Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America



September 27, 2020, 9:30 pm (UTC: +00:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NW 8-11, Seas NW 7-11 feet @ 13sec
TONITE - NW 5-7, Seas NW 6-10 feet @ 12sec
MONDAY - NW 10-14, Seas SSW 6-9 feet @ 19sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 11-15, Seas SSW 6-9 feet @ 18sec

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NW 8-12, Seas WNW 6-10 feet @ 13sec
TONITE - NW 8-11, Seas SSW 6-9 feet @ 20sec
MONDAY - WNW 11-15, Seas SSW 6-9 feet @ 18sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 11-16, Seas SSW 6-10 feet @ 18sec

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - WNW 5-8, Seas WNW 5-8 feet @ 15sec
TONITE - WNW 6-8, Seas SSW 5-8 feet @ 20sec
MONDAY - NW 9-13, Seas SSW 5-8 feet @ 18sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 5-8 feet @ 17sec

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 11-15, Seas SSW 6-9 feet @ 18sec, Middle 2/3 NW 11-16, Seas SSW 6-10 feet @ 18sec, Southern 1/3 NW 10-13, Seas SSW 5-8 feet @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 11-15, Seas SSW 6-9 feet @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 6-8, Seas SSW 5-9 feet @ 16sec, Southern 1/3 ESE 5-6, Seas SSW 5-8 feet @ 15sec
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 10-13, Seas WNW 5-9 feet @ 13sec, Middle 2/3 W 7-9, Seas W 4-7 feet @ 13sec, Southern 1/3 NW 3-5, Seas WSW 4-7 feet @ 14sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 10-14, Seas WNW 5-9 feet @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 W 8-12, Seas WNW 5-8 feet @ 17sec, Southern 1/3 NW 10-14, Seas WSW 5-8 feet @ 13sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 8-11, Seas WNW 6-9 feet @ 15sec, Middle 2/3 W 7-10, Seas WNW 5-9 feet @ 16sec, Southern 1/3 NW 12-17, Seas WNW 5-8 feet @ 17sec


**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - S 12-16, Seas SSE 1-2 feet @ 2sec
TONITE - SSW 6-8, Seas SSE 0-1 feet @ 3sec
MONDAY - NW 14-19, Seas NW 2-3 feet @ 3sec
MONDAY NIGHT - WNW 13-17, Seas NW 2-4 feet @ 3sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - W 6-8, Seas SSW 3-6 feet @ 21sec
TONITE - WSW 6-8, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 20sec
MONDAY - WNW 5-7, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 18sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 5-6, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 18sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
TUESDAY - Northern Half NW 13-18, Seas NW 2-3 feet @ 3sec, Southern Half NW 5-6, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 18sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half NW 9-13, Seas NW 1-2 feet @ 3sec, Southern Half SE 2-3, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 15sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half SSE 7-10, Seas NW 0-1 feet @ 3sec, Southern Half WNW 4-5, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 14sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half SE 10-13, Seas SE 1-2 feet @ 2sec, Southern Half WNW 4-6, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half SSE 12-16, Seas SSE 1-2 feet @ 2sec, Southern Half WNW 5-7, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 14sec


**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - W 6-8, Seas SSW 3-6 feet @ 21sec
TONITE - WSW 6-8, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 20sec
MONDAY - WNW 5-7, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 18sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 5-6, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 18sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
TUESDAY - NW 5-6, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 18sec
WEDNESDAY - SE 2-3, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 15sec
THURSDAY - WNW 4-5, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 14sec
FRIDAY - WNW 4-6, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - WNW 5-7, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 14sec


**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - WNW 8-11, Seas SSW 3-6 feet @ 21sec
TONITE - NW 7-10, Seas SSW 3-6 feet @ 20sec
MONDAY - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 18sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 4-6, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 18sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TUESDAY - W 5-7, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - S 6-8, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 15sec
THURSDAY - WNW 8-11, Seas SSW 3-6 feet @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NW 11-15, Seas SSW 3-6 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SW 3-5 feet @ 13sec


**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - NW 5-7, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 21sec
TONITE - NW 6-8, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 20sec
MONDAY - NNW 9-12, Seas SSW 5-8 feet @ 19sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 8-11, Seas SSW 5-8 feet @ 17sec

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TUESDAY - NNW 8-11, Seas SSW 5-8 feet @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY - SSE 7-10, Seas SSW 5-8 feet @ 16sec
THURSDAY - NW 7-10, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - N 7-9, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 14sec


**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - ENE 3-4, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 15sec
TONITE - NNE 3-4, Seas SSW 5-8 feet @ 20sec
MONDAY - SSE 3-5, Seas SSW 5-9 feet @ 18sec
MONDAY NIGHT - E 6-8, Seas SSW 6-9 feet @ 17sec

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TUESDAY - ENE 7-10, Seas SSW 6-10 feet @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY - NE 5-7, Seas SSW 5-9 feet @ 15sec
THURSDAY - WNW 9-13, Seas SSW 5-8 feet @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NW 7-10, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - NE 4-6, Seas SW 4-6 feet @ 14sec


**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC: A STRONG GALE FORCE GAP WIND EVENT IS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU AS
COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. CURRENTLY, MARINE
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS N WINDS OF 30 TO 45 KT AND SEAS BUILDING UP TO
16 OR 17 FT TUE NIGHT.
OF NOTE, THE 20-YEAR CLIMATOLOGY OF THE TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND
EVENTS INDICATES THAT ON AVERAGE 16 GALE-FORCE EVENTS AND 5
STORM FORCE-EVENTS OCCUR IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC EACH COLD
SEASON. MOST GALE-FORCE EVENTS OCCURRED DURING NOVEMBER AND
DECEMBER, WHILE MOST STORM-FORCE WINDS OCCURRED IN JANUARY. BASED
ON LATEST MODEL TRENDS AND THE PRESENT EVOLVING SYNOPTIC SCALE
SETUP, IT APPEARS THAT THE FORECAST GALE TO NEAR STRONG FORCE
WIND EVENT MAY SUPERSEDE THE PREVIOUSLY RECORDED EARLIEST START
DATE OF OCTOBER 3RD.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - SW 10-14, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 15sec
TONITE - SE 5-7, Seas SSW 5-8 feet @ 20sec
MONDAY - S 5-7, Seas SSW 5-9 feet @ 18sec
MONDAY NIGHT - SW 2-3, Seas SSW 6-9 feet @ 17sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TUESDAY - NNW 34-46, Seas NNW 12-18 feet @ 7sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 32-43, Seas NNW 14-21 feet @ 8sec
THURSDAY - N 26-36, Seas NNW 10-15 feet @ 7sec
FRIDAY - N 26-36, Seas NNW 10-16 feet @ 7sec
SATURDAY - NNW 30-41, Seas NNW 11-17 feet @ 7sec


**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N73W TO 09.5N81W TO 13N97W TO
10N123W TO 10N130W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 78W AND 91W...AND FROM
07.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 108W AND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION FROM 09.5N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N73W TO 09.5N81W TO 13N97W TO
10N123W TO 10N130W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 78W AND 91W,
AND FROM 07.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 108W AND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 09.5N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 102W
AND 108W.
MODERATE SOUTHERLY FLOW PREVAILS S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, WITH
GENTLE WINDS NORTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. COMBINED SEAS ARE
CURRENTLY 5 TO 7 FT IN A MIX OF WIND WAVES AND SOUTHERLY SWELL.
LONG PERIOD SW SWELL WILL IMPACT THE WATERS BETWEEN ECUADOR AND
THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS TODAY, BUILDING SEAS TO 8 FT. THIS SWELL
EVENT WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE NORTHWARD REACHING THE OFFSHORE
WATERS OF CENTRAL AMERICA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH SEAS BUILDING
TO 6 TO 8 FT.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 10-14, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 15sec
TONITE - SSW 5-7, Seas SW 4-6 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - NE 11-16, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 18sec
MONDAY NIGHT - ENE 6-9, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 17sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TUESDAY - ENE 11-16, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 9-13, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 15sec
THURSDAY - ESE 7-10, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 15sec
FRIDAY - SSE 11-15, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - SSW 8-12, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 7sec