Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America



February 10, 2025, 9:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NW 15-19, Seas WNW 5.9-6.5 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - NW 14-18, Seas WNW 6.7-7.2 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 15-19, Seas WNW 6.9-7.6 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NW 7-9, Seas WNW 0-6.5 feet @ 18sec

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NW 15-19, Seas WNW 4.9-5.6 feet @ 15sec
TONITE - NW 14-18, Seas WNW 6.6-7.1 feet @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 14-18, Seas NW 6.7-7.3 feet @ 7sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNW 11-14, Seas WNW 5.8-6.9 feet @ 14sec

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 18-22, Seas WNW 5.4-5.9 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 18-22, Seas WNW 4-5 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 18-23, Seas WNW 4.3-5.1 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNW 15-19, Seas WNW 4.7-5.5 feet @ 15sec

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 8-10, Seas WNW 0-5.5 feet @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 13-16, Seas WNW 5.6-6.8 feet @ 18sec, Southern 1/3 NNW 15-19, Seas WNW 4.7-5.5 feet @ 15sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 12-15, Seas WNW 3.4-6.4 feet @ 15sec, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas WNW 0-4.6 feet @ 16sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet


**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

A RIDGE, THAT EXTENDS FROM A 1033 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER LOCATED
NEAR 35N134W, DOMINATES THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHWEST
TO NORTH WINDS NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA WITH SEAS OF 6 TO 9 FT,
AND GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHWEST WINDS SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA
WITH SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT IN NW SWELL. RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA
INDICATE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS N WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
AND DOWNWIND TO 15N. SEAS ARE 4 TO 5 FT WITHIN THESE WINDS. LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF MEXICAN OFFSHORE
WATERS, INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. SEAS ARE 1 TO 3 FT IN
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND 3 TO 5 FT ELSEWHERE PRIMARILY IN NW
SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, A RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER
PATTERN ACROSS THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH NW TO N WINDS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA
THROUGH MID-WEEK WHILE MAINLY MODERATE NW TO N WINDS WILL PREVAIL
BETWEEN PUNTA EUGENIA AND CABO SAN LUCAS. SEAS WILL BUILD UP TO
10 OR 11 FT IN NW SWELL ACROSS THE WATERS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA
TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE THERE TO 8 FT OR
LESS ON WED. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG SPEEDS IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATE
TONIGHT INTO TUE WITH SEAS BUILDING TO NEAR 5 FT. ELSEWHERE,
MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN NW SWELL ARE
EXPECTED.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 18-22, Seas W 3.7-4.1 feet @ 5sec
TONITE - N 13-16, Seas WNW 0-4.7 feet @ 7sec
WEDNESDAY - WNW 15-19, Seas W 4.7-5 feet @ 5sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNW 14-17, Seas W 0-4.2 feet @ 6sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - N 6-8, Seas SSW 0.8-2.1 feet @ 11sec
TONITE - NNE 5-6, Seas SSW 0.9-2.2 feet @ 11sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.1-2.4 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNW 5-6, Seas SSW 1.6-2.5 feet @ 13sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
THURSDAY - Northern Half NNW 14-18, Seas W 0-3.8 feet @ 14sec, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas SW 1.3-2.2 feet @ 16sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half WNW 14-18, Seas W 3.6-4.4 feet @ 16sec, Southern Half NNW 10-13, Seas SW 2.4-2.9 feet @ 16sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half NNW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern Half NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half NW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet


**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - N 6-8, Seas SSW 0.8-2.1 feet @ 11sec
TONITE - NNE 5-6, Seas SSW 0.9-2.2 feet @ 11sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.1-2.4 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNW 5-6, Seas SSW 1.6-2.5 feet @ 13sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
THURSDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SW 1.3-2.2 feet @ 16sec
FRIDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SW 2.4-2.9 feet @ 16sec
SATURDAY - N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - NW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - Not available yet


**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - WNW 8-10, Seas SSW 1-1.9 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - ESE 3-4, Seas SSW 0-1.8 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 11-14, Seas SSW 0.8-2.1 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-2.4 feet @ 13sec

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
THURSDAY - NW 11-14, Seas SW 1.2-2.4 feet @ 16sec
FRIDAY - NW 10-13, Seas SW 1.4-2.3 feet @ 16sec
SATURDAY - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - Not available yet


**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - NNW 10-13, Seas WNW 0-3.3 feet @ 17sec
TONITE - NNW 7-9, Seas WNW 0-3.1 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas WNW 0-3.4 feet @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-13, Seas W 0-3.8 feet @ 16sec

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
THURSDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas W 0-3.8 feet @ 16sec
FRIDAY - NNE 10-13, Seas WNW 0-3.8 feet @ 18sec
SATURDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - N 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - Not available yet


**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - WNW 11-14, Seas SW 2.1-3.5 feet @ 13sec
TONITE - NW 10-12, Seas SW 2.2-3.5 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SW 0-3.4 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NW 8-10, Seas SW 0-3.2 feet @ 12sec

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
THURSDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SW 0-3.2 feet @ 12sec
FRIDAY - NW 4-5, Seas SW 0-3.1 feet @ 16sec
SATURDAY - WNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - Not available yet


**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

A RIDGE, THAT EXTENDS FROM A 1033 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER LOCATED
NEAR 35N134W, DOMINATES THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHWEST
TO NORTH WINDS NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA WITH SEAS OF 6 TO 9 FT,
AND GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHWEST WINDS SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA
WITH SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT IN NW SWELL. RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA
INDICATE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS N WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
AND DOWNWIND TO 15N. SEAS ARE 4 TO 5 FT WITHIN THESE WINDS. LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF MEXICAN OFFSHORE
WATERS, INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. SEAS ARE 1 TO 3 FT IN
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND 3 TO 5 FT ELSEWHERE PRIMARILY IN NW
SWELL.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 10-13, Seas SW 0-3.9 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - SW 4-5, Seas SW 0-2.8 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - S 7-9, Seas SW 0-2.9 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - SSW 5-6, Seas SW 0-3 feet @ 12sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
THURSDAY - S 6-7, Seas SSW 0-3 feet @ 18sec
FRIDAY - NNW 22-28, Seas SW 4.9-5.6 feet @ 16sec
SATURDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - WSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - Not available yet


**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM LOW PRESSURE OF 1009 MB
LOCATED OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 10N74W TO 05N95W TO 04N109W.
THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 04N109W TO 07N125W TO BEYOND 06N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 06N TO 12N W OF 125W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM LOW PRESSURE OF 1009 MB
LOCATED OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 10N74W TO 05N95W TO 04N109W.
THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 04N109W TO 07N125W TO BEYOND 06N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 06N TO 12N W OF 125W.

A RIDGE, ANCHORED BY A 1033 MB HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR 35N134W,
DOMINATES MOST OF THE FORECAST WATERS N OF THE ITCZ AND W OF
110W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER
PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ SUPPORTS AN AREA OF FRESH TO
STRONG NE TO E WINDS FROM 09N TO 17N W OF 125W, AND FROM 17N TO
25N W OF 130W. SEAS WITH THESE WINDS ARE 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE,
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS, PRIMARILY IN NW
SWELL, PREVAIL.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA AND RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURE PRESENT IN THE
SOUTHERN SECTION OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND IN NORTHERN COLOMBIA
IS MAINTAINING THE TRADE WIND FLOW IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
AND SOUTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA, RESULTING IN PERSISTENT GAP WINDS
ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION AND ALSO ACROSS THE NICARAGUAN
OFFSHORE WATERS. RECENT SATELLITE DERIVED WIND DATA INDICATE FRESH
TO LOCALLY STRONG NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO EXTENDING WESTWARD TO NEAR 89W. SEAS WITH THESE WINDS
ARE IN THE RANGE OF 5 TO 7 FT. MODERATE NORTH WINDS IN THE GULF
OF PANAMA EXTEND SOUTHWARD TO NEAR 05N. SEAS THERE ARE 3 TO 5
FT. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN SOUTHWEST SWELL
ARE ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE GRADIENT RELATED TO HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW FOR PULSES OF
FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG NORTHEAST TO EAST GAP WINDS IN THE
PAPAGAYO REGION MAINLY AT NIGHT WELL INTO THIS WEEK. PEAK SEAS
WITH THESE WINDS WILL REACH TO AROUND 7 FT. MODERATE NORTH WINDS
WILL PULSE TO LOCALLY FRESH THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT IN THE GULF
OF PANAMA. MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS
IN LONG-PERIOD SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE DURING THE
PERIOD.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.


THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA AND RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURE PRESENT IN THE
SOUTHERN SECTION OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND IN NORTHERN COLOMBIA
IS MAINTAINING THE TRADE WIND FLOW IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
AND SOUTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA, RESULTING IN PERSISTENT GAP WINDS
ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION AND ALSO ACROSS THE NICARAGUAN
OFFSHORE WATERS. RECENT SATELLITE DERIVED WIND DATA INDICATE FRESH
TO LOCALLY STRONG NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO EXTENDING WESTWARD TO NEAR 89W. SEAS WITH THESE WINDS
ARE IN THE RANGE OF 5 TO 7 FT. MODERATE NORTH WINDS IN THE GULF
OF PANAMA EXTEND SOUTHWARD TO NEAR 05N. SEAS THERE ARE 3 TO 5
FT. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN SOUTHWEST SWELL
ARE ELSEWHERE.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA AND RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURE PRESENT IN THE
SOUTHERN SECTION OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND IN NORTHERN COLOMBIA
IS MAINTAINING THE TRADE WIND FLOW IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
AND SOUTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA, RESULTING IN PERSISTENT GAP WINDS
ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION AND ALSO ACROSS THE NICARAGUAN
OFFSHORE WATERS. RECENT SATELLITE DERIVED WIND DATA INDICATE FRESH
TO LOCALLY STRONG NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO EXTENDING WESTWARD TO NEAR 89W. SEAS WITH THESE WINDS
ARE IN THE RANGE OF 5 TO 7 FT. MODERATE NORTH WINDS IN THE GULF
OF PANAMA EXTEND SOUTHWARD TO NEAR 05N. SEAS THERE ARE 3 TO 5
FT. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN SOUTHWEST SWELL
ARE ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE GRADIENT RELATED TO HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW FOR PULSES OF
FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG NORTHEAST TO EAST GAP WINDS IN THE
PAPAGAYO REGION MAINLY AT NIGHT WELL INTO THIS WEEK. PEAK SEAS
WITH THESE WINDS WILL REACH TO AROUND 7 FT. MODERATE NORTH WINDS
WILL PULSE TO LOCALLY FRESH THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT IN THE GULF
OF PANAMA. MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS
IN LONG-PERIOD SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE DURING THE
PERIOD.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 19-24, Seas SW 2.4-3.3 feet @ 13sec
TONITE - ENE 18-22, Seas SW 2-3 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas SW 1.6-2.8 feet @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - ENE 14-17, Seas SSW 1-2.5 feet @ 12sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
THURSDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas SW 1.9-3 feet @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NE 18-22, Seas SW 1.4-2.8 feet @ 16sec
SATURDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - ENE 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - Not available yet


** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (2 days old)
Updated 09 Feb 2025 02:05:43 GMT (2 days old)


See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (2.1 days old)
Updated 08 Feb 2025 23:46:04 GMT (2.1 days old)
in the Caribbean Sea

https://tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/02/08/sre0yr/2/WEXX32/WEXX32.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.