Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
November 22, 2025, 3:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - WSW 18-22, Seas NW 6.8-10.5 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - WNW 10-13, Seas NW 7.2-10 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas NW 7.2-10 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - WSW 18-22, Seas NW 6.8-10.5 ft @ 15sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - W 10-12, Seas NW 2.2-6.9 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - WSW 10-12, Seas NW --? ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 14-18, Seas W 3.1-4.3 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 12-15, Seas WNW 3.1-4.6 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 15-19, Seas WNW 2.4-5.1 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 13-16, Seas WNW 1.9-6.2 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 N 13-16, Seas NW 3.9-9.2 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas WNW 1.9-6.2 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas NW 3.8-8.1 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 N 10-12, Seas NW 3.9-6.7 ft @ 15sec, Middle 2/3 N 7-9, Seas NW 2.9-7 ft @ 15sec, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 N 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
.WITHIN 32N114W TO 32N115W TO 31N115W TO 30N115W TO 29N114W TO
30N113W TO 32N114W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...NW TO N
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING THE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE
WATERS IS PRECEDED BY MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS. MODERATE WINDS
ARE NOTED NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG
WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-13 FT RANGE W OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE. ELSEWHERE, SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER
THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, SEAS ARE
3 FT OR LESS.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT, GENERATING FRESH
TO STRONG NW TO W WINDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. LARGE NW SWELL
ACCOMPANYING THIS LOW WILL SPREAD OVER THE WATERS WEST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS THROUGH MON BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. FRESH TO STRONG N
GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH
SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - SW 12-15, Seas WSW 2.5-3.3 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - WSW 10-12, Seas WSW 4-4.7 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas WSW 3.6-4.5 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - SW 10-13, Seas WSW 1.2-2.4 ft @ 14sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.2-2 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - N 11-14, Seas SSW 1.4-2.6 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.3-3.2 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.7-4.5 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
MONDAY - Northern Half WNW 10-12, Seas W 1.8-3.3 ft @ 16sec, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.7-4.5 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.6-4.4 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.5-3.4 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half WSW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.1-3.2 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half WSW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.2-2 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - N 11-14, Seas SSW 1.4-2.6 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.3-3.2 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.7-4.5 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.7-4.5 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.6-4.4 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.5-3.4 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.1-3.2 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.1-1.6 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.4-2.1 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 1.8-2.7 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.3-3.2 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.3-3.2 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.2-3.2 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - N 14-17, Seas SW 2.1-3.9 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 14-17, Seas SW 2.5-4.2 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
MONDAY - N 14-17, Seas SW 2.5-4.2 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNE 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - WNW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.2-3.5 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.3-3.6 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
MONDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.3-3.6 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M IN NE SWELL.
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING THE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE
WATERS IS PRECEDED BY MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS. MODERATE WINDS
ARE NOTED NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG
WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-13 FT RANGE W OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE. ELSEWHERE, SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER
THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, SEAS ARE
3 FT OR LESS.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT, GENERATING FRESH
TO STRONG NW TO W WINDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. LARGE NW SWELL
ACCOMPANYING THIS LOW WILL SPREAD OVER THE WATERS WEST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS THROUGH MON BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. FRESH TO STRONG N
GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH
SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - NNW 17-21, Seas SSW 1.6-2.8 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.4-2.6 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NNW 17-21, Seas SSW 3-4.2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.4-2.6 ft @ 16sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
MONDAY - N 10-13, Seas SSW 1.9-3.8 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - N 23-29, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 21-26, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 07N103W. ITCZ FROM 07N103W TO
07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 116W AND
122W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 10N110W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 10N110W TO 07N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS
NOTED ALONG THESE BOUNDARIES AT THIS TIME.
ASIDE FROM THE WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE
CENTER OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A
1029 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 35N138W AND LOWER PRESSURE
IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING FRESH WINDS N OF THE
ITCZ AND W OF 125W. LARGE NW SWELL IS PROPAGATING ACROSS THE
WATERS N OF 20N, WITH SEAS IN THE 8-11 FT RANGE W OF A LINE FROM
20N130W TO 30N116W. SEAS OF 8-10 FT ARE ALSO OVER THE WATERS N OF
THE ITCZ TO 20N AND W OF 130W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS, AND
SEAS OF 4-7 FT, PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE DISCUSSION
WATERS.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT, GENERATING FRESH
TO STRONG NW TO W WINDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. LARGE NW SWELL
ACCOMPANYING THIS LOW WILL SPREAD OVER THE WATERS WEST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS THROUGH MON BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. FRESH TO STRONG N
GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH
SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 10N87W TO 10N86W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 1.7-2.9 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - ENE 15-19, Seas SSW 1.1-2.7 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SSW 2-3.3 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - ENE 17-21, Seas SSW 2-3.4 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
MONDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 1.4-3.1 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas SSW 1.1-2.7 ft @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas SW 0.9-2.6 ft @ 15sec
THURSDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NE 19-24, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (12.9 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (12.9 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (0.2 days old)
Updated 22 Nov 2025 15:41:27 GMT (0.2 days old)
80 miles SW of Palmer, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/22/t64wst/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
WEAK53 PAAQ 221541
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
641 AM AKST Sat Nov 22 2025
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 4.7
* Origin Time 0639 AKST Nov 22 2025
0739 PST Nov 22 2025
1539 UTC Nov 22 2025
* Coordinates 61.2 North 151.3 West
* Depth 56 miles
* Location 80 miles SW of Palmer, Alaska
45 miles W of Anchorage, Alaska
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$