Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
May 16, 2026, 3:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 31N115W TO 30N114W 30N113W TO
31N113W...INCLUDING NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA....S TO SW WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N114W TO 31N115W TO
30N114W TO 29N113W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA... S TO SW WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, THE GRADIENT THERE IS MAINTAINING
MODERATE WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS, EXCEPT FOR MODERATE TO FRESH
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF.
SEAS ARE 3 TO 4 FT IN THE GULF AS NOTED IN AN OVERNIGHT ALTIMETER
SATELLITE DATA PASS, EXCEPT FOR HIGHER SEAS OF 4 TO 6 FT IN
LONG-PERIOD SOUTHWEST SWELL AT THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST GAP WINDS
IN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ARE EXPECTED
TO PULSE TO FRESH TO STRONG SPEEDS TONIGHT AND SUN NIGHT, WITH
WINDS REACHING NEAR GALE-FORCE SUN NIGHT. MOSTLY FRESH NORTHWEST
WINDS OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MON MORNING, EXCEPT INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG SPEEDS
WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE TONIGHT INTO SUN DUE TO A
TIGHTENING OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE NORTH
OF THE AREA SHIFTS EASTWARD. LARGE NORTHWEST SWELL WILL INDUCE
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE THROUGH
MON NIGHT, AND ROUGH SEAS OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SAT
THROUGH TUE.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED
TO THE THERMAL TROUGH OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA IS GENERALLY SUSTAINING
MOSTLY FRESH NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. A SET OF LARGE NORTHWEST SWELL HAS RECENTLY STARTING
TO CROSS 30N BETWEEN 117W AND 125W. SEAS ARE 8 TO 12 FT NORTH OF
PUNTA EUGENIA, AND 5 TO 7 FT FROM PUNTA EUGENIA TO CABO SAN LAZARO.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AFOREMENTIONED STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SHIFT SLIGHTLY EASTWARD THROUGH MON LATE SAT LEADING TO A TIGHTENING
OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE WATERS NORTH OF 27N BETWEEN
120W AND 130W. THIS WILL BRING FRESH TO STRONG NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS FOR THIS AREA DURING THE WEEKEND. ASSOCIATED LONG-PERIOD,
LARGE NORTH SWELL IS FORECAST TO RAISE SEAS OVER THE WATERS
WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE TO NEAR 130W TO THE RANGE OF
11 TO 17 FT SUN AND SUN NIGHT, AND FROM 9 TO 14 FT FROM PUNTA
EUGENIA TO CABO SAN LAZARO. A TROUGH, WITH POSSIBLE WEAK LOW
PRESSURE ALONG IT, SHOULD DEVELOP OFFSHORE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
AND EXTREME NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA EARLY NEXT WEEK BREAKING
DOWN THE DESCRIBED TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT, THUS ALLOWING FOR
THE FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE AREA TO
DROP-OFF QUITE SIGNIFICANTLY. THE SWELL WILL GRADUALLY DECAY GOING
INTO THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK, WITH SEAS LOWERING TO JUST
BELOW 8 FT.
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - W 8-10, Seas SSW 1.8-4.2 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 2-2, Seas SSW --? ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - SSW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.6-4.6 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - SW 10-13, Seas SSW 3-4.8 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - SW 10-13, Seas SSW 3-4.8 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.7-3.9 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - WNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.3-4.1 ft @ 15sec
THURSDAY - W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - WSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?