Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
September 6, 2026, 2:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 23.5N 122.5W 977 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 06 MOVING
NW OR 310 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...140 NM SW
QUADRANT AND 160 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM
NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...300 NM SW QUADRANT AND 330 NM
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N118W TO 27N121W TO
26N125W TO 24N127W TO 20N124W TO 19N121W TO 24N118W WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 25N113W TO 24N123W TO
30N135W TO 20N137W TO 10N124W TO 17N115W TO 25N113W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 24.1N 123.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 24.7N 124.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 130 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM
OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 7.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 26N121W TO 30N126W TO 27N131W TO 24N130W TO 21N125W TO
23N121W TO 26N121W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 30N116W TO 30N139W TO 22N134W TO 15N131W TO 13N124W TO
20N118W TO 24N115W TO 30N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 26.3N 127.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM
W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 28N124W TO 30N128W
TO 29N131W TO 24N130W TO 23N126W TO 25N123W TO 28N124W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 30N122W TO 30N135W
TO 28N140W TO 22N140W TO 17N128W TO 21N123W TO 30N122W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, HURRICANE MARIE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A
TROPICAL STORM NEAR 24.1N 123.2W THIS EVENING WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT, AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT
MOVES TO NEAR 24.7N 124.3W MON MORNING, TO NEAR 25.3N 125.7W MON
EVENING WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT, TO NEAR
26.3N 127.0W TUE MORNING, TO NEAR 27.7N 127.9W TUE EVENING, TO
NEAR 29.7N 128.9W WED MORNING WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. MARIE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW N OF
THE AREA BY EARLY ON THU. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY DEVELOP OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA EARLY THIS WEEK
AS MARIE MOVES FARTHER AWAY FROM THE FORECAST WATERS. THE NEXT
GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY
AROUND THE MIDDLE PORTION OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. LOOKING AHEAD, A
TROUGH OF LOW SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST
OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE MIDDLE OR LATTER
PORTIONS OF THIS WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD.
HURRICANE MARIE IS CENTERED NEAR 23.5N 122.5W, OR ABOUT 700 NM
WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT 06/1500 UTC,
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
977 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85
KT. PEAK SEAS ARE TO NEAR 29 FT. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS
THAT MARIE HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED SINCE 24 HOURS AGO. NUMEROUS
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN WITHIN 90 NM OF
THE CENTER IN THE NE QUADRANT, 180 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SE
QUADRANTS AND AND 120 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SW QUADRANT. MARIE
IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT. MARIE IS
THEN EXPECTED TO RESUME A NORTHWESTWARD HEADING AT A FASTER
FORWARD SPEED BY TUE. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MARIE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-
TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ON WED.S WELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO, THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION ON
HURRICANE MARIE CENTERED WELL WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO.
HURRICANE MARIE IS PRODUCING MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CYCLONIC
WINDS AND VERY ROUGH SEAS ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA, ESPECIALLY WEST OF 116W AND SOUTH OF 27N. IN THE REST OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA WATERS, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS
ARE NOTED. IN THE REMAINDER OF THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, MODERATE
OR LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE PREVALENT.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALONG AND JUST OFFSHORE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION ABOUT
HURRICANE MARIE LOCATED WELL WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO.
FOR THE FORECAST, HURRICANE MARIE IS NEAR 23.5N 122.5W, OR ABOUT
700 NM WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO AT 8
AM PDT, AND IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT, AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 977 MB. MARIE WILL WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 24.1N
123.2W THIS EVENING WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75
KT, AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 24.7N 124.3W MON
MORNING, TO NEAR 25.3N 125.7W MON EVENING WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT, TO NEAR 26.3N 127.0W TUE MORNING, TO
NEAR 27.7N 127.9W TUE EVENING, TO NEAR 29.7N 128.9W WED MORNING
WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. MARIE IS FORECAST
TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW N OF THE AREA BY EARLY ON THU.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - WSW 6-7, Seas SSW 0-4.7 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - W 5-6, Seas SSW 0-4.4 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - ESE 8-10, Seas SSW 0-4.2 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - SE 3-4, Seas SSW 0-3.9 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TUESDAY - E 6-7, Seas SSW 0-3.8 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SW 0-3.7 ft @ 18sec
THURSDAY - ENE 10-12, Seas SW 0-3.7 ft @ 17sec
FRIDAY - WSW 6-7, Seas SSW 0.7-2.7 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - WSW 6-8, Seas SSW 0-2.6 ft @ 14sec