Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
December 6, 2025, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - N 8-10, Seas SW 1.9-4 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - NNW 10-12, Seas WNW 2.7-4.9 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas WNW 2.2-4.7 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-13, Seas WNW 2.2-4.5 ft @ 12sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - N 9-11, Seas WSW 1.1-4.1 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - NNW 8-10, Seas WNW 1.8-4.5 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas WNW 1.8-4.5 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 7-9, Seas WNW 1.5-4.6 ft @ 13sec
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NE 6-8, Seas WSW 1.3-3.7 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - NW 5-6, Seas WSW 1.7-3.8 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - NW 5-6, Seas WSW 1.7-3.8 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NE 6-8, Seas WSW 1.1-3.7 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 10-13, Seas WNW 2.2-4.5 ft @ 12sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 7-9, Seas WNW 1.5-4.6 ft @ 13sec, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NNW 6-8, Seas WSW 0.9-3.2 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
A SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED FROM W OF LAS MARIAS ISLANDS TO NEAR
17N110W. THIS TROUGH IS A REFLECTION OF AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH.
STRONG SW WINDS ALOFT ON THE E SIDE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
SUPPORT AN AREA OF MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION THAT
COVERS THE WATERS FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W AND 106.5W. THE
SURFACE TROUGH IS WELL DEFINED ON SCATTEROMETER DATA WITH MAINLY
MODERATE N WINDS ON THE W SIDE OF THE TROUGH. OTHERWISE, A RIDGE
DOMINATES THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
PRODUCING MAINLY MODERATE NW TO N WINDS WITH MODERATE SEAS IN NW
SWELL. IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHERLY
WINDS PREVAIL, MAINLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE GULF WHERE
SEAS ARE 2 TO 4 FT.
FOR THE FORECAST, OCCASIONALLY FRESH NW TO N WINDS ARE EXPECTED
IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA THROUGH TUE DUE TO THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN A TROUGH OVER NW MEXICO AND A RIDGE OFFSHORE
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. LOOKING AHEAD, THE NEXT GAP WIND
EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON MON AS
A COLD FRONT MOVES OVER THE GULF OF AMERICA AND HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. STRONG TO MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS AND
ROUGH SEAS ARE FORECAST WITH THIS EVENT MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE
NIGHT. FRESH N WINDS MAY DEVELOP NEAR CABO CORRIENTES TUE NIGHT
INTO WED.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - NW 10-12, Seas SW 1.1-2.4 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - WNW 7-9, Seas SW 0.9-2.4 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - W 10-12, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY NIGHT - WNW 7-9, Seas SW 0.9-2.4 ft @ 13sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.2-3.3 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 2.6-3.5 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 2.6-3.5 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 10-12, Seas S 3.6-4.3 ft @ 16sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
TUESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NW 10-12, Seas S 3.6-4.3 ft @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 10-12, Seas S 1.9-3.1 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half WNW 6-8, Seas SSW 1-2.3 ft @ 12sec, Southern Half NNW 10-12, Seas S 1.9-3 ft @ 13sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.2-3.3 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 2.6-3.5 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 2.6-3.5 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 10-12, Seas S 3.6-4.3 ft @ 16sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
TUESDAY - NW 10-12, Seas S 3.6-4.3 ft @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas S 1.9-3.1 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas S 1.9-3 ft @ 13sec
FRIDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.2-2.6 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - N 9-11, Seas SSW 1.3-2.5 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - N 9-11, Seas SSW 1.3-2.5 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNE 6-7, Seas SSW 1.5-2.6 ft @ 16sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TUESDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.7-2.8 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.4-2.6 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.4-2.3 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - N 9-11, Seas SW 0.9-3.2 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - NNE 10-13, Seas SW 1-3.2 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - NNE 10-13, Seas SW 1-3.2 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY NIGHT - SE 4-5, Seas WSW --? ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SW 1.6-3.3 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.4-2.8 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY - N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - WNW 10-12, Seas SW 1-3.3 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas SW 1.2-3.3 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SW 1.2-3.3 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY NIGHT - WNW 10-12, Seas SW 1.1-3.9 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - WNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
FOR THE FORECAST, OCCASIONALLY FRESH NW TO N WINDS ARE EXPECTED
IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA THROUGH TUE DUE TO THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN A TROUGH OVER NW MEXICO AND A RIDGE OFFSHORE
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. LOOKING AHEAD, THE NEXT GAP WIND
EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON MON AS
A COLD FRONT MOVES OVER THE GULF OF AMERICA AND HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. STRONG TO MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS AND
ROUGH SEAS ARE FORECAST WITH THIS EVENT MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE
NIGHT. FRESH N WINDS MAY DEVELOP NEAR CABO CORRIENTES TUE NIGHT
INTO WED.
FOR THE FORECAST, GENTLE TO MODERATE NE TO E WINDS AND MODERATE
SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE
SEAS IN MIXED NW AND S SWELL ARE EXPECTED OVER THE REGIONAL
WATERS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SEAS GENERATED BY A GAP WIND EVENT
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
OUTER OFFSHORE WATERS OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA ON TUE.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - NNW 27-34, Seas SSW 4.6-5.4 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 28-35, Seas NNW 7.3-7.9 ft @ 6sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TUESDAY - NNW 28-35, Seas NNW 7.3-7.9 ft @ 6sec
WEDNESDAY - N 14-18, Seas SSW 5-5.7 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - WSW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 07N95W TO 12N107W TO
08N122W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 08N122W TO BEYOND 08N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 100W
AND 125W...AND FROM 06N TO 09N W OF 135W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 07N95W TO 12N107W TO
08N122W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 08N122W TO BEYOND 08N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN
100W AND 125W, AND FROM 06N TO 09N W OF 135W.
A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED N OF AREA AND ITS ASSOCIATED
RIDGE DOMINATES THE WATERS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ AND W OF
110W. MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS ARE NOTED FROM 08N TO 23N W OF
130W BASED ON RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA. SEAS ARE 6 TO 8 FT
WITHIN THESE WINDS. MAINLY MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NOTED
ELSEWHERE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE. TO THE S OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ AND W OF 110W, MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SE
WINDS ARE OCCURRING. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS, PRIMARILY IN LONG PERIOD NW SWELL, PREVAIL.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
RECENT SATELLITE DERIVED WIND DATA INDICATE GENTLE TO MODERATE
NE WINDS IN THE PAPAGAYO REGION AND DOWNWIND TO NEAR 87W.
ELSEWHERE, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE NOTED N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH, WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE S WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF IT.
MODERATE SEAS, PRIMARILY IN LONG PERIOD NW SWELL, PREVAIL ACROSS
THE REGIONAL WATERS, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SLIGHT SEAS NEARSHORE,
AND IN THE LEE OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS.
FOR THE FORECAST, GENTLE TO MODERATE NE TO E WINDS AND MODERATE
SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE
SEAS IN MIXED NW AND S SWELL ARE EXPECTED OVER THE REGIONAL
WATERS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SEAS GENERATED BY A GAP WIND EVENT
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
OUTER OFFSHORE WATERS OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA ON TUE.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TUESDAY - NE 13-16, Seas SSW 1-3 ft @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas SSW 0.8-3 ft @ 15sec
THURSDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas SSW 1.2-3 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - ENE 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (0.2 days old)
Updated 06 Dec 2025 20:50:26 GMT (0.2 days old)
SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/12/06/25340000/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt
ZCZC
WEGM42 PHEB 062050
TIBGUM
GUZ001>004-062250-
TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
650 AM CHST SUN DEC 07 2025
...NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO GUAM/CNMI FROM A DISTANT EARTHQUAKE...
AUDIENCE
--------
EMERGENCY MANAGERS... MEDIA... GENERAL PUBLIC
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED IN
SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA AT 642 AM CHST ON SUNDAY DECEMBER 7
2025.
* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO
GUAM... ROTA... TINIAN OR SAIPAN FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* NO TSUNAMI IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 642 AM CHST DEC 07 2025
* COORDINATES 60.4 NORTH 139.5 WEST
* DEPTH 1 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND ON THE
INTERNET AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.
$$
NNNN
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (0 days old)
Updated 07 Dec 2025 01:59:46 GMT (0 days old)
60 miles N of Yakutat, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/12/07/t6vmq6/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
WEAK53 PAAQ 070159
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
459 PM AKST Sat Dec 6 2025
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 4.4
* Origin Time 1657 AKST Dec 06 2025
1757 PST Dec 06 2025
0157 UTC Dec 07 2025
* Coordinates 60.5 North 139.7 West
* Depth 9 miles
* Location 60 miles N of Yakutat, Alaska
240 miles NW of Juneau, Alaska
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$