Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

November 14, 2025, 3:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - SSE 5-6, Seas NW 3.5-6.9 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - SSW 11-14, Seas NW 3.2-6.3 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - SW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NNW 10-13, Seas NW 3.9-7.2 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - NNW 8-10, Seas NW 3.6-7 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas NW 3.6-7 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SATURDAY - NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY NIGHT - NW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 SW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 WNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 WNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 32N114W TO 32N115W TO 31N115W TO
30N115W TO 30N114W TO 30N113W TO 32N114W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA... S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

MODERATELY STRONG 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL MEXICO IS
SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC THIS MORNING. FRESH NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS REACH UP
TO 300 NM FROM THE COAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. FARTHER
NORTH, THE COLD FRONT MENTIONED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION
IS APPROACHING GUADALUPE ISLAND, FOLLOWED BY LONG-PERIOD NW
SWELL TO 8 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE, WITH 4
TO 6 FT SEAS OFF MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS AND 1 TO 3 FT IN THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL
PERSIST IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM UNTIL SAT
WHILE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD.
FARTHER NORTH, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY THROUGH SAT, BRINGING FRESH TO
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND SEAS TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL TO THE WATERS
OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE TODAY AND SAT. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG
SW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE
FRONT SAT INTO EARLY SUN. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING FRONTAL BOUNDARY: A COLD FRONT EXTENDS
FROM 30N120W TO 20N132W AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
NOTED AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATERS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NORTH OF 20N
INTO SAT. RECENT DATA FROM ALTIMETER SATELLITE PASSES AND SOFAR
DRIFTING BUOYS INDICATE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH COMBINED SEAS UP TO
15 FT FOLLOW THE FRONT, AND ACROSS THE AREA WEST OF A LINE FROM
ROUGHLY GUADALUPE ISLAND TO 18N140W. EARLIER SCATTEROMETER
SATELLITE PASSES ALSO CONFIRMED MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS AS WELL
BEHIND THE FRONT. THE ROUGH SEAS WILL REACH SOUTH TO 10N AND THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATE TODAY INTO SAT. WINDS AND
SEAS WILL DIMINISH SUN.
FOR THE FORECAST, OUTSIDE OF THE AREA IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION, FRESH SW WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH
TODAY AND SAT, BETWEEN 90W AND 100W, SUPPORTING SEAS TO 8 FT.
LOOKING AHEAD, THE LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS IT MOVES INTO THE TROPICAL PACIFIC AND MIXES
WITH SHORTER- PERIOD WIND WAVES GENERATED BY MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WINDS. ANOTHER FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE WATERS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT WEEK, FOLLOWED BY LARGE NW SWELL
NORTH OF 28N AND EAST OF 130W.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - NW 11-14, Seas W 1.8-2.6 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - N 10-12, Seas W 1.5-2.7 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY - N 10-12, Seas W 1.5-2.7 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NW 8-10, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NW 10-12, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
SATURDAY - NW 10-12, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
SUNDAY - Northern Half W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern Half W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WSW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern Half NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WSW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 8-10, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NW 10-12, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
SATURDAY - NW 10-12, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SUNDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - WSW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - WSW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - N 8-10, Seas SW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NW 5-6, Seas SSW --? ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY NIGHT - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
SUNDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - W 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SATURDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY NIGHT - N 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
SUNDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NNE 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SATURDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY NIGHT - NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
SUNDAY - W 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - E 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - ESE 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - ESE 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - E 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N98W TO 12N98W TO 12N96W TO 14N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS
25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N95W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

MODERATELY STRONG 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL MEXICO IS
SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC THIS MORNING. FRESH NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS REACH UP
TO 300 NM FROM THE COAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. FARTHER
NORTH, THE COLD FRONT MENTIONED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION
IS APPROACHING GUADALUPE ISLAND, FOLLOWED BY LONG-PERIOD NW
SWELL TO 8 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE, WITH 4
TO 6 FT SEAS OFF MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS AND 1 TO 3 FT IN THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL
PERSIST IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM UNTIL SAT
WHILE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD.
FARTHER NORTH, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY THROUGH SAT, BRINGING FRESH TO
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND SEAS TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL TO THE WATERS
OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE TODAY AND SAT. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG
SW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE
FRONT SAT INTO EARLY SUN. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - NNE 15-19, Seas SW 4.3-5.3 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - N 14-18, Seas SW 4.6-5.5 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - N 14-18, Seas SW 4.6-5.5 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - SW 2-2, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
SUNDAY - S 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - SSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - WSW 3-4, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - SW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - SW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 06N100W TO 07N110W. ITCZ FROM
07N110W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN
92W AND 97W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 06N100W TO 07N110W.
THE ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 07N110W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS LOCATED NORTH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
CONTINUES TO SUPPORT FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG EASTERLY TRADE
WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION. SEAS IN THESE WATERS
ARE 6-9 FT. MEANWHILE, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS ARE FOUND SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. IN THE
REST OF THE BASIN, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
ARE PREVALENT. A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTED
AFFECTING THE NEARSHORE AND OFFSHORE WATERS OF COSTA RICA, PANAMA
AND COLOMBIA.
OUTSIDE OF THE IMPACTS DISCUSSED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION
ABOVE, THE MAIN ISSUE IS FRESH SW WINDS IN THE DEEP TROPICS EAST
OF 100W, NORTH OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS, FLOWING INTO THE MONSOON
TROUGH. SEAS TO 8 FT ARE POSSIBLE WITH COMPONENTS OF NW AND SW
SWELL. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND 5 TO 7 FT SEAS DOMINATE THE
BASIN ELSEWHERE, PRIMARILY WITH NW SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, OUTSIDE OF THE AREA IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION, FRESH SW WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH
TODAY AND SAT, BETWEEN 90W AND 100W, SUPPORTING SEAS TO 8 FT.
LOOKING AHEAD, THE LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS IT MOVES INTO THE TROPICAL PACIFIC AND MIXES
WITH SHORTER- PERIOD WIND WAVES GENERATED BY MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WINDS. ANOTHER FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE WATERS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT WEEK, FOLLOWED BY LARGE NW SWELL
NORTH OF 28N AND EAST OF 130W.

MODERATELY STRONG 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL MEXICO IS
SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC THIS MORNING. FRESH NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS REACH UP
TO 300 NM FROM THE COAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. FARTHER
NORTH, THE COLD FRONT MENTIONED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION
IS APPROACHING GUADALUPE ISLAND, FOLLOWED BY LONG-PERIOD NW
SWELL TO 8 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE, WITH 4
TO 6 FT SEAS OFF MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS AND 1 TO 3 FT IN THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL
PERSIST IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM UNTIL SAT
WHILE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD.
FARTHER NORTH, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY THROUGH SAT, BRINGING FRESH TO
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND SEAS TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL TO THE WATERS
OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE TODAY AND SAT. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG
SW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE
FRONT SAT INTO EARLY SUN. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N89W TO 11N92W TO 08N94W TO 08N91W TO 10N88W
TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.

HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS LOCATED NORTH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND
CONTINUES TO SUPPORT FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG EASTERLY TRADE
WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION. SEAS IN THESE WATERS
ARE 6-9 FT. MEANWHILE, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS ARE FOUND SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. IN THE
REST OF THE BASIN, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
ARE PREVALENT. A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTED
AFFECTING THE NEARSHORE AND OFFSHORE WATERS OF COSTA RICA, PANAMA
AND COLOMBIA.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SATURDAY - NE 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY NIGHT - ENE 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
SUNDAY - ENE 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NE 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - ENE 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - ENE 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - ENE 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (4.9 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (4.9 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.

See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (5.4 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 09:43:42 GMT (5.4 days old)
55 miles SE of Amukta Pass, Alaska

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/09/t5gddc/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.