Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
October 22, 2026, 8:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 10.0N 101.5W 994 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT
22 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 7.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N99W TO
13N101W TO 11N104W TO 08N103W TO 08N102W TO 08N100W TO 11N99W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN
11N96W TO 15N101W TO 11N106W TO 06N105W TO 05N99W TO 11N96W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 10.3N 101.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 10.9N 102.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 10.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N100W
TO 15N103W TO 13N106W TO 11N106W TO 08N103W TO 10N99W TO 14N100W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN
12N97W TO 16N100W TO 16N106W TO 09N109W TO 05N105W TO 04N101W TO
12N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 12.6N 103.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 11.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N99W TO 20N105W TO
14N113W TO 04N107W TO 04N101W TO 11N98W TO 17N99W WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 14N99W TO 16N104W
TO 12N107W TO 10N105W TO 10N101W TO 12N99W TO 14N99W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N97W TO 15N98W TO 13N98W TO 12N95W TO 13N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... NE TO E WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NE SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT WINDS TO GALE FORCE.
.18 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT WINDS TO GALE FORCE.
.42 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND T.S. VANCE, LIGHT TO
GENTLE BREEZES AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL, EXCEPT FOR SLIGHT SEAS
IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
ELSEWHERE, A WEAKENING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA
NORTE TO 18N125W. MODERATE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS, WITH MAXIMUM
WAVE HEIGHTS TO 9 FT, FOLLOW THE FRONT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS IN A MIX OF SWELL ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE.
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
DATA NOTE - Using cached forecast from 6 hours ago.
TODAY - NW 6-7, Seas SSW 0-3.9 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - NW 5-6, Seas SSW 1-4 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SSW 0-3.9 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NW 5-6, Seas SSW 1.2-3.4 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SATURDAY - NW 5-6, Seas SSW 1.2-3.4 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSE 0-6.7 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSE 2.2-7.2 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SSE 1.8-6.5 ft @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 3-4, Seas SSE 0-8.3 ft @ 13sec