Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
November 16, 2025, 9:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - WSW 6-7, Seas NW 3.4-7.1 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - SSW 8-10, Seas NW 3.2-6.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - WNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY NIGHT - WSW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NNW 10-13, Seas NW 4.2-7.4 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - NNW 10-12, Seas NW 3.2-6.6 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas NW 3.2-6.6 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY NIGHT - WNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - NW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 S 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 S 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 S 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
.WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 31N115W TO 30N114W TO 30N113W TO
31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SW WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 31N115W TO
30N114W TO 30N113W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES
TO BEYOND 23N117W. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE NORTHERN GULF
OF CALIFORNIA SUPPORT FRESH TO LOCALLY NEAR GALE-FORCE SOUTHERLY
WINDS AS SHOWN IN A RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS. IN THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA BEHIND THE FRONT, MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH SW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS PREVAIL, WHILE LIGHT TO
LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO 10 FT ARE PREVALENT
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. ELSEWHERE, INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC,
MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE
EVIDENT.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY DRIFT
EASTWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY,
BRINGING MAINLY MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL TO
THE WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. THE FRESH TO LOCALLY NEAR
GALE-FORCE SW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING TO FRESH. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS LATE MON INTO MIDWEEK. WINDS MAY PULSE
TO STRONG IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATE MON INTO TUE.
FOR THE FORECAST, A WEAKENING COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE SW
UNITED STATES TO THE WESTERN WATERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EASTWARD AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE
LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS IT
MOVES INTO THE TROPICAL PACIFIC AND MIXES WITH SHORTER-PERIOD
WIND WAVES GENERATED BY MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS. ANOTHER
FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE WATERS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE ON MON, FOLLOWED BY LARGE NW SWELL NORTH OF 25N
AND EAST OF 135W. LOOKING AHEAD, A BUILDING RIDGE OVER NORTHERN
WATERS WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS
IN THE TRADE WATERS WEST OF 120W MIDWEEK INTO LATE NEXT WEEK.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - WNW 10-13, Seas W 1.8-2.6 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - NW 7-9, Seas W --? ft @ 18sec
MONDAY - W 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY NIGHT - WNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
TUESDAY - Northern Half WNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern Half WNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half N 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half N 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half N 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern Half S 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
TUESDAY - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - N 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - WNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NW 7-9, Seas SW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NNE 4-5, Seas SSW --? ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY NIGHT - N 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TUESDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY NIGHT - N 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TUESDAY - N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NNE 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - NNE 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - SE 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY NIGHT - NE 3-4, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TUESDAY - E 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - E 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - E 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - WSW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - W 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES
TO BEYOND 23N117W. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE NORTHERN GULF
OF CALIFORNIA SUPPORT FRESH TO LOCALLY NEAR GALE-FORCE SOUTHERLY
WINDS AS SHOWN IN A RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS. IN THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA BEHIND THE FRONT, MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH SW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS PREVAIL, WHILE LIGHT TO
LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO 10 FT ARE PREVALENT
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. ELSEWHERE, INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC,
MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE
EVIDENT.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - SW 5-6, Seas SW 5-5.9 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - SSW 6-8, Seas SW 4.2-5.1 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - SSW 6-8, Seas SW 4.2-5.1 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - SSW 2-3, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TUESDAY - SSW 3-4, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - SW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - SW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - SSW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - N 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 08N125W. ITCZ FROM 08N125W TO
BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 13N AND E OF
105W...FROM 07N TO 10N AND W OF 122W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 07N104W TO 08N125W.
THE ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 08N125W TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 05N TO 13N AND EAST OF
105W, AND ALSO FROM 07N TO 10N AND WEST OF 122W.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM SW UNITED STATES TO 17N129W, WHILE A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW PRESSURE OFF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA TO 25N129W. A RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS
INDICATE THAT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE OCCURRING BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS NOTED NEAR THE SOUTHERN
EXTENT OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. A LONG-PERIOD, DECAYING NW SWELL
SUSTAIN SEAS OF 8-10 FT OVER MUCH OF THE BASIN NORTH OF 10N AND
WEST OF 110W. MEANWHILE OVER THE EASTERN WATERS, AN ELONGATED
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PERSISTS ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN
90W AND 105W. MODERATE TO FRESH S TO SW WINDS ARE FLOWING INTO
THIS AREA, SUSTAINING SEAS OF 6-8 FT SEAS SOUTHWARD TO THE
EQUATOR, MIXING WITH NW SWELL. IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN,
MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE PRESENT.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY DRIFT
EASTWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY,
BRINGING MAINLY MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL TO
THE WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. THE FRESH TO LOCALLY NEAR
GALE-FORCE SW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING TO FRESH. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS LATE MON INTO MIDWEEK. WINDS MAY PULSE
TO STRONG IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATE MON INTO TUE.
FOR THE FORECAST, A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE BASIN WILL
SUPPORT MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL FRESHEN UP BY MIDWEEK IN THE
GULF OF PAPAGAYO, WHILE MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF 05N.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - NE 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY NIGHT - ENE 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TUESDAY - ENE 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - ENE 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - ENE 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NE 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (6.6 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (6.6 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (7.2 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 09:43:42 GMT (7.2 days old)
55 miles SE of Amukta Pass, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/09/t5gddc/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.