Gap Winds Forecast
December 15, 2025, 3:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Gap Winds Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO
11N101W TO 10N98W TO 11N95W TO 13N94W TO 16N94W N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT WINDS TO 45 KT AND SEAS
TO 5.0 M.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 13N97W TO
13N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
12N94W TO 15N94W TO 13N100W TO 11N101W TO 10N99W TO 11N95W TO
12N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M IN N TO NE SWELL.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08.5N78W TO 07N95W. ITCZ FROM 07N95W TO
08N111W TO 07.5N125W. SURFACE TROUGH FROM 15N128W TO 06N126W.
ITCZ FROM 07N127.5W TO BEYOND 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
FROM 05N TO 10.5N BETWEEN 77W AND 86W...FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN
109W AND 112W...FROM 07.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 116W AND 120W...AND
FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 124W AND 127W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08.5N78W TO 07N95W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM THAT POINT TO 08N111W TO 07.5N125W. A SURFACE
TROUGH IS ANALYZED FROM 15N128W TO 06N126W. THE ITCZ THEN
RESUMES W OF THE TROUGH FROM 07N127.5W TO BEYOND 06N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 05N TO 10.5N BETWEEN
77W AND 86W, FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 109W AND 112W, FROM 07.5N TO
10N BETWEEN 116W AND 120W, AND FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 124W AND
127W.
A 1027 MB HIGH CENTER IS ANALYZED JUST N OF THE AREA NEAR 31N129W.
ITS ASSOCIATED RIDGE EXTENDS TO NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS
PER ASCAT SCATTEROMETER DATA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
HIGH AND RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURES ASSOCIATED TO A TROUGH THAT
EXTENDS IN THE W-CENTRAL WATERS AS DESCRIBED ABOVE IS BRINGING
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS FROM 09N TO 20N AND W OF 120W OR
SO, LOCALLY STRONG NEAR THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TROUGH AS
SEEN ON RECENT ASCAT DATA. ROUGH SEAS PREVAIL OVER THESE WATERS
IN MIXED LONG PERIOD SWELL ALONG WITH SHORTER PERIOD WIND
GENERATED SEAS. MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE
OCCURRING S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ. MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE OPEN WATERS.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER MEXICO AND THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC
MONSOON TROUGH IS SUSTAINING GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WHICH ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TUE MORNING. WINDS MAY PEAK AROUND 45 NIGHT OVERNIGHT. BY TUE
AFTERNOON, THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EASTWARD AND
WEAKEN. ROUGH SEAS WILL ARE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS,
PEAKING AROUND 16 FT TONIGHT. PLEASE READ THE LATEST HIGH SEAS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE
INFORMATION.
FRESH TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS PREVAIL IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN N OF THE CARIBBEAN WITH LOWER
PRESSURES ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER SOUTHERN COSTA RICA AND
PANAMA. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE ELSEWHERE N
OF 08N. S OF 08N, GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL, EXCEPT SLIGHT SEAS NEARSHORE COLOMBIA AND
EASTERN PANAMA. ACTIVE CONVECTION IS PRESENT NEAR PANAMA AND
COSTA RICA AS DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE.
FOR THE FORECAST, BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE CARIBBEAN AND
LOWER PRESSURES NEAR THE MONSOON TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
PULSING FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY TRADE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH MIDWEEK, POSSIBLY RETURNING
FRI NIGHT INTO NEXT WEEKEND. ROUGH SEAS IN THE FAR OFFSHORE
WATERS OF GUATEMALA WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUE DUE TO A GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC GALE-FORCE GAP EVENT. MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF PANAMA THIS WEEK. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, GALE-FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TUE MORNING. ELSEWHERE, MAINLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF THE WEEK. FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL
DEVELOP MAINLY JUST BEYOND THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE BY THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK. MODERATE TO
FRESH WINDS WILL PULSE NEAR CABO CORRIENTES DURING THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK. FRESH TO AT LEAST STRONG GAP WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS MAY
RETURN IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC BY THE END OF THE WEEK INTO
NEXT WEEKEND.
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 10N87W TO 10N88W TO 10N87W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W
...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
FRESH TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS PREVAIL IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN N OF THE CARIBBEAN WITH LOWER
PRESSURES ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER SOUTHERN COSTA RICA AND
PANAMA. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE ELSEWHERE N
OF 08N. S OF 08N, GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL, EXCEPT SLIGHT SEAS NEARSHORE COLOMBIA AND
EASTERN PANAMA. ACTIVE CONVECTION IS PRESENT NEAR PANAMA AND
COSTA RICA AS DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE.
FOR THE FORECAST, BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE CARIBBEAN AND
LOWER PRESSURES NEAR THE MONSOON TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
PULSING FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY TRADE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH MIDWEEK, POSSIBLY RETURNING
FRI NIGHT INTO NEXT WEEKEND. ROUGH SEAS IN THE FAR OFFSHORE
WATERS OF GUATEMALA WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUE DUE TO A GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC GALE-FORCE GAP EVENT. MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF PANAMA THIS WEEK. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE CARIBBEAN AND
LOWER PRESSURES NEAR THE MONSOON TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
PULSING FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY TRADE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH MIDWEEK, POSSIBLY RETURNING
FRI NIGHT INTO NEXT WEEKEND. ROUGH SEAS IN THE FAR OFFSHORE
WATERS OF GUATEMALA WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUE DUE TO A GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC GALE-FORCE GAP EVENT. MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF PANAMA THIS WEEK. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 2-3.5 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 2.2-3.7 ft @ 17sec
TUESDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas SW 2.3-3.7 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 1.5-3.2 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
WEDNESDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas SW 1.3-3.2 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - NE 14-17, Seas SW 1-2.9 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas SW 0.9-2.9 ft @ 12sec
SATURDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SW 1.8-3.4 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?