Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
March 8, 2026, 4:08 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OF 1035 MB IS CENTERED WELL TO THE NW OF
THE FORECAST AREA NEAR 37N142W. A BROAD RIDGE EXTENDS
SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE HIGH TOWARD THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS JUST W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. IT EXTENDS FROM
29N114W TO 25N116W. LATEST SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE DATA INDICATES
A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS NEAR 27N117W.
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS CURRENTLY DOMINATE THE OFFSHORE FORECAST
WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SEAS ARE 5 TO 7 FT WITH THESE WINDS,
EXCEPT FOR HIGHER SEAS OF 6 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL OVER THE OUTER
OFFSHORE WATERS N OF CABO SAN LAZARO. LATEST SCATTEROMETER
SATELLITE DATA ALSO SHOWS GENTLE TO MODERATE NW WINDS IN THE THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA ALONG WITH A FEW WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT OVER THE
FAR NORTHERN PART OF THE GULF, NAMELY N OF 30N AND W OF 114W.
ELSEWHERE OVER THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC, GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN S TO SW
SWELL ARE PRESENT.
FOR THE FORECAST, A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
FORM ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH LOCATED JUST W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA BY
LATE TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK WHILE DISSIPATING. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE LOW CENTER AND THE RIDGE TO THE W WILL PROMOTE FRESH TO
LOCALLY STRONG NW TO N WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS TO AROUND 8 FT
ACROSS THE OUTER FORECAST WATERS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON SUN. AN
AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS IS FORECAST TO
PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW CENTER ON MON
IMPACTING THE OFFSHORE WATERS BETWEEN CABO SAN LAZARO AND PUNTA
EUGENIA. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH BY MON NIGHT AS THE LOW
MOVES INLAND MEXICO. BY TUE, A RIDGE WILL REBUILD TOWARD BAJA
CALIFORNIA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND
RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURE OVER MEXICO WILL SUPPORT FRESH NW WINDS
BETWEEN LOS CABOS AND CABO CORRIENTE, INCLUDING LAS MARIAS
ISLANDS TUE NIGHT INTO WED. LOOKING AHEAD, THE NEXT GAP WIND
EVENT IN THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION MAY BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING ON
THU, WITH WINDS INCREASING TO GALE FORCE AS A RIDGE DEVELOPS
ACROSS THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS IN MEXICO
IN THE WAKE OF A NEW COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE
GULF OF AMERICA.
OF NOTE, IT APPEARS THAT THE SURFACE LOW WILL FORM FROM A LARGE
CUT-OFF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL DROP SOUTH ALONG BAJA
CALIFORNIA. THE SURFACE LOW WILL LINGER UNTIL THE CLOSED UPPER-
LEVEL LOW SHIFTS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA INTO
THE UNITED STATES DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.
BEFORE IT DOES THAT, IT MAY TRIGGER-OFF SCATTERED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE
WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AFOREMENTIONED STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE MAJORITY OF THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
WATERS N OF 15N AND W OF 120W THROUGH MON WHILE IT WEAKENS
A LITTLE AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE NW. THE COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STAY N OF 30N DURING THIS TIME. AS
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED, THE RIDGE WILL REBUILD TOWARD BAJA
CALIFORNIA BY TUE.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet