Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
September 30, 2026, 2:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 18.1N 108.0W 978 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 30
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...120
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 10 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N102W TO 20N107W TO 20N109W TO 13N109W TO 09N111W TO
10N106W TO 16N102W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N98W TO 22N110W TO 16N113W TO 12N110W
TO 09N113W TO 09N100W TO 16N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.3N 109.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM SE AND 210 NM NW
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 11 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N106W TO 22N109W TO 20N113W TO
17N112W TO 15N108W TO 17N105W TO 21N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 23N106W TO 25N108W TO 25N117W TO
17N119W TO 16N113W TO 19N113W TO 23N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.9N 110.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM SE AND 180 NM NW
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 11 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N106W TO 23N111W TO 20N114W TO
18N114W TO 15N109W TO 16N107W TO 20N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 27N116W TO 25N119W TO 19N118W
TO 18N117W TO 23N112W TO 23N106W TO 27N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
RACHEL WILL IMPACT A LARGE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST WATERS.
ELSEWHERE, FRESH NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ARE OFFSHORE THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ELSEWHERE OVER THE
MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS AND GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ROUGH SEAS ARE
OFFSHORE OVER THE NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA WATERS, WITH MODERATE
SEAS ELSEWHERE, EXCEPT SLIGHT IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
HURRICANE RACHEL IS CENTERED NEAR 18.1N 108.0W AT 30/1500 UTC,
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
978 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90
KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS OUT
TO 360 NM IN THE SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE, AND 180 NM IN THE
NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE. SEAS NEAR THE CENTER ARE AS HIGH AS 32 FT.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF RACHEL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
AWAY FROM MAINLAND MEXICO AND BETWEEN THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS THROUGH
FRI. SWELLS GENERATED BY RACHEL WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND SPREAD
NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST OF WEST- CENTRAL MEXICO AND THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THESE SWELLS
ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NE 8-10, Seas S 0-11 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - S 14-18, Seas SSW 0-11.5 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - S 18-22, Seas SW 0-11 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - S 14-18, Seas SW 0-9.8 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
FRIDAY - S 14-18, Seas SW 0-9.8 ft @ 13sec
SATURDAY - SSE 6-8, Seas WSW 0-7.4 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY - SSE 10-12, Seas SW 0-6 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SW 1.3-3.5 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - WNW 9-11, Seas SW 2-3.4 ft @ 13sec