Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
October 8, 2026, 8:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 15.7N 103.9W 992 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 08
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE
QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...45 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...
EXCEPT 150 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 101W AND 106W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 16.1N 104.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 16.8N 104.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF
CENTER...120 NM NW AND 90 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 8.0 M.
ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN
100W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 18.8N 104.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT.
SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 10.0 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 102 AND 109W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 10N
TO 22N BETWEEN 100W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M
IN MIXED SWELL.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 22.4N 124.6W 987 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 08
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS
65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 100
NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...180
NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 8.0 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 26N BETWEEN 121W AND 128W WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 17N TO
28N BETWEEN 119W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 23.0N 124.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...70 NM NW QUADRANT AND 50 NM
SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E AND 150 NM W
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 25N
BETWEEN 122W AND 128W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 18N TO 30N BETWEEN 121W AND 137W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 26.2N 119.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM
SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.0 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 21N TO 27N BETWEEN
116W AND 122W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE
AREA FROM 16N TO 27N BETWEEN 116W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
TROPICAL STORM RACHEL IS CENTERED NEAR 22.4N 124.6W AT 08/2100
UTC, MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 987 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 65 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 24 FT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. RACHEL IS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BEFORE A SHARP TURN TO THE NORTHEAST,
ALONG WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED, OCCURS ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF RACHEL IS EXPECTED
TO APPROACH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATE SATURDAY.
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE COUPLE OF DAYS, BUT RACHEL
IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE AT TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WHEN IT
APPROACHES NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. RACHEL WILL BRING 1 TO 3
INCHES OF RAIN TO PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND.
SWELLS PARTLY GENERATED BY RACHEL WILL BUILD ALONG THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS AS WELL AS MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
INTERESTS IN EXTREME NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA, NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF RACHEL. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION
OF THIS AREA TONIGHT.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-3.1 ft @ 22sec
TONITE - NW 5-6, Seas SSW 0-3.2 ft @ 20sec
FRIDAY - NW 5-6, Seas SSW 0-3.2 ft @ 20sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - SW 3-4, Seas SSW 1.1-4.8 ft @ 18sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
SATURDAY - NNW 6-7, Seas S 0-8.2 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NW 41-51, Seas SSW 0-15 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY - SSW 13-16, Seas SW 18.7-18.7 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas SSW 1.6-5.1 ft @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSW 0-3.9 ft @ 15sec