Sea of Cortez Forecast



November 14, 2025, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.

MODERATELY STRONG 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL MEXICO IS
SUPPORTING STRONG TO NEAR-GALE N TO NE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. FRESH NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS REACH UP TO 300 NM
FROM THE COAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. FARTHER NORTH, THE
COLD FRONT MENTIONED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION IS
APPROACHING GUADALUPE ISLAND, FOLLOWED BY LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL TO
8 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE, WITH 4 TO 6 FT
SEAS OFF MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS AND 1 TO 3 FT IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL
PERSIST IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM UNTIL SAT
WHILE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD.
FARTHER NORTH, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY THROUGH SAT, BRINGING FRESH TO
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND SEAS TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL TO THE WATERS
OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE TODAY AND SAT. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG
SW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE
FRONT SAT INTO EARLY SUN. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING FRONTAL BOUNDARY: A COLD FRONT EXTENDS
FROM 30N119W TO 20N125W, AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTED AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY. THE FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATERS OF THE DISCUSSION
AREA NORTH OF 20N INTO SAT. RECENT DATA FROM ALTIMETER SATELLITE
PASSES AND SOFAR DRIFTING BUOYS INDICATE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH
COMBINED SEAS UP TO 15 FT FOLLOW THE FRONT, AND ACROSS THE AREA
WEST OF A LINE FROM ROUGHLY GUADALUPE ISLAND TO 18N140W. RECENT
SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASSES ALSO CONFIRMED MODERATE TO FRESH
WINDS AS WELL BEHIND THE FRONT. THE ROUGH SEAS WILL REACH SOUTH
TO 10N AND THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATE TODAY INTO
SAT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH SUN.
FOR THE FORECAST, OUTSIDE OF THE AREA IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION, FRESH SW WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BETWEEN 90W AND 100W, SUPPORTING SEAS TO 8
FT. LOOKING AHEAD, THE LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS IT MOVES INTO THE TROPICAL PACIFIC AND MIXES
WITH SHORTER- PERIOD WIND WAVES GENERATED BY MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WINDS. ANOTHER FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE WATERS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT WEEK, FOLLOWED BY LARGE NW SWELL
NORTH OF 28N AND EAST OF 130W.

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - N 10-12, Seas WNW 1.7-2.6 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - NW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - N 8-10, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
MONDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern Half W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WSW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern Half NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WSW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet