Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
November 8, 2025, 9:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - W 4-5, Seas NW 3.4-7.1 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - N 1-1, Seas NW 3.4-6.6 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NW 7-9, Seas NW 3.6-7 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - NNW 8-10, Seas NW 3.2-6.6 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - NW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
GENTLE TO MODERATE N-NW WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE WATERS OFF OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT, THEN BECOME NE AND EXTEND
SOUTHWARD TO NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. LARGE NW SWELL IS
PRODUCING SEAS OF 8 TO 12 FT ACROSS THE WATERS NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA, AND 7 TO 10 FT SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS.
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF
MEXICO, INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, WHERE SEAS ARE 4 TO 6
FT IN MIXED NW AND SW SWELL. GENTLE W TO NW WINDS PREVAIL
THROUGHOUT THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, WHERE SEAS ARE 3 FT OR LESS.
NW SIGNIFICANT SWELL EVENT: RECENT SATELLITE ALTIMETER DATA, AND
BUOY OBSERVATIONS OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SHOW THAT
LARGE NW SWELL CONTINUES TO SUBSIDE ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS.
A SMALL AREA OF SEAS TO 12 FT STILL LINGERS OFFSHORE OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE NORTH OF 29N, AND IS EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE BELOW
12 FT BEFORE SUNRISE. ANOTHER PULSE OF LARGE NW SWELL WILL
PROPAGATE INTO THE NW WATERS SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON MORNING, WITH
SEAS GREATER THAN 12 FT SPREADING INTO THE NW WATERS LATE SAT
AFTERNOON THROUGH MON MORNING.
FOR THE FORECAST, LARGE NW SWELL MOVING THROUGH THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA WATERS WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH SUN. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE
FROM N TO S STARTING SAT MORNING. MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE BAJA WATERS THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THE NEXT GALE FORCE GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC REGION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITH STRONG NORTHERLY
WINDS SUN NIGHT. WINDS WILL LIKELY REACH GALE-FORCE BY EARLY MON
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUE NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING BELOW
GALE-FORCE WED. THIS EVENT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A VERY LARGE
AREA OF GALE-FORCE WINDS TO AROUND 40 KT EXTENDING SOUTH AND
SOUTHWESTWARD OF TEHUANTEPEC TO NEAR 13N96.5W BY MON NIGHT, WHEN
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD 12-18 FT. MARINERS SHOULD PLAN
ACCORDINGLY.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - WSW 6-8, Seas W 1.8-2.6 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - SSW 2-2, Seas W --? ft @ 18sec
SUNDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 7-9, Seas SSW 0.8-2.3 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 7-9, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
MONDAY - Northern Half NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half W 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern Half NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half N 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 7-9, Seas SSW 0.8-2.3 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 7-9, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 5-6, Seas SW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - ENE 5-6, Seas SSW --? ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - N 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
MONDAY - N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - N 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - NNE 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - W 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNE 3-4, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
MONDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - W 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NE 3-4, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.42 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N N WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94.5W TO 16N95W TO 15.5N95.5W TO
14N95.5W TO 14N95W TO 15N94.5W TO 16N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.0 M.
GENTLE TO MODERATE N-NW WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE WATERS OFF OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT, THEN BECOME NE AND EXTEND
SOUTHWARD TO NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. LARGE NW SWELL IS
PRODUCING SEAS OF 8 TO 12 FT ACROSS THE WATERS NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA, AND 7 TO 10 FT SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS.
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF
MEXICO, INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, WHERE SEAS ARE 4 TO 6
FT IN MIXED NW AND SW SWELL. GENTLE W TO NW WINDS PREVAIL
THROUGHOUT THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, WHERE SEAS ARE 3 FT OR LESS.
FOR THE FORECAST, LARGE NW SWELL MOVING THROUGH THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA WATERS WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH SUN. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE
FROM N TO S STARTING SAT MORNING. MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE BAJA WATERS THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THE NEXT GALE FORCE GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC REGION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITH STRONG NORTHERLY
WINDS SUN NIGHT. WINDS WILL LIKELY REACH GALE-FORCE BY EARLY MON
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUE NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING BELOW
GALE-FORCE WED. THIS EVENT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A VERY LARGE
AREA OF GALE-FORCE WINDS TO AROUND 40 KT EXTENDING SOUTH AND
SOUTHWESTWARD OF TEHUANTEPEC TO NEAR 13N96.5W BY MON NIGHT, WHEN
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD 12-18 FT. MARINERS SHOULD PLAN
ACCORDINGLY.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - WSW 4-5, Seas SW 4.7-5.6 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - WSW 3-4, Seas SW 4.2-5.1 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNE 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
MONDAY - NNW 34-43, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - N 30-38, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - N 22-27, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - NNW 20-25, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 26-33, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N75W TO 11N101W TO 08.5N115W. ITCZ FROM
08.5N115W TO 09N130W TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 09N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 85W AND 95W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 08.5N TO 13.5N BETWEEN
100W AND 110W AND FROM 07.5N TO 11N BETWEEN 110W AND 137W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N75W TO 11N101W TO 08.5N115W.
THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 08.5N115W TO 09N130W TO BEYOND
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 09N TO 11.5N
BETWEEN 85W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 08.5N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W,
AND FROM 07.5N TO 11N BETWEEN 110W AND 137W.
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE WATERS N OF 20N AND W OF 120W,
ANCHORED BY A 1021 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 33N129W. LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS ARE N OF 24N AND W OF 120W. SEAS ARE 7 TO 10 FT
THERE IN SLOWLY SUBSIDING NW SWELL. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ
IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS FROM 10N TO 21N AND
WEST OF 120W. THE NW SWELL MOVING ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS IS
MIXING WITH NE WAVES BEING GENERATED IN THE TRADE WIND ZONE FROM
10N TO 18N AND WEST OF 120W, WHERE SEAS ARE 8 TO 11 FT. MODERATE
TO FRESH N WINDS ARE NORTH OF 27N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W, WHERE
SEAS ARE 10 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS
PREVAIL SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ, WHERE SEAS ARE 7 TO 9
FT IN MIXED NW AND SW SWELL. SEAS ARE IN THE 6 TO 8 FT RANGE
ELSEWHERE TO THE EAST.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
RECENT SATELLITE DERIVED SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWED LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS PREVAILING ACROSS THE AREA WATERS N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH, ROUGHLY ALONG 10N. GENTLE TO MODERATE SW TO W WINDS ARE
SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, AND ARE STRONGEST ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ECUADOR. SEAS ARE IN THE 4 TO 6 FT RANGE IN SW SWELL
OVER THE DISCUSSION WATERS. SCATTERED HEAVY SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING
ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF PANAMA.
FOR THE FORECAST, NE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
REGION WILL INCREASE TO MODERATE SPEEDS THIS MORNING AND THEN
PULSE TO FRESH SPEEDS SAT NIGHT AND SUN NIGHT, BEFORE FRESHENING
MON EVENING THROUGH TUE EVENING AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
NORTH OF THE REGION. FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS MAY BRIEFLY OCCUR
ACROSS THE WATERS FROM THE GULF OF FONSECA WESTWARD ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS OF EL SALVADOR TUE AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. OTHERWISE,
RELATIVELY MILD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE REGIONAL
WATERS THROUGH MON. SEAS WILL BE DOMINATED BY A MIX OF MODERATE
SW AND NW SWELL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT
TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED BY MON AND WILL GENERATE
LARGE NORTHERLY SEAS MOVING INTO THE OUTER WATERS OF GUATEMALA
MON NIGHT THROUGH WED MORNING.
FOR THE FORECAST, NE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
REGION WILL INCREASE TO MODERATE SPEEDS THIS MORNING AND THEN
PULSE TO FRESH SPEEDS SAT NIGHT AND SUN NIGHT, BEFORE FRESHENING
MON EVENING THROUGH TUE EVENING AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
NORTH OF THE REGION. FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS MAY BRIEFLY OCCUR
ACROSS THE WATERS FROM THE GULF OF FONSECA WESTWARD ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS OF EL SALVADOR TUE AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. OTHERWISE,
RELATIVELY MILD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE REGIONAL
WATERS THROUGH MON. SEAS WILL BE DOMINATED BY A MIX OF MODERATE
SW AND NW SWELL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT
TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED BY MON AND WILL GENERATE
LARGE NORTHERLY SEAS MOVING INTO THE OUTER WATERS OF GUATEMALA
MON NIGHT THROUGH WED MORNING.
FOR THE FORECAST, NE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
REGION WILL INCREASE TO MODERATE SPEEDS THIS MORNING AND THEN
PULSE TO FRESH SPEEDS SAT NIGHT AND SUN NIGHT, BEFORE FRESHENING
MON EVENING THROUGH TUE EVENING AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
NORTH OF THE REGION. FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS MAY BRIEFLY OCCUR
ACROSS THE WATERS FROM THE GULF OF FONSECA WESTWARD ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS OF EL SALVADOR TUE AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. OTHERWISE,
RELATIVELY MILD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE REGIONAL
WATERS THROUGH MON. SEAS WILL BE DOMINATED BY A MIX OF MODERATE
SW AND NW SWELL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT
TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED BY MON AND WILL GENERATE
LARGE NORTHERLY SEAS MOVING INTO THE OUTER WATERS OF GUATEMALA
MON NIGHT THROUGH WED MORNING.
RECENT SATELLITE DERIVED SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWED LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS PREVAILING ACROSS THE AREA WATERS N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH, ROUGHLY ALONG 10N. GENTLE TO MODERATE SW TO W WINDS ARE
SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, AND ARE STRONGEST ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ECUADOR. SEAS ARE IN THE 4 TO 6 FT RANGE IN SW SWELL
OVER THE DISCUSSION WATERS. SCATTERED HEAVY SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING
ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF PANAMA.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - ENE 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
MONDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NE 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - SW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - SW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (4.3 days old)
Updated 04 Nov 2025 07:49:32 GMT (4.3 days old)
ABOUT 102 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/04/25308003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (4.3 days old)
Updated 04 Nov 2025 06:30:16 GMT (4.3 days old)
20 miles SE of Kotzebue, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/04/t56v7t/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.