Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America



July 26, 2024, 9:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 4-5.6 feet @ 13sec
TONITE - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 4-5.6 feet @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 4.3-5.8 feet @ 16sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 4.3-5.8 feet @ 16sec

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - WNW 10-12, Seas S 2.1-5 feet @ 13sec
TONITE - WNW 10-12, Seas S 2.1-5 feet @ 13sec
SUNDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas SSW 3.2-5.2 feet @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - WNW 8-10, Seas SSW 3.2-5.2 feet @ 15sec

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 14-17, Seas SSW 4-6.1 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 14-17, Seas SSW 4-6.1 feet @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.6-5.7 feet @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.6-5.7 feet @ 15sec

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 4.4-5.6 feet @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 NW 10-12, Seas SSW 3.4-5.3 feet @ 15sec, Southern 1/3 WNW 12-15, Seas SSW 3.2-5.2 feet @ 15sec
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 4.6-5.7 feet @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 WNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 WNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 W 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet


**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

A THIN PLUME OF FRESH N WINDS IS IN THE IMMEDIATE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF MEXICO, INCLUDING IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA,
AS SAMPLED BY RECENT ASCAT SCATTEROMETER DATA. SEAS ARE IN THE
4-6 FT RANGE IN THE OPEN WATERS IN MAINLY S TO SW SWELL, AND 1-3
FT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, EXCEPT TO 4 FT NEAR THE ENTRANCE.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH SE WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. FRESH N WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AT TIMES. WINDS WILL BE MODERATE OR WEAKER
ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, EXCEPT INCREASING TO
MODERATE TO FRESH OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MODERATE SEAS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS, BUILDING
SOMEWHAT OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOOKING AHEAD, AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK A FEW
HUNDRED NAUTICAL MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.
SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AFTER THAT TIME AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 KT PARALLEL TO THE COAST
OF MEXICO.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 8-10, Seas SSW 1.9-3.5 feet @ 13sec
TONITE - W 8-10, Seas SSW 1.9-3.5 feet @ 13sec
SUNDAY - W 10-13, Seas SSW 2.4-3.8 feet @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - W 10-13, Seas SSW 2.4-3.8 feet @ 14sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - SW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.2-4.8 feet @ 13sec
TONITE - SW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.2-4.8 feet @ 13sec
SUNDAY - SW 8-10, Seas SSW 2.1-4.7 feet @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - SW 8-10, Seas SSW 2.1-4.7 feet @ 15sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
MONDAY - Northern Half NW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.9-3.3 feet @ 15sec, Southern Half SW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.4-4.4 feet @ 15sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half W 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half SW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.1-3.8 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half SSE 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern Half NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half S 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet


**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - SW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.2-4.8 feet @ 13sec
TONITE - SW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.2-4.8 feet @ 13sec
SUNDAY - SW 8-10, Seas SSW 2.1-4.7 feet @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - SW 8-10, Seas SSW 2.1-4.7 feet @ 15sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - SW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.4-4.4 feet @ 15sec
TUESDAY - SW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.1-3.8 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - SSE 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - S 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet


**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - W 6-8, Seas SSW 1-3.5 feet @ 13sec
TONITE - W 6-8, Seas SSW 1-3.5 feet @ 13sec
SUNDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas SSW 0.9-3.5 feet @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - WNW 6-7, Seas SSW 0.9-3.5 feet @ 15sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 0.9-3.2 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY - W 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - SSW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - SSW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet


**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - NE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-4.4 feet @ 13sec
TONITE - NE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-4.4 feet @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SSW 0-4.2 feet @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 6-8, Seas SSW 0-4.2 feet @ 15sec

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
MONDAY - NW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-3.8 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY - N 8-10, Seas SSW 0-3.7 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - SSE 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - S 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet


**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - WNW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-5 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - WNW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-5 feet @ 14sec
SUNDAY - WSW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.3-4.7 feet @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - WSW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.3-4.7 feet @ 15sec

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
MONDAY - NNE 12-15, Seas SSW 1.4-4.7 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY - ESE 10-13, Seas SSW 0-4.2 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - SE 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - ESE 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet


**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

A THIN PLUME OF FRESH N WINDS IS IN THE IMMEDIATE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF MEXICO, INCLUDING IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA,
AS SAMPLED BY RECENT ASCAT SCATTEROMETER DATA. SEAS ARE IN THE
4-6 FT RANGE IN THE OPEN WATERS IN MAINLY S TO SW SWELL, AND 1-3
FT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, EXCEPT TO 4 FT NEAR THE ENTRANCE.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH SE WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND. FRESH N WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AT TIMES. WINDS WILL BE MODERATE OR WEAKER
ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, EXCEPT INCREASING TO
MODERATE TO FRESH OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MODERATE SEAS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS, BUILDING
SOMEWHAT OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOOKING AHEAD, AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK A FEW
HUNDRED NAUTICAL MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.
SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AFTER THAT TIME AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 KT PARALLEL TO THE COAST
OF MEXICO.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 12-15, Seas SSW 0-4.4 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - N 12-15, Seas SSW 0-4.4 feet @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NE 6-8, Seas SSW 0-4.6 feet @ 16sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NE 6-8, Seas SSW 0-4.6 feet @ 16sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
MONDAY - ESE 10-12, Seas SSW 0-4.9 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 0-5.6 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - NNW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet


**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 14N114W THEN RESUMES FROM 15N122W
TO 11N131W. ITCZ FROM 11N131W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 03N TO 10.5N BETWEEN 77W AND 91W. ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 91W AND 98W...
FROM 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 104W AND 118W...AND FROM 12N TO 16N
BETWEEN 120W AND 127W.

THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 78W FROM 03N AT THE PACIFIC
COAST OF COLOMBIA NORTHWARD ACROSS EASTERN PANAMA AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA, MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD AT 20-25 KT. NEARBY
CONVECTION IS DESCRIBED BELOW IN THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION.
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 111W FROM 07N TO 19N NEAR
THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS, MOVING SLOWLY WEST AT AROUND 5 KT.
NEARBY CONVECTION IS DESCRIBED BELOW IN THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH
SECTION.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 14N114W, THEN RESUMES
FROM 15N122W TO 11N131W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 11N131W TO BEYOND
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 03N TO 10.5N
BETWEEN 77W AND 91W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 91W AND 98W, FROM 10N
TO 17N BETWEEN 104W AND 118W, AND FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 120W
AND 127W.

MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES ARE NORTH OF THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH TO
17N AND WEST OF 130W, LOCALLY STRONG PER RECENT ASCAT
SCATTEROMETER DATA. MODERATE TO FRESH SE TO S WINDS SOUTH OF THE
ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH AND WEST OF 120W. SEAS ARE IN THE 7-9 FT
RANGE ACROSS THESE WATERS ABOVE, MAINLY IN MERGING NE AND SE
SWELLS. ASIDE FROM THESE WINDS AND POST-TROPICAL BUD, GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE OPEN WATERS,
WITH 4-7 FT SEAS, HIGHEST WEST OF 110W.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE OVER AND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE NORTH OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE
SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE IN
MAINLY S TO SW SWELL.

MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE OVER AND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE NORTH OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE
SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE IN
MAINLY S TO SW SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF
OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, LOCALLY STRONG SUN
NIGHT THROUGH MON. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - E 10-13, Seas SW 0-4.5 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - E 10-13, Seas SW 0-4.5 feet @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NE 19-24, Seas SW 0-4.4 feet @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NE 19-24, Seas SW 0-4.4 feet @ 15sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
MONDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SSW 0-4.1 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 1.9-4 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - ENE 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - Not available yet


** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (8 days old)
Updated 19 Jul 2024 01:57:47 GMT (8 days old)
NORTHERN CHILE

https://tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2024/07/19/24201000/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.


See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (3.4 days old)
Updated 23 Jul 2024 16:18:18 GMT (3.4 days old)
115 miles NW of Port Alice, British Columbia

https://tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2024/07/23/sh33oi/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.