Cabo Corrientes Forecast
September 28, 2026, 8:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Cabo Corrientes Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE POLO NEAR 25.0N 113.0W 963 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 28
MOVING NE OR 040 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM
SW QUADRANT AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 11.5 M.
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 24N111W TO 26N112W TO 26N115W TO 24N116W TO
22N115W TO 23N112W TO 24N111W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF
SHORE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF
AREA...WITHIN 30N116W TO 25N116W TO 30N118W TO 22N119W TO 18N114W
TO 22N110W TO 30N116W...INCLUDING SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY...WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO INLAND OVER MAINLAND
MEXICO NEAR 28.7N 109.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM
SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER
FORECAST WATERS...WITHIN 28N111W TO 28N112W TO 27N112W TO 26N111W
TO 25N110W TO 27N109W TO 28N111W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.36 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 14.2N 102.1W 999 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP
28 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...210 NM NE QUADRANT
AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN
16N97W TO 18N102W TO 14N104W TO 11N104W TO 11N101W TO 12N98W TO
16N97W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M. WITHIN 15N97W TO
18N103W TO 14N105W TO 11N104W TO 08N100W TO 10N96W TO 15N97W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 15.9N 104.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 130 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210
NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND
150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 7.0 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 17N100W
TO 19N104W TO 18N107W TO 15N108W TO 10N107W TO 10N103W TO
17N100W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 15N97W TO 20N107W
TO 15N109W TO 10N106W TO 12N102W TO 11N98W TO 15N97W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 18.3N 107.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150
NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 21N107W
TO 19N110W TO 14N108W TO 09N111W TO 11N106W TO 15N103W TO
21N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 24N108W TO 18N114W
TO 14N109W TO 09N113W TO 10N103W TO 15N99W TO 24N108W...INCLUDING
WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO INLAND OVER MAINLAND
MEXICO NEAR 28.7N 109.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM
SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER
FORECAST WATERS...WITHIN 28N111W TO 28N112W TO 27N112W TO 26N111W
TO 25N110W TO 27N109W TO 28N111W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
HURRICANE POLO IS CENTERED NEAR 25.0N 113.0W AT 28/2100 UTC,
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
963 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120
KT. PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 38 FT (11.5 M). NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. POLO IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHEAST WITH INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED. THIS TRACK WILL TAKE POLO'S CORE OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THIS EVENING VERY CLOSE TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO. THE
HURRICANE WILL THEN BRIEFLY MOVE OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
OVERNIGHT, FINALLY MAKING A SECOND LANDFALL IN NORTHWESTERN
MAINLAND MEXICO ON TUESDAY MORNING. POLO IS A CATEGORY 3
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. POLO IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN A POWERFUL HURRICANE WHEN IT REACHES BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR LATE TODAY, AND IT IS EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE
WHEN IT MAKES LANDFALL IN MAINLAND MEXICO LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY
TUE.
THESE SYSTEMS WILL IMPACT A LARGE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST
WATERS. ELSEWHERE, FRESH NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ARE OFFSHORE
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ELSEWHERE
OVER THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS AND GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ROUGH
SEAS ARE OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA, WITH MODERATE SEAS ELSEWHERE,
EXCEPT SLIGHT IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH POLO WILL IMPACT BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR ALONG WITH SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF SONORA TODAY INTO
TUESDAY. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND
MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. MOISTURE FROM POLO
WILL SUPPORT HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST U.S. INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS LATE TODAY INTO
TUESDAY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL
ASSOCIATED WITH POLO, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP2.SHTML?RAINQPF
DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR
SO. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - S 9-11, Seas W 0-7.1 ft @ 11sec
TONITE - S 10-13, Seas W 0-7 ft @ 11sec
TUESDAY - NNE 14-18, Seas SW 1.6-7.7 ft @ 11sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NE 10-12, Seas SSE 0-9.4 ft @ 12sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
WEDNESDAY - SE 21-26, Seas S 0-13 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - SSE 22-27, Seas SSW 0-13.7 ft @ 13sec
FRIDAY - SSE 22-28, Seas SW 0-13 ft @ 13sec
SATURDAY - SE 22-27, Seas SW 0-12.9 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - SSE 18-22, Seas WSW 5.3-10.2 ft @ 11sec