Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America



January 26, 2021, 10:30 am (UTC: +00:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

...GALE WARNING...
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N95W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO
15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO
35 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N94W TO 13N96W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO
16N93W TO 14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.COLD FRONT FROM 26N112W TO 21N127W. WITHIN 14N122W TO 10N126W
TO 07N140W TO 26N140W TO 20N127W TO 14N122W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN MIXED NE TO E WIND WAVES AND NW SWELL.
WITHIN 27N114W TO 29N125W TO 30N128W TO 30N115W TO 27N114W NW
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 19 FT IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR
30N118W. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N114W TO 04N140W TO 20N126W TO
28N140W TO 26N114W TO 13N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. WITHIN 09N110W TO
05N140W TO 25N140W TO 30N116W TO 19N105W TO 09N110W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N115W TO 05N140W TO 20N140W TO
26N115W TO 18N107W TO 10N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN NW TO N SWELL.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N108W TO 26N112W. WITHIN 28N111W TO 27N112W
TO 30N115W TO 32N115W TO 31N113W TO 28N111W...INCLUDING GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT FROM 29N TO
31N.
.18 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.21 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 22N107W TO 22N109W TO 24N110W TO
25N108W TO 23N106W TO 22N107W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 19N105W TO 19N106W TO 21N106W TO 21N105W TO 20N106W TO
19N105W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.30 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT JUST N OF AREA. WITHIN 28N129W TO
28N134W TO 30N140W TO 30N125W TO 28N129W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N125W TO 25N140W. WITHIN
28N124W TO 27N128W TO 29N129W TO 30N127W TO 30N123W TO 28N124W SW
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 28N122W TO 25N129W TO 25N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N120W TO
28N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 17 FT IN NW TO N SWELL...
HIGHEST NEAR 30N136W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N86W TO 10N88W TO 11N88W TO 12N88W TO
11N86W TO 10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0800 UTC TUE JAN 26...

.LOW PRES NEAR 05N115W...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 10N
BETWEEN 115W AND 119W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N75W TO 04N90W TO 06N112W. ITCZ FROM
04N119W TO 04N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 01N
TO 04N BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 80W...AND FROM 04N TO
07N BETWEEN 94W AND 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 09N
BETWEEN 110W AND 113W.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - WNW 17-24, Seas NW 13-21 feet @ 11sec
TONITE - NNW 9-13, Seas NW 11-17 feet @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 9-12, Seas WNW 8-13 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNW 11-15, Seas WNW 7-11 feet @ 14sec

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NNW 16-21, Seas WNW 7-12 feet @ 18sec
TONITE - N 13-17, Seas WNW 9-14 feet @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - NNE 17-23, Seas WNW 9-14 feet @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNW 9-13, Seas WNW 7-11 feet @ 15sec

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NNW 18-24, Seas WNW 7-11 feet @ 20sec
TONITE - NE 9-12, Seas WNW 6-10 feet @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY - NE 6-8, Seas WNW 7-11 feet @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - WSW 5-7, Seas WNW 6-9 feet @ 15sec

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 11-15, Seas WNW 7-11 feet @ 14sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 9-13, Seas WNW 7-11 feet @ 15sec, Southern 1/3 E 8-11, Seas WNW 5-8 feet @ 14sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 W 10-14, Seas NW 10-15 feet @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 12-16, Seas NW 8-13 feet @ 16sec, Southern 1/3 NW 14-19, Seas WNW 5-8 feet @ 13sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 17-24, Seas NW 8-12 feet @ 12sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 16-21, Seas NW 8-12 feet @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 NNW 12-17, Seas WNW 6-9 feet @ 14sec
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 N 14-19, Seas WNW 7-12 feet @ 12sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 13-18, Seas NW 7-11 feet @ 13sec, Southern 1/3 NW 6-8, Seas WNW 5-9 feet @ 13sec
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 N 14-19, Seas NW 6-10 feet @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 11-15, Seas WNW 5-9 feet @ 18sec, Southern 1/3 NNW 8-11, Seas WNW 5-8 feet @ 18sec


**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N108W TO 26N112W. WITHIN 28N111W TO 27N112W
TO 30N115W TO 32N115W TO 31N113W TO 28N111W...INCLUDING GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT FROM 29N TO
31N.
.18 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.21 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 22N107W TO 22N109W TO 24N110W TO
25N108W TO 23N106W TO 22N107W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.


A STRONG COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION EXTENDING FROM
30N118W TO 26N112W TO 21N127W. GALE FORCE WINDS THAT WERE
OCCURRING FROM 29N TO 31N IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND WEST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE RECENTLY DIMINISHED TO FRESH TO NEAR GALE
FORCE. SEAS ARE PEAKING AT 8-11 FT FROM 29N TO 31N IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS WILL
SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT THIS EVENING.
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 18N, EXCEPT
FRESH TO STRONG OFFSHORE OF CABO CORRIENTES. SOUTH OF 18N,
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE 8-12 FT IN NW SWELL
OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA AND SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA, AND 5-8 FT
NORTH OF 18N TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS, 3 FT OR LESS IN THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND 4-6 FT SOUTH OF 18N.
FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST FROM THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA TO NEAR CABO CORRIENTES TONIGHT THROUGH WED.
ANOTHER LARGE NW SWELL EVENT IS POSSIBLE WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
THU THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 20-27, Seas WNW 6-10 feet @ 7sec
TONITE - SSE 4-5, Seas WNW 2-3 feet @ 5sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 10-14, Seas NNW 1-2 feet @ 2sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NW 13-17, Seas NNW 2-3 feet @ 3sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 19-26, Seas NNW 5-8 feet @ 5sec
TONITE - NNW 21-29, Seas NNW 7-11 feet @ 6sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 21-28, Seas NNW 7-12 feet @ 6sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NW 13-18, Seas NW 5-8 feet @ 6sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
THURSDAY - Northern Half NW 13-17, Seas NNW 2-3 feet @ 3sec, Southern Half NW 13-18, Seas NW 5-8 feet @ 6sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half WSW 14-19, Seas WSW 2-4 feet @ 3sec, Southern Half NW 10-14, Seas S 2-4 feet @ 12sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half NNW 17-24, Seas NNW 4-6 feet @ 5sec, Southern Half NW 15-21, Seas NW 4-7 feet @ 5sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half NW 17-23, Seas NW 4-7 feet @ 5sec, Southern Half NNW 18-24, Seas NW 5-9 feet @ 5sec
MONDAY - Northern Half WNW 16-21, Seas NW 3-6 feet @ 5sec, Southern Half NW 17-23, Seas NW 6-10 feet @ 6sec


**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 19-26, Seas NNW 5-8 feet @ 5sec
TONITE - NNW 21-29, Seas NNW 7-11 feet @ 6sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 21-28, Seas NNW 7-12 feet @ 6sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NW 13-18, Seas NW 5-8 feet @ 6sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
THURSDAY - NW 13-18, Seas NW 5-8 feet @ 6sec
FRIDAY - NW 10-14, Seas S 2-4 feet @ 12sec
SATURDAY - NW 15-21, Seas NW 4-7 feet @ 5sec
SUNDAY - NNW 18-24, Seas NW 5-9 feet @ 5sec
MONDAY - NW 17-23, Seas NW 6-10 feet @ 6sec


**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 13-18, Seas SSW 3-5 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - N 13-18, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - N 14-19, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NE 4-6, Seas SSW 3-5 feet @ 13sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
THURSDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SSW 2-4 feet @ 12sec
FRIDAY - NW 11-15, Seas SSW 2-4 feet @ 12sec
SATURDAY - NW 16-22, Seas SSW 3-6 feet @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NNW 12-16, Seas WNW 3-5 feet @ 6sec
MONDAY - NW 4-6, Seas WNW 3-5 feet @ 6sec


**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - N 16-22, Seas WNW 5-9 feet @ 19sec
TONITE - N 16-22, Seas WNW 5-9 feet @ 18sec
WEDNESDAY - N 15-20, Seas WNW 6-9 feet @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - ENE 5-7, Seas WNW 5-8 feet @ 16sec

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
THURSDAY - ENE 5-7, Seas WNW 5-8 feet @ 16sec
FRIDAY - NNW 14-19, Seas SSW 3-5 feet @ 12sec
SATURDAY - N 14-20, Seas WSW 4-6 feet @ 13sec
SUNDAY - N 15-20, Seas WSW 4-7 feet @ 13sec
MONDAY - NNE 7-10, Seas SW 4-6 feet @ 19sec


**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - W 6-8, Seas SSW 3-6 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 0-1, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - SE 6-8, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNE 2-3, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 13sec

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
THURSDAY - W 7-9, Seas SSW 3-5 feet @ 12sec
FRIDAY - WNW 12-17, Seas SSW 3-6 feet @ 12sec
SATURDAY - SE 10-14, Seas SW 3-6 feet @ 13sec
SUNDAY - ESE 8-11, Seas SSW 3-5 feet @ 12sec
MONDAY - W 7-9, Seas SW 3-5 feet @ 18sec


**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N95W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO
15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO
35 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N94W TO 13N96W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO
16N93W TO 14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.


GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO
MOVE BY NORTH OF THE AREA IN THE GULF OF MEXICO LATER THIS WEEK.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SURGE IN BEHIND THE FRONT ACROSS EASTERN
MEXICO AND NORTHERLY WINDS WILL RAPIDLY FUNNEL THROUGH THE
CHIVELA PASS WITH GALE FORCE WINDS FORECAST BEGINNING WED EVENING
IN THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION. WINDS WILL APPROACH STRONG GALE EARLY
THU AND THEN AGAIN THU NIGHT. THE GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO PERSIST THROUGH EARLY SAT MORNING. VERY LARGE SEAS WILL BUILD
WITH THESE WINDS WITH SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER PROPAGATING WELL
WEST-SOUTHWEST AWAY FROM THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION, WHILE PEAK SEAS
WILL BE AROUND 20 FT THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI.
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST HIGH SEAS FORECAST AT
HTTP://NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE DETAILS..
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - WSW 6-8, Seas SSW 3-5 feet @ 12sec
TONITE - W 4-6, Seas SSW 3-5 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 14-19, Seas SSW 3-6 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - N 24-33, Seas NNW 8-13 feet @ 6sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
THURSDAY - NNW 38-52, Seas NNW 16-24 feet @ 8sec
FRIDAY - NNW 37-50, Seas NNW 15-23 feet @ 8sec
SATURDAY - NNW 21-29, Seas NNW 8-13 feet @ 7sec
SUNDAY - NNW 20-27, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 12sec
MONDAY - N 25-34, Seas NNW 9-14 feet @ 7sec


**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N75W TO 04N90W TO 06N112W. ITCZ FROM
04N119W TO 04N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 01N
TO 04N BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 80W...AND FROM 04N TO
07N BETWEEN 94W AND 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 09N
BETWEEN 110W AND 113W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 1007 MB LOW PRESSURE OVER
NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 08N75W TO 04N90W TO 06N112W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 04N119W TO 04N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 01N TO 04N BETWEEN THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA AND 80W, AND FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 94W AND 107W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 07N TO 09N BETWEEN
110W AND 113W.
A LOW PRESSURE AREA OF 1008 MB IS LOCATED BETWEEN THE TERMINATION
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND COMMENCEMENT OF THE ITCZ NEAR 05N115W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN
115W AND 119W.
HIGH PRESSURE OF 1034 MB NORTHWEST OF THE AREA NEAR 33N145W
EXTENDS A DIRTY RIDGE WELL TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST TO NEAR 13N107W.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURES NEAR
THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS NORTH OF THE
ITCZ AND WEST OF 120W. SEAS IN THIS AREA ARE IN THE 8-12 FT
RANGE IN A MIX OF NW SWELL AND NE-E WIND WAVES. THE STRONG
PRESSURE GRADIENT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THIS
EVENING.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N86W TO 10N88W TO 11N88W TO 12N88W TO
11N86W TO 10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.


GULF OF PAPAGAYO: MODERATE TO FRESH OFFSHORE WINDS ACROSS THE
PAPAGAYO REGION WILL INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG WED NIGHT
THROUGH SAT NIGHT WITH BUILDING SEAS BY THE END OF THE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND. SEAS WILL PEAK BETWEEN 8-10 FT AT THAT TIME.

GULF OF PANAMA: FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE GULF OF
PANAMA HAVE DIMINISHED TO MODERATE TO FRESH. FRESH TO STRONG
WINDS WILL RETURN THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT. SEAS WILL PULSE
TO 5-6 FT THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND THEN 6-8 FT THU NIGHT
THROUGH SAT NIGHT.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 19-25, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 12sec
TONITE - ENE 18-24, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 19-26, Seas SSW 4-7 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - ENE 18-25, Seas SSW 4-6 feet @ 12sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
THURSDAY - ENE 23-31, Seas NE 5-8 feet @ 5sec
FRIDAY - ENE 23-32, Seas NE 5-9 feet @ 5sec
SATURDAY - ENE 24-32, Seas NE 6-10 feet @ 5sec
SUNDAY - ENE 18-25, Seas ENE 4-7 feet @ 4sec
MONDAY - ENE 18-24, Seas ENE 4-7 feet @ 4sec