Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
July 23, 2026, 3:01 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 17.5N 123.0W 982 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 23
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE
QUADRANT...170 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE...180
NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N120W TO 22N123W TO 20N127W TO 17N127W TO
15N121W TO 17N119W TO 19N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 6.5
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 24N120W TO 25N125W TO 18N130W TO
12N124W TO 12N120W TO 18N116W TO 24N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 18.0N 127.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 130 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
270 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 11.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N125W
TO 24N129W TO 22N133W TO 17N132W TO 15N126W TO 18N124W TO 21N125W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
20N120W TO 25N122W TO 27N127W TO 23N135W TO 17N134W TO 12N124W TO
20N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 18.6N 132.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 210 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 11.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N128W TO
24N131W TO 24N136W TO 20N139W TO 16N134W TO 18N129W TO 21N128W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
27N130W TO 25N140W TO 14N140W TO 11N136W TO 13N128W TO 19N125W TO
27N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, AS HURRICANE FAUSTO CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD
AND AWAY FROM THE OFFSHORE WATERS, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS THROUGH THU NIGHT.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND A MEANDERING TROUGH
OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
AND BUILDING SEAS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA THROUGH THU NIGHT INTO FRI
MORNING. SWELLS GENERATED BY FAUSTO WILL PERSIST THROUGH THU
BEFORE FADING. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM
YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, MAINLY
GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED, INCREASING TO
FRESH SPEEDS FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT. FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS
ARE FORECAST IN THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND
EARLY MORNING HOURS THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURE SECTION FOR DETAILS ON THE
NEXT TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP WELL OFFSHORE OF MEXICO
OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
HURRICANE FAUSTO IS CENTERED NEAR 17.5N 123.0W AT 23/0300 UTC,
MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 85 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 30 FT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
NOTED ELSEWHERE FROM 13.5N TO 21N BETWEEN 116.5W AND 124W. FAUSTO
IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER OPEN WATERS, WITH A CONTINUED
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, ALONG WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
BEGINNING LATER TONIGHT OR THU. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY SLOW WEAKENING
ON FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. SWELLS GENERATED BY FAUSTO ARE
AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND ARE SPREADING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR DETAILS ON HURRICANE
FAUSTO, CENTERED ABOUT 800 NM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. FAUSTO CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AND AWAY FROM THE
REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS, ALLOWING HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD IN ACROSS
THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND TO THE REVILLAGIGEDOS.
THIS PATTERN IS PRODUCING LEAVING GENTLE TO MODERATE NW TO N
WINDS AND SEAS OF 6 TO 7 FT IN W SWELL ACROSS THOSE AREA WATERS.
A RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD BETWEEN HURRICANE FAUSTO AND THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. LATE AFTERNOON SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER
DATA INDICATED FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NW WINDS NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA, AND MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NW TO N WINDS BETWEEN
PUNTA EUGENIA AND CABO SAN LUCAS. S TO SW SWELL GENERATING BY
FAUSTO IS SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA, AND MIXING WITH THE BUILDING
NORTHERLY WIND WAVES TO PRODUCE SEAS 6 TO 8 FT ACROSS THE BAJA
WATERS, HIGHEST N OF PUNTA EUGENIA. GENTLE TO MODERATE NW TO W
WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, EXCEPT FOR FRESH TO STRONG N GAP WINDS
ACROSS THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION AND DOWNWIND TO ABOUT 15N.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR DETAILS ON
HURRICANE FAUSTO, CENTERED ABOUT 800 NM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
HURRICANE FAUSTO DOMINATES CONDITIONS OVER THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
WATERS ROUGHLY FROM 12N TO 23N BETWEEN 118W AND 127W. FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS OUTSIDE OF THE IMMEDIATE CIRCULATION OF FAUSTO
EXTEND NORTHWARD TO 23N, WITH SEAS TO 8 FT REACHING AS FAR N OF
FAUSTO AS 26N. ELSEWHERE, A RIDGE DOMINATES THE WATERS BETWEEN
BAJA CALIFORNIA AND FAUSTO, AND ALSO N OF 15N W OF 125W. MODERATE
OR WEAKER WINDS WITH MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS PREVAIL.
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - W 13-16, Seas SSW 2.3-5.3 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - W 13-16, Seas SSW 2.3-5.3 ft @ 13sec
FRIDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SATURDAY - SSE 14-17, Seas SSW 2.6-4.9 ft @ 21sec
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - SSW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - SE 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?