Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
December 27, 2025, 9:02 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NNW 13-16, Seas NW 4.8-9.6 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 14-18, Seas NW 4-9.9 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY - NE 12-15, Seas NW 1.9-4.5 ft @ 10sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NE 10-12, Seas NW 2-4 ft @ 10sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NNW 14-18, Seas NW 4.4-9 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NNW 15-19, Seas WNW 3.6-7.9 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - E 10-13, Seas NW 2-6.2 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 8-10, Seas NW 2.1-5.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - ENE 11-14, Seas NW 2.3-4.1 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY NIGHT - ENE 10-12, Seas NW 2.6-4.1 ft @ 12sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NE 11-14, Seas NW 2.8-4.2 ft @ 10sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 ENE 10-12, Seas NW 2.6-4.1 ft @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 ESE 17-21, Seas WSW 2.6-3.7 ft @ 12sec, Middle 2/3 SE 15-19, Seas SW 1.5-2.9 ft @ 12sec, Southern 1/3 ESE 10-12, Seas S 2.3-3.1 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 ESE 14-17, Seas WNW 2.2-3.5 ft @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 ESE 11-14, Seas SE 4.7-5.1 ft @ 6sec, Southern 1/3 SE 10-12, Seas S 2.6-3.3 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 SSE 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNE 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N112W TO 32N114W TO 30N115W TO
25N111W TO 25N109W TO 27N109W TO 29N112W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
A 1032 MB HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED NEAR 40N136W EXTENDS A
RIDGE TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS, SUPPORTING MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. A DECAYING NW SWELL SUSTAINS SEAS OF 8-13 FT NORTH OF
PUNTA EUGENIA AND 5-8 FT SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH NW WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE FOUND IN
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. MEANWHILE, WINDS IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC HAVE DIMINISH BELOW STRONG FORCE AND CURRENTLY,
MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS IN THESE WATERS
ARE 4-6 FT. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO
MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, NORTHWEST SWELL PROPAGATING THROUGH THE OFFSHORE
WATERS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WILL DIMINISH THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE LIKELY
TO DEVELOP IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA SUN INTO TUE AS HIGH
PRESSURE STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE REGION. A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SUPPORT MODERATE TO FRESH N WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
THROUGH SUN MORNING. LOOKING AHEAD, A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE GULF OF AMERICA MON INTO TUE. BUILDING RIDGE BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL SUPPORT THE NEXT GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC, REACHING GALE CONDITIONS LATE MON NIGHT AND
CONTINUING THROUGH WED NIGHT. WINDS MAY PEAK AROUND 40-45 KT,
SUPPORTING ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THU
INTO FRI.
SIGNIFICANT SWELL AND DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE: LARGE NORTHWEST
SWELL CONTINUES TO INDUCE VERY ROUGH SEAS OVER THE WATERS NORTH
OF 24N AND WEST OF ABOUT 119W, WITH SEAS PEAKING TO AROUND 14 FT
(4.5 M) NORTH OF 28N AND BETWEEN 120W AND 133W. THIS WAS
CONFIRMED BY A RECENT ALTIMETER SATELLITE PASS. WAVE PERIOD WITH
THESE SEAS IS OF 12-14 SEC. ROUGH SEAS EXTEND SOUTHWARD INTO THE
TRADES WATERS AND EASTWARD TO THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. THE SWELL WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH LATE SUN SOUTH
OF 28N. ROUGH SEAS OF 8 TO 12 FT ARE LIKELY TO PREVAIL THROUGH
THE WEEKEND ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM
17N TO 26N.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - S 5-6, Seas W 0.5-2.2 ft @ 11sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 14-17, Seas W 4.2-4.4 ft @ 12sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SW 2.5-3.1 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2-2.6 ft @ 11sec
MONDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2-2.6 ft @ 11sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-13, Seas NW 2.6-3.2 ft @ 6sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
TUESDAY - Northern Half W 3-4, Seas SSW 1-1.4 ft @ 13sec, Southern Half NNW 9-11, Seas NW 2.9-3.2 ft @ 6sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half ESE 10-12, Seas SSW 0.5-1.3 ft @ 12sec, Southern Half NNW 7-9, Seas NW 3-3.3 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half SSE 6-7, Seas SSW 0.5-1.6 ft @ 11sec, Southern Half NNW 7-9, Seas SW 3.5-4.2 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SW 2.5-3.1 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2-2.6 ft @ 11sec
MONDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2-2.6 ft @ 11sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-13, Seas NW 2.6-3.2 ft @ 6sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
TUESDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas NW 2.9-3.2 ft @ 6sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas NW 3-3.3 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas SW 3.5-4.2 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - NNW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TUESDAY - NNW 5-6, Seas SSW 0.6-1.9 ft @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - NNE 5-6, Seas SSW 0.6-1.9 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SW 1.8-2.5 ft @ 19sec
FRIDAY - NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - N 14-17, Seas SSW 1.1-2.8 ft @ 13sec
FRIDAY - N 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO
14N94W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
A 1032 MB HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED NEAR 40N136W EXTENDS A
RIDGE TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS, SUPPORTING MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. A DECAYING NW SWELL SUSTAINS SEAS OF 8-13 FT NORTH OF
PUNTA EUGENIA AND 5-8 FT SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH NW WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE FOUND IN
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. MEANWHILE, WINDS IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC HAVE DIMINISH BELOW STRONG FORCE AND CURRENTLY,
MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS IN THESE WATERS
ARE 4-6 FT. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO
MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, NORTHWEST SWELL PROPAGATING THROUGH THE OFFSHORE
WATERS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WILL DIMINISH THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE LIKELY
TO DEVELOP IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA SUN INTO TUE AS HIGH
PRESSURE STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE REGION. A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SUPPORT MODERATE TO FRESH N WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
THROUGH SUN MORNING. LOOKING AHEAD, A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE GULF OF AMERICA MON INTO TUE. BUILDING RIDGE BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL SUPPORT THE NEXT GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC, REACHING GALE CONDITIONS LATE MON NIGHT AND
CONTINUING THROUGH WED NIGHT. WINDS MAY PEAK AROUND 40-45 KT,
SUPPORTING ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THU
INTO FRI.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N77W TO 07N94W. ITCZ FROM 07N94W TO BEYOND
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 24N BETWEEN
117W AND 129W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N77W TO 09N84W AND TO 07N94W.
THE ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 07N94W TO 09N115W AND BEYOND 08N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OCCURRING
FROM 08N TO 24N AND BETWEEN 117W AND 129W.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N86W TO 11N88W TO 10N87W TO 10N86W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
A BROAD HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF AMERICA
EXTENDS SOUTHWARD INTO THE REGION. A RECENT SCATTEROMETER
SATELLITE PASS CAPTURED FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY TRADE WINDS
ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. SEAS IN THESE WATERS ARE 4-6 FT. THE
SATELLITE-DERIVED WIND DATA ALSO NOTED A WEAK LOW PRESSURE OFF
COLOMBIA THAT IS PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
AND STRONG TO NEAR GALE-FORCE WINDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
STRONGEST CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE BASIN WILL SUPPORT
PULSING FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY TRADE WINDS IN THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. GENTLE TO MODERATE
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF PANAMA THROUGH THE
PERIOD, PULSING TO FRESH AT NIGHT AT TIMES. GENTLE OR LIGHTER
WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE THROUGH
THE PERIOD.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE BASIN WILL SUPPORT
PULSING FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY TRADE WINDS IN THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. GENTLE TO MODERATE
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF PANAMA THROUGH THE
PERIOD, PULSING TO FRESH AT NIGHT AT TIMES. GENTLE OR LIGHTER
WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE THROUGH
THE PERIOD.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (0.4 days old)
Updated 27 Dec 2025 15:21:54 GMT (0.4 days old)
TAIWAN REGION
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/12/27/25361000/1/WEZS42/WEZS42.txt
ZCZC
WEZS42 PHEB 271521
TIBPPG
ASZ001>004-271721-
TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
421 AM SST SAT DEC 27 2025
...NO TSUNAMI THREAT FROM A DISTANT EARTHQUAKE...
AUDIENCE
--------
EMERGENCY MANAGERS... MEDIA... GENERAL PUBLIC
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.7 OCCURRED IN
THE TAIWAN REGION AT 406 AM SST ON SATURDAY DECEMBER 27
2025.
* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO
AMERICAN SAMOA FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* NO TSUNAMI IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.7
* ORIGIN TIME 406 AM SST DEC 27 2025
* COORDINATES 24.7 NORTH 122.1 EAST
* DEPTH 22 MILES
* LOCATION TAIWAN REGION
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND ON THE
INTERNET AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.
$$
NNNN
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (0.4 days old)
Updated 27 Dec 2025 15:17:54 GMT (0.4 days old)
in the Taiwan region
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/12/27/t7xolw/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
WEAK53 PAAQ 271517
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
717 AM PST Sat Dec 27 2025
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA, BRITISH
COLUMBIA, WASHINGTON, OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is no tsunami danger for the U.S. West Coast, British
Columbia, or Alaska.
* Based on earthquake information and historic tsunami records,
the earthquake is not expected to generate a tsunami.
* An earthquake has occurred with parameters listed below.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 6.7
* Origin Time 0606 AKST Dec 27 2025
0706 PST Dec 27 2025
1506 UTC Dec 27 2025
* Coordinates 24.7 North 122.1 East
* Depth 22 miles
* Location in the Taiwan region
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Refer to the internet site tsunami.gov for more information.
* Pacific coastal regions outside California, Oregon, Washington,
British Columbia, and Alaska should refer to the Pacific Tsunami
Warning Center messages at tsunami.gov.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$