Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast



September 11, 2026, 8:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 16.8N 125.7W 996 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 11
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE
QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE FROM
15N TO 20N BETWEEN 121W AND 128W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 13N TO 21N BETWEEN 121W AND 128W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORBERT NEAR 17.3N 129.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN
90 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60
NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...60
NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 7.0 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 21N BETWEEN 125W AND 131W WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 12N TO
22N BETWEEN 125W AND 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORBERT NEAR 18.1N 132.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN
40 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4
M OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.0 M. ELSEWHERE
FROM 17 TO 23N BETWEEN 128W AND 135W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO
4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 15N TO 24N BETWEEN 128W AND 136W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.

RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS PROVIDE OBSERVATION OF MODERATE
TO FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNWIND
TO ABOUT 14N. SEAS IN THESE WATERS ARE 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE, HIGH
PRESSURE OF 1022 MB LOCATED 31N133W EXTENDS A RIDGE SOUTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PRODUCING LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE OVER
THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS ARE OCCURRING WEST OF THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS AS
TROPICAL STORM NORBERT CONTINUES TO PULL AWAY. ELSEWHERE IN THE
MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO
MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WILL MOVE TO 16.9N
127.2W SAT MORNING, STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE NEAR 17.3N 129.1W
SAT AFTERNOON, 17.7N 131.0W SUN MORNING, 18.1N 132.9W SUN
AFTERNOON, 18.3N 134.8W MON MORNING, AND WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
STORM NEAR 18.4N 136.8W MON AFTERNOON. NORBERT WILL CHANGE LITTLE
IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 18.2N 141.2W TUE AFTERNOON.
AS T.S. NORBERT CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD, A STRONGER RIDGE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA,
BRINGING MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NW TO N WINDS SUN INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE TO FRESH SPEEDS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA EARLY NEXT WEEK, LIKELY DUE TO THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE MEANDERING TROUGH
THAT IS IN PLACE IN THAT AREA. OTHERWISE, FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE
GAP WINDS WILL PULSE AGAIN IN THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

AWAY FROM THE IMPACTS OF T.S. NORBERT, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH
SE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ARE FOUND SOUTH OF 04N AND WEST OF THE
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS TO ABOUT 130W. HIGH PRESSURE OF 1022 MB LOCATED
JUST NORTH OF AREA DOMINATES THE N WATERS, MAINLY N OF 20N AND W
OF 110W. UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THIS SYSTEM, AND AWAY FROM
NORBERT, MAINLY MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL, WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS N OF 21N AND E OF 118W TO
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-3.2 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NW 5-6, Seas SW 0-3 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SW 1.4-2.8 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - N 6-8, Seas SW 0-2.7 ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
SUNDAY - N 6-8, Seas SW 0-2.7 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - ENE 14-17, Seas SW 0.8-2.9 ft @ 19sec
TUESDAY - W 6-8, Seas SSW 0-3.7 ft @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.9-4.2 ft @ 15sec
THURSDAY - NW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.6-3.2 ft @ 14sec