Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast

July 20, 2026, 3:01 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO NEAR 12.6N 114.7W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
20 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NE
QUADRANT...20 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N110W TO 16N114W TO 14N116W TO 09N114W
TO 09N112W TO 11N109W TO 17N110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N107W TO 18N113W TO 15N116W TO
12N116W TO 09N115W TO 10N108W TO 16N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 14.5N 117.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...130 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
240 NM E SEMICIRCLE...AND WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS
TO 7.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N113W TO 20N117W TO 16N119W TO
10N118W TO 09N115W TO 12N112W TO 19N113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N109W TO 20N112W TO
20N119W TO 12N121W TO 09N119W TO 07N114W TO 16N109W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 16.3N 120.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...120 NM NW QUADRANT AND 100 NM
SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 9.0 ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N114W TO 22N120W TO 16N124W TO
11N123W TO 10N118W TO 12N115W TO 18N114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N113W TO 24N118W TO
22N123W TO 11N124W TO 09N117W TO 12N113W TO 21N113W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 24.1N 126.8W 996 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
20 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT.SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...300
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 29N123W TO 28N131W TO 23N134W TO 19N131W TO
19N125W TO 23N121W TO 29N123W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 22N119W TO 30N122W TO 30N130W TO
24N139W TO 16N138W TO 12N126W TO 22N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 28.7N 127.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 210 NM SW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N124W TO 30N132W
TO 27N132W TO 25N130W TO 26N125W TO 30N124W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 30N122W TO 25N129W TO
30N135W TO 22N139W TO 15N137W TO 16N127W TO 30N122W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA N OF AREA NEAR
31.6N 127.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 34.2N
127.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST
WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

OTHERWISE, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE
IMMEDIATE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS, WITH LOCALLY MODERATE TO
FRESH E TO SE WINDS SOUTH OF 20N AND WEST OF 110W NEAR THE
REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS ON THE OUTER PERIPHERY OF FAUSTO. SEAS ARE
SLIGHT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, HIGHER NEAR THE ENTRANCE, AND
MODERATE ELSEWHERE, EXCEPT ROUGH NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS
DUE TO FAUSTO JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA.
FOR THE FORECAST, TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WILL MOVE TO 13.3N
116.1W MON MORNING, STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE NEAR 14.5N 117.7W
MON EVENING, 15.6N 119.4W TUE MORNING, 16.3N 120.8W TUE EVENING,
16.7N 122.3W WED MORNING, AND 17.1N 124.0W WED EVENING. FAUSTO
WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO 17.7N 128.8W LATE
THU. MEANWHILE, TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
WATERS WILL MOVE TO 26.0N 127.3W MON MORNING, 28.7N 127.6W MON
EVENING, WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW NORTH OF THE AREA NEAR 31.6N
127.7W TUE MORNING, 34.2N 127.6W TUE EVENING, 35.6N 127.4W WED
MORNING, AND DISSIPATE WED EVENING. FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AT TIMES THROUGH THE
WEEK WITH LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS. MODERATE TO FRESH SE WINDS WILL
PULSE IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA THROUGH MON.
WINDS MAY FRESHEN OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE BY THE END OF THE
WEEK.
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA: TROPICAL STORM ELIDA IS CENTERED NEAR
24.1N 126.8W AT 20/0300 UTC, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 10 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE CURRENTLY
AROUND 21 FT OR 6.5 M. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS BETWEEN
75 NM AND 240 NM IN THE NE QUADRANT, AND ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 150
NM AND 660 NM IN THE N QUADRANT. ELIDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER
SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MON. THE SYSTEM IS THEN
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTHWARD BUT GRADUALLY SLOW DOWN OVER THE
FOLLOWING DAY OR TWO. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED. ELIDA IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATE MON OR EARLY TUE. SWELLS
GENERATED BY ELIDA WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LIFE-
THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. PLEASE READ THE LATEST
HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
WEBSITE - HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND THE
LATEST ELIDA NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY AND PUBLIC ADVISORY AT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.

PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR DETAILS ON
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO, CENTERED ABOUT 678 NAUTICAL MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, AND ON TROPICAL
STORM ELIDA, CENTERED ABOUT 934 NAUTICAL MILES WEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - WSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - SSW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?