Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
February 11, 2026, 3:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
Questions/Comments visit https://svsarana.com
This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
THURSDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas WNW 1.9-6.4 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - WNW 7-9, Seas WNW --? ft @ 15sec
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - N 7-9, Seas WNW 1.6-6.2 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - N 7-9, Seas WNW 1.6-6.2 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NW 9-11, Seas WNW --? ft @ 16sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 14-18, Seas WNW 5-7.2 ft @ 11sec, Middle 2/3 NW 12-15, Seas WNW 2.7-6.9 ft @ 12sec, Southern 1/3 NW 16-20, Seas WNW 3.6-6 ft @ 12sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 11-14, Seas WNW 4.6-7.3 ft @ 15sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 12-15, Seas WNW 5.2-7.3 ft @ 11sec, Southern 1/3 NNW 16-20, Seas WNW 3.8-5.7 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 SSW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 W 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
AN EARLIER SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS CAPTURED FRESH SOUTHERLY
WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. SEAS WITHIN THIS WINDS ARE 3 TO
5 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF MEXICO. SEAS ARE 5 TO 7 FT OVERALL, EXCEPT 1
TO 3 FT SEAS IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING
FROM THE WEST. THE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND SLOW DOWN AS IT
MOVES ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE THROUGH WED NIGHT. LARGE NW
SWELL WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT INTO THE WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA
NORTE WED AND WED NIGHT, AND IN THE OUTER WATERS OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO WED NIGHT INTO THU.
LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH BAJA CALIFORNIA FRI
AND REINFORCE THE PREVIOUS FRONT, FOLLOWED BY FRESH NW WINDS AND
LARGE SWELL NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO. FARTHER SOUTH, FRESH TO
STRONG GAP WINDS MAY PULSE WED NIGHT INTO THU NIGHT.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD
ACROSS THE WATERS NORTH OF 20N TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH WED.
THIS WILL IN TURN ALLOW THE FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS IN THE
DEEP TROPICS WEST OF 125W TO DIMINISH THROUGH TONIGHT. THE
ASSOCIATED ROUGH SEAS WILL SUBSIDE ACCORDINGLY. MEANWHILE, FRESH
TO STRONG NW WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WILL FOLLOW THE
FRONT. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH TONIGHT, BUT LARGE
SHORTER-PERIOD NW SWELL OF 8 TO 15 FT WILL COVER THE AREA NORTH
OF 25N AND WEST OF 120W BEFORE DECAYING BELOW 8 FT THROUGH WED.
LOOKING AHEAD, A LOW PRESSURE AREA AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATERS NORTH OF 20N WED THROUGH FRI,
FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH
SEAS. THIS FRONT WILL MERGE WITH AND REINFORCE THE PREVIOUS
FRONT AS IT MOVES INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - WNW 8-10, Seas WSW 1.6-3.8 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - W 5-6, Seas WSW --? ft @ 15sec
THURSDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas WSW 1.2-3.9 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - WNW 11-14, Seas SW 1.3-3.9 ft @ 15sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.4-3.4 ft @ 18sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.9-3.7 ft @ 18sec
THURSDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.9-3.7 ft @ 18sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.6-3.4 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
FRIDAY - Northern Half W 14-18, Seas SW 3.2-4.4 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.6-3.4 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half NNW 13-16, Seas SW 4.4-5.1 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half NW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.5-4.2 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half W 5-6, Seas W 0.8-2.8 ft @ 15sec, Southern Half NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 4.2-4.8 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - Northern Half W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 6-8, Seas SSW 2.2-2.9 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half WNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.4-3.4 ft @ 18sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.9-3.7 ft @ 18sec
THURSDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.9-3.7 ft @ 18sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.6-3.4 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
FRIDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.6-3.4 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - NW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.5-4.2 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 4.2-4.8 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SSW 2.2-2.9 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NW 13-16, Seas SSW 1.7-3.5 ft @ 18sec
TONITE - N 6-8, Seas SSW 2.1-3.7 ft @ 17sec
THURSDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.3-3.3 ft @ 16sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NNW 8-10, Seas SSW --? ft @ 19sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
FRIDAY - NW 3-4, Seas SSW 1.3-2.8 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2-3 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - N 10-13, Seas SSW 2.7-3.3 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - WNW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
FRIDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SW 1.1-4.2 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - N 13-16, Seas SW 2.6-4.3 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - N 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SW 1.3-4.4 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - NW 7-9, Seas SW --? ft @ 19sec
THURSDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SW 1-4.4 ft @ 15sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - WNW 6-8, Seas SW 1-4.4 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
FRIDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas SW 2.2-4 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - WNW 12-15, Seas SW 2.1-3.8 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SW 2.5-3.9 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - W 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N93W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO
13N95W TO 14N93W TO 16N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - NNW 26-32, Seas SSW 2-4.2 ft @ 18sec
TONITE - NNW 22-27, Seas SSW 3.5-5.1 ft @ 18sec
THURSDAY - NNW 22-27, Seas SSW 3.5-5.1 ft @ 18sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NNW 16-20, Seas SSW 3.4-5.1 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
FRIDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas SSW 3.4-5.1 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - SSW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.2-3.3 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.5-3.2 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - N 22-28, Seas SSW 1.9-3.4 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 01N90W TO 04N140W.
THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 01N90W TO 04N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS DEPICTED AT THIS TIME WITHIN THE AREA.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING
FROM THE WEST. THE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND SLOW DOWN AS IT
MOVES ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE THROUGH WED NIGHT. LARGE NW
SWELL WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT INTO THE WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA
NORTE WED AND WED NIGHT, AND IN THE OUTER WATERS OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO WED NIGHT INTO THU.
LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH BAJA CALIFORNIA FRI
AND REINFORCE THE PREVIOUS FRONT, FOLLOWED BY FRESH NW WINDS AND
LARGE SWELL NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO. FARTHER SOUTH, FRESH TO
STRONG GAP WINDS MAY PULSE WED NIGHT INTO THU NIGHT.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH SAT. FRESH N
WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PANAMA WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THU.
MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS WILL PERSIST ELSEWHERE.
.WITHIN 30N127W TO 30N140W TO 12N140W TO 23N129W TO 10N86W TO
24N127W TO 30N127W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE NW TO W WINDS, WITH SEAS 5 TO 8 FT
PREVAIL ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION. MODERATE TO FRESH N
WINDS AND SEAS 3 TO 5 FT PREVAIL OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA. GENTLE
BREEZES AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE IN A MIX OF
SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH SAT. FRESH N
WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PANAMA WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THU.
MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS WILL PERSIST ELSEWHERE.
STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE NW TO W WINDS, WITH SEAS 5 TO 8 FT
PREVAIL ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION. MODERATE TO FRESH N
WINDS AND SEAS 3 TO 5 FT PREVAIL OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA. GENTLE
BREEZES AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS ARE FOUND ELSEWHERE IN A MIX OF
SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH SAT. FRESH N
WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PANAMA WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THU.
MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS WILL PERSIST ELSEWHERE.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 22-27, Seas WSW 3.8-4.9 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - ENE 19-24, Seas SW 3.3-4.7 ft @ 18sec
THURSDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas SW 3.3-4.7 ft @ 18sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - ENE 19-24, Seas SW 3.1-4.6 ft @ 16sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
FRIDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SW 3.1-4.5 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - ENE 21-26, Seas SW 2.5-3.9 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NE 13-16, Seas SW 0.5-2.8 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - NE 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NE 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (0.4 days old)
Updated 10 Feb 2026 21:23:10 GMT (0.4 days old)
ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH OF SAVAII ISLAND
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2026/02/10/26041002/1/WEZS42/WEZS42.txt
ZCZC
WEZS42 PHEB 102122
TIBPPG
ASZ001>004-102322-
TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
1022 AM SST TUE FEB 10 2026
...NO TSUNAMI THREAT FROM A NEARBY EARTHQUAKE...
AUDIENCE
--------
EMERGENCY MANAGERS... MEDIA... GENERAL PUBLIC
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.0 OCCURRED
ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH OF SAVAII ISLAND AT 1015 AM SST ON
TUESDAY FEBRUARY 10 2026.
* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO
AMERICAN SAMOA FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.
* SOME AREAS MAY HAVE EXPERIENCED VERY STRONG SHAKING.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* BE OBSERVANT AND EXERCISE NORMAL CAUTION IF YOU ARE NEAR OR
IN THE OCEAN. OTHERWISE... NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* NO TSUNAMI IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.0
* ORIGIN TIME 1015 AM SST FEB 10 2026
* COORDINATES 14.9 SOUTH 172.9 WEST
* DEPTH 31 MILES
* LOCATION ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH OF SAVAII ISLAND
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND ON THE
INTERNET AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.
$$
NNNN
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (0.5 days old)
Updated 10 Feb 2026 20:44:43 GMT (0.5 days old)
20 miles NW of Palmer, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2026/02/10/ta9g6l/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
WEAK53 PAAQ 102044
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
1144 AM AKST Tue Feb 10 2026
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 4.4
* Origin Time 1142 AKST Feb 10 2026
1242 PST Feb 10 2026
2042 UTC Feb 10 2026
* Coordinates 61.7 North 149.6 West
* Depth 17 miles
* Location 20 miles NW of Palmer, Alaska
35 miles NE of Anchorage, Alaska
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$