Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
November 17, 2025, 9:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - WNW 10-13, Seas WNW 2.8-3.3 ft @ 8sec
TONITE - W 8-10, Seas WNW 2.3-3.1 ft @ 9sec
TUESDAY - W 10-13, Seas NW 2.1-3 ft @ 8sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - WSW 10-13, Seas NW --? ft @ 8sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NW 10-12, Seas NW 3.1-3.1 ft @ 5sec
TONITE - NW 6-8, Seas WNW 2.3-2.4 ft @ 6sec
TUESDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas NW 0.7-2.5 ft @ 9sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NW 10-12, Seas NW 3.1-3.1 ft @ 5sec
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 15-19, Seas WNW 3.3-3.3 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - NW 14-17, Seas WNW 3.3-3.3 ft @ 6sec
TUESDAY - NW 14-17, Seas WNW 3.3-3.3 ft @ 6sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 13-16, Seas NW --? ft @ 6sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 NNW 8-10, Seas NW 2.1-5.4 ft @ 12sec, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas WNW 1.4-2.2 ft @ 8sec
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 7-9, Seas NW 2.4-5.8 ft @ 11sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 9-11, Seas NW 3.4-5.6 ft @ 11sec, Southern 1/3 NW 14-18, Seas NW 2.5-2.9 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NNW 9-11, Seas NW 3.4-4.4 ft @ 11sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 S 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 S 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 31N115W TO
30N115W TO 30N114W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
A RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS CAPTURED A WEAK 1014 MB LOW
PRESSURE JUST SOUTH OF GUADALUPE ISLAND AND A COLD FRONT THAT
EXTENDS SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE LOW CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS NOTED NEAR THE LOW AND COLD FRONT. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH NW-N WINDS AND SEAS OF 4-8 FT ARE OCCURRING FROM
THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO THE WATERS
OFF CABO CORRIENTES AND ALSO IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE PRESENT JUST OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SW WINDS AND SEAS OF
2-4 FT ARE EVIDENT IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE,
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS ARE NOTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE MEXICAN
OFFSHORE WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE ABOVE MENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY WITH
LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS WHILE DISSIPATING. ANOTHER COLD
FRONT WILL REACH THE SAME AREA TONIGHT INTO TUE FOLLOWED BY
FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS IN LONG PERIOD NW SWELL. WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO INCREASE AGAIN TO FRESH TO STRONG SPEEDS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE FRONT TONIGHT INTO TUE,
WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 5 OR 6 FT. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE
REACHING PUNTA EUGENIA BY TUE NIGHT WHILE GRADUALLY WEAKENING.
THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BETWEEN PUNTA EUGENIA AND CABO
SAN LAZARO BY WED. ROUGH SEAS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL
PROPAGATE ACROSS THE OUTER OFFSHORE WATERS N OF CABO SAN LAZARO
THROUGH MIDWEEK.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 9-11, Seas W 1.9-1.9 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - WNW 6-8, Seas W 1.3-2 ft @ 6sec
TUESDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas W 1.3-2 ft @ 6sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 6-8, Seas W --? ft @ 6sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas NW 4.4-4.4 ft @ 5sec
TONITE - NNW 8-10, Seas NW 2.9-2.9 ft @ 5sec
TUESDAY - NW 10-13, Seas NW 1.6-1.7 ft @ 4sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 9-11, Seas NNW 2.2-2.2 ft @ 4sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half WNW 9-11, Seas W 1-2.4 ft @ 11sec, Southern Half NNW 9-11, Seas NNW 2.2-2.2 ft @ 4sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half WNW 9-11, Seas W 3-3.1 ft @ 6sec, Southern Half NNE 7-9, Seas WSW 2-2.1 ft @ 4sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half NNW 8-10, Seas W 2.7-2.9 ft @ 6sec, Southern Half NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.4-1.8 ft @ 6sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas NW 4.4-4.4 ft @ 5sec
TONITE - NNW 8-10, Seas NW 2.9-2.9 ft @ 5sec
TUESDAY - NW 10-13, Seas NW 1.6-1.7 ft @ 4sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 9-11, Seas NNW 2.2-2.2 ft @ 4sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
WEDNESDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas NNW 2.2-2.2 ft @ 4sec
THURSDAY - NNE 7-9, Seas WSW 2-2.1 ft @ 4sec
FRIDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.4-1.8 ft @ 6sec
SATURDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas NW 0.6-1.3 ft @ 5sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 7-9, Seas NW 0.7-1.2 ft @ 5sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
WEDNESDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas NW 0.7-1.2 ft @ 5sec
THURSDAY - NW 6-7, Seas S 0.9-1.1 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - NW 10-13, Seas W 1.8-1.9 ft @ 6sec
SATURDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - N 6-8, Seas NW 0.5-1.8 ft @ 11sec
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - N 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - N 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - NW 6-7, Seas SW 0.6-1.8 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
A RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS CAPTURED A WEAK 1014 MB LOW
PRESSURE JUST SOUTH OF GUADALUPE ISLAND AND A COLD FRONT THAT
EXTENDS SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE LOW CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS NOTED NEAR THE LOW AND COLD FRONT. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH NW-N WINDS AND SEAS OF 4-8 FT ARE OCCURRING FROM
THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO THE WATERS
OFF CABO CORRIENTES AND ALSO IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE PRESENT JUST OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SW WINDS AND SEAS OF
2-4 FT ARE EVIDENT IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE,
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS ARE NOTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE MEXICAN
OFFSHORE WATERS.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas SSW 0.3-1.8 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - SW 6-7, Seas S 0.7-1.5 ft @ 6sec
SATURDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 1012 MB LOW PRES NEAR 08N105W TO
08N110W. ITCZ FROM 08N110W TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
FROM 05N TO 09N AND E OF 88W...FROM 06N TO 12N AND W OF 103W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO A 1012 MB LOW PRES
NEAR 08N105W TO 08N110W. THE ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 08N110W TO
09N127W AND BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
PRESENT FROM 05N TO 09N AND EAST OF 88W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS
FOUND FROM 06N TO 12N AND WEST OF 103W.
A WEAK COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM A 1014 MB LOW PRES CENTERED SOUTH
OF GUADALUPE ISLAND TO 22N130W. MEANWHILE, ANOTHER COLD FRONT HAS
ENTERED THE NORTHERN WATERS, EXTENDING FROM 30N131W TO 29N137W TO
29N140W. WINDS AND SEAS ARE INCREASING BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY. THE
REMAINDER OF THE TROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC IS DOMINATED BY A 1024
MB HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED NEAR 30N144W THAT EXTENDS A WEAK
RIDGE INTO OUR WATERS, RESULTING IN MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH
EASTERLY WINDS AND SEAS OF 6-8 FT FROM THE ITCZ TO 20N AND WEST
OF 115W. IN THE EASTERN WATERS, A WEAK LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE
MONSOON TROUGH IS SUSTAINING MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS AND
SEAS TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE
SEAS ARE PRESENT.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
FOR THE FORECAST, LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE WEATHER PATTERN
ACROSS THE REGION AS A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT PREVAILS. THIS WILL
SUPPORT MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS
THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK. IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, MAINLY GENTLE
TO MODERATE NE TO E WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 13-16, Seas SW 0.6-2.1 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - ENE 13-16, Seas SW 0.6-2 ft @ 7sec
TUESDAY - ENE 14-18, Seas SW 0.8-2.1 ft @ 7sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - ENE 13-16, Seas SW 0.8-1.7 ft @ 6sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
WEDNESDAY - ENE 16-20, Seas SW 0.8-1.7 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas SW 0.9-1.7 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - ENE 14-17, Seas S 1.1-2.5 ft @ 7sec
SATURDAY - NE 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (7.6 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (7.6 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (8.2 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 09:43:42 GMT (8.2 days old)
55 miles SE of Amukta Pass, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/09/t5gddc/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.