Cabo Corrientes Forecast
October 5, 2026, 2:00 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Cabo Corrientes Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.2N 114.8W 967 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 05
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 120 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 10.0 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 22N112W TO 23N115W TO 20N119W TO 18N116W TO 17N114W TO
19N112W TO 22N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 23N108W TO 26N117W TO 21N121W TO 18N120W
TO 12N113W TO 15N108W TO 23N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.4N 117.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N115W
TO 24N117W TO 22N120W TO 19N121W TO 17N120W TO 19N115W TO 23N115W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
24N112W TO 26N121W TO 21N124W TO 15N120W TO 14N113W TO 17N110W TO
24N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.6N 120.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 9.0
M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N118W TO 24N122W TO 18N124W TO 17N121W TO
18N118W TO 23N118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 24N115W TO 26N124W TO 20N127W TO 15N125W
TO 14N116W TO 19N114W TO 24N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
AWAY FROM THE DIRECT INFLUENCE OF HURRICANE RACHEL, GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS, AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS IN MIXED SWELL,
PREVAIL OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF MEXICO. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. SEAS
OF 8 FT OR GREATER GENERATED BY RACHEL ARE STILL IMPACTING THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR, PARTICULARLY BETWEEN CABO
SAN LAZARO AND CABO SAN LUCAS. SEAS ARE BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE
NEAR THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, RACHEL WILL MOVE TO 20.3N 115.9W MON MORNING,
20.4N 117.4W MON EVENING, 20.4N 118.9W TUE MORNING, 20.6N 120.3W
TUE EVENING, 21.1N 121.8W WED MORNING, AND WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
STORM NEAR 21.6N 123.3W WED EVENING. RACHEL WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN
INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO THE 22.2N 125.8W LATE THU. SEAS WILL
CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE NEAR THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
TONIGHT, AND ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR ON
MON AS RACHEL CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA. LOOKING
AHEAD, A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTH
OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS
EXPECTED TO FORM DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PORTION OF THE WEEK
WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD,
JUST OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHERN TO SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO.
THE CHANCE OF FORMATION IS LOW OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND HIGH
OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
HURRICANE RACHEL IS CENTERED NEAR 20.2N 114.8W AT 05/0300 UTC,
MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 967 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 105 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 32 FT (10 M). NUMEROUS
MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 15N TO
22N AND BETWEEN 111W AND 117W. A CONTINUED SLOW MOTION IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT, BUT RACHEL IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN STARTING
MONDAY. SWELLS GENERATED BY RACHEL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR INFORMATION ON
HURRICANE RACHEL LOCATED SW OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO.
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR INFORMATION ON
HURRICANE RACHEL LOCATED SW OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO.
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - NE 11-14, Seas W 0-5.4 ft @ 10sec
TONITE - SSW 6-7, Seas W 0-4.6 ft @ 10sec
TUESDAY - SSW 6-7, Seas W 0-4.6 ft @ 10sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NW 2-3, Seas W 0-4 ft @ 10sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
WEDNESDAY - NW 7-9, Seas W 0-3.9 ft @ 10sec
THURSDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas WSW 0-4.3 ft @ 11sec
FRIDAY - S 5-6, Seas SSW 0-4.4 ft @ 20sec
SATURDAY - ENE 6-7, Seas SSW 0-5.1 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - ESE 30-38, Seas SSW 7.7-8.9 ft @ 15sec