Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

November 23, 2025, 3:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - N 11-14, Seas NW 3.5-8.6 ft @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 14-17, Seas NW 3.9-8 ft @ 16sec

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NNW 15-19, Seas WNW 1.9-5.8 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 12-15, Seas WNW 2-6 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas WNW 2-6 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 10-12, Seas WNW --? ft @ 15sec

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-17, Seas NW 3.9-8 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 NNW 6-8, Seas NW 2.7-7.1 ft @ 16sec, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NNW 2-3, Seas WNW 1.6-4.6 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE NW OF THE AREA NEAR
35N133W THROUGH 30N125W TO OFFSHORE SW MEXICO. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE WATERS W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA N OF
20N. MODERATE TO FRESH N-NE WINDS ARE FROM 17N TO 20N INCLUDING
NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS AND CABO CORRIENTES, AS WELL AS IN
THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA DUE TO A LOCALLY TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT WITH TROUGHING ANALYZED OVER WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO.
WINDS ARE LIGHT TO GENTLE ELSEWHERE IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA,
AND OFFSHORE SW AND SOUTHERN MEXICO AWAY FROM THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. FRESH TO NEAR GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. SEAS ARE IN THE 7-10 FT OVER THE WATERS W OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN LARGE NW SWELL. SEAS OF 6-9 FT ARE
OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF
MEXICO, SEAS ARE IN THE 4-7 FT RANGE. OVER THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, SEAS OF 2-5 FT ARE NOTED IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION AND
1-3 FT ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, RIDGING WILL PERSISTS W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH
THE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS FROM 17N TO 20N PERSISTING INTO THE
EARLY PART OF THE WEEK, LOCALLY STRONG NEAR CABO CORRIENTES.
SIMILAR WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
INTO MID-WEEK. LARGE NW SWELL OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL
SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS THROUGH MON
NIGHT BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. NEW NW SWELL MAY ARRIVE NEXT
WEEKEND. FRESH TO NEAR GALE-FORCE N GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED
OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH EARLY MON BEFORE
DIMINISHING. GAP WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN OVER THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK, POSSIBLE REACHING GALE-FORCE THU AND THU NIGHT. ELSEWHERE,
BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE NW OF THE AREA NEAR
35N133W THROUGH 30N125W TO OFFSHORE SW MEXICO. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGING AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY
OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS N OF THE ITCZ
TO 20N AND W OF 110W PER RECENT ASCAT SCATTEROMETER DATA. NW
SWELL IS PROPAGATING ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS, WITH ROUGH
SEAS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT COVERING THE WATERS W OF A LINE FROM THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS TO
07N128W. MAINLY MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS OF 4-7 FT PREVAIL OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS. ACTIVE CONVECTION IS NEAR
THE ITCZ ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL WATERS PER CONVENTIONAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND AS DESCRIBED ABOVE LEADING TO LOCALLY
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - WNW 10-13, Seas WSW 3.4-4.3 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - WNW 8-10, Seas WSW --? ft @ 15sec
MONDAY - WNW 9-11, Seas W 1.9-3.4 ft @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - WNW 8-10, Seas WSW --? ft @ 15sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.4-4.1 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.5-4.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.5-4.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.1-4 ft @ 13sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
TUESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.1-4 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.2-3.3 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.9-3.1 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half W 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.4-3.5 ft @ 13sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half WNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.4-4.1 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.5-4.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.5-4.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.1-4 ft @ 13sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
TUESDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.1-4 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.2-3.3 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.9-3.1 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.4-3.5 ft @ 13sec
SATURDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 1.5-2.5 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.3-3.1 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.3-3.1 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - N 8-10, Seas SSW 2-3.1 ft @ 13sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TUESDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SW 1.5-2.7 ft @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.1-2.4 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 1-2.5 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - WNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.2-3.5 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - WNW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.3-3.6 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.4-3.6 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.7-3.7 ft @ 12sec

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TUESDAY - NW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.7-3.7 ft @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 14N97W TO 13N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.

A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE NW OF THE AREA NEAR
35N133W THROUGH 30N125W TO OFFSHORE SW MEXICO. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE WATERS W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA N OF
20N. MODERATE TO FRESH N-NE WINDS ARE FROM 17N TO 20N INCLUDING
NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS AND CABO CORRIENTES, AS WELL AS IN
THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA DUE TO A LOCALLY TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT WITH TROUGHING ANALYZED OVER WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO.
WINDS ARE LIGHT TO GENTLE ELSEWHERE IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA,
AND OFFSHORE SW AND SOUTHERN MEXICO AWAY FROM THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. FRESH TO NEAR GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. SEAS ARE IN THE 7-10 FT OVER THE WATERS W OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN LARGE NW SWELL. SEAS OF 6-9 FT ARE
OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF
MEXICO, SEAS ARE IN THE 4-7 FT RANGE. OVER THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, SEAS OF 2-5 FT ARE NOTED IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION AND
1-3 FT ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, RIDGING WILL PERSISTS W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH
THE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS FROM 17N TO 20N PERSISTING INTO THE
EARLY PART OF THE WEEK, LOCALLY STRONG NEAR CABO CORRIENTES.
SIMILAR WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
INTO MID-WEEK. LARGE NW SWELL OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL
SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS THROUGH MON
NIGHT BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. NEW NW SWELL MAY ARRIVE NEXT
WEEKEND. FRESH TO NEAR GALE-FORCE N GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED
OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH EARLY MON BEFORE
DIMINISHING. GAP WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN OVER THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK, POSSIBLE REACHING GALE-FORCE THU AND THU NIGHT. ELSEWHERE,
BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 16-20, Seas SSW 3.5-4.6 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 15-19, Seas SSW 3.5-4.6 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - N 12-15, Seas SSW 2-3.8 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 15-19, Seas SSW 3.5-4.6 ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - N 25-31, Seas SSW 6.2-7 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - N 24-30, Seas NNW 10.3-10.8 ft @ 8sec
SATURDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09.5N84W TO 07N86W. ITCZ FROM 07N86W TO
10N121W TO BEYOND 06.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN 77W AND 81.5W...FROM 07N TO 10.5N
BETWEEN 110W AND 115W...FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 114W AND 123W...
AND FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 123W AND 134.5W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09.5N84W TO 07N86W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 07N86W TO 10N121W TO BEYOND 06.5N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 09N
BETWEEN 77W AND 81.5W, FROM 07N TO 10.5N BETWEEN 110W AND 115W,
FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 114W AND 123W, AND FROM 06N TO 10N
BETWEEN 123W AND 134.5W.

A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE NW OF THE AREA NEAR
35N133W THROUGH 30N125W TO OFFSHORE SW MEXICO. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGING AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY
OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS N OF THE ITCZ
TO 20N AND W OF 110W PER RECENT ASCAT SCATTEROMETER DATA. NW
SWELL IS PROPAGATING ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS, WITH ROUGH
SEAS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT COVERING THE WATERS W OF A LINE FROM THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS TO
07N128W. MAINLY MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS OF 4-7 FT PREVAIL OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS. ACTIVE CONVECTION IS NEAR
THE ITCZ ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL WATERS PER CONVENTIONAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND AS DESCRIBED ABOVE LEADING TO LOCALLY
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

FOR THE FORECAST, RIDGING WILL PERSISTS W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH
THE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS FROM 17N TO 20N PERSISTING INTO THE
EARLY PART OF THE WEEK, LOCALLY STRONG NEAR CABO CORRIENTES.
SIMILAR WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
INTO MID-WEEK. LARGE NW SWELL OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL
SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS THROUGH MON
NIGHT BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. NEW NW SWELL MAY ARRIVE NEXT
WEEKEND. FRESH TO NEAR GALE-FORCE N GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED
OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH EARLY MON BEFORE
DIMINISHING. GAP WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN OVER THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK, POSSIBLE REACHING GALE-FORCE THU AND THU NIGHT. ELSEWHERE,
BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

.WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 10N88W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.

FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ARE OVER THE PAPAGAYO REGION, WITH
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS EXTENDING DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO TO NEAR 90W. GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS ARE
ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE, EXCEPT TO 6 FT NEAR THE
GULF OF PAPAGAYO.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 19-24, Seas SSW 2.2-3.5 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 2.2-3.5 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas SW 1.8-3.2 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY NIGHT - ENE 17-21, Seas SSW 1.1-2.8 ft @ 12sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TUESDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas SSW 1-2.6 ft @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 1.2-2.7 ft @ 15sec
THURSDAY - ENE 21-26, Seas SW 1.4-3.1 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NE 21-26, Seas SW 1.6-3.2 ft @ 13sec
SATURDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (13.9 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (13.9 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.

See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (0.5 days old)
Updated 23 Nov 2025 08:26:04 GMT (0.5 days old)
135 miles SW of Atka Village, Alaska

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/23/t6678b/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt

WEAK53 PAAQ 230826
TIBAK1

Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
1126 PM AKST Sat Nov 22 2025

...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.

PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.

* Magnitude 5.2
* Origin Time 2322 AKST Nov 22 2025
0022 PST Nov 23 2025
0822 UTC Nov 23 2025
* Coordinates 51.5 North 177.1 West
* Depth 22 miles
* Location 135 miles SW of Atka Village, Alaska
35 miles SW of Adak, Alaska

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.

* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.

$$