Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America



February 22, 2024, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - N 12-15, Seas NW 4.6-7.2 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - N 7-9, Seas WNW 0-5.5 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY - N 7-9, Seas WNW 0-5.6 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NNW 6-8, Seas NW 0-6.6 feet @ 14sec

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NNW 10-13, Seas NW 3.5-7.2 feet @ 17sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas NW 0-5.7 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas NW 0-5.6 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NW 5-6, Seas NW 0-6 feet @ 14sec

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NNW 11-14, Seas WNW 0-6 feet @ 12sec
TONITE - WSW 3-4, Seas WNW 0-4.9 feet @ 16sec
SATURDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas WNW 0-4.8 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - WNW 5-6, Seas WNW 0-4.5 feet @ 15sec

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 7-9, Seas WNW 0-6.4 feet @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 NW 6-7, Seas WNW 0-6.2 feet @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 NW 6-8, Seas WNW 0-4.6 feet @ 15sec
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 6-8, Seas WNW 1.3-5.2 feet @ 12sec, Middle 2/3 WNW 8-10, Seas WNW 0-5.6 feet @ 12sec, Southern 1/3 NW 10-13, Seas WNW 1.8-5.3 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet


**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

A RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OFF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE OVER
MEXICO IS SUPPORTING MAINLY MODERATE WINDS FROM THE WATERS
OFFSHORE THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTHWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE
7-8 FT RANGE OFFSHORE THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO SOUTH OF
CABO CORRIENTES IN SUBSIDING NW SWELL. SEAS OF 6-7 FT ARE
ELSEWHERE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OFF MEXICO. SEAS OF 3 FT OR LESS
PREVAIL IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, EXCEPT TO 4 FT NEAR THE
ENTRANCE TO THE GULF.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN OVER THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FRI NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BEHIND A
COLD FRONT IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS WILL USHER IN THE NEXT GAP
WIND EVENT IN TEHUANTEPEC, WITH WINDS FORECAST TO PEAK AT NEAR-
GALE FORCE FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT. WINDS IN THE TEHUANTEPEC
REGION WILL THEN DIMINISH SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ELSEWHERE
OVER THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN
MODERATE OR WEAKER FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. LARGE, LONG-PERIOD
WNW SWELL WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO THE
REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS WILL SUBSIDE TONIGHT.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - N 9-11, Seas W 0-4 feet @ 12sec
TONITE - WNW 6-7, Seas SW 0-2.7 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY - W 6-7, Seas WSW 0-2.7 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NW 2-3, Seas WSW 0-2.7 feet @ 14sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 15-19, Seas SSW 3.9-4.6 feet @ 15sec
TONITE - NW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.4-4.2 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - NW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.3-4.1 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NNW 6-8, Seas SSW 1.9-3.2 feet @ 14sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
SUNDAY - Northern Half SW 5-6, Seas WSW 0.6-2.9 feet @ 14sec, Southern Half NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.7-3.1 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - Northern Half W 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half NW 6-7, Seas SSW 1-2.9 feet @ 16sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half N 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half N 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half NNW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet


**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 15-19, Seas SSW 3.9-4.6 feet @ 15sec
TONITE - NW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.4-4.2 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - NW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.3-4.1 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NNW 6-8, Seas SSW 1.9-3.2 feet @ 14sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SUNDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.7-3.1 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - NW 6-7, Seas SSW 1-2.9 feet @ 16sec
TUESDAY - N 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NNW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - Not available yet


**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NW 13-16, Seas SSW 2-3.2 feet @ 15sec
TONITE - N 8-10, Seas SSW 0-3.2 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSW 0-3 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - N 3-4, Seas SSW 0-2.8 feet @ 17sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
SUNDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSW 0-2.7 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
TUESDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - Not available yet


**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - N 14-18, Seas W 0-5.5 feet @ 13sec
TONITE - N 12-15, Seas SW 0-4.7 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - N 10-12, Seas SW 0-4.6 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NNE 5-6, Seas SW 0-3.9 feet @ 16sec

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
SUNDAY - NNE 8-10, Seas SW 0-3.8 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY - N 8-10, Seas SW 0-3.9 feet @ 16sec
TUESDAY - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - Not available yet


**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - W 8-10, Seas SW 0-4.4 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - WNW 4-5, Seas SW 0-4.3 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - W 5-6, Seas SSW 0-4.1 feet @ 17sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NW 2-3, Seas SSW 0-4 feet @ 16sec

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
SUNDAY - WNW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.5-3.8 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY - WNW 9-11, Seas SW 1.6-4.1 feet @ 15sec
TUESDAY - WNW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - Not available yet


**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 13N97W TO 12N96W TO
13N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.


FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN OVER THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FRI NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BEHIND A
COLD FRONT IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS WILL USHER IN THE NEXT GAP
WIND EVENT IN TEHUANTEPEC, WITH WINDS FORECAST TO PEAK AT NEAR-
GALE FORCE FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT. WINDS IN THE TEHUANTEPEC
REGION WILL THEN DIMINISH SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ELSEWHERE
OVER THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN
MODERATE OR WEAKER FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. LARGE, LONG-PERIOD
WNW SWELL WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO THE
REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS WILL SUBSIDE TONIGHT.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.2-4.1 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 20-25, Seas SSW 1.4-4.1 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - N 22-27, Seas SSW 2-4.3 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - N 15-19, Seas SSW 4.3-5.6 feet @ 17sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
SUNDAY - N 15-19, Seas SSW 4.3-5.6 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-3.9 feet @ 15sec
TUESDAY - SW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - SW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - Not available yet


**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
EQUATORIAL TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 03N105W. ITCZ FROM 03N105W TO
01N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 02N TO 07N
BETWEEN 91W AND 126W.

THE EQUATORIAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 03N105W. THE ITCZ
CONTINUES FROM 03N105W TO BEYOND 01N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 02N TO 07N BETWEEN 91W
AND 126W.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS N OF 20N. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF
THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS
N OF THE ITCZ TO NEAR 16N AND W OF 120W. MODERATE TRADES ARE
ELSEWHERE N OF THE ITCZ TO 20N AND W OF 110W. A COLD FRONT IS
OVER FAR NW WATERS WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS IN THE VICINITY
OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT HAS USHERED IN A SET OF NW SWELL, WITH
SEAS OF 8-10 FT IN THE FAR NW WATERS. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 7-10 FT RANGE OVER THE
WATERS FROM THE EQUATOR TO NEAR 20N AND W OF 95W IN NW
SWELL...MERGING WITH NE SWELL E OF 100W. ELSEWHERE, SEAS OF 6-7
FT ARE NOTED.
FOR THE FORECAST ASIDE FROM THE UPCOMING VERY LARGE NW SWELL,
FRESH TO OCCASIONAL STRONG TRADEWINDS NORTH OF THE ITCZ WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY FRI BEFORE DIMINISHING. AREAL COVERAGE OF
SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH FRI AS THE
ORIGINAL NW SWELL DECAYS.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

.WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N86W TO 11N90W TO 09N91W TO 09N90W TO 10N86W
TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N88W TO 11N91W TO
09N94W TO 07N94W TO 07N89W TO 09N87W TO 11N88W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N86W TO 11N87W TO 10N87W TO
10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.


...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW GALE FORCE IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO.
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS EXTEND WELL DOWNSTREAM TO NEAR 91W, WITH
NEAR- GALE FORCE WINDS CLOSER TO THE GULF. SEAS OVER THIS AREA
ARE IN THE 8-10 FT RANGE. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS, AND SEAS OF 6-8
FT, ARE OVER AND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF OF PANAMA. LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE OVER THE DISCUSSION WATERS. SEAS OF 5-6 FT
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG WINDS, LOCALLY TO NEAR GALE,
ACROSS AND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WILL BRIEFLY DIMINISH
FRI BEFORE STRENGTHENING AGAIN OVER THE WEEKEND. FRESH TO
OCCASIONALLY STRONG N TO NE WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE GULF OF
PANAMA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.WITHIN 07N80W TO 05N84W TO 02N83W TO 02N81W TO 04N80W TO
07N80W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA AND NEAR THE AZUERO
PENINSULA... NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.


...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW GALE FORCE IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO.
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS EXTEND WELL DOWNSTREAM TO NEAR 91W, WITH
NEAR- GALE FORCE WINDS CLOSER TO THE GULF. SEAS OVER THIS AREA
ARE IN THE 8-10 FT RANGE. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS, AND SEAS OF 6-8
FT, ARE OVER AND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF OF PANAMA. LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE OVER THE DISCUSSION WATERS. SEAS OF 5-6 FT
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG WINDS, LOCALLY TO NEAR GALE,
ACROSS AND DOWNSTREAM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WILL BRIEFLY DIMINISH
FRI BEFORE STRENGTHENING AGAIN OVER THE WEEKEND. FRESH TO
OCCASIONALLY STRONG N TO NE WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE GULF OF
PANAMA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SW 1.9-3.8 feet @ 15sec
TONITE - E 10-12, Seas SW 0-3.4 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SW 1.2-3.5 feet @ 14sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - ENE 22-28, Seas SW 2.7-4.1 feet @ 17sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
SUNDAY - ENE 25-31, Seas SW 3.5-4.7 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY - ENE 22-28, Seas SW 2.8-4.1 feet @ 15sec
TUESDAY - ENE 23-29, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - ENE 21-26, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - Not available yet


** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (13.2 days old)
Updated 09 Feb 2024 20:33:20 GMT (13.2 days old)
ON THE SOUTHEASTERN FLANK OF MAUNA LOA

https://tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2024/02/09/24040001/2/WEHW42/WEHW42.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.


See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (1.6 days old)
Updated 21 Feb 2024 10:51:09 GMT (1.6 days old)
75 miles NE of Iliamna, Alaska

https://tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2024/02/21/s97cn6/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt


WEAK53 PAAQ 211051
TIBAK1

Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
151 AM AKST Wed Feb 21 2024

...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.

* Magnitude 4.2
* Origin Time 0148 AKST Feb 21 2024
0248 PST Feb 21 2024
1048 UTC Feb 21 2024
* Coordinates 60.4 North 153.1 West
* Depth 76 miles
* Location 75 miles NE of Iliamna, Alaska
120 miles SW of Anchorage, Alaska


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.

* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.

$$