Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

November 22, 2025, 3:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW PRES NEAR 30N121W 1005 MB. WITHIN 30N122W TO 30N123W TO
29N123W TO 29N122W TO 30N122W WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 5.0
M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N120W TO 30N127W TO 27N124W TO 27N122W TO
29N120W TO 30N120W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 30N116W TO 30N140W TO 21N140W TO 21N132W TO
26N119W TO 30N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN NW
SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 29N120W 1008 MB. WITHIN 30N119W
TO 30N128W TO 27N127W TO 26N125W TO 26N122W TO 28N119W TO 30N119W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 5.0 M. WITHIN 30N116W TO 30N140W
TO 21N140W TO 21N129W TO 23N121W TO 30N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 29N116W 1011 MB. WITHIN 24N115W
TO 29N115W TO 30N140W TO 06N140W TO 13N125W TO 17N125W TO 24N115W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N117W TO 30N140W TO 05N140W TO
06N127W TO 15N110W TO 30N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - SW 18-22, Seas NW 4.6-9.3 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - WNW 12-15, Seas NW 7.2-10 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - WNW 12-15, Seas NW 7.2-10 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - SSW 13-16, Seas NW --? ft @ 15sec

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - W 10-12, Seas NW 2.2-6.9 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - W 3-4, Seas WNW --? ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 12-15, Seas W 2.4-3.5 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 13-16, Seas WNW 2.5-4.6 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - NW 14-18, Seas WNW 2.3-4.8 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 13-16, Seas WNW 1.9-6.2 ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 N 14-17, Seas NW 3.9-9.2 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas WNW 1.9-6.2 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-17, Seas NW 3.8-8.1 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 N 10-12, Seas NW 3.9-6.7 ft @ 15sec, Middle 2/3 N 7-9, Seas NW 2.9-7 ft @ 15sec, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 N 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 6-7, Seas WNW 1.7-4.5 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE WATERS WITH
MODERATE WINDS ARE OVER THE WATERS WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE.
MODERATE WINDS ARE ALSO NOTED NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS.
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-13 FT
RANGE NW OF GUADALUPE ISLAND. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE
ELSEWHERE WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. ELSEWHERE, SEAS ARE IN
THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. OVER THE GULF
OF CALIFORNIA, SEAS ARE 3 FT OR LESS.
FOR THE FORECAST, A SECONDARY PUSH OF COLD AIR ACCOMPANIED BY AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT THROUGH
SAT NIGHT, GENERATING FRESH TO STRONG NW TO W WINDS WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE. ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL USHER IN A SET OF
LARGE NW SWELL, WHICH WILL SPREAD OVER THE WATERS WEST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS THROUGH MON BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. FRESH TO STRONG N
GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM
EARLY SAT TO SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - SW 11-14, Seas WSW 2.5-3.3 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - WSW 9-11, Seas WSW 4-4.7 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - WNW 11-14, Seas WSW 3.6-4.5 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - W 2-3, Seas W --? ft @ 14sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.2-2 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.4-2.6 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.5-4.3 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.7-4.5 ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
MONDAY - Northern Half WNW 10-13, Seas W 1.8-3.3 ft @ 16sec, Southern Half NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.7-4.5 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.6-4.4 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.5-3.4 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half WSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half WSW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.2-2 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.4-2.6 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.5-4.3 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.7-4.5 ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.7-4.5 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.6-4.4 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2.5-3.4 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.1-1.6 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.4-2.1 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 1.8-2.7 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.3-3.2 ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.2-3.2 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSW 2.2-3.2 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - N 14-18, Seas SW 2.1-3.9 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 14-17, Seas SW 2.5-4.2 ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
MONDAY - N 14-17, Seas SW 2.5-4.2 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNE 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.2-3.5 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.3-3.6 ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
MONDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.3-3.6 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - W 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

FOR THE FORECAST, A SECONDARY PUSH OF COLD AIR ACCOMPANIED BY AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT THROUGH
SAT NIGHT, GENERATING FRESH TO STRONG NW TO W WINDS WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE. ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL USHER IN A SET OF
LARGE NW SWELL, WHICH WILL SPREAD OVER THE WATERS WEST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS THROUGH MON BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. FRESH TO STRONG N
GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM
EARLY SAT TO SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - NNW 16-20, Seas SSW 1.6-2.8 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - N 10-12, Seas SW --? ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas SSW 3-4.2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 10-12, Seas SW --? ft @ 16sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
MONDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.9-3.8 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - N 22-28, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 30-38, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 07N96W TO 10N115W. ITCZ FROM
10N115W TO 06N126W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 04N TO 08N
BETWEEN 83W AND 88W...AND FROM 04N TO 06N BETWEEN 127W AND 135W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 07N96W TO 10N115W. THE
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N115W TO 06N126W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 83W AND 88W,
AND FROM 04N TO 06N BETWEEN 127W AND 135W.

ASIDE FROM THE WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH A GALE FORCE LOW
IN THE NORTHERN WATERS, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A 1028 MB
HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 36N139W AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING FRESH WINDS N OF THE ITCZ AND
W OF 125W. LARGE NW SWELL IS PROPAGATING ACROSS THE WATERS N OF
20N, WITH SEAS IN THE 8-11 FT RANGE W OF A LINE FROM 20N135W TO
30N117W. SEAS OF 8-10 FT ARE ALSO OVER THE WATERS N OF THE ITCZ
TO 20N AND W OF 130W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS, AND SEAS OF 4-7
FT, PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

FOR THE FORECAST, A SECONDARY PUSH OF COLD AIR ACCOMPANIED BY AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT THROUGH
SAT NIGHT, GENERATING FRESH TO STRONG NW TO W WINDS WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE. ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL USHER IN A SET OF
LARGE NW SWELL, WHICH WILL SPREAD OVER THE WATERS WEST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHWARD TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS THROUGH MON BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE. FRESH TO STRONG N
GAP WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM
EARLY SAT TO SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 10N87W TO 10N86W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 18-22, Seas S 1.1-2.5 ft @ 7sec
TONITE - ENE 15-19, Seas SSW 1.1-2.7 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - NE 18-22, Seas SW 1.9-3.3 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - ENE 18-22, Seas SSW 2-3.4 ft @ 13sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
MONDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 1.4-3.1 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas SSW 1.2-2.8 ft @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas SW 0.9-2.6 ft @ 15sec
THURSDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (12.4 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (12.4 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.

See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (3.6 days old)
Updated 18 Nov 2025 17:58:56 GMT (3.6 days old)
95 miles SE of Monterey, California

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/18/t5xoet/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.