Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
May 9, 2025, 9:01 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
Questions/Comments visit http://svsarana.com
This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94.5W TO 16N95W TO 16N95.5W TO
15.5N95.5W TO 15N94.5W TO 15.5N94.5W TO 16N94.5W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE EXCEPT WINDS TO 35 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N97W TO 14N95W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N95W TO 14N97W TO
13N98W TO 12N97W TO 13N96W TO 14N95W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SW 3.3-5.9 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 12-15, Seas SW 3.3-5.9 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - NW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.1-5.8 feet @ 18sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.1-5.8 feet @ 18sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.1-5.9 feet @ 19sec
TONITE - NW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.1-5.9 feet @ 19sec
SATURDAY - W 10-12, Seas SSW 2.6-5.2 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - W 10-12, Seas SSW 2.6-5.2 feet @ 15sec
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 0-5.2 feet @ 19sec
TONITE - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 0-5.2 feet @ 19sec
SATURDAY - NW 13-16, Seas SSW 2.7-5.2 feet @ 16sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NW 13-16, Seas SSW 2.7-5.2 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 11-14, Seas SSW 4-4.8 feet @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 WNW 8-10, Seas SSW 2.1-4.4 feet @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 WNW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.2-4.5 feet @ 15sec
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 4.6-5.2 feet @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 WNW 8-10, Seas SSW 0-4.2 feet @ 13sec, Southern 1/3 WNW 12-15, Seas SW 2.4-4.1 feet @ 16sec
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-18, Seas SW 5.8-6.7 feet @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 WNW 11-14, Seas SW 3.2-4.6 feet @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH AT 38N130W
SOUTHEASTWARD OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS.
A RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS INDICATED FRESH TO MODERATE
NW WINDS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE, GENTLE TO MODERATE NW WINDS
ACROSS MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 20N, AND LIGHT
BREEZES FARTHER SOUTH. COMBINED SEAS ARE GENERALLY 4 TO 6 FT
EXCEPT FOR 1 TO 3 FT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, A LATE SEASON N GAP WIND EVENT SHOULD BEGIN LATE
TONIGHT OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH GALE FORCE BEGINNING SAT AND POSSIBLY LAST THROUGH MON
MORNING. ELSEWHERE, WEAK RIDGING OVER THE WATERS WEST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WILL PROMOTE GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER
FORECAST WATERS FROM PUERTO ANGEL WESTWARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
LOOKING AHEAD, ON MON AND TUE STRONGER OFFSHORE RIDGING SHOULD
ENHANCE THE NW WINDS WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO
FRESH CONDITIONS.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 0-3.7 feet @ 19sec
TONITE - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 0-3.7 feet @ 19sec
SATURDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 0-3.3 feet @ 17sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 0-3.3 feet @ 17sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.1-5.1 feet @ 19sec
TONITE - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.1-5.1 feet @ 19sec
SATURDAY - SW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.7-4.2 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - SW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.7-4.2 feet @ 15sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
SUNDAY - Northern Half SSE 6-8, Seas SSW 1.6-2.9 feet @ 14sec, Southern Half SW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.4-3.5 feet @ 14sec
MONDAY - Northern Half SSW 6-7, Seas SSW 1.3-2.5 feet @ 13sec, Southern Half SW 9-11, Seas SW 1.3-3.2 feet @ 17sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half NNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half WSW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half N 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half S 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern Half N 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.1-5.1 feet @ 19sec
TONITE - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.1-5.1 feet @ 19sec
SATURDAY - SW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.7-4.2 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - SW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.7-4.2 feet @ 15sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SUNDAY - SW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.4-3.5 feet @ 14sec
MONDAY - SW 9-11, Seas SW 1.3-3.2 feet @ 17sec
TUESDAY - WSW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - S 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - W 7-9, Seas SSW 0-4.3 feet @ 18sec
TONITE - W 7-9, Seas SSW 0-4.3 feet @ 18sec
SATURDAY - WSW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-3.6 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - WSW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-3.6 feet @ 15sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
SUNDAY - WSW 8-10, Seas SSW 1-3 feet @ 14sec
MONDAY - W 8-10, Seas SW 0-2.7 feet @ 17sec
TUESDAY - W 9-11, Seas SW 1.8-2.7 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - N 9-11, Seas SSW 0-5.1 feet @ 18sec
TONITE - N 9-11, Seas SSW 0-5.1 feet @ 18sec
SATURDAY - N 10-12, Seas SSW 0-4.7 feet @ 16sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - N 10-12, Seas SSW 0-4.7 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
SUNDAY - SW 6-8, Seas SSW 0-3.6 feet @ 14sec
MONDAY - WSW 6-8, Seas SW 0-3.3 feet @ 17sec
TUESDAY - WNW 9-11, Seas SW 0-3.2 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - W 10-13, Seas SSW 1.9-5.7 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - W 10-13, Seas SSW 1.9-5.7 feet @ 16sec
SATURDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas SSW 0-5.4 feet @ 16sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - WNW 6-7, Seas SSW 0-5.4 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
SUNDAY - W 10-12, Seas SSW 1.1-4 feet @ 14sec
MONDAY - WNW 13-16, Seas SW 1.8-3.9 feet @ 17sec
TUESDAY - WNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - WNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94.5W TO 16N95W TO 16N95.5W TO
15.5N95.5W TO 15N94.5W TO 15.5N94.5W TO 16N94.5W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N97W TO 14N95W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N95W TO 14N97W TO
13N98W TO 12N97W TO 13N96W TO 14N95W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, A LATE SEASON N GAP WIND EVENT SHOULD BEGIN LATE
TONIGHT OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH GALE FORCE BEGINNING SAT AND POSSIBLY LAST THROUGH MON
MORNING. ELSEWHERE, WEAK RIDGING OVER THE WATERS WEST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WILL PROMOTE GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER
FORECAST WATERS FROM PUERTO ANGEL WESTWARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
LOOKING AHEAD, ON MON AND TUE STRONGER OFFSHORE RIDGING SHOULD
ENHANCE THE NW WINDS WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO
FRESH CONDITIONS.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - SW 8-10, Seas SSW 0-5.8 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - SW 8-10, Seas SSW 0-5.8 feet @ 16sec
SATURDAY - NNW 29-36, Seas SSW 4.7-6.6 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NNW 29-36, Seas SSW 4.7-6.6 feet @ 15sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
SUNDAY - NNE 22-28, Seas N 8.2-8.9 feet @ 7sec
MONDAY - N 17-21, Seas N 7.3-8 feet @ 6sec
TUESDAY - N 14-17, Seas SW 0-4.7 feet @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY - SW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - SW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 08N110W. ITCZ FROM 08N110W TO
08N130W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 93W AND 98W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AT
09N84W TO 08N110W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 08N110W TO 08N130W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ACTIVE FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN
93W AND 98W.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH AT 38N130W
SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE OVER THE MONSOON
TROUGH/ITCZ IS FORCING ONLY MODERATE TO FRESH NE TRADES WITH SEAS
7-9 FT IN MIXED WIND WAVES AND N SWELL FROM 09N-15N WEST OF
110W. ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE GENTLE TO MODERATE AND SEAS ARE 5-7 FT
IN MIXED SWELL.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
FOR THE FORECAST, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ACROSS THE FORECAST
WATERS WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. LOOKING AHEAD, E GAP WINDS
OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION WILL INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG
SPEEDS STARTING SUN NIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
FOR THE FORECAST, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ACROSS THE FORECAST
WATERS WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. LOOKING AHEAD, E GAP WINDS
OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION WILL INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG
SPEEDS STARTING SUN NIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 13-16, Seas SSW 0-4.3 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - ENE 13-16, Seas SSW 0-4.3 feet @ 16sec
SATURDAY - SSW 13-16, Seas SSW 0-3.8 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - SSW 13-16, Seas SSW 0-3.8 feet @ 15sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
SUNDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SSW 2.1-3.8 feet @ 14sec
MONDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SW 2.2-3.7 feet @ 18sec
TUESDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SW 1.7-3.5 feet @ 18sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (5.2 days old)
Updated 04 May 2025 07:03:12 GMT (5.2 days old)
ABOUT MILES NORTHWEST OF SAINT THOMAS
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/05/04/25124050/1/WECA42/WECA42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (2.6 days old)
Updated 06 May 2025 23:30:57 GMT (2.6 days old)
45 miles NW of Seward, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/05/06/svv56p/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.