Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast

October 1, 2026, 8:00 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.4N 109.3W 972 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 01
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...330 NM SE QUADRANT AND
180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 11.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N104W
TO 22N108W TO 21N111W TO 20N112W TO 15N109W TO 16N105W TO 19N104W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 8.0 M IN NW SWELL. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 21N106W TO 25N108W TO 25N116W TO 17N119W TO 14N110W
TO 20N112W TO 21N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL. WITHIN 16N98W TO 18N103W TO 10N115W TO 07N114W TO
08N105W TO 12N99W TO 16N98W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M IN W TO NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.8N 110.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 11.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N106W TO 22N112W TO 18N113W
TO 16N112W TO 15N108W TO 17N106W TO 21N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 4.0 TO 8.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N106W TO 28N119W TO
18N119W TO 13N124W TO 11N116W TO 20N113W TO 21N106W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. WITHIN 16N99W TO
19N104W TO 15N108W TO 10N116W TO 07N107W TO 10N101W TO
16N99W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.2N 112.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 390
NM SE AND 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 12.0 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 22N108W TO 23N112W TO 22N114W TO 19N115W TO 16N113W TO
16N108W TO 22N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 8.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 28N115W TO 25N120W TO 13N119W TO 08N113W
TO 08N108W TO 14N98W TO 28N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.

RACHEL IS IMPACTING THE AREA BETWEEN CABO CORRIENTES, SOCORRO
ISLAND, SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA. FRESH TO STRONG SW TO W WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ALSO
PERSIST OFF SOUTHERN MEXICO, IMPACTING THE COAST FROM COLIMA TO
OAXACA. LARGE SWELL FROM RACHEL IS IMPACTING THE WATERS OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE,
MODERATE NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ARE OFFSHORE THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO. LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
HURRICANE RACHEL IS CENTERED NEAR 19.4N 109.3W AT 01/0900 UTC,
MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 972 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 80 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 105 KT. SEAS OF 12 FT OR MORE ARE ESTIMATED WITHIN 210
NM N SEMICIRCLE...330 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 36 FT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF RACHEL WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM MAINLAND MEXICO AND PASS SOUTH OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TODAY. SWELLS GENERATED BY RACHEL WILL
AFFECT THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AND SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST OF WEST-CENTRAL
MEXICO AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS.

SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - SE 19-24, Seas S 0-9.6 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - SE 14-17, Seas S 0-9.8 ft @ 13sec
FRIDAY - SE 16-20, Seas S 0-9.8 ft @ 13sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - SE 12-15, Seas S 0-9.8 ft @ 13sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SATURDAY - SE 12-15, Seas S 0-9.8 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - SE 10-12, Seas S 0-9.8 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - NW 7-9, Seas S 0-9.8 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - NW 10-12, Seas S 0-9.8 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SW 0.9-5.3 ft @ 11sec