Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast



July 25, 2026, 3:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 19.1N 136.4W 971 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 25
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...130 NM SE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4
M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM S SEMICIRCLE...300 NM NE QUADRANT AND
330 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 10.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N132W
TO 25N134W TO 23N140W TO 19N140W TO 17N136W TO 17N133W TO
23N132W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 5.5 TO 10.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 26N129W TO 28N135W TO 27N140W TO 13N140W TO 10N137W TO
19N128W TO 26N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 5.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 19.9N 140.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 S SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 8.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N135W TO 26N138W TO 25N140W TO
18N140W TO 19N136W TO 24N135W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 5.5 TO 8.5
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N132W TO 27N135W TO 29N140W TO
10N140W TO 15N136W TO 21N132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
5.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO W OF AREA NEAR 20.7N 145.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE NEAR 10.8N 104.3W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC
JUL 25 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND
45 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N101W
TO 14N105W TO 11N106W TO 09N105W TO 09N102W TO 11N100W TO 14N101W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 6.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
13N98W TO 16N101W TO 14N106W TO 12N100W TO 08N103W TO 08N100W TO
13N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GENEVIEVE NEAR 11.8N 106.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GENEVIEVE NEAR 12.9N 108.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM
SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 10.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N104W TO 16N106W TO 16N108W TO 13N111W TO
10N108W TO 11N106W TO 14N104W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 5.5 TO
10.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N101W TO 18N105W TO 15N111W TO
11N112W TO 08N104W TO 12N101W TO 15N101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 5.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GENEVIEVE NEAR 15.5N 112.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 240 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 12.0
M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N109W TO 19N111W TO 18N114W TO 14N115W TO
13N111W TO 15N109W TO 18N109W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 6.5 TO
12.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N104W TO 23N110W TO 22N114W TO
15N119W TO 08N116W TO 09N107W TO 16N104W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 6.5 M IN MIXED
SWELL.

FOR THE FORECAST, GENEVIEVE WILL STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE NEAR
11.8N 106.2W THIS EVENING, MOVE TO 12.9N 108.3W SUN MORNING,
14.2N 110.2W SUN EVENING, 15.5N 112.0W MON MORNING, 16.6N 113.6W
MON EVENING, AND 17.6N 115.2W TUE MORNING. GENEVIEVE WILL CHANGE
LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO 19.0N 118.5W BY EARLY WED.
AS GENEVIEVE TRACKS TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR NEXT WEEK, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN IT AND HIGH
PRESSURE TO ITS NORTH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN WEST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. SWELLS FROM GENEVIEVE WILL IMPACT JUST
ABOUT ALL OF THE OFFSHORE WATERS OUTSIDE THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA,
EXCEPT FOR ITS ENTRANCE THROUGH NEXT WEEK BUILDING SEAS OVER
THESE WATERS TO 12 FT AND GREATER.

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE IS CENTERED NEAR 10.8N 104.3W AT
25/1500 UTC, MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50
KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
FROM 05N TO 15N BETWEEN 99W AND 110W. SEAS OF 12 FT OR HIGHER ARE
FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 101W AND 105W, WITH MAXIMUM SEAS OF 20
FT. SWELLS GENERATED BY GENEVIEVE ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO STARTING THIS WEEKEND
AND WILL LIKELY REACH SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA ON MONDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. RAPID INTENSIFICATION
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. GENEVIEVE IS FORECAST
TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TONIGHT AND A MAJOR HURRICANE BY
MONDAY.
A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS NORTHWEST TO SOUTHWEST OVER THE WATERS
WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND
RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURES OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA IS SUPPORTING
MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS OVER THE WATERS WEST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO AND GENTLE TO
MODERATE NORTHWEST WINDS SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO. SEAS OVER
THESE WATERS ARE 5 TO 7 FT IN NORTHWEST SWELL. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS ARE OVER WATERS SOUTHEAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO NEAR 16N
ALONG WITH SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FT IN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SWELL. FRESH
TO STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS IN THE NORTHERN OUTER PERIPHERY
OF T.S. GENEVIEVE ARE PRESENT SOUTH OF 16N ALONG WITH SEAS 8 TO
11 FT IN SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH SWELL.
HURRICANE FAUSTO IS IMPACTING A PORTION OF THE WESTERN PART OF
THE AREA. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OUTSIDE OF THE IMMEDIATE
CIRCULATION OF FAUSTO EXTEND NORTHWARD TO 25N, WITH SEAS TO 8 FT
REACHING AS FAR NORTH OF FAUSTO AS 28N. ELSEWHERE, HIGH PRESSURE
DOMINATES THE WATERS BETWEEN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND FAUSTO, AND
ALSO NORTH OF 15N WEST OF ABOUT 120W. MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS
WITH MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL. SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD SEAS OVER THE EQUATORIAL WATERS WEST OF 120W STARTING THIS
MORNING.
FOR THE FORECAST, HURRICANE FAUSTO WILL MOVE TO 19.5N 138.1W
THIS EVENING, 19.9N 140.5W SUN MORNING, 20.3N 142.9W SUN EVENING,
20.7N 145.6W MON MORNING, WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 21.1N
148.5W MON EVENING, AND 21.6N 151.2W TUE MORNING. FAUSTO WILL
CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO 22.5N 156.1W BY EARLY
WED. GENEVIEVE WILL STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE NEAR 11.8N
106.2W THIS EVENING, MOVE TO 12.9N 108.3W SUN MORNING, 14.2N
110.2W SUN EVENING, 15.5N 112.0W MON MORNING, 16.6N 113.6W MON
EVENING, AND 17.6N 115.2W TUE MORNING. GENEVIEVE WILL CHANGE
LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO 19.0N 118.5W BY EARLY WED.
AS GENEVIEVE TRACKS TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR NEXT WEEK, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN IT AND HIGH
PRESSURE TO ITS NORTH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN WEST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE.

SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?