Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
November 15, 2025, 9:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - W 6-8, Seas NW 3.4-7.1 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - SW 6-8, Seas NW 3.2-6.3 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - SW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNE 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NW 7-9, Seas NW 3.6-7 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - NW 8-10, Seas NW 3.2-6.4 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 WNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 WNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 SSW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 N 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NE 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 31N115W TO
30N115W TO 30N113W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
THE AFOREMENTIONED STATIONARY FRONT IS LOCATED JUST WEST OF
GUADALUPE ISLAND, SUPPORTING MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS
AHEAD AND BEHIND THE BOUNDARY. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, PEAKING
NEAR 13 FT, ARE OCCURRING NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA. MEANWHILE,
RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
SUSTAINS FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND SEAS OF 6-9 FT
ACROSS THE REGION. IN THE REST OF THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS,
INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND
SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THIS MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS
EASTWARD. FARTHER NORTH, A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DRIFT EASTWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY, BRINGING FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG
WINDS AND SEAS TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL TO THE WATERS OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG SW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY SUN. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
OFFSHORE WATERS LATE MON INTO MIDWEEK. WINDS MAY PULSE TO STRONG
IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATE MON.
LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING FRONTAL BOUNDARY: A STATIONARY FRONT
EXTENDS FROM 30N119W TO 14N138W. A FEW SHOWERS ARE SEEN NEAR THIS
BOUNDARY. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD WHILE IT
WEAKENS AND DISSIPATES OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A RECENT
SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS CAPTURED MODERATE TO FRESH N-NE
WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL BEHIND THE BOUNDARY
SUPPORTS ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS, PEAKING AROUND 14 FT NORTH OF
26N AND BETWEEN 120W AND 130W. THIS WAS CONFIRMED BY AN
ALTIMETER PASS AROUND 06Z. THE ROUGH SEAS HAVE REACHED THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND
SOUTHWARD TODAY, REACHING THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS TONIGHT.
THESE SEAS WILL ALSO REACH 10N IN THE WESTERN WATERS LATER TODAY.
WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH SUN.
FOR THE FORECAST, OUTSIDE OF THE AREA IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION, FRESH SW WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BETWEEN 90W AND 100W, SUPPORTING SEAS TO 9
FT. LOOKING AHEAD, THE LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS IT MOVES INTO THE TROPICAL PACIFIC AND MIXES
WITH SHORTER-PERIOD WIND WAVES GENERATED BY MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WINDS. ANOTHER FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE WATERS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT WEEK, FOLLOWED BY LARGE NW SWELL
NORTH OF 28N AND EAST OF 130W. LOOKING AHEAD, A BUILDING RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN WATERS WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS
AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE TRADE WATERS WEST OF 120W BY MIDWEEK.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 7-9, Seas W 1.8-2.6 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - NW 3-4, Seas W --? ft @ 18sec
SUNDAY - W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 0.8-2.3 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
MONDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern Half W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WSW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern Half WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half WSW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 0.8-2.3 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - WSW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - WSW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 4-5, Seas SW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NNE 4-5, Seas SSW --? ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - W 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
MONDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NNE 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - N 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - W 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - WNW 2-3, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
MONDAY - E 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - ESE 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - ESE 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - E 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - WSW 3-4, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
THE AFOREMENTIONED STATIONARY FRONT IS LOCATED JUST WEST OF
GUADALUPE ISLAND, SUPPORTING MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS
AHEAD AND BEHIND THE BOUNDARY. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, PEAKING
NEAR 13 FT, ARE OCCURRING NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA. MEANWHILE,
RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
SUSTAINS FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND SEAS OF 6-9 FT
ACROSS THE REGION. IN THE REST OF THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS,
INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND
SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THIS MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS
EASTWARD. FARTHER NORTH, A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DRIFT EASTWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY, BRINGING FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG
WINDS AND SEAS TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL TO THE WATERS OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG SW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY SUN. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
OFFSHORE WATERS LATE MON INTO MIDWEEK. WINDS MAY PULSE TO STRONG
IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATE MON.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 11-14, Seas SW 4.6-5.6 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - SW 2-2, Seas SW 4.2-5.1 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - S 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY NIGHT - SSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
MONDAY - SSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - WSW 3-4, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - SW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - SW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - WSW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO A 1010 MB LOW PRES NEAR 10N91W TO
06N106W. ITCZ FROM 06N106W TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
FROM 05N TO 10N AND E OF 100W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO A 1010 MB LOW PRES NEAR
10N91W TO 06N106W. THE ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 06N106W TO 08N122W
AND BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED
FROM 05N TO 10N AND EAST OF 100W.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
ASIDE FROM THE NW SWELL BEHIND STATIONARY FRONT DESCRIBED IN THE
SPECIAL FEATURE SECTION, A WEAK LOW PRESSURE HAS DEVELOPED IN
THE MONSOON TROUGH AROUND 10N91W. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE
EVIDENT EAST OF 100W, ALONG WITH SEAS OF 6-8 FT. IN THE REMAINDER
OF THE BASIN, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE
PRESENT.
FOR THE FORECAST, OUTSIDE OF THE AREA IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION, FRESH SW WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BETWEEN 90W AND 100W, SUPPORTING SEAS TO 9
FT. LOOKING AHEAD, THE LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS IT MOVES INTO THE TROPICAL PACIFIC AND MIXES
WITH SHORTER-PERIOD WIND WAVES GENERATED BY MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WINDS. ANOTHER FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE WATERS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT WEEK, FOLLOWED BY LARGE NW SWELL
NORTH OF 28N AND EAST OF 130W. LOOKING AHEAD, A BUILDING RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN WATERS WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS
AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE TRADE WATERS WEST OF 120W BY MIDWEEK.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THIS MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS
EASTWARD. FARTHER NORTH, A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DRIFT EASTWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY, BRINGING FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG
WINDS AND SEAS TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL TO THE WATERS OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE. EXPECT FRESH TO STRONG SW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY SUN. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
OFFSHORE WATERS LATE MON INTO MIDWEEK. WINDS MAY PULSE TO STRONG
IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATE MON.
A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NORTH OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA
DOMINATES THE BASIN, SUPPORTING MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. ELSEWHERE, GENTLE TO
MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE PREVALENT.
FOR THE FORECAST, A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE PATTERN WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE BASIN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, SUPPORTING MODERATE OR
LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. WINDS WILL FRESHEN UP
BY MIDWEEK IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, WHILE MODERATE TO LOCALLY
FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF
05N.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - ENE 11-14, Seas SW 0.9-3.4 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - ENE 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
MONDAY - NE 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - ENE 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - ENE 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - ENE 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NE 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (5.6 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (5.6 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (6.2 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 09:43:42 GMT (6.2 days old)
55 miles SE of Amukta Pass, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/09/t5gddc/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.