Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
July 26, 2026, 3:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE GENEVIEVE NEAR 13.4N 109.4W 963 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 26
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE
QUADRANT...170 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 110 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE
QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 10.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N106W TO
15N110W TO 13N111W TO 11N109W TO 11N107W TO 13N105W TO 16N106W WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N102W
TO 18N106W TO 16N110W TO 10N110W TO 09N105W TO 12N102W TO
16N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GENEVIEVE NEAR 15.5N 112.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 255 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM
SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 195 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 12.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N109W TO 19N112W TO 17N115W TO
15N115W TO 13N112W TO 14N110W TO 18N109W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N105W TO 22N111W TO
13N118W TO 10N112W TO 04N111W TO 11N106W TO 17N105W...INCLUDING
NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M E
TO SE SWELL MIXED WITH SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GENEVIEVE NEAR 17.5N 115.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...130 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM
SE QUADRANT...AND 210 W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13.0 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 20N111W TO 21N116W TO 19N118W TO 16N118W TO 14N114W TO
16N111W TO 20N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N107W TO 25N113W TO 28N123W TO 14N123W
TO 11N114W TO 12N109W TO 20N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES AND WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WITHIN 60 NM OF
SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN SE SWELL.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.HURRICANE FAUSTO WEST OF AREA. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210
NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 6.0 TO 10.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
3.0 TO 6.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 OR LESS FROM 14N TO 30N
AND W OF 132W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO W OF AREA. WITHIN 25N137W TO
28N140W TO 19N140W TO 23N136W TO 25N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO WELL W OF AREA. WITHIN
25N137W TO 28N140W TO 19N140W TO 23N136W TO 25N137W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 31N113.5W TO 31.5N114W TO 30.5N114W TO 30N113.5W TO
30N113W TO 30.5N113W TO 31N113.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS NORTHWEST TO SOUTHWEST OVER THE WATERS
WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND
RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURES OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA IS SUPPORTING
GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE WATERS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA, PRIMARILY NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA, MOSTLY GENTLE
NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA. SEAS OVER THE
WATERS WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ARE 5 TO 6 FT IN NORTHWEST SWELL,
EXCEPT FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE OVER WATERS SOUTHEAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA TO NEAR 18N ALONG WITH SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FT IN SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST SWELL. THE AFOREMENTIONED PRESSURE GRADIENT IS ALSO
SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA ALONG WITH SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE ALONG THE GULF,
GENTLE TO MODERATE SW WINDS PREVAIL WITH SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. FRESH TO
STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS IN THE NORTHERN OUTER PERIPHERY
OF HURRICANE GENEVIEVE ARE PRESENT SOUTH OF 17N ALONG WITH SEAS 8
TO 15 FT IN SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH SWELL. FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE
WINDS ARE ALSO PRESENT OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC REGION. SEAS
WITHIN THESE WINDS ARE 6 TO 9 FT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
PREVAILS NORTH OF 13N ALONG THE OFFSHORE WATERS BETWEEN 96W AND
108W.
FOR THE FORECAST, HURRICANE GENEVIEVE IS NEAR 13.4N 109.4W AT 8 AM
PDT, AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT, AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
963 MB. GENEVIEVE WILL MOVE TO 14.4N 110.8W THIS EVENING, 15.5N
112.5W MON MORNING, 16.6N 114.1W MON EVENING, 17.5N 115.5W TUE
MORNING, 18.2N 117.0W TUE EVENING, AND 18.7N 118.5W WED MORNING.
GENEVIEVE WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO THE NW OR WNW EARLY THU.
ELSEWHERE, FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PULSE TO STRONG AT TIMES IN
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH MONDAY. MODERATE TO FRESH SE WINDS
WILL PULSE IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA THROUGH
TODAY. WINDS MAY FRESHEN OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE BY THE END OF THE
WEEK. LOOKING AHEAD, A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
DEVELOP WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO BY MIDWEEK WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.
HURRICANE GENEVIEVE IS CENTERED NEAR 13.4N 109.4W AT 26/1500
UTC, MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 963 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 105 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 115 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 30 FT. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. GENEVIEVE IS A CATEGORY 3
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. CONTINUED
RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
GENEVIEVE IS THEN FORECAST TO START WEAKENING BY THE MIDDLE OF
THIS WEEK. SWELLS GENERATED BY GENEVIEVE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO AND WILL LIKELY REACH
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT OR
MONDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
PLEASE READ THE LATEST HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE -
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORIES AND PUBLIC ADVISORIES OF BOTH SYSTEMS AT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.
HURRICANE FAUSTO IS IMPACTING A PORTION OF THE WESTERN PART OF
THE AREA. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OUTSIDE OF THE IMMEDIATE
CIRCULATION OF FAUSTO EXTEND NORTHWARD TO 26N, WITH SEAS OF 8 TO
12 FT. ELSEWHERE, HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE WATERS BETWEEN
BAJA CALIFORNIA AND FAUSTO, AND ALSO NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W.
MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS WITH MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL. CROSS-
EQUATORIAL SOUTHWEST SWELL OVER THE WATERS SOUTH OF ABOUT 04.5N
BETWEEN 103W AND 125W IS PROVIDING FOR 8 TO 9 FT SEAS OVER THAT
PORTION OF THE AREA.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - W 10-12, Seas SW 1.1-5.1 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - SW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - W 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?