Gap Winds Forecast
July 4, 2026, 3:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Gap Winds Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N74W TO 08N79W TO 09N86W TO 06N106W. ITCZ
FROM 06N106W TO 08N119W TO 05.5N130W TO BEYOND 09N140W. NUMEROUS
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 03N TO 11N E OF 91W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 04.5N TO 12N
BETWEEN 98W AND 117W AND FROM 02.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 117W AND
134W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N74W TO 08N79W TO 09N86W TO
06N106W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 06N106W TO 08N119W TO 05.5N130W
TO BEYOND 09N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
IS FROM 03N TO 11N E OF 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 04.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 98W AND 117W, AND
FROM 02.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 117W AND 134W.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED ALONG 106W, SOUTH OF 16N, MOVING
WEST AROUND 10 KT. THE ASSOCIATED MOISTURE FIELD WITH THIS MERGED
WAVE EXTENDS BETWEEN 97W AND 114W. OVERNIGHT SATELLITE
SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWED FRESH EASTERLY WINDS FROM 04N TO 12N
ACCOMPANYING THIS WAVE. ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS DESCRIBED BELOW
IN THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A BROAD RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE NE PACIFIC ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
WATERS TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS, AND IS MAINTAINING GENTLE
TO MODERATE NW TO N WINDS, WITH 5-6 FT SEAS IN MERGING NW AND SW
SWELL, PER RECENT SATELLITE ALTIMETER DATA. GENTLE BREEZES AND
SLIGHT SEAS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE TO PUERTO ANGEL. OVERNIGHT
SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWED FRESH N GAP WINDS ACROSS THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO 14.5N, WHERE SEAS ARE
5 TO 7 FT. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENT FLOW IS SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NEAR AND OFFSHORE WATERS OF
GUERRERO AND EXTENDING WELL OFFSHORE TO 13.5N. GUSTY WINDS AND
LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE RIDGE EXTENDING INTO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA WATERS
WILL CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES THROUGH
TODAY, BECOMING MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY FRESH NEAR THE COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA STARTING THIS EVENING THROUGH TUE, AS THE HIGH
PRESSURE STRENGTHENS MODESTLY ACROSS THE AREA. FRESH TO STRONG
GAP WINDS WILL PULSE ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THIS MORNING,
AND TO A LESSER EXTENT TONIGHT, THEN DIMINISH. LOOKING AHEAD, SW
SWELL TO 7 FT IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE WATERS OFF SOUTHERN
MEXICO EARLY NEXT WEEK. EXPECT FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TUE AND WED.
LARGE CLUSTERS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE SHIFTING SLOWLY
WESTWARD ACROSS THE WATERS OF COLOMBIA, PANAMA AND EASTERN COSTA
RICA THIS MORNING, AND EXTEND NORTHWARD INTO THE SW CARIBBEAN.
OVERNIGHT SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWED FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG
E GAP WINDS ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION EXTENDING OFFSHORE TO
89W, WHERE SEAS ARE 5-7 FT. MOSTLY GENTLE TO MODERATE SW TO W
WINDS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE S OF 10N, WITH 4-6 FT SEAS IN CROSS-
EQUATORIAL SW SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS THE AREA WATERS OFF
PANAMA AND COSTA RICA THROUGH EARLY SUN BEFORE ACTIVITY BEGIN TO
SHIFT NORTHWARD INTO THE CARIBBEAN. FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E GAP
WINDS WILL PULSE TONIGHT AND AGAIN MON NIGHT ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO
REGION INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, LEADING TO OCCASIONAL ROUGH SEAS.
LARGE CROSS-EQUATORIAL SOUTHERLY SWELL TO 8 FT WILL MOVE INTO
THE WATERS OFF ECUADOR AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS SUN THROUGH TUE.
FARTHER NORTH, THE COMBINATION OF THE SOUTHERLY SWELL WITH
SHORTER PERIOD SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH GAP WINDS WILL ALLOW COMBINED
SEAS TO 8 FT OFF NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA BY TUE INTO WED.
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N88W TO 11N89W TO 10N89W TO 10N87W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 19-24, Seas SW 1.4-4.2 ft @ 18sec
TONITE - ENE 18-22, Seas SW 1.3-4.2 ft @ 18sec
SUNDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas SW 1.3-4.2 ft @ 18sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NE 14-18, Seas SSW 1.8-4.3 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
MONDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas SW 1.5-4.7 ft @ 19sec
TUESDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SW 1.5-4.8 ft @ 19sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SW 1.9-5.2 ft @ 17sec
THURSDAY - NE 18-22, Seas SW 1.6-4.5 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?