Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
September 28, 2026, 8:00 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
Questions/Comments visit https://svsarana.com
This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE POLO NEAR 23.6N 113.8W 958 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 28
MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 09 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE
AND SW QUADRANTS...AND 180 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO
11.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N112W TO 25N113W TO 25N116W TO
20N115W TO 21N113W TO 22N112W TO 23N112W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60
NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 22N109W TO 30N117W TO 30N122W TO 22N122W TO 17N121W
TO 15N115W TO 22N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
NEAR 26.7N 111.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW
QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER OVER FORECAST
WATERS WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 25N110W TO 28N111W TO
29N117W TO 26N116W TO 23N114W TO 25N110W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AND WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3
TO 5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 23N110W TO 30N116W TO 30N123W
TO 23N122W TO 20N121.5W TO 24N117W TO 21N115W TO
23N110W...INCLUDING SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO INLAND NW MEXICO NEAR
29.5N 109.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS
THAN 2.5 M.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 13.4N 100.4W 1001 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
28 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 07 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT
AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5 M ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N96W TO
16N100W TO 13N101W TO 09N100W TO 09N96W TO 11N97W TO 16N96W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N95W TO
17N101W TO 13N102W TO 10N101W TO 08N101W TO 09N95.5W TO 14N95W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 14.9N 103.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 130 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180
NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 6
M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N97W TO 17N102W TO 15N104W TO 11N103W TO
11N100W TO 13N97W TO 16N97W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N95W TO 18N102W TO 16N104W TO 11N103W
TO 08N99W TO 10N96W TO 14N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 17.3N 106.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180
NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO
8.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N100W TO 19N105W TO 16N108W TO 10N106W
TO 10N103W TO 14N100W TO 16N100W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 15N98W TO 20N108W TO 15N110W TO 10N107W TO 09N100W TO
11N100W TO 15N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
NEAR 26.7N 111.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW
QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER OVER FORECAST
WATERS WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 25N110W TO 28N111W TO
29N117W TO 26N116W TO 23N114W TO 25N110W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AND WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3
TO 5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 23N110W TO 30N116W TO 30N123W
TO 23N122W TO 20N121.5W TO 24N117W TO 21N115W TO
23N110W...INCLUDING SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
THESE SYSTEMS WILL IMPACT A GOOD MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST
WATERS. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS
ARE OFFSHORE THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS ELSEWHERE OVER THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS. LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS ARE IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. MODERATE SEAS REMAIN OVER
THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA, WITH
SLIGHT SEAS IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF SECTIONS.
MAJOR HURRICANE POLO IS CENTERED NEAR 23.6N 113.8W, OR ABOUT
110 NM SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO, MEXICO AT 28/0900 UTC,
MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 958 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 120 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 38 FT (11.5 ). SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THAT POLO'S OVERALL STRUCTURE HASN'T CHANGED MUCH
DURING THE SEVERAL HOURS. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. POLO IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST HIS AFTERNOON, FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF
POLO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND ALONG THE COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING, THEN
MOVE INLAND IN SOUTHERN SONORA LATE MON NIGHT OR EARLY ON TUE.
POLO IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE
WIND SCALE. POLO IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH
WHEN IT REACHES BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR LATE TODAY, AND IT IS
EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT MAKES LANDFALL IN MAINLAND
MEXICO LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY TUE. POLO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM
TOTALS OF 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF SONORA. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
POLO, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP2.SHTML?RAINQPF
SWELLS GENERATED BY POLO WILL CONTINUE AFFECTING THE COAST OF
WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING SURF, RIP CURRENTS, AND COASTAL FLOODING. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - W 6-7, Seas WSW 0-5.2 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - S 10-13, Seas WSW 0-4.9 ft @ 11sec
TUESDAY - S 12-15, Seas WSW 0-4.8 ft @ 11sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNE 4-5, Seas SSW 0-3.8 ft @ 16sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
WEDNESDAY - N 9-11, Seas S 0-4.1 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - NNE 7-9, Seas S 0-10.6 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NE 13-16, Seas SSW 0-10.7 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - S 32-40, Seas SW 0-8.7 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY - SSE 18-23, Seas SW 0-8.9 ft @ 12sec