Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
December 21, 2024, 9:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 16N95W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 14N97W TO
13N95W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO
13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N94W TO 13N96W TO 15N96W TO
13N99W TO 09N102W TO 09N95W TO 14N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 13N96W TO
15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N97W TO
13N94W TO 15N96W TO 10N102W TO 07N100W TO 07N95W TO 10N97W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO
14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas WNW 3.1-8.3 feet @ 18sec
TONITE - NW 13-16, Seas WNW 0-12.4 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - NNW 14-18, Seas WNW 0-10.3 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 11-14, Seas WNW 0-11 feet @ 16sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas NW 3.7-7.4 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - NW 12-15, Seas WNW 3.3-11.3 feet @ 18sec
MONDAY - NW 10-13, Seas WNW 0-12.3 feet @ 18sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 8-10, Seas WNW 0-10.6 feet @ 16sec
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 13-16, Seas WNW 2.5-6.2 feet @ 19sec
TONITE - NW 11-14, Seas WNW 2.8-7.2 feet @ 18sec
MONDAY - NW 14-18, Seas WNW 0-8.5 feet @ 19sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 13-16, Seas WNW 0-9.3 feet @ 17sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 17-21, Seas WNW 4.3-13.8 feet @ 20sec, Middle 2/3 NW 8-10, Seas WNW 0-10.6 feet @ 16sec, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas WNW 0-9.3 feet @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 17-21, Seas WNW 0-11.9 feet @ 19sec, Middle 2/3 NW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
ASIDE FROM THE GALE WARNING AREA, HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE
WATERS WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND A TROUGH OVER
MEXICO IS SUPPORTING WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF
THE FORECAST WATERS, EXCEPT MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH OFFSHORE
BAJA CALIFORNIA. SEAS ARE IN THE 5 TO 7 FT OVER THE OPEN WATERS
OFF MEXICO, AND 1 TO 3 FT OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
SIGNIFICANT NW SWELL: A COMPLEX AND POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE NORTH
OF THE AREA WILL GENERATE SEVERAL ROUNDS OF LARGE NW SWELL THAT
WILL PROPAGATE INTO THE AREA THROUGH NEXT WEEK. THIS EVENING,
SEAS GREATER THAN 12 FT COVER THE WATERS NW OF A LINE FROM
30N125W TO 15N138W, WITH SEAS PEAKING NEAR 20 FT OVER CLOSE
TO 30N133W. THE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
SE, COVERING THE WATERS FROM WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR PUNTA
EUGENIA TO 08N133W EARLY MON EVENING WHEN A REINFORCING SET OF NW
SWELL ARRIVES WITH PEAK SEAS OF 21 FT NEAR 30N140W. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE DETAILS.
PLEASE READ THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION ON A
GALE WARNING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, AND SIGNIFICANT NW
SWELLS THAT WILL IMPACT THE WATERS OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
FOR THE FORECAST, OTHER THAN THE AFOREMENTIONED GALE WARNING IN
THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION AND SIGNIFICANT NW SWELL, GENTLE TO MODERATE
MAINLY N WINDS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY THIS WEEKEND AS A NE
PACIFIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS TOWARD THE REGION. WINDS WILL
PULSE TO MODERATE TO FRESH AT TIMES OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA,
THEN FRESH TO STRONG FROM CABO SAN LAZARO NORTHWARD STARTING WED
NIGHT.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 14-17, Seas W 0-3.4 feet @ 19sec
TONITE - N 11-14, Seas W 0-5.3 feet @ 18sec
MONDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas W 0-5.7 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY NIGHT - N 5-6, Seas W 0-5 feet @ 16sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.7-3.2 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 7-9, Seas SW 1.8-2.6 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas SW 1.6-2.6 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 6-7, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 feet @ 15sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
TUESDAY - Northern Half N 6-8, Seas W 0-4.9 feet @ 16sec, Southern Half NW 6-8, Seas SSW 0.8-2.2 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half NW 16-20, Seas W 0-5.2 feet @ 18sec, Southern Half NW 7-9, Seas SSW 0.8-2.3 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half NNW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half SSW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.7-3.2 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 7-9, Seas SW 1.8-2.6 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas SW 1.6-2.6 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 6-7, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 feet @ 15sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
TUESDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SSW 0.8-2.2 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 7-9, Seas SSW 0.8-2.3 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - SSW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - WNW 8-10, Seas SW 0-2.1 feet @ 18sec
TONITE - NW 3-4, Seas SW 0-2.3 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - NW 7-9, Seas SW 0-2.7 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 3-4, Seas SW 0-2.7 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TUESDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SW 0.8-2.5 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 9-11, Seas WNW 0.6-2.5 feet @ 20sec
THURSDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - N 7-9, Seas W 0-3.8 feet @ 17sec
TONITE - N 5-6, Seas WNW 0-4.3 feet @ 19sec
MONDAY - N 8-10, Seas WNW 0-4.8 feet @ 19sec
MONDAY NIGHT - N 6-7, Seas WNW 0-6.9 feet @ 18sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TUESDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas WNW 0-6.4 feet @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas WNW 0-7.5 feet @ 20sec
THURSDAY - N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - E 8-10, Seas SW 0-3.1 feet @ 18sec
TONITE - W 2-3, Seas SW 0-3.1 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - E 5-6, Seas SW 0-3.2 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 6-7, Seas SW 0-3.7 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TUESDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas SW 0-3.8 feet @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 8-10, Seas WNW 0-4.3 feet @ 17sec
THURSDAY - NNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - WNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.WITHIN 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 16N95W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 14N97W TO
13N95W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO
13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N94W TO 13N96W TO 15N96W TO
13N99W TO 09N102W TO 09N95W TO 14N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 13N96W TO
15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N97W TO
13N94W TO 15N96W TO 10N102W TO 07N100W TO 07N95W TO 10N97W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO
14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN MEXICO AND LOW PRESSURE WITHIN THE
EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH WILL SUPPORT GALE-FORCE GAP
WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH SUN NIGHT. SEAS DURING
THE WARNING EVENT WILL PEAK AT 12 TO 16 FT. THE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL SHIFT EAST BY EARLY MON, WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
LOOSENING. THIS WILL DIMINISH WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE EARLY MON
WITH FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY PULSES THEREAFTER INTO MID-WEEK.
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS AND OFFSHORE WATERS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/OFFSHORES_EASTPAC.PHP FOR MORE
DETAILS.
PLEASE READ THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION ON A
GALE WARNING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, AND SIGNIFICANT NW
SWELLS THAT WILL IMPACT THE WATERS OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE EPAC MONSOON TROUGH IS
SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG NE GAP WINDS AND SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT IN
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, EXCEPT WELL OFFSHORE GUATEMALA
WHERE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE DOWNWIND FROM A GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT, WITH SIMILAR WINDS NEAR THE GULF OF
FONSECA. SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, GENTLE TO MODERATE
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND 3 TO 5 FT SEAS IN MODERATE S TO SW SWELL
PREVAIL, MIXED WITH NW SWELL FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GAP
WIND EVENT. ACTIVE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM OFFSHORE COLOMBIA
AND PANAMA TO COSTA RICA AS DESCRIBED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ
SECTION ABOVE.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 20-25, Seas N 7.1-7.4 feet @ 7sec
TONITE - N 16-20, Seas N 5.8-6.3 feet @ 6sec
MONDAY - NNW 18-23, Seas SSW 2.9-4 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 17-21, Seas SSW 3.4-4.6 feet @ 15sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TUESDAY - NNW 17-21, Seas SSW 3.4-4.6 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - WSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09.5N84.5W TO 05.5N106W. ITCZ FROM 05.5N106W
TO 07N117W TO BEYOND 05.5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM
03N TO 09N BETWEEN 79W AND 102W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09.5N84.5W TO 05.5N106W. THE
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 05.5N106W TO 07N117W TO BEYOND 05.5N140W.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 03N TO 09N
BETWEEN 79W AND 102W.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE EPAC MONSOON TROUGH IS
SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG NE GAP WINDS AND SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT IN
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, EXCEPT WELL OFFSHORE GUATEMALA
WHERE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE DOWNWIND FROM A GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT, WITH SIMILAR WINDS NEAR THE GULF OF
FONSECA. SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, GENTLE TO MODERATE
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND 3 TO 5 FT SEAS IN MODERATE S TO SW SWELL
PREVAIL, MIXED WITH NW SWELL FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GAP
WIND EVENT. ACTIVE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM OFFSHORE COLOMBIA
AND PANAMA TO COSTA RICA AS DESCRIBED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ
SECTION ABOVE.
PLEASE READ THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOUT LARGE NW SWELL
OVER THE WATERS NORTH OF THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH THROUGH THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS JUST NW OF THE WATERS WITH FRESH TO STRONG
SW WINDS CREEPING JUST SE OF 30N140W. HIGH PRESSURE OF 1023 MB IS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER OUR AREA NEAR 27N128.5W. LIGHT TO GENTLE
ANTICYCLONIC WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 22N AND EAST OF THE
FRONT TO 120W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO 22N AND
WEST OF 120W. ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE OPEN WATERS, INCLUDING
SOUTH OF THE ITCZ, GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES PREVAIL. ASIDE FROM
THE LARGE SWELL DISCUSSED ABOVE, SEAS ARE MAINLY IN THE 5 TO 8 FT
RANGE.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN MEXICO AND LOW PRESSURE WITHIN THE
EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH WILL SUPPORT GALE-FORCE GAP
WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH SUN NIGHT. SEAS DURING
THE WARNING EVENT WILL PEAK AT 12 TO 16 FT. THE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL SHIFT EAST BY EARLY MON, WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
LOOSENING. THIS WILL DIMINISH WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE EARLY MON
WITH FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY PULSES THEREAFTER INTO MID-WEEK.
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS AND OFFSHORE WATERS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/OFFSHORES_EASTPAC.PHP FOR MORE
DETAILS.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON
TROUGH WILL SUPPORT PULSING FRESH TO STRONG NE GAP WINDS IN THE
PAPAGAYO REGION INTO EARLY WED, THEN MODERATE TO FRESH
THEREAFTER. GALES IN THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION WILL SUPPORT
NORTHERLY SWELL AND ROUGH SEAS WELL OFFSHORE GUATEMALA THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE, WINDS WILL BE MODERATE
OR WEAKER WITH MODERATE SEAS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, PULSING TO
MODERATE TO FRESH IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AT TIMES. SEAS MAY BUILD
MID-WEEK IN NW SWELL.
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN MEXICO AND LOW PRESSURE WITHIN THE
EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH WILL SUPPORT GALE-FORCE GAP
WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH SUN NIGHT. SEAS DURING
THE WARNING EVENT WILL PEAK AT 12 TO 16 FT. THE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL SHIFT EAST BY EARLY MON, WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
LOOSENING. THIS WILL DIMINISH WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE EARLY MON
WITH FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY PULSES THEREAFTER INTO MID-WEEK.
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS AND OFFSHORE WATERS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/OFFSHORES_EASTPAC.PHP FOR MORE
DETAILS.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE EPAC MONSOON TROUGH IS
SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG NE GAP WINDS AND SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT IN
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, EXCEPT WELL OFFSHORE GUATEMALA
WHERE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE DOWNWIND FROM A GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT, WITH SIMILAR WINDS NEAR THE GULF OF
FONSECA. SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, GENTLE TO MODERATE
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND 3 TO 5 FT SEAS IN MODERATE S TO SW SWELL
PREVAIL, MIXED WITH NW SWELL FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GAP
WIND EVENT. ACTIVE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM OFFSHORE COLOMBIA
AND PANAMA TO COSTA RICA AS DESCRIBED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ
SECTION ABOVE.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON
TROUGH WILL SUPPORT PULSING FRESH TO STRONG NE GAP WINDS IN THE
PAPAGAYO REGION INTO EARLY WED, THEN MODERATE TO FRESH
THEREAFTER. GALES IN THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION WILL SUPPORT
NORTHERLY SWELL AND ROUGH SEAS WELL OFFSHORE GUATEMALA THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE, WINDS WILL BE MODERATE
OR WEAKER WITH MODERATE SEAS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, PULSING TO
MODERATE TO FRESH IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AT TIMES. SEAS MAY BUILD
MID-WEEK IN NW SWELL.
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 10N87W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT WINDS TO 30 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE EPAC MONSOON TROUGH IS
SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG NE GAP WINDS AND SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT IN
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, EXCEPT WELL OFFSHORE GUATEMALA
WHERE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE DOWNWIND FROM A GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT, WITH SIMILAR WINDS NEAR THE GULF OF
FONSECA. SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, GENTLE TO MODERATE
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND 3 TO 5 FT SEAS IN MODERATE S TO SW SWELL
PREVAIL, MIXED WITH NW SWELL FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GAP
WIND EVENT. ACTIVE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM OFFSHORE COLOMBIA
AND PANAMA TO COSTA RICA AS DESCRIBED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ
SECTION ABOVE.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE EPAC MONSOON TROUGH IS
SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG NE GAP WINDS AND SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT IN
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, EXCEPT WELL OFFSHORE GUATEMALA
WHERE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE DOWNWIND FROM A GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT, WITH SIMILAR WINDS NEAR THE GULF OF
FONSECA. SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, GENTLE TO MODERATE
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND 3 TO 5 FT SEAS IN MODERATE S TO SW SWELL
PREVAIL, MIXED WITH NW SWELL FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GAP
WIND EVENT. ACTIVE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM OFFSHORE COLOMBIA
AND PANAMA TO COSTA RICA AS DESCRIBED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ
SECTION ABOVE.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON
TROUGH WILL SUPPORT PULSING FRESH TO STRONG NE GAP WINDS IN THE
PAPAGAYO REGION INTO EARLY WED, THEN MODERATE TO FRESH
THEREAFTER. GALES IN THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION WILL SUPPORT
NORTHERLY SWELL AND ROUGH SEAS WELL OFFSHORE GUATEMALA THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE, WINDS WILL BE MODERATE
OR WEAKER WITH MODERATE SEAS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, PULSING TO
MODERATE TO FRESH IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AT TIMES. SEAS MAY BUILD
MID-WEEK IN NW SWELL.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SW 3.2-4.2 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 2.8-3.9 feet @ 18sec
MONDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SW 2.9-4 feet @ 13sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NE 17-21, Seas SSW 2.5-3.9 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TUESDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 2.4-4 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas SSW 1.6-3.5 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - ENE 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - ENE 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (4.9 days old)
Updated 17 Dec 2024 03:14:51 GMT (4.9 days old)
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (1.9 days old)
Updated 20 Dec 2024 04:05:52 GMT (1.9 days old)
55 miles NW of Homer, Alaska
https://tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2024/12/20/sorxxl/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
WEAK53 PAAQ 200405
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
705 PM AKST Thu Dec 19 2024
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 4.4
* Origin Time 1903 AKST Dec 19 2024
2003 PST Dec 19 2024
0403 UTC Dec 20 2024
* Coordinates 60.3 North 152.2 West
* Depth 58 miles
* Location 55 miles NW of Homer, Alaska
100 miles SW of Anchorage, Alaska
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$