Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America



November 18, 2025, 9:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - WSW 11-14, Seas NW 2.4-3.2 ft @ 8sec
TONITE - WSW 11-14, Seas NW 2.4-3.2 ft @ 8sec
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 14-17, Seas WNW 2.8-2.9 ft @ 5sec
TONITE - NW 11-14, Seas WNW 2.5-2.7 ft @ 10sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 12-15, Seas WNW 1.7-2.4 ft @ 8sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NW 14-17, Seas NW 3-3.6 ft @ 12sec

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NW 14-17, Seas NW 3-3.6 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NW 10-12, Seas NW 2.3-3.7 ft @ 11sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 W 12-15, Seas NW 2.9-7.2 ft @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 N 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 31N115W TO
30N114W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA... SW TO W
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.


A FORMER STATIONARY FRONT DISSIPATED AND ITS REMNANTS ARE
ANALYZED AS A SURFACE TROUGH FROM 26N112W TO 17N126W. A NEW COLD
FRONT IS NOW SINKING INTO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE, STRETCHING
FROM 30N117W TO 25N125W TO 25N136W. RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA
SHOW MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT IS
ALSO BRINGING ROUGH SEAS TO 11 FT IN LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL, WHICH
WILL START AFFECTING THE WATERS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA THIS MORNING.
MODERATE TO FRESH SW WINDS ARE ALSO AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA WHERE SEAS ARE UP TO 4 FT. A WEAK
PRESSURE GRADIENT ELSEWHERE SUPPORT MAINLY LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
WITH MODERATE SEAS IN NW SWELL, EXCEPT SLIGHT SEAS IN THE
REMAINDER GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REACH FRESH TO STRONG
SPEEDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT TODAY AND THEN AGAIN TONIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 FT
DURING THE STRONGEST WINDS. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE,
REACHING PUNTA EUGENIA THIS EVENING WHILE GRADUALLY WEAKENING,
AND DISSIPATE N OF CABO SAN LAZARO BY WED. ROUGH SEAS IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS THE OUTER OFFSHORE WATERS
N OF CABO SAN LAZARO THROUGH THU. OTHERWISE, A NEW COLD FRONT IS
FORECAST TO ENTER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE OFFSHORE WATERS THU
NIGHT FOLLOWED BY LARGE SWELL BRINGING ROUGH SEAS TO 12 FT TO THE
WATERS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA THROUGH SAT.

A FORMER STATIONARY FRONT DISSIPATED AND ITS REMNANTS ARE
ANALYZED AS A SURFACE TROUGH FROM 26N112W TO 17N126W. A NEW COLD
FRONT IS NOW SINKING INTO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE, STRETCHING
FROM 30N117W TO 25N125W TO 25N136W. RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA
SHOW MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT IS
ALSO BRINGING ROUGH SEAS TO 11 FT IN LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL, WHICH
ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE WATERS N OF 25N BETWEEN 120W AND 133W.
ELSEWHERE N OF THE ITCZ AND W OF 127W, A SURFACE RIDGE PREVAILS,
BEING ANCHORED BY A 1026 MB HIGH CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32N138W.
ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE
PRESENT.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - WNW 4-5, Seas W 1.8-1.9 ft @ 7sec
TONITE - WSW 5-6, Seas W --? ft @ 7sec
WEDNESDAY - W 9-11, Seas WNW 1.7-2.6 ft @ 11sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - WSW 5-6, Seas W --? ft @ 7sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NW 10-12, Seas NNW 1.8-1.8 ft @ 4sec
TONITE - NW 8-10, Seas NW 1.7-1.8 ft @ 4sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 8-10, Seas NW 1.7-1.8 ft @ 4sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - WNW 3-4, Seas SSE 0.9-1.2 ft @ 8sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
THURSDAY - Northern Half W 11-14, Seas WNW 2-2.4 ft @ 10sec, Southern Half N 10-13, Seas SSE 1.6-1.9 ft @ 7sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 8-10, Seas SSE 1.7-1.9 ft @ 7sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half W 6-8, Seas WSW 0.6-2.4 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.3-2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half NW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - Northern Half N 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 10-12, Seas NNW 1.8-1.8 ft @ 4sec
TONITE - NW 8-10, Seas NW 1.7-1.8 ft @ 4sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 8-10, Seas NW 1.7-1.8 ft @ 4sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - WNW 3-4, Seas SSE 0.9-1.2 ft @ 8sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
THURSDAY - N 10-13, Seas SSE 1.6-1.9 ft @ 7sec
FRIDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSE 1.7-1.9 ft @ 7sec
SATURDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.3-2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 6-8, Seas NW 0.4-1.2 ft @ 5sec
TONITE - NE 5-6, Seas NW --? ft @ 6sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 5-6, Seas S 0.4-1 ft @ 7sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NE 5-6, Seas NW --? ft @ 6sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
THURSDAY - NW 6-8, Seas S 0.4-1 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.3-1.6 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.6-2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - N 11-14, Seas WNW 1.3-2.3 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas WSW 1.9-2.8 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - N 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - N 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
THURSDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas S 0.3-1.6 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - NW 7-9, Seas S 0.4-1.6 ft @ 7sec
SATURDAY - NW 6-7, Seas SW 0.9-1.9 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - SW 8-10, Seas SSW 0.5-2.5 ft @ 7sec
TONITE - WSW 6-8, Seas SSW 0.5-2.3 ft @ 7sec
WEDNESDAY - WSW 6-8, Seas SSW 0.5-2.3 ft @ 7sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - N 8-10, Seas SSW 0.6-1.7 ft @ 6sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
THURSDAY - N 8-10, Seas SSW 0.6-1.7 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - NNE 5-6, Seas SW 1-2.1 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - N 14-17, Seas SSW 2.8-3.8 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY - N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 11N100W TO 09N115W TO
08N125W. THE ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 08N125W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 01N TO 07N E OF 82W...AND FROM 01N TO 11N BETWEEN
126W AND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE
FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 112W AND 126W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 11N100W TO 09N115W TO
08N125W. THE ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 08N125W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ONGOING FROM 01N TO 07N E OF 82W, AND
FROM 01N TO 11N BETWEEN 126W AND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN
112W AND 126W.

A FORMER STATIONARY FRONT DISSIPATED AND ITS REMNANTS ARE
ANALYZED AS A SURFACE TROUGH FROM 26N112W TO 17N126W. A NEW COLD
FRONT IS NOW SINKING INTO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE, STRETCHING
FROM 30N117W TO 25N125W TO 25N136W. RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA
SHOW MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT IS
ALSO BRINGING ROUGH SEAS TO 11 FT IN LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL, WHICH
ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE WATERS N OF 25N BETWEEN 120W AND 133W.
ELSEWHERE N OF THE ITCZ AND W OF 127W, A SURFACE RIDGE PREVAILS,
BEING ANCHORED BY A 1026 MB HIGH CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32N138W.
ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE
PRESENT.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

GENTLE TO MODERATE NE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
AND DOWNWIND TO NEAR 88W. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AMERICA
OFFSHORE WATERS, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS PREVAIL.
BETWEEN ECUADOR AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS, WINDS ARE GENTLE TO
LOCALLY MODERATE FROM THE SOUTH, HOWEVER SEAS ARE SLIGHT TO
MODERATE.
FOR THE FORECAST, LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE WEATHER PATTERN
ACROSS THE REGION AS A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT IS FORECAST TO
PREVAIL. THIS WILL SUPPORT MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT
TO MODERATE SEAS THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK. IN THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO, GENTLE TO MODERATE NE TO E WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE
SEAS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SAT, WITH PULSING WINDS TO 20 KT AT
NIGHT. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO 5 OR 6 FT WITH THESE WINDS.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - NE 14-18, Seas SW 1.2-2.1 ft @ 7sec
TONITE - ENE 14-17, Seas SW 0.7-1.7 ft @ 6sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 15-19, Seas SW 1.2-1.9 ft @ 6sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - ENE 13-16, Seas SW 0.8-1.7 ft @ 6sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
THURSDAY - NE 16-20, Seas SSW 1.2-1.9 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - NE 14-18, Seas S 1-2 ft @ 7sec
SATURDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas S 0.8-2.4 ft @ 7sec
SUNDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas SSW 1.1-2.9 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (8.6 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (8.6 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.


See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (9.2 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 09:43:42 GMT (9.2 days old)
55 miles SE of Amukta Pass, Alaska

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/09/t5gddc/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.