Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
November 19, 2025, 3:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
THURSDAY - NW 11-14, Seas NW 1.4-4.8 ft @ 11sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - WNW 6-7, Seas NW --? ft @ 8sec
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 13-16, Seas WNW 2.5-2.7 ft @ 10sec
TONITE - NW 14-18, Seas NW 3.3-3.9 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - NW 14-18, Seas NW 3.3-3.9 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NW 10-12, Seas NW 0.7-3.5 ft @ 11sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas WNW 2.3-4.6 ft @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NW 10-12, Seas NW 0.7-3.5 ft @ 11sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 WNW 12-15, Seas W 2.5-3.6 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NW 12-15, Seas WNW 2.5-4.4 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 ENE 4-5, Seas WNW 1.1-5.4 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 ESE 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
.WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 30N115W TO 30N114W TO 30N113W TO
31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SW WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SW TO 22N124W TO 22N139W.
A TROUGH CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM 23N115W TO
18N128W. BEHIND THE FRONT, ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
30N116W TO 25N123W TO 26N134W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ONGOING
ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA DUE TO THESE FEATURES. WINDS BEHIND THE
FRONT ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER FROM THE NW AND SEAS ARE ROUGH TO 10
FT IN LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL. THE FRONT IS ALSO MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA, WHERE IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG
SW WINDS AND SEAS TO 6 FT. OTHERWISE, A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT
SUPPORT MAINLY LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS WITH SLIGHT TO MODERATE
SEAS IN NW SWELL ELSEWHERE, EXCEPT FOR SLIGHT SEAS IN THE
REMAINDER GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, STRONG SW WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THROUGH
TONIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE WHILE GRADUALLY WEAKENING,
AND DISSIPATE N OF CABO SAN LAZARO BY LATE WED. ROUGH SEAS IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS THE OUTER OFFSHORE
WATERS N OF CABO SAN LAZARO THROUGH THU MORNING. OTHERWISE, A
NEW COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE
OFFSHORE WATERS THU NIGHT FOLLOWED BY LARGE SWELL BRINGING ROUGH
SEAS TO THE WATERS N OF CABO SAN LUCAS THROUGH MON.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 9-11, Seas WNW 1.1-2.2 ft @ 11sec
TONITE - WNW 2-2, Seas W --? ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY - NW 10-13, Seas W 2.5-2.8 ft @ 17sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - WNW 2-2, Seas W --? ft @ 6sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 7-9, Seas NNW 1.9-2 ft @ 4sec
TONITE - NW 2-3, Seas SSE 0.6-1 ft @ 8sec
THURSDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSE 1.2-1.8 ft @ 7sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NNW 9-11, Seas WNW 1.7-2.1 ft @ 5sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
FRIDAY - Northern Half W 7-9, Seas W 1.6-1.9 ft @ 15sec, Southern Half NNW 9-11, Seas WNW 1.7-2.1 ft @ 5sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half WSW 10-12, Seas SSW 0.9-1.9 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half W 10-12, Seas WSW 0.7-3.1 ft @ 15sec, Southern Half NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 1.9-3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - Northern Half W 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 2.7-3.7 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half N 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 7-9, Seas NNW 1.9-2 ft @ 4sec
TONITE - NW 2-3, Seas SSE 0.6-1 ft @ 8sec
THURSDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSE 1.2-1.8 ft @ 7sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NNW 9-11, Seas WNW 1.7-2.1 ft @ 5sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
FRIDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas WNW 1.7-2.1 ft @ 5sec
SATURDAY - WSW 10-12, Seas SSW 0.9-1.9 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 1.9-3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 2.7-3.7 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
THURSDAY - NW 9-11, Seas S 0.3-0.8 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - N 6-8, Seas S 0.5-0.9 ft @ 6sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
FRIDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 0.8-1.4 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.5-2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.5-2.6 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - N 11-14, Seas WNW 1.1-2.4 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - N 12-15, Seas SW 1.7-3.8 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
THURSDAY - W 8-10, Seas S 0.4-1.6 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NW 7-9, Seas S 0.9-1.8 ft @ 7sec
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
FRIDAY - W 8-10, Seas SW 0.7-1.7 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SW 1.1-2 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - W 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 9-11, Seas SSW 0.6-2.1 ft @ 7sec
TONITE - N 10-12, Seas SSW 0.3-1.6 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY - N 10-12, Seas SSW 0.3-1.6 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - W 7-9, Seas SSW 0.5-2.2 ft @ 7sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - N 7-9, Seas SSW 1-2.9 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY - NNE 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - SSW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 10N100W TO 10N123W.
THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 10N123W TO 08N132W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 03N TO 08N E OF 82W...FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W
AND 106W...AND FROM 08N TO 16N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 10N100W TO 10N123W.
THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 10N123W TO 08N132W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ONGOING FROM 03N TO 08N E OF 82W, FROM 12N
TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 106W, AND FROM 08N TO 16N BETWEEN 115W
AND 122W.
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SW TO 22N124W TO 22N139W.
A TROUGH CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM 23N115W TO
18N128W. BEHIND THE FRONT, ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
30N116W TO 25N123W TO 26N134W. A SURFACE RIDGE ACROSS THE
REMAINDER SUBTROPICAL WATERS IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH N TO
NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO 11 FT N OF 25N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W.
MODERATE TO FRESH NE TO E WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE BETWEEN THE ITCZ
AND 26N W OF 125W.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS ARE ONGOING IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
AND DOWNWIND TO NEAR 91W ALONG WITH MODERATE SEAS TO 4 FT.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AMERICA OFFSHORE WATERS, LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS PREVAIL, EXCEPT FOR MODERATE N WINDS
IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. BETWEEN ECUADOR AND THE GALAPAGOS
ISLANDS, WINDS ARE GENTLE TO MODERATE FROM THE SOUTH, WITH SLIGHT
TO MODERATE SEAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE PRESENT ACROSS THE PANAMA
AND COLOMBIA OFFSHORE WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH NE TO E WINDS AND MODERATE
SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH SUN NIGHT.
MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE
FORECAST ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS ARE ONGOING IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
AND DOWNWIND TO NEAR 91W ALONG WITH MODERATE SEAS TO 4 FT.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AMERICA OFFSHORE WATERS, LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS PREVAIL, EXCEPT FOR MODERATE N WINDS
IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. BETWEEN ECUADOR AND THE GALAPAGOS
ISLANDS, WINDS ARE GENTLE TO MODERATE FROM THE SOUTH, WITH SLIGHT
TO MODERATE SEAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE PRESENT ACROSS THE PANAMA
AND COLOMBIA OFFSHORE WATERS.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 16-20, Seas SW 0.9-1.7 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - ENE 14-17, Seas SW 0.6-1.6 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY - ENE 16-20, Seas SSW 0.6-1.6 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - ENE 10-13, Seas SSW 0.6-1.7 ft @ 6sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
FRIDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas S 0.7-1.8 ft @ 6sec
SATURDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas S 1-2.4 ft @ 8sec
SUNDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas SSW 0.8-2.7 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - ENE 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (9.4 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (9.4 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (0.6 days old)
Updated 18 Nov 2025 17:58:56 GMT (0.6 days old)
95 miles SE of Monterey, California
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/18/t5xoet/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
WEAK53 PAAQ 181758
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
958 AM PST Tue Nov 18 2025
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 4.1
* Origin Time 0854 AKST Nov 18 2025
0954 PST Nov 18 2025
1754 UTC Nov 18 2025
* Coordinates 35.5 North 120.9 West
* Depth 4 miles
* Location 95 miles SE of Monterey, California
180 miles NW of Los Angeles, California
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$