Gap Winds Forecast
November 14, 2025, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Gap Winds Forecast
Questions/Comments visit https://svsarana.com
This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 05N105W. ITCZ FROM 05N105W TO
09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 05N105W. THE ITCZ
STRETCHES FROM 05N105W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS OBSERVED FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS LOCATED NORTH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
CONTINUES TO SUPPORT FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG EASTERLY TRADE
WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION. SEAS IN THESE WATERS
ARE 6-9 FT. MEANWHILE, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS ARE FOUND SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. IN THE
REST OF THE BASIN, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
ARE PREVALENT. A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTED
AFFECTING THE NEARSHORE AND OFFSHORE WATERS OF COSTA RICA, PANAMA
AND COLOMBIA.
OUTSIDE OF THE IMPACTS DISCUSSED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION
ABOVE, THE MAIN ISSUE IS FRESH SW WINDS IN THE DEEP TROPICS EAST
OF 100W, NORTH OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS, FLOWING INTO THE MONSOON
TROUGH. SEAS TO 8 FT ARE POSSIBLE WITH COMPONENTS OF NW AND SW
SWELL. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 5 TO 7 FT SEAS DOMINATE THE
BASIN ELSEWHERE, PRIMARILY WITH NW SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, OUTSIDE OF THE AREA IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION, FRESH SW WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BETWEEN 90W AND 100W, SUPPORTING SEAS TO 8
FT. LOOKING AHEAD, THE LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS IT MOVES INTO THE TROPICAL PACIFIC AND MIXES
WITH SHORTER- PERIOD WIND WAVES GENERATED BY MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WINDS. ANOTHER FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE WATERS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT WEEK, FOLLOWED BY LARGE NW SWELL
NORTH OF 28N AND EAST OF 130W.
MODERATELY STRONG 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL MEXICO IS
SUPPORTING STRONG TO NEAR-GALE N TO NE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC. FRESH NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS REACH UP TO 300 NM
FROM THE COAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. FARTHER NORTH, THE
COLD FRONT MENTIONED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION IS
APPROACHING GUADALUPE ISLAND, FOLLOWED BY LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL TO
8 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE, WITH 4 TO 6 FT
SEAS OFF MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS AND 1 TO 3 FT IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL
PERSIST IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM UNTIL SAT
WHILE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD.
FARTHER NORTH, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY THROUGH SAT, BRINGING FRESH TO
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND SEAS TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL TO THE WATERS
OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE TODAY AND SAT. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG
SW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE
FRONT SAT INTO EARLY SUN. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS LOCATED NORTH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
CONTINUES TO SUPPORT FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG EASTERLY TRADE
WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION. SEAS IN THESE WATERS
ARE 6-9 FT. MEANWHILE, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS ARE FOUND SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. IN THE
REST OF THE BASIN, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
ARE PREVALENT. A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTED
AFFECTING THE NEARSHORE AND OFFSHORE WATERS OF COSTA RICA, PANAMA
AND COLOMBIA.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - E 10-12, Seas SW 0.9-3.4 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - ENE 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - ENE 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - ENE 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
MONDAY - NE 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - ENE 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - ENE 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - ENE 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet