Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
September 25, 2026, 2:00 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE POLO NEAR 17.1N 106.5W 935 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 25
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT
GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 110 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE
AND SW QUADRANTS...210 NM NW QUADRANT AND 240 NM SE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 12.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N103W TO 19N104W TO 18N108W
TO 15N107W TO 14N106W TO 15N1045 TO 17N103W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5.5 M. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 15N99W TO 19N105W TO 20N06W TO 21N108W TO 17N111W TO
09N108W TO 15N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 17.5N 110.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
240 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N107W
TO 20N109W TO 18N112W TO 15N113W TO 14N112W TO 15N108W TO
18N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3.5 TO 6 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N103W TO 23N110W TO
24N113W TO 16N115W TO 10N110W TO 10N104W TO 17N103W...INCLUDING
WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 OUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 19.2N 112.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM ALL QUADRANTS EXCEPT
210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 12 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N110W TO
21N112W TO 20N115W TO 18N115W TO 15N115W TO 14N114W TO 18N110W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
21N107W TO 26N115W TO 22N117W TO 10N117W TO 10N108W TO 13N105W TO
21N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES AND WITHIN 60 NM OF
SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ODALYS NEAR 17.1N 124.2W 966 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 25
MOVING ENE OR 060 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...210 NM NE QUADRANT
AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 11 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
16N122W TO 20N126W TO 18N129W TO 13N126W TO 09N126W TO 12N123W TO
16N122W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 18N120W TO 23N128W TO 17N135W TO 10N132W TO 10N123W TO
13N120W TO 18N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ODALYS NEAR 18.5N 123.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE AND SW
QUADRANTS...AND 240 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 9.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N121W TO 22N125W TO 20N128W TO 17N126W TO
15N123W TO 17N121W TO 20N121W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M.
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 25N118W TO 22N132W TO 10N131W TO
16N126W TO 10N126W TO 12N115W TO 25N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ODALYS NEAR 20.9N 122.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 7.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N121W TO 24N125W TO
20N127W TO 18N125W TO 19N123W TO 20N121W TO 22N121W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 27N117W TO
23N126W TO 30N130W TO 16N132W TO 10N126W TO 10N117W TO 27N117W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
AWAY FROM POLO, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS DOMINATE, SEAS ARE 1 TO 3
FT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND 4 TO 7 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE WATERS AWAY FROM POLO.
MAJOR HURRICANE POLO IS CENTERED NEAR 17.1N 106.5W, OR ABOUT
170 NM SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO AT 25/0300 UTC, MOVING
MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
935 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO
160 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE CURRENTLY AROUND 41 FT (12.5 M). POLO
CONTINUES TO DEPICT AN IMPRESSIVE PRESENTATION ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY, WITH AN EYE DIAMETER OF 20 NM. THE IMAGERY SHOWS
NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER, EXCEPT
WITHIN 180 NM IN THE SW QUADRANT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS DENOTED A WIDE BAND WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM
21N105W TO 20N108W AND TO 17N109W. POLO IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN
ITS PRESENT MOTION THROUGH FRI, FOLLOWED BY A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION ON SAT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CORE
OF POLO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO OVERNIGHT. POLO IS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT, AND POLO COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE AGAIN ON
FRI. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR STARTING FRI NIGHT
AND ON SAT. POLO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN
STATES OF MICHOACAN, COLIMA, NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN JALISCO, AND
NAYARIT. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND
MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE
MEXICAN STATES OF CENTRAL JALISCO AND GUERRERO. SWELLS GENERATED
BY POLO WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SWELLS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD
ALONG THE COAST OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR ON FRI AND INTO THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING SURF, RIP CURRENTS, AND COASTAL FLOODING.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
HURRICANE ODALYS IS CENTERED NEAR 17.1N 124.2W, OR ROUGHLY ABOUT
880 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
AT 25/0300 UTC, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE CURRENTLY UP TO
AROUND 36 FT (11 M). A SOMEWHAT RAGGED EYE IS SEEN IN SATELLITE
IMAGERY. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE
CENTER IN THE NE QUADRANT, WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SE
QUADRANT AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER IN W SEMICIRCLE. ODALYS
IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT MOTION THROUGH TONIGHT. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED FRI, FOLLOWED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH BY THE WEEKEND. SOME INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS
ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO, FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
FOR THE FORECAST, MAJOR HURRICANE POLO WILL MOVE TO NEAR 17.4N
108.1W FRI MORNING WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT GUSTS 170
KT, THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 17.5N 110.0W
FRI EVENING, TO NEAR 18.0N 111.6W SAT MORNING WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT, TO NEAR 19.2N 112.9W SAT
EVENING WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT, TO NEAR
20.8N 113.7W SUN MORNING, AND TO NEAR 22.6N 114.0W SUN EVENING
WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. POLO IS
FORECAST TO MOVE TO NEAR 25.7N 112.5W LATE MON WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. HURRICANE ODALYS IS NEAR
17.1N 124.2W, OR ABOUT 880 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT 8 PM PDT, AND IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT,
AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB. ODALYS WILL MOVE TO
NEAR 17.7N 123.6W FRI MORNING WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT
GUSTS 120 KT, THEN BEGIN TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO NEAR
18.5N 123.3W FRI EVENING WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT
GUSTS 110 KT AND TO NEAR 19.7N 123.0W SAT MORNING WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT, THEN WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
STORM NEAR 20.9N 122.9W SAT EVENING WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
60 KT GUSTS 75 KT, MOVE TO NEAR 21.9N 122.7W SUN MORNING AND
BECOME POST-TROPICAL AND MOVE TO NEAR 22.4N 122.4W SUN EVENING.
ODALYS WILL WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW OVER NEAR 21.7N 121.7W LATE
MON. LOOKING AHEAD, AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM
IN A COUPLE OF DAYS TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
AFTERWARDS, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM
LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD, PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - SW 10-12, Seas S 2-4.3 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - SW 6-7, Seas SSW 0-6.8 ft @ 11sec
SATURDAY - S 9-11, Seas SW 0-7 ft @ 12sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - S 10-13, Seas SW 0-7.2 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
SUNDAY - S 10-13, Seas SW 0-7.2 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas WSW 0-5.1 ft @ 12sec
TUESDAY - NW 6-8, Seas WSW 0-4.7 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-3 ft @ 15sec
THURSDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 0-7.5 ft @ 12sec