Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast



July 10, 2026, 9:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.

.WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 30N115W TO 29N113W TO 29N112W TO
31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA... SE TO S WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.


HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA,
WITH A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THESE FEATURES IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG
WINDS OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL WAVE PASSING SOUTH
OF SOUTHERN MEXICO IS HELPING TO INDUCE FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. MODERATE WINDS ARE NOTED OFF CABO
CORRIENTES. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE
MODERATE OR LESS ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS, REACHING LOCALLY
ROUGH IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA OFFSHORES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
ALONG WITH SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS IN MIXED SWELL. FRESH TO
STRONG SE WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WILL DIMINISH TO
GENTLE TO MODERATE SPEEDS BY LATE SAT. PULSES OF FRESH TO STRONG
NORTHERLY GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WILL REACH
NEAR GALE- FORCE SPEED MON NIGHT, WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK. OTHERWISE, AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS
LIKELY TO FORM NEXT WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD. REGARDLESS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION, THE
LOWERING PRESSURE MAY INDUCE AT LEAST FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF SW MEXICO
STARTING SUN NIGHT.

FOR THE FORECAST, AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM
LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT THEREAFTER,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM NEXT WEEK WHILE THE
SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST- NORTHWESTWARD. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT, THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS
TO THE SW MEXICAN OFFSHORE IMMEDIATE OPEN WATERS SUN THROUGH
MIDWEEK. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK WHILE IT MOVES
SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD.

SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - W 7-9, Seas SSW 1.3-4.4 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - SW 5-6, Seas SSW --? ft @ 15sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - WSW 3-4, Seas SW 0.7-3.5 ft @ 17sec
THURSDAY - WSW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet