Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
May 17, 2026, 3:00 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNING.
...GALE WARNING...
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30.5N113.5W TO 31N114W TO 30.5N114.5W
TO 30N114.5W TO 30N114W TO 30.5N113.5W...INCLUDING N GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...SW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 31N113W TO 31N114W TO 30N114W TO 30N115W TO 29N113W TO
30N113W TO 31N113W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 31N114W TO 31N115W TO
30N115W TO 29N113W TO 30N113W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING N GULF OF
CALIFORNIA... S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30.5N113.5W TO 31N114W TO 30.5N114.5W
TO 30N114.5W TO 30N114W TO 30.5N113.5W...INCLUDING N GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...SW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 31N113W TO 31N114W TO 30N114W TO 30N115W TO 29N113W TO
30N113W TO 31N113W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 31N114W TO 31N115W TO
30N115W TO 29N113W TO 30N113W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING N GULF OF
CALIFORNIA... S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA GALE WARNING:
FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG S TO SW GAP WINDS AT THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TO BETWEEN NEAR-GALE AND GALE-
FORCE THIS EVENING THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
BUILD TO AROUND 9 FT UNDER THESE WINDS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
MON MORNING WITH MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS BY MON AFTERNOON.
PLEASE READ THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE REGARDING A
BRIEF EPISODE OF GALE WINDS IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
TONIGHT, AND FOR DETAILS ON A LATE-SEASON SIGNIFICANT SWELL
EVENT FOR WATERS WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE.
ASIDE FROM THE EXPECTED GALE CONDITIONS IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AND THE SIGNIFICANT SWELL FOR WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA, THE SAME TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURE IN
BAJA CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATED TO A THERMAL TROUGH WILL LEAD TO
FRESH TO STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS WEST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING, AND
MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHWEST WINDS WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
ALSO THROUGH TONIGHT. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO AROUND 16 FT
OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA SUN AND SUN NIGHT
AND TO AROUND 13 FT SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA THROUGH EARLY ON MON
AS A SET OF LONG-PERIOD NORTHWEST TO NORTH SWELL MOVES THROUGH
THOSE WATERS AS DESCRIBED ABOVE UNDER SPECIAL FEATURES. MODERATE
TO FRESH SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, WHILE LIGHT TO GENTLE VARIABLE WINDS ARE OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION. SEAS ARE 2 TO 4 FT OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION AND
3 TO 5 FT OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ALONG
WITH SEAS OF ABOUT 3 TO 5 FT IN LONG-PERIOD SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
SWELL ARE OVER THE REST OF THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, AFTER THE GAP WIND AND SIGNIFICANT SWELL
EVENTS, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD RETURN TO THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA BY MON AFTERNOON, AND WATERS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA BY TUE AFTERNOON. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS WILL DOMINATE THE REST OFFSHORE WATERS THROUGH
MIDWEEK.
SIGNIFICANT SWELL EVENT WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE:
VERY LARGE, LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL IS CAUSING VERY ROUGH SEAS OF 12
TO 16 FT, NORTH OF 27N BETWEEN 117W AND 127W, INCLUDING WATERS
NEAR GUADALUPE ISLAND. THIS SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THIS EVENING, CAUSING VERY ROUGH SEAS TO REACH
NEAR 26N LATE TONIGHT. AS THE NW SWELL GRADUALLY DECAY AND
RETREAT NORTHWARD MON THROUGH MON NIGHT, SEAS SHOULD SUBSIDE
BELOW 12 FT LATE MON NIGHT.
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - SW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.7-4.7 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - SW 9-11, Seas SSW 3-4.8 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY - SSW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.5-4.4 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - SSW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.2-4.5 ft @ 16sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
TUESDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.3-3.9 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.3-4 ft @ 20sec
THURSDAY - WSW 5-6, Seas SSW 1.5-3.8 ft @ 19sec
FRIDAY - SSW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - W 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?