Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
November 29, 2025, 9:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - NW 6-8, Seas WNW 1-5.6 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NW 6-8, Seas WNW 1-5.6 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 6-8, Seas WNW --? ft @ 15sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - WNW 5-6, Seas NW 1.3-4.5 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - NW 5-6, Seas NW --? ft @ 17sec
SUNDAY - NW 6-7, Seas NW 1.4-5.4 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 5-6, Seas NW --? ft @ 17sec
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 2.2-4 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 14-17, Seas NW 2.7-4.5 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NW 16-20, Seas NW 2.7-4.5 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 5-6, Seas WNW 2.8-4.7 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 NNW 6-7, Seas WNW 2.2-5.6 ft @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas WNW 1.7-4.5 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NW 10-12, Seas WNW 1.9-4.7 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 6-8, Seas WNW 2.7-7 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 7-9, Seas WNW 2.5-6.9 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES
IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG N WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO 10 FT IN
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH N TO NW WINDS
ARE ONGOING FROM THE ENTRANCE OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TO CABO
CORRIENTES WITH SEAS TO 6 FT IN SW SWELL. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC, DIMINISHING TO FRESH SPEEDS THIS EVENING. STRONG
SPEEDS WINDS WILL BRIEFLY RESUME IN TEHUANTEPEC SUN NIGHT INTO
LATE MON, AND THEN AGAIN TUE NIGHT INTO WED. OTHERWISE, A
SURFACE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP SW OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR OFFSHORE WATERS TODAY AND THEN WILL DRIFT NE, IMPACTING THE
WATERS NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS WITH MODERATE TO FRESH NE
TO E WINDS SUN INTO MON. MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS ARE FORECAST
ELSEWHERE THROUGH WED NIGHT.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - WNW 9-11, Seas SW 0.8-2.5 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNE 3-4, Seas SSW --? ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - W 7-9, Seas SSW 0.9-2.6 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNE 3-4, Seas SSW --? ft @ 14sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - N 10-12, Seas SSW 2.5-3.8 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.1-3.5 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NW 14-18, Seas SSW 1.8-3.2 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 9-11, Seas SSW 3.5-4.4 ft @ 12sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
MONDAY - Northern Half WNW 10-12, Seas W 0.6-2.7 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half N 9-11, Seas SSW 3.5-4.4 ft @ 12sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half W 6-8, Seas W 0.7-3 ft @ 20sec, Southern Half NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.2-2.5 ft @ 11sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas W 0.6-3.7 ft @ 17sec, Southern Half N 8-10, Seas SSW 1.5-2.6 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half W 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - N 10-12, Seas SSW 2.5-3.8 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.1-3.5 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NW 14-18, Seas SSW 1.8-3.2 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 9-11, Seas SSW 3.5-4.4 ft @ 12sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - N 9-11, Seas SSW 3.5-4.4 ft @ 12sec
TUESDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.2-2.5 ft @ 11sec
WEDNESDAY - N 8-10, Seas SSW 1.5-2.6 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.7-3.1 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - N 10-12, Seas SSW 2-3.2 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NNW 15-19, Seas SSW 1.4-2.8 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 3-4, Seas SSW 2-3 ft @ 12sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2-2.9 ft @ 12sec
TUESDAY - N 6-8, Seas SSW 1.9-2.8 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 6-8, Seas W 0.7-2.3 ft @ 19sec
THURSDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - N 14-18, Seas SSW 1.6-3.4 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNE 11-14, Seas WSW 2-3.6 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
MONDAY - NNE 11-14, Seas WSW 2-3.6 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - NNE 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNE 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas WNW 0.7-3.3 ft @ 20sec
THURSDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - WNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 13N96W TO 13N95W TO 14N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 2.5 M TO 3.0 M.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.45 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W
TO 14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES
IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG N WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO 10 FT IN
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH N TO NW WINDS
ARE ONGOING FROM THE ENTRANCE OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TO CABO
CORRIENTES WITH SEAS TO 6 FT IN SW SWELL. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC, DIMINISHING TO FRESH SPEEDS THIS EVENING. STRONG
SPEEDS WINDS WILL BRIEFLY RESUME IN TEHUANTEPEC SUN NIGHT INTO
LATE MON, AND THEN AGAIN TUE NIGHT INTO WED. OTHERWISE, A
SURFACE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP SW OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR OFFSHORE WATERS TODAY AND THEN WILL DRIFT NE, IMPACTING THE
WATERS NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS WITH MODERATE TO FRESH NE
TO E WINDS SUN INTO MON. MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS ARE FORECAST
ELSEWHERE THROUGH WED NIGHT.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 18-22, Seas SSW 4.6-5.5 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - N 18-22, Seas SSW 4.6-5.5 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 1.5-3.4 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 10-13, Seas SSW 2-3.7 ft @ 12sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
MONDAY - N 11-14, Seas SSW 2.2-3.8 ft @ 12sec
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - N 10-13, Seas SSW 1.2-3.1 ft @ 11sec
THURSDAY - SW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - SW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N82W TO 05N94W TO 09N107W TO
08N131W. THE ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 08N131W TO BEYOND 07N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 16N BETWEEN
101W AND 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 10N E OF 89W...AND
FROM 07N TO 18N W OF 120W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N82W TO 05N94W TO 09N107W TO
08N131W. THE ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 08N131W TO BEYOND 07N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM
06N TO 16N BETWEEN 101W AND 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS ONGOING FROM 05N TO 10N E OF 89W AND FROM 07N TO 18N W OF
120W.
A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE WATERS N OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ TO THE W OF 110W. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH
AND ITCZ CONVECTION CONTINUES TO SUPPORT MODERATE TO FRESH NE TO
E WINDS N OF THESE BOUNDARIES TO ABOUT 20N AND W OF 107W. SEAS
IN THESE WATERS ARE 5-7 FT. LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL WITH PEAK SEAS
TO 10 FT IS STARTING TO MOVE ACROSS THE NW SUBTROPICAL WATERS
THIS MORNING. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE
SEAS PREVAIL.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E WINDS IN THE SW CARIBBEAN ARE FUNNELING
THROUGH COSTA RICA AND INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WHERE FRESH NE
WINDS REACH DOWNSTREAM TO ABOUT 90W. MODERATE SEAS TO 7 FT ARE
ONGOING WITH THESE WINDS. SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND BETWEEN
ECUADOR AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS, WINDS ARE GENTLE TO MODERATE
FROM THE S TO SW AND SEAS ARE MODERATE TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
.WITHIN 10N86W TO 11N87W TO 11N88W TO 09N89W TO 09N85W TO
10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E WINDS IN THE SW CARIBBEAN ARE FUNNELING
THROUGH COSTA RICA AND INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WHERE FRESH NE
WINDS REACH DOWNSTREAM TO ABOUT 90W. MODERATE SEAS TO 7 FT ARE
ONGOING WITH THESE WINDS. SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND BETWEEN
ECUADOR AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS, WINDS ARE GENTLE TO MODERATE
FROM THE S TO SW AND SEAS ARE MODERATE TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SW 2.7-3.9 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - ENE 16-20, Seas SW 1-3.4 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas SW 1-3.5 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - ENE 16-20, Seas SW 1-3.5 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
MONDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas SW 1.1-3.5 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - ENE 14-17, Seas SW 0.7-3.1 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas SSW 1-3 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas S 1.1-3 ft @ 11sec
FRIDAY - NE 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (1.4 days old)
Updated 28 Nov 2025 03:43:39 GMT (1.4 days old)
ABOUT 169 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAVAII ISLAND
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/28/25332000/1/WEZS42/WEZS42.txt
ZCZC
WEZS42 PHEB 280343
TIBPPG
ASZ001>004-280543-
TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
443 PM SST THU NOV 27 2025
...NO TSUNAMI THREAT FROM A NEARBY EARTHQUAKE...
AUDIENCE
--------
EMERGENCY MANAGERS... MEDIA... GENERAL PUBLIC
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 5.8 OCCURRED
ABOUT 169 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAVAII ISLAND AT 430 PM SST ON
THURSDAY NOVEMBER 27 2025.
* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO
AMERICAN SAMOA FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.
* SOME AREAS MAY HAVE EXPERIENCED MODERATE SHAKING.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* NO TSUNAMI IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 5.8
* ORIGIN TIME 430 PM SST NOV 27 2025
* COORDINATES 15.2 SOUTH 174.7 WEST
* DEPTH 176 MILES
* LOCATION ABOUT 169 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAVAII ISLAND
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND ON THE
INTERNET AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.
$$
NNNN
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (1.7 days old)
Updated 27 Nov 2025 21:02:14 GMT (1.7 days old)
15 miles NE of Monterey, California
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/27/t6ekw0/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
WEAK53 PAAQ 272102
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
102 PM PST Thu Nov 27 2025
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 4.1
* Origin Time 1158 AKST Nov 27 2025
1258 PST Nov 27 2025
2058 UTC Nov 27 2025
* Coordinates 36.7 North 121.7 West
* Depth 1 miles
* Location 15 miles NE of Monterey, California
80 miles SE of San Francisco, California
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$