Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America



January 21, 2025, 3:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...STORM WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 13N95W TO 14N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.09 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94.5W TO 16N95W TO 16N95.5W TO
15.5N95.5W TO 15N95W TO 15.5N94.5W TO 16N94.5W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.15 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N95W TO
15N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS
40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W
TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 13N95W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W...N TO NE
WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. REST OF THE AREA WITHIN
15N93W TO 16N95W TO 14N97W TO 12N96W TO 13N94W TO
15N93W...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 15N95W TO
16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 40 TO
50 KT. SEAS 17 TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO
14N97W TO 13N98W TO 12N95W TO 13N94W TO 16N94W...N TO NE WINDS 30
TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 TO 23 FT. REST OF THE AREA WITHIN
13N92W TO 16N94W TO 15N97W TO 13N100W TO 09N99W TO 10N95W TO
13N92W...NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO
15N95W TO 16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 20 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
16N94W TO 16N96W TO 13N98W TO 12N103W TO 10N102W TO 12N95W TO
16N94W...NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT IN NE SWELL. REST
OF THE AREA WITHIN 12N91W TO 16N94W TO 15N99W TO 11N104W TO
08N102W TO 07N96W TO 12N91W...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 14
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94.5W TO 16N95W TO 15N95.5W TO
15N95W TO 15N94.5W TO 16N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 13 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 13N97W TO 12N97W
TO 13N95W TO 14N94W...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 13 FT
IN N TO NE SWELL. REST OF THE AREA WITHIN 12N92W TO 16N94W TO
14N104W TO 09N107W TO 04N99W TO 06N93W TO 12N92W...WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 30N113W TO 31N114W TO 31N115W TO 30N115W TO 29N114W TO
30N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...N WINDS 25 TO 35
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 31N114W TO 30N115W TO
28N113W TO 24N110W TO 24N109W TO 26N109W TO 31N114W...NW TO N
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 30N115W TO 27N112W TO
24N110W TO 25N109W TO 27N109W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 28N111W TO 31N114W TO 30N114W TO
25N111W TO 25N109W TO 26N109W TO 28N111W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N114W TO 30N115W TO 28N113W TO
24N110W TO 24N109W TO 26N109W TO 31N114W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NE 22-28, Seas WNW 7.8-9.2 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - NNE 17-21, Seas WNW 5-7.1 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - N 14-17, Seas WNW 4.1-6.3 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - N 10-13, Seas WNW 1.9-5.1 feet @ 15sec

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - N 9-11, Seas WNW 2.9-5.9 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - NNE 7-9, Seas WNW 0-5.8 feet @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 9-11, Seas WNW 1.7-5.1 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NW 10-12, Seas WNW 1.7-5.1 feet @ 15sec

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - WNW 6-8, Seas WNW 2.9-5.5 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - NNE 2-3, Seas WNW 2.6-5.2 feet @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - E 6-7, Seas WNW 2.2-5 feet @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - WSW 3-4, Seas WNW 0-4.3 feet @ 15sec

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NE 16-20, Seas WNW 1.7-4.3 feet @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 NW 10-12, Seas WNW 1.7-5.1 feet @ 15sec, Southern 1/3 E 5-6, Seas WNW 0-4.2 feet @ 15sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NE 14-17, Seas WNW 2-4.2 feet @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 NW 6-7, Seas WNW 0-4.5 feet @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 W 4-5, Seas WNW 0-3.3 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 W 9-11, Seas WNW 0-4.8 feet @ 15sec, Middle 2/3 SW 6-8, Seas NW 1-4 feet @ 18sec, Southern 1/3 W 7-9, Seas WNW 0-3.5 feet @ 17sec
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 WSW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?


**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

.WITHIN 30N113W TO 31N114W TO 31N115W TO 30N115W TO 29N114W TO
30N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...N WINDS 25 TO 35
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 31N114W TO 30N115W TO
28N113W TO 24N110W TO 24N109W TO 26N109W TO 31N114W...NW TO N
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 30N115W TO 27N112W TO
24N110W TO 25N109W TO 27N109W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 28N111W TO 31N114W TO 30N114W TO
25N111W TO 25N109W TO 26N109W TO 28N111W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N114W TO 30N115W TO 28N113W TO
24N110W TO 24N109W TO 26N109W TO 31N114W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.


GULF OF CALIFORNIA GALE WARNING: STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
OVER THE GREAT BASIN ARE SUPPORTING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
BELOW GALE FORCE BY THIS AFTERNOON, BUT FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS
AND ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE DOWN THE LENGTH OF THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA THROUGH MID WEEK.
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION A STORM
WARNING FOR THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION AND A GALE WARNING FOR THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN THAT IS
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA IS ALSO SUPPORTING FRESH NE GAP WINDS OVER LOW SPOTS
ALONG THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. COMBINED SEAS OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE ARE LIKELY AS HIGH AS 8 FT, DUE TO THE GAP
WINDS AND NW SWELL ENTERING THE AREA.
FOR THE FORECAST, STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO NE MEXICO
WILL SUPPORT GALES ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC EVOLVING INTO
STORM-FORCE GAP WINDS THIS EVENING. SEAS BY WED WILL INCREASE TO
25 FT OR HIGHER, WITH SEAS IN EXCESS OF 12 FT EXTENDING OVER 500
NM S AND SW OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE STORM-FORCE WINDS SLIDES TO THE EAST,
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE SLIGHTLY INTO THU BUT GALE FORCE WINDS
ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST INTO SAT. ROUGH SEAS MAY PREVAIL THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. TO THE NORTH, HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE SW
UNITED STATES IS SUPPORT GALES OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA TODAY. ALTHOUGH GALES WILL END BY THIS EVENING AS THE
HIGH WEAKENS SLIGHTLY, FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN
THE GULF THROUGH LATE WEEK. IN ADDITION, PLUMES OF STRONG NE GAP
WINDS WILL FUNNEL ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO
OFFSHORE PACIFIC WATERS MAINLY N OF PUNTA EUGENIA THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - ESE 6-8, Seas W 1.4-2.8 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - NNW 8-10, Seas W 1-2.5 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 8-10, Seas W 0-2.2 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNW 6-8, Seas W 0-2.2 feet @ 15sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 15-19, Seas NW 3.8-4.1 feet @ 5sec
TONITE - NNW 15-19, Seas NW 4.6-4.8 feet @ 6sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas NW 4.1-4.3 feet @ 7sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-13, Seas NW 3.9-4.2 feet @ 6sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
THURSDAY - Northern Half SSW 7-9, Seas W 0-2.1 feet @ 14sec, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas NW 3.8-4 feet @ 7sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half SSW 5-6, Seas WSW 0.6-1.8 feet @ 13sec, Southern Half NNW 10-13, Seas S 2.9-3.2 feet @ 13sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half SSE 8-10, Seas W 0-1.9 feet @ 16sec, Southern Half NW 5-6, Seas SSW 0-2.1 feet @ 14sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half WNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half NNW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - Northern Half W 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?


**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 15-19, Seas NW 3.8-4.1 feet @ 5sec
TONITE - NNW 15-19, Seas NW 4.6-4.8 feet @ 6sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas NW 4.1-4.3 feet @ 7sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-13, Seas NW 3.9-4.2 feet @ 6sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
THURSDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas NW 3.8-4 feet @ 7sec
FRIDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas S 2.9-3.2 feet @ 13sec
SATURDAY - NW 5-6, Seas SSW 0-2.1 feet @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?


**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 8-10, Seas W 1.1-2 feet @ 18sec
TONITE - N 9-11, Seas WSW 1-1.9 feet @ 18sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SW 0-2.6 feet @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNE 6-7, Seas SSW 0-2.5 feet @ 14sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
THURSDAY - NW 10-12, Seas SW 1.9-2.4 feet @ 15sec
FRIDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SW 0-1.8 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SSW 0-1.5 feet @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?


**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - NNW 8-10, Seas WNW 0-4 feet @ 18sec
TONITE - N 10-13, Seas WNW 0-3.8 feet @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY - N 11-14, Seas WNW 0-3.7 feet @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNE 10-12, Seas WNW 0-3.9 feet @ 15sec

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
THURSDAY - N 11-14, Seas WNW 0-3.5 feet @ 15sec
FRIDAY - N 11-14, Seas WNW 0-3.5 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY - N 7-9, Seas WSW 0-2.6 feet @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNE 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?


**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - WNW 8-10, Seas WNW 1.1-3 feet @ 19sec
TONITE - NW 6-8, Seas WNW 0-3 feet @ 18sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 9-11, Seas W 1.4-2.8 feet @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - WNW 7-9, Seas W 1-2.8 feet @ 16sec

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
THURSDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas WSW 0-2.8 feet @ 15sec
FRIDAY - NW 6-7, Seas WSW 0-2.8 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - WNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?


**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 13N95W TO 14N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.09 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94.5W TO 16N95W TO 16N95.5W TO
15.5N95.5W TO 15N95W TO 15.5N94.5W TO 16N94.5W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.15 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N95W TO
15N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS
40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W
TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 13N95W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W...N TO NE
WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. REST OF THE AREA WITHIN
15N93W TO 16N95W TO 14N97W TO 12N96W TO 13N94W TO
15N93W...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 15N95W TO
16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 40 TO
50 KT. SEAS 17 TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO
14N97W TO 13N98W TO 12N95W TO 13N94W TO 16N94W...N TO NE WINDS 30
TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 TO 23 FT. REST OF THE AREA WITHIN
13N92W TO 16N94W TO 15N97W TO 13N100W TO 09N99W TO 10N95W TO
13N92W...NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO
15N95W TO 16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 20 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
16N94W TO 16N96W TO 13N98W TO 12N103W TO 10N102W TO 12N95W TO
16N94W...NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT IN NE SWELL. REST
OF THE AREA WITHIN 12N91W TO 16N94W TO 15N99W TO 11N104W TO
08N102W TO 07N96W TO 12N91W...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 14
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94.5W TO 16N95W TO 15N95.5W TO
15N95W TO 15N94.5W TO 16N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 13 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 13N97W TO 12N97W
TO 13N95W TO 14N94W...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 13 FT
IN N TO NE SWELL. REST OF THE AREA WITHIN 12N92W TO 16N94W TO
14N104W TO 09N107W TO 04N99W TO 06N93W TO 12N92W...WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL.


GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING: STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL SUPPORT STRONG GALES ACROSS
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THIS AFTERNOON, INCREASING TO STORM
FORCE GAP WINDS BY LATE EVENING. SEAS ARE ALREADY ROUGH TO VERY
ROUGH ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND WELL DOWNSTREAM, BUT
WILL BUILD TO AT LEAST 25 FT BY WED MORNING, WITH A PLUME OF
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS REACHING UP TO 500 NM TO THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF. LOOKING AHEAD, THESE WINDS AND SEAS WILL
DIMINISH SLIGHTLY THROUGH THU, BUT GAP WINDS TO GALE FORCE MAY
PERSIST INTO SAT WITH ROUGH SEAS PERSISTING LONGER.
FOR THE FORECAST, STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO NE MEXICO
WILL SUPPORT GALES ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC EVOLVING INTO
STORM-FORCE GAP WINDS THIS EVENING. SEAS BY WED WILL INCREASE TO
25 FT OR HIGHER, WITH SEAS IN EXCESS OF 12 FT EXTENDING OVER 500
NM S AND SW OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE STORM-FORCE WINDS SLIDES TO THE EAST,
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE SLIGHTLY INTO THU BUT GALE FORCE WINDS
ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST INTO SAT. ROUGH SEAS MAY PREVAIL THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. TO THE NORTH, HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE SW
UNITED STATES IS SUPPORT GALES OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA TODAY. ALTHOUGH GALES WILL END BY THIS EVENING AS THE
HIGH WEAKENS SLIGHTLY, FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN
THE GULF THROUGH LATE WEEK. IN ADDITION, PLUMES OF STRONG NE GAP
WINDS WILL FUNNEL ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO
OFFSHORE PACIFIC WATERS MAINLY N OF PUNTA EUGENIA THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ACTIVE ALONG
A SURFACE TROUGH NEAR 135W FROM 20N TO 25N. THE TROUGH IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGER MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT IS ALSO
SUPPORTING A 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE FARTHER WEST NEAR 25N145W, WELL TO
THE NORTHEAST OF HAWAII. AN ARC OF FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS IS
CONVERGING AROUND THE TROUGH AND TOWARD THE LOW PRESSURE, MAINLY
NORTH OF 28N AND WEST OF 135W, AND FROM 22N TO 28N BETWEEN 130W
AND 135W. COMBINED SEAS ARE 8 TO 11 FT NORTH OF 20N AND WEST OF
130W, IN PART DUE TO THE WINDS, BUT ALSO DUE TO LONGER-PERIOD NW
SWELL IN THE AREA. BROAD RIDGING DOMINATES THE WATERS NORTH OF
15N AND EAST OF 130W. THIS PATTERN IS SUPPORT A LARGE AREA OF
FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG TRADE WIND OVER THE DEEP TROPICS
FROM 08N TO 15N, BETWEEN 125W AND 135W, WITH 9 TO 11 FT SEAS IN A
MIX OF WIND WAVES AND NW SWELL. THE NW SWELL IS ALSO SUPPORTING
7 TO 9 FT SEAS OVER THE REMAINING AREA WEST OF 110W. FARTHER
EAST, NE SWELL FROM THE GAP WIND EVENTS IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC ARE REACHING WESTWARD TOWARD 105W ALONG ROUGHLY 10N.
MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS BETWEEN THE
THE LOW PRESSURE NORTHEAST OF HAWAII AND THE RIDGE TO THE
NORTHEAST WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE WATERS NORTH OF 20N AND
WEST OF 130W THROUGH TUE. LARGE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO
PROPAGATE INTO THE WATERS WEST OF 125W, AND MIX WITH SHORTER
PERIOD SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TRADE WIND FLOW OVER THE DEEP
TROPICS. ALTOGETHER, EXPECT 8 TO 11 FT SEAS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA WEST OF 125W THROUGH TONIGHT. THESE WAVE HEIGHTS WILL
SUBSIDE TO 8 TO 9 FT AND DIMINISH IN AREAL EXTENT MID TO LATE
WEEK. MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS WILL PERSIST ELSEWHERE. BY LATE
WEEK, STRONG NE-E WINDS AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WILL REACH AS
FAR WEST AS 110W ALONG ROUGHLY 10N FROM STORM- FORCE GAP WINDS
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 37-46, Seas NNW 14.1-14.2 feet @ 8sec
TONITE - N 35-44, Seas NNW 19.3-19.4 feet @ 9sec
WEDNESDAY - N 34-42, Seas NNW 20.3-20.4 feet @ 10sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNW 22-28, Seas N 9.5-9.7 feet @ 8sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
THURSDAY - NNW 24-30, Seas NW 6.6-6.9 feet @ 7sec
FRIDAY - N 29-36, Seas NNW 11.8-11.9 feet @ 8sec
SATURDAY - N 26-33, Seas NNW 9.7-9.8 feet @ 8sec
SUNDAY - NNW 24-30, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - NNW 20-25, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?


**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 05N95W. THE ITCZ
STRETCHES FROM 05N95W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS PRESENT WITHIN 30 NM OF THE ITCZ AXIS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 05N95W. THE ITCZ
STRETCHES FROM 05N95W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS PRESENT WITHIN 30 NM OF THE ITCZ AXIS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA IS FORCING FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG NE-E WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, SPREADING
DOWNSTREAM TO 90W. SEAS IN THESE WATERS ARE 4-6 FT. MEANWHILE,
MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS AND SEAS OF 3-5 FT ARE FOUND SOUTH OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH, ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF 03N. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE OR
WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING: STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL SUPPORT STRONG GALES ACROSS
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THIS AFTERNOON, INCREASING TO STORM
FORCE GAP WINDS BY LATE EVENING. SEAS ARE ALREADY ROUGH TO VERY
ROUGH ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND WELL DOWNSTREAM, BUT
WILL BUILD TO AT LEAST 25 FT BY WED MORNING, WITH A PLUME OF
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS REACHING UP TO 500 NM TO THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF. LOOKING AHEAD, THESE WINDS AND SEAS WILL
DIMINISH SLIGHTLY THROUGH THU, BUT GAP WINDS TO GALE FORCE MAY
PERSIST INTO SAT WITH ROUGH SEAS PERSISTING LONGER.
THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN THAT IS
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA IS ALSO SUPPORTING FRESH NE GAP WINDS OVER LOW SPOTS
ALONG THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. COMBINED SEAS OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE ARE LIKELY AS HIGH AS 8 FT, DUE TO THE GAP
WINDS AND NW SWELL ENTERING THE AREA.
FOR THE FORECAST, STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO NE MEXICO
WILL SUPPORT GALES ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC EVOLVING INTO
STORM-FORCE GAP WINDS THIS EVENING. SEAS BY WED WILL INCREASE TO
25 FT OR HIGHER, WITH SEAS IN EXCESS OF 12 FT EXTENDING OVER 500
NM S AND SW OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE STORM-FORCE WINDS SLIDES TO THE EAST,
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE SLIGHTLY INTO THU BUT GALE FORCE WINDS
ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST INTO SAT. ROUGH SEAS MAY PREVAIL THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. TO THE NORTH, HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE SW
UNITED STATES IS SUPPORT GALES OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA TODAY. ALTHOUGH GALES WILL END BY THIS EVENING AS THE
HIGH WEAKENS SLIGHTLY, FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN
THE GULF THROUGH LATE WEEK. IN ADDITION, PLUMES OF STRONG NE GAP
WINDS WILL FUNNEL ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO
OFFSHORE PACIFIC WATERS MAINLY N OF PUNTA EUGENIA THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK.

FOR THE FORECAST, THE FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS BETWEEN THE
THE LOW PRESSURE NORTHEAST OF HAWAII AND THE RIDGE TO THE
NORTHEAST WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE WATERS NORTH OF 20N AND
WEST OF 130W THROUGH TUE. LARGE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO
PROPAGATE INTO THE WATERS WEST OF 125W, AND MIX WITH SHORTER
PERIOD SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TRADE WIND FLOW OVER THE DEEP
TROPICS. ALTOGETHER, EXPECT 8 TO 11 FT SEAS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA WEST OF 125W THROUGH TONIGHT. THESE WAVE HEIGHTS WILL
SUBSIDE TO 8 TO 9 FT AND DIMINISH IN AREAL EXTENT MID TO LATE
WEEK. MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS WILL PERSIST ELSEWHERE. BY LATE
WEEK, STRONG NE-E WINDS AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WILL REACH AS
FAR WEST AS 110W ALONG ROUGHLY 10N FROM STORM- FORCE GAP WINDS
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.

.WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 10N88W TO 10N87W TO 10N86W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 10N88W TO 10N87W TO
10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N87W TO 11N90W TO 10N91W TO 09N91W TO
09N89W TO 10N86W TO 12N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N89W TO
11N90W TO 10N91W TO 09N91W TO 09N89W TO 10N88W TO 11N89W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.


HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA IS FORCING FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG NE-E WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, SPREADING
DOWNSTREAM TO 90W. SEAS IN THESE WATERS ARE 4-6 FT. MEANWHILE,
MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS AND SEAS OF 3-5 FT ARE FOUND SOUTH OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH, ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF 03N. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE OR
WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NORTH OF THE AREA WILL
SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS AND OCCASIONAL ROUGH SEAS
IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO INTO THE WEEKEND. SEAS GENERATED BY
STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE TEHUANTEPEC AREA WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS
THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF GUATEMALA PERIODICALLY THROUGH LATE WEEK,
WITH SEAS FORECAST TO PEAK AROUND 22 FT IN N SWELL WED. MODERATE
OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 16-20, Seas SSW 1.3-2.8 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - ENE 17-21, Seas SSW 1.3-2.8 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SSW 3.1-4 feet @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - ENE 19-24, Seas SSW 3.1-4 feet @ 12sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
THURSDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SW 2.4-3.6 feet @ 11sec
FRIDAY - ENE 22-27, Seas SSW 2.6-3.5 feet @ 11sec
SATURDAY - NE 22-28, Seas NE 4.5-4.9 feet @ 5sec
SUNDAY - NE 21-26, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - ENE 22-27, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?


** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (0.6 days old)
Updated 21 Jan 2025 05:58:27 GMT (0.6 days old)
ABOUT 8 MILES WEST OF GUAM

https://tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/01/21/25021000/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt

ZCZC
WEGM42 PHEB 210558
TIBGUM

GUZ001>004-210758-

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
358 PM CHST TUE JAN 21 2025

...NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO GUAM/CNMI FROM A NEARBY EARTHQUAKE...


AUDIENCE
--------
EMERGENCY MANAGERS... MEDIA... GENERAL PUBLIC


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 5.5 OCCURRED
ABOUT 8 MILES WEST OF GUAM AT 348 PM CHST ON TUESDAY JANUARY
21 2025.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO
GUAM... ROTA... TINIAN OR SAIPAN FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.

* SOME AREAS MAY HAVE EXPERIENCED SHAKING.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* NO TSUNAMI IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 5.5
* ORIGIN TIME 348 PM CHST JAN 21 2025
* COORDINATES 13.4 NORTH 144.5 EAST
* DEPTH 83 MILES
* LOCATION ABOUT 8 MILES WEST OF GUAM


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND ON THE
INTERNET AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

$$



NNNN






See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (8.3 days old)
Updated 13 Jan 2025 12:34:09 GMT (8.3 days old)
in Kyushu, Japan

https://tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/01/13/sq10wm/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.