28N130W TO 22N132W
TO 17N127W TO 17N121W TO 24N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 22.7N 124.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM IN NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM
IN SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N123W TO
26N125W TO 26N130W TO 22N129W TO 20N126W TO 21N124W TO 24N123W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
25N122W TO 30N126W TO 30N133W TO 24N135W TO 20N132W TO 18N123W TO
25N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E NEAR 14.1N 100.9W 1006 MB AT 1500
UTC OCT 07 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 16N98W TO 16N101W TO 16N102W TO
14N102W TO 14N99W TO 15N98W TO 16N98W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-E NEAR 14.6N 102.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-E NEAR 15.0N 103.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 17N100W TO 18N103W TO 17N104W TO 14N105W TO 13N104W TO
14N102W TO 17N100W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWENTY-E NEAR 15.8N 104.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 5.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N101W TO 19N104W TO
17N109W TO 12N108W TO 10N105W TO 12N100W TO 17N101W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
ASIDE FROM THE NEWLY FORMED TWENTY-E, THE OFFSHORE ZONES WEST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR ARE STILL BEING IMPACTED BY LARGE SW SWELL
PRODUCED BY HURRICANE RACHEL. THE REMAINDER OF FORECAST WATERS
HAS WINDS MODERATE OR WEAKER WITH SEAS 4-7 FT OVER THE PACIFIC
WATERS AND 1-2 FT OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, HURRICANE RACHEL WILL MOVE TO 21.3N 122.6W
THIS EVENING, WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 21.9N 123.8W THU
MORNING, 22.3N 124.8W THU EVENING, 22.7N 124.9W FRI MORNING,
23.5N 123.7W FRI EVENING, AND 25.2N 121.5W SAT MORNING. RACHEL
SHOULD REACH THE OFFSHORE ZONES OFF OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE ON
SAT AND BECOME POST-TROPICAL. FINALLY, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
MOVE ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE JUST SOUTH OF THE CALIFORNIA-
MEXICO BORDER NEAR 31.0N 116.8W EARLY SUN. TWENTY-E WILL
STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 14.6N 102.0W THIS EVENING,
MOVE TO 15.0N 103.3W THU MORNING, 15.3N 104.3W THU EVENING,
STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE NEAR 15.8N 104.9W FRI MORNING, 16.4N
105.2W FRI EVENING, AND 17.2N 105.2W SAT MORNING. TWENTY-E WILL
CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO 19.7N 105.4W EARLY SUN
AS IT APPROACHES CABO CORRIENTES. THE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY BE
TRAVERSING THE OFFSHORE ZONES OFF OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FOR THE NEXT
FIVE DAYS.
FOR THE FORECAST, HURRICANE RACHEL WILL MOVE TO 21.3N 122.6W
THIS EVENING, WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 21.9N 123.8W THU
MORNING, 22.3N 124.8W THU EVENING, 22.7N 124.9W FRI MORNING,
23.5N 123.7W FRI EVENING, AND 25.2N 121.5W SAT MORNING. RACHEL
SHOULD REACH THE OFFSHORE ZONES OFF OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE ON
SAT AND BECOME POST-TROPICAL. FINALLY, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
MOVE ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE JUST SOUTH OF THE CALIFORNIA-
MEXICO BORDER NEAR 31.0N 116.8W EARLY SUN. ADDITIONALLY, THE
LARGE SW SWELL WILL CONTINUE NEAR OUR SOUTHERN BORDER FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 6-7, Seas SW 1.2-4.4 ft @ 11sec
TONITE - WNW 6-7, Seas SW 1.4-4.6 ft @ 11sec
THURSDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SW 1.4-4.3 ft @ 11sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - WNW 6-7, Seas SSW 1.4-4.2 ft @ 20sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
FRIDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas SSW 1.4-4.2 ft @ 20sec
SATURDAY - SW 6-8, Seas SSW 0-5 ft @ 17sec
SUNDAY - WSW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-5.3 ft @ 17sec
MONDAY - NNW 19-24, Seas SSE 0-12.1 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - WSW 9-11, Seas SW 23.1-23.1 ft @ 12sec