Cabo Corrientes Forecast
August 29, 2026, 2:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Cabo Corrientes Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 15.6N 117.6W 989 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 29
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS
65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...200 NM
SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 160 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM
09N TO 20.5N BETWEEN 111W AND 122W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO
4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 06N TO 23N BETWEEN 108W AND 124W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 16.5N 119.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.2N 120.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN
140 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 300 NM N AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 10.5 M.
ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 23N BETWEEN 115W AND 126W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 08N TO 27N BETWEEN
110W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.8N 124.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 360 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 12 M.
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 27N BETWEEN 117W AND 131W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 09N TO 29N BETWEEN
114W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 12.8N 135.7W 1003 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 29
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW
QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM
11N TO 16N W OF 132W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 12.8N 139.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SE
QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM 12N TO 15N W
OF 139W WITH SEAS TO 5.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL W OF AREA NEAR 12.9N 143.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...60 NM NW QUADRANT AND 40 NM
SE QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS
THAN 2.5 M.
WHILE THE MAIN IMPACTS OF KARINA REMAIN WEST OF THE MEXICAN
OFFSHORE WATERS, STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE WINDS AND ROUGH TO
VERY ROUGH SEAS ON THE FAR NORTHEAST PERIPHERY OF KARINA ARE
REACHING THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. FRESH TO STRONG N GAP WINDS
ARE ACTIVE ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, AS NOTED IN THE LATEST
SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT
SEAS DOMINATE THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, TROPICAL STORM KARINA WILL STRENGTHEN TO A
HURRICANE NEAR 16.5N 119.0W THIS EVENING, MOVE TO 17.2N 120.8W
SUN MORNING, 17.5N 122.6W SUN EVENING, 17.8N 124.4W MON MORNING,
18.1N 125.9W MON EVENING, AND 18.7N 127.8W TUE MORNING. KARINA
WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 20.1N 130.4W
EARLY WED. THE STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE SE WINDS AND ROUGH TO
VERY ROUGH SEAS ON THE FAR NORTHEAST PERIPHERY OF KARINA WILL
IMPACT THE WATERS AROUND CLARION ISLAND INTO SUN, THEN DIMINISH
THROUGH MON AS KARINA CONTINUES TO MOVE W-NW AND AWAY FROM THE
AREA. FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP WINDS AND OCCASIONAL ROUGH
SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH
EARLY SUN. MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA THROUGH SUN NIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM KARINA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.6N 117.6W AT 29/1500
UTC, MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 989 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 65 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE AROUND 32 FT (9.5 M). NUMEROUS
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 14N TO 16.5N BETWEEN
117W AND 121W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
IS OBSERVED ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 113W AND 120W.
KARINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST, FOLLOWED BY A MORE
WESTERLY MOTION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. KARINA IS FORECAST TO
BECOME A HURRICANE OVER THE WEEKEND AND COULD BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE EARLY NEXT WEEK. SWELLS GENERATED BY KARINA WILL BEGIN
TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO AND THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THIS WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - S 5-6, Seas SSW 0-6.4 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - N 6-7, Seas SSW 0-6 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - W 6-8, Seas SSW 0-5.2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-5 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
MONDAY - NNE 12-15, Seas SSW 0-4.8 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-4.4 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-4.7 ft @ 16sec
THURSDAY - NE 8-10, Seas SSW 0-5.9 ft @ 18sec
FRIDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.8-7.5 ft @ 16sec