Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
October 3, 2026, 8:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
Questions/Comments visit https://svsarana.com
This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.8N 112.5W 977 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 03 MOVING
WNW OR 300 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM W SEMICIRCLE...130 NM NE
QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 270 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
11 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 22N BETWEEN 107W AND 116W WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 107W AND 112W SW TO W
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF
THE AREA FROM 10N TO 27N BETWEEN 103W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 20.3N 114.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM
OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 10 M. ELSEWHERE
FROM 16N TO 24N BETWEEN 108W AND 117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO
4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 10N TO 27N BETWEEN 106W AND 122W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.6N 116.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 4 M OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE FROM
16N TO 24N BETWEEN 111W AND 120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 11N TO 27N BETWEEN 109W AND 122W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
OUTSIDE OF THE AREAS IMPACTED BY HURRICANE RACHEL, LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS, AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS IN MIXED SWELL, PREVAIL OVER
THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF MEXICO. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT
TO MODERATE SEAS ARE IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF MODERATE N WINDS N OF 29N AND W OF 114W. SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER
GENERATED BY RACHEL ARE IMPACTING THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR, AND THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO NORTH OF GUERRERO.
FOR THE FORECAST, HURRICANE RACHEL WILL MOVE TO 20.0N 113.2W SUN
MORNING, WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 20.3N 114.2W SUN
AFTERNOON, 20.5N 115.4W MON MORNING, STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE
NEAR 20.6N 116.8W MON AFTERNOON, 20.8N 118.5W TUE MORNING, AND
20.9N 120.1W TUE AFTERNOON. RACHEL WILL WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
STORM NEAR 21.6N 123.3W WED AFTERNOON. SEAS GENERATED BY RACHEL
WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE ACROSS THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, AND MAINLY SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA, THROUGH AT
LEAST MON NIGHT. ROUGH SEAS WILL PERSIST OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF
OF CALIFORNIA, INCLUDING THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF THROUGH SUN
NIGHT. MODERATE TO FRESH W TO NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
TEHUANTEPEC REGION THROUGH SUN, THEN WINDS AND SEAS MAY INCREASE
LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
IS FORECAST TO FORM SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO.
HURRICANE RACHEL IS CENTERED NEAR 19.8N 112.5W AT 03/2100 UTC,
MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 4 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 977 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO
85 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 36 FT (11 M). NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE
FROM 18N TO 21N BETWEEN 110W AND 115W. RACHEL IS MOVING SLOWLY
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST, AND THIS SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS
THEN EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, WITH A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO, WITH SOME SLIGHT RESTRENGTHENING
POSSIBLE ON MONDAY. SWELLS GENERATED BY RACHEL WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THE COAST OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH MONDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - S 9-11, Seas WSW 0-5.8 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - S 11-14, Seas WSW 0-5.6 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY - S 14-17, Seas WSW 4-5 ft @ 11sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - S 12-15, Seas WSW 3.9-4.9 ft @ 11sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - S 12-15, Seas WSW 3.9-4.9 ft @ 11sec
TUESDAY - W 4-5, Seas WSW 0-3.7 ft @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas WSW 0-3.3 ft @ 11sec
THURSDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas WSW 1.2-3.6 ft @ 11sec
FRIDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas SSW 0-3.7 ft @ 19sec