Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
June 1, 2025, 3:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-6.7 feet @ 17sec
TONITE - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-6.7 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-6.1 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-6.1 feet @ 16sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - WNW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.3-7.4 feet @ 17sec
TONITE - WNW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.3-7.4 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.4-7.3 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - WNW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.4-7.3 feet @ 16sec
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - WNW 14-17, Seas SSW 4.7-7.6 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - WNW 14-17, Seas SSW 4.7-7.6 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY - NW 15-19, Seas SSW 4.6-7.4 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 15-19, Seas SSW 4.6-7.4 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 8-10, Seas SW 0-6.4 feet @ 15sec, Middle 2/3 NW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-6.1 feet @ 16sec, Southern 1/3 NW 16-20, Seas SSW 4.9-7 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 9-11, Seas W 0-6.4 feet @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 NW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.7-5.9 feet @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 NW 18-22, Seas SW 5.2-6.8 feet @ 15sec
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 11-14, Seas SW 2.9-5.8 feet @ 13sec, Southern 1/3 NW 18-22, Seas SW 5.6-6.8 feet @ 14sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC SWIRL ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
ALVIN IS MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AS THE SYSTEM PROGRESSES NORTHWARD. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS FEATURE. MODERATE TO FRESH
CYCLONIC WINDS ARE OBSERVED NORTH OF 21N AND EAST OF 113W.
MEANWHILE, AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE IS
PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AFFECTING THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THE STATE AND ALSO NW SONORA. THE REMAINDER OF THE MEXICAN
OFFSHORE WATERS ARE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT THAT MAINTAINS MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS, INCLUDING IN
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
LONG-PERIOD, SOUTHERLY SWELL PRODUCING SEAS OF 6-9 FT (2-3 M) IS
PRESENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, EXCEPT FOR
SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. THE HIGHEST SEAS ARE NOTED NEAR 14N103W.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE OF ALVIN WILL
CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD TODAY WHILE LOSING ITS IDENTITY,
HOWEVER, LINGERING SWELL FROM FORMER ALVIN WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE COASTS OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND THE
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TODAY. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE TO
LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS DUE TO LONG-PERIOD SW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH MON BEFORE
SUBSIDING. LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL WILL INDUCE ROUGH SEAS OFFSHORE
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT WEEK, THEN SUBSIDE DURING THE
MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK. LOOKING AHEAD, AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
IS FORECAST TO FORM OFFSHORE OF THE COASTS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND
SOUTHERN MEXICO BY THE MIDDLE PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM
LATE IN THE WEEK WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD TO WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 12-15, Seas SSW 1.5-4.7 feet @ 17sec
TONITE - W 12-15, Seas SSW 1.5-4.7 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - W 10-12, Seas SSW 1.9-4.7 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - W 10-12, Seas SSW 1.9-4.7 feet @ 16sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - SSW 12-15, Seas SSW 4.7-7.7 feet @ 17sec
TONITE - SSW 12-15, Seas SSW 4.7-7.7 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - SW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-7 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - SW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-7 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
TUESDAY - Northern Half W 10-12, Seas SSW 2.2-4.3 feet @ 15sec, Southern Half WNW 6-7, Seas SSW 1.4-5.1 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half W 11-14, Seas SSW 2.3-3.9 feet @ 14sec, Southern Half WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.7-4.6 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half W 9-11, Seas SSW 1.9-3.5 feet @ 14sec, Southern Half WNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half W 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half SW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern Half NNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half WSW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - SSW 12-15, Seas SSW 4.7-7.7 feet @ 17sec
TONITE - SSW 12-15, Seas SSW 4.7-7.7 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - SW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-7 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - SW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-7 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
TUESDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas SSW 1.4-5.1 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.7-4.6 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - SW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - WSW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - W 9-11, Seas SSW 0-6.2 feet @ 17sec
TONITE - W 9-11, Seas SSW 0-6.2 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.5-5.5 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - WNW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.5-5.5 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TUESDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.4-4.6 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.4-4.2 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SSW 1.4-4.1 feet @ 18sec
FRIDAY - W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - WSW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - WNW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-7.4 feet @ 17sec
TONITE - WNW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-7.4 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 0-6.3 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 0-6.3 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TUESDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-5.4 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 0-5 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - N 8-10, Seas SSW 0-5 feet @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - W 5-6, Seas SSW 0-7.7 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - W 5-6, Seas SSW 0-7.7 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.8-6.9 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - WNW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.8-6.9 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TUESDAY - W 12-15, Seas SSW 2.4-6.4 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - WNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.2-5.9 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - WSW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.5-5.6 feet @ 18sec
FRIDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - WNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC SWIRL ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
ALVIN IS MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AS THE SYSTEM PROGRESSES NORTHWARD. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS FEATURE. MODERATE TO FRESH
CYCLONIC WINDS ARE OBSERVED NORTH OF 21N AND EAST OF 113W.
MEANWHILE, AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE IS
PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AFFECTING THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THE STATE AND ALSO NW SONORA. THE REMAINDER OF THE MEXICAN
OFFSHORE WATERS ARE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT THAT MAINTAINS MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS, INCLUDING IN
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-7.9 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-7.9 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY - W 7-9, Seas SSW 0-7.5 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - W 7-9, Seas SSW 0-7.5 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TUESDAY - WSW 8-10, Seas SSW 0-6.6 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - SE 9-11, Seas SSW 1.5-6 feet @ 15sec
THURSDAY - N 6-8, Seas SSW 0-6.4 feet @ 14sec
FRIDAY - ENE 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - NE 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 09N120W. ITCZ FROM 09N120W TO
BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 03N AND E
OF 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 02N TO 12N BETWEEN 93W AND 119W ...FROM
04N TO 08N W OF 133W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR
10N85W TO 11N105W AND TO 09N120W. THE ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 09N120W
TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS OBSERVED NORTH OF 03N AND EAST OF 85W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 02N TO 12N AND BETWEEN 93W
AND 119W AND ALSO FROM 04N TO 08N AND WEST OF 133W.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OF 1038 MB IS ANALYZED WELL N OF THE AREA,
WITH ITS ASSOCIATED RIDGING REACHING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD TO NEAR
20N125W. THE ASSOCIATED TIGHT GRADIENT IS DRIVING A SWATH OF
FRESH N-NE WINDS OVER THE NW AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA TO
THE WEST OF A LINE FROM NEAR 30N125W TO 20N135W AND TO 18N140W.
SEAS ARE 6-9 FT (2-3 M) IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL WITH THESE
WINDS. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES ARE PRESENT OVER THE FAR WESTERN
PART OF THE AREA FROM 10N TO 18N W OF 130W ALONG WITH SEAS TO 7
FT (2 M) IN DECAYING N TO NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE, SOUTHERN
HEMISPHERIC SWELL IS PRODUCING SEAS TO 9 FT (3 M) ROUGHLY S OF
23N AND EAST OF 124W. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS
ARE NOTED SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REMAINS DISPLACED BY A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WELL NORTH OF THE AREA, RESULTING IN A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND NW SOUTH
AMERICA. MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE NOTED SOUTH OF 05N, WHILE
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE PRESENT ELSEWHERE. A LONG-PERIOD,
SOUTHERLY SWELL IS PRODUCING SEAS OF 6-8 FT (2-2.5 M) ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BASIN, EXCEPT FOR SEAS OF 3-6 FT (1-2 M) IN THE GULF OF
PANAMA.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - NNE 9-11, Seas SW 0-6.4 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - NNE 9-11, Seas SW 0-6.4 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY - SSE 12-15, Seas SW 0-5.7 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - SSE 12-15, Seas SW 0-5.7 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TUESDAY - SSE 9-11, Seas SW 0-5.6 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - SSW 13-16, Seas SW 0-5.3 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - SW 12-15, Seas SW 0-5.5 feet @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NE 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (1.9 days old)
Updated 30 May 2025 22:02:34 GMT (1.9 days old)
ABOUT 115 MILES EAST OF SAINT CROIX
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/05/30/25150001/1/WECA42/WECA42.txt
ZCZC
WECA42 PHEB 302202
TIBCAR
TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
602 PM AST FRI MAY 30 2025
AMZ712-715-725-735-742-745-PRZ001>003-005-007-008-010>013-
VIZ001-002-310002-
COASTAL AREAS OF PUERTO RICO - THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
...NO TSUNAMI THREAT FROM A NEARBY EARTHQUAKE...
AUDIENCE
--------
* GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS... MEDIA... AND GENERAL PUBLIC OF PUERTO
RICO... THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS... AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS.
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 4.6 OCCURRED
ABOUT 115 MILES EAST OF SAINT CROIX AT 552 PM AST ON FRIDAY
MAY 30 2025.
* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO
PUERTO RICO... THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS... OR THE BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.
* PEOPLE MAY HAVE EXPERIENCED SHAKING FROM THE EARTHQUAKE.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* THE FOLLOWING PARAMETERS ARE BASED ON A PRELIMINARY RAPID
ASSESSMENT OF THE EARTHQUAKE AND CHANGES MAY OCCUR.
* MAGNITUDE 4.6
* ORIGIN TIME 552 PM AST MAY 30 2025
* COORDINATES 17.5 NORTH 62.8 WEST
* DEPTH 6 MILES / 10 KM
* LOCATION ABOUT 115 MILES EAST OF SAINT CROIX
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.
IMPACTS
-------
* NO TSUNAMI IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT AND ANY TSUNAMI THREAT
TO PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS MAY BE FOUND ON THE
INTERNET AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* INFORMATION REGARDING ANY TSUNAMI THREAT TO US GULF OR
ATLANTIC COASTS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE US NATIONAL TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER AND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE CAN BE
OBTAINED FROM THE CORRESPONDING REGIONAL SEISMIC NETWORK OR
THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.
$$
NNNN
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (6.4 days old)
Updated 26 May 2025 08:42:48 GMT (6.4 days old)
45 miles SW of Eureka, California
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/05/26/swv0cx/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.