Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast



September 12, 2026, 8:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 17.6N 129.6W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 12
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS
55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...20 NM
SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...45 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 21N BETWEEN 126W
AND 131W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M FROM 14N TO 23N
BETWEEN 125W AND 133W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 18.5N 133.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M.
ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 130W AND 134W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M FROM 15N TO 24N BETWEEN 128W AND 136W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 19.1N 138.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN
133W AND 139W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M FROM 17N TO 25N
BETWEEN 132W AND 140W.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW PRESSURE NEAR 17N114W 1006 MB. WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRESSURE...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
17N116W 1005 MB. WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRESSURE...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
17N119W 1004 MB. WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT OF
CENTER WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM
N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.

RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS INDICATES FRESH TO STRONG
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM ON THE E SEMICIRCLE OF INVEST EP97, THAT IS A
1008 MB LOW PRESSURE, LOCATED SOUTH OF CLARION ISLAND NEAR
17N114W. MODERATE TO LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS.
SCATTEROMETER DATA ALSO SHOW MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NW WINDS
OFF THE COAST OF SW MEXICO. SIMILAR WINDS SPEEDS ARE ALSO NOTED
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS DOMINATE THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, AWAY FROM THE IMPACTS OF T.S. NORBERT AND
INVEST EP97, A RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA, BRINGING MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NW TO N WINDS
SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. EXPECT FRESH WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA EARLY NEXT WEEK DUE TO THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE OVER THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY. LOOKING AHEAD, FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE GAP WINDS WILL
PULSE AGAIN IN THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK,
BUILDING SEAS TO 8 OR 9 FT.

AWAY FROM THE IMPACTS OF T.S. NORBERT, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH
SE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ARE FOUND SOUTH OF 04N AND WEST OF THE
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS TO ABOUT 135W. A 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED
N OF AREA NEAR 34N133W DOMINATES THE WATERS NORTH OF 20N. UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF THIS SYSTEM, AND AWAY FROM NORBERT, MAINLY
MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS NORTH OF 20N AND EAST OF 116W TO BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 7-9, Seas SSW 1-3.1 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - W 5-6, Seas SW 0-3 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - W 5-6, Seas SW 0-3 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - WSW 5-6, Seas SW 0-3.1 ft @ 19sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - S 8-10, Seas SSW 0-3.2 ft @ 19sec
TUESDAY - S 6-7, Seas SSW 0-4.2 ft @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY - S 6-8, Seas SSW 0-4.2 ft @ 17sec
THURSDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.2-3.5 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.6-3.7 ft @ 14sec