Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
February 16, 2026, 3:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - W 11-14, Seas NW 3-6.1 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY - WNW 14-17, Seas NW 3.5-6.3 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - W 2-2, Seas NW --? ft @ 14sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas NW 1.8-5.6 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 14-17, Seas NW 4.2-6.9 ft @ 14sec
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 9-11, Seas WNW 1.8-5.3 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NW 14-18, Seas WNW 2.7-5.4 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas WNW 2.5-5 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 16-20, Seas WNW 3.5-5.3 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas NW 6.6-6.9 ft @ 11sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 15-19, Seas WNW 4.6-7.9 ft @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 NNW 18-22, Seas WNW 3.7-5.4 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 14-17, Seas NW 6.4-6.8 ft @ 11sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 14-18, Seas WNW 5.1-8.3 ft @ 12sec, Southern 1/3 NW 18-22, Seas WNW 3.6-5.4 ft @ 11sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 17-21, Seas NW 7.2-7.3 ft @ 13sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 13-16, Seas NW 3.7-6.2 ft @ 13sec, Southern 1/3 NW 20-25, Seas W 4-5.5 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 N 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 14-17, Seas NW 3.8-6.3 ft @ 13sec, Southern 1/3 NNE 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 SE 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
.06 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 31.5N114W TO 30.5N115W. WITHIN
31N113.5W TO 31N114W TO 30.5N114.5W TO 30N114.5W TO 30.5N113.5W
TO 31N113.5W...INCLUDING THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...S TO
SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31.5N114W TO 31N115W. WITHIN
31N113W TO 32N114W TO 31N115W TO 30N114W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING
THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.42 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
WEAKENING HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A BROAD RIDGE
SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD FROM OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA TO OFFSHORE OF
CABO CORRIENTES, WHILE ELONGATED TROUGHING REMAINS JUST INLAND
ACROSS WESTERN MEXICO. STRONG TO NEAR GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS
HAVE DEVELOPED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC DUE TO A COLD FRONT
MOVING THROUGH THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TO THE N AND BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT. MOSTLY W-NW WINDS ARE ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE OFFSHORE WATERS, LOCALLY FRESH IN THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA. SEAS ARE 6 TO 7 FT OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA
AND W OF 110W, AND 3 TO 6 FT ELSEWEHRE, EXCEPT 3 FT OR LESS IN
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO NEAR GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
PERSIST IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AS A COLD FRONT MOVES BY TO
THE N THROUGH THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
BEHIND IT. THOSE WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY TUE BEFORE
DIMINISHING. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER
TODAY WITH TROUGHING AHEAD OF IT SUPPORTING FRESH TO NEAR GALE-
FORCE SW WINDS IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATER THIS
MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUE, WITH SIMILAR WINDS EARLY WED AS THE
ACTUAL FRONT SHIFTS BY. FRESH TO STRONG SW-W WINDS OFFSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA N OF PUNTA EUGENIA WILL BE AHEAD OF THE FRONT LATE
TONIGHT, DIMINISHING BY EARLY TUE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
ACROSS THE WATERS OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT, WITH FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS NEARSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA TO NEAR CABO CORRIENTES BY MID-WEEK. NEW ROUGH TO
VERY ROUGH NW SWELL WILL MOVE INTO THE WATERS OFFSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY THROUGH WED, GETTING REINFORCED WED NIGHT
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 7-9, Seas W 1.4-2.7 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 6-8, Seas W --? ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - WNW 14-17, Seas W 2.3-3.1 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 15-19, Seas WSW 3.7-4.4 ft @ 13sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NW 5-6, Seas SSW 2.4-3.1 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 5-6, Seas SSW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 2-2.8 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 14-18, Seas NW 3.9-4.3 ft @ 5sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half WNW 16-20, Seas W 4.9-5.1 ft @ 12sec, Southern Half NNW 16-20, Seas NW 4.3-4.6 ft @ 5sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half WNW 18-23, Seas WSW 3.3-3.9 ft @ 15sec, Southern Half NW 14-17, Seas NW 5-5.2 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half NNW 17-21, Seas SW 3.1-3.5 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half NW 14-18, Seas SSW 3.7-4.2 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half NNW 17-21, Seas WSW 3.1-3.8 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half NNW 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern Half N 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 5-6, Seas SSW 2.4-3.1 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 5-6, Seas SSW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 2-2.8 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 14-18, Seas NW 3.9-4.3 ft @ 5sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
WEDNESDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas NW 4.3-4.6 ft @ 5sec
THURSDAY - NW 14-17, Seas NW 5-5.2 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - NW 14-18, Seas SSW 3.7-4.2 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - NNW 17-21, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.3-2.2 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - N 6-7, Seas SSW 1.3-2.3 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.4-2.2 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - N 10-12, Seas SSW 1.9-2.6 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
WEDNESDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 2-2.6 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas SSW 2-2.6 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - N 14-18, Seas W 1.8-3.6 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - N 14-17, Seas W 2.1-3.7 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
WEDNESDAY - N 14-17, Seas W 2.1-3.7 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - N 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - WNW 10-12, Seas SW 1.4-3.1 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NW 10-12, Seas SW 1.1-3.1 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NW 10-12, Seas SW 1.1-3.1 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NW 6-8, Seas SW 1.6-3.1 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
WEDNESDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SW 1.6-3.1 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - W 6-8, Seas SW 1.3-3.1 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - SW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N95W TO 14N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
WEAKENING HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A BROAD RIDGE
SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD FROM OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA TO OFFSHORE OF
CABO CORRIENTES, WHILE ELONGATED TROUGHING REMAINS JUST INLAND
ACROSS WESTERN MEXICO. STRONG TO NEAR GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS
HAVE DEVELOPED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC DUE TO A COLD FRONT
MOVING THROUGH THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TO THE N AND BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT. MOSTLY W-NW WINDS ARE ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE OFFSHORE WATERS, LOCALLY FRESH IN THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA. SEAS ARE 6 TO 7 FT OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA
AND W OF 110W, AND 3 TO 6 FT ELSEWEHRE, EXCEPT 3 FT OR LESS IN
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO NEAR GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
PERSIST IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AS A COLD FRONT MOVES BY TO
THE N THROUGH THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
BEHIND IT. THOSE WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY TUE BEFORE
DIMINISHING. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER
TODAY WITH TROUGHING AHEAD OF IT SUPPORTING FRESH TO NEAR GALE-
FORCE SW WINDS IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATER THIS
MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUE, WITH SIMILAR WINDS EARLY WED AS THE
ACTUAL FRONT SHIFTS BY. FRESH TO STRONG SW-W WINDS OFFSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA N OF PUNTA EUGENIA WILL BE AHEAD OF THE FRONT LATE
TONIGHT, DIMINISHING BY EARLY TUE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
ACROSS THE WATERS OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT, WITH FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS NEARSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA TO NEAR CABO CORRIENTES BY MID-WEEK. NEW ROUGH TO
VERY ROUGH NW SWELL WILL MOVE INTO THE WATERS OFFSHORE BAJA
CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY THROUGH WED, GETTING REINFORCED WED NIGHT
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 18-23, Seas SSW 3.7-4.6 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - N 18-23, Seas SSW 3.7-4.6 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - N 11-14, Seas SSW 2.8-3.9 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - N 18-23, Seas SSW 3.7-4.6 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
WEDNESDAY - SW 6-8, Seas SSW 0.8-2.8 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - WSW 2-3, Seas SSW 0.8-2.9 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - W 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - N 29-36, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
TROUGH FROM 07.5N81W TO 04N100W. ITCZ FROM 04N100W TO 02N120W TO
BEYOND 01N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.
A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07.5N81W TO 04N100W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS
FROM 04N100W TO 02N120W TO BEYOND 01N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS NOTED.
A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NW WATERS,
EXTENDING FROM 30N126W TO 19N140W. FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WINDS
AND BUILDING SEAS ARE BEHIND THE FRONT, AND ARE JUST BELOW GALE
FORCE ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS. WEAK AND BROAD HIGH PRESSURE
PREVAILS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADES ARE
FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 110W AND 140W WITH MODERATE OR WEAKER
WINDS ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE 5 TO 8 FT IN FADING NW TO N SWELL N OF
THE ITCZ TO 15N AND W OF 120W, AND 5 TO 7 FT ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE OPEN WATERS AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
FOR THE FORECAST, OTHER THAN THE SIGNIFICANT LARGE NW SWELL
ENTERING THE NW WATERS, THE COLD FRONT WITH FRESH TO STRONG WINDS
BEHIND IT WILL REACH FROM NEAR PUNTA EUGENIA TO 14N130W BY EARLY
TUE. WINDS N OF 20N BEHIND THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
FROM W TO E TONIGHT THROUGH TUE AS THE FRONT WEAKENS AND
CONTINUES MOVING EASTWARD, BEFORE GRADUALLY DISSIPATING. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT TUE THROUGH THU AS A
LOW TO MIDDLE-LEVEL DISTURBANCE DEVELOPS S OF 20N AND NEAR 140W.
THIS SCENARIO WILL PRODUCE A BROAD FRESH TO STRONG TRADES N OF
THE ITCZ TO 24N AND W OF 120W LATE TUE THROUGH EARLY FRI, EXPECT
ACTIVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS
IN NW SWELL TO ACCOMPANY THESE INCREASING TRADES.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MODERATE TO FRESH OFFSHORE GAP WINDS ARE IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO.
WINDS ARE LIGHT TO GENTLE ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE 2 TO 4 FT FROM
OFFSHORE COLOMBIA NORTHWESTWARD, AND 3 TO 5 FT OFFSHORE ECUADOR
TO THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH NE TO E GAP WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION, PULSING TO FRESH TO STRONG
THIS EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA.
THOSE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY THU,
THEN MODERATE TO FRESH THEREAFTER. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH N-NE
WINDS WILL PULSE FROM THE GULF OF PANAMA TO NEAR THE AZUERO
PENINSULA THROUGH MID-WEEK. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS
AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N86W TO 12N87W TO 11N88W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 12N88W TO 10N89W TO
10N88W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
MODERATE TO FRESH OFFSHORE GAP WINDS ARE IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO.
WINDS ARE LIGHT TO GENTLE ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE 2 TO 4 FT FROM
OFFSHORE COLOMBIA NORTHWESTWARD, AND 3 TO 5 FT OFFSHORE ECUADOR
TO THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH NE TO E GAP WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION, PULSING TO FRESH TO STRONG
THIS EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA.
THOSE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY THU,
THEN MODERATE TO FRESH THEREAFTER. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH N-NE
WINDS WILL PULSE FROM THE GULF OF PANAMA TO NEAR THE AZUERO
PENINSULA THROUGH MID-WEEK. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS
AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - NE 18-22, Seas SSW 0.9-2.9 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - ENE 18-22, Seas SSW 1.9-3.3 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - E 20-25, Seas SSW 2.6-3.8 ft @ 12sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - ENE 19-24, Seas SSW 2.8-3.8 ft @ 12sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
WEDNESDAY - ENE 21-26, Seas SSW 2-3.4 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas SSW 1.5-3.1 ft @ 11sec
FRIDAY - NE 17-21, Seas SW 1.5-3.1 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (2.2 days old)
Updated 14 Feb 2026 02:36:09 GMT (2.2 days old)
VANUATU
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2026/02/14/26045000/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (2 days old)
Updated 14 Feb 2026 09:01:56 GMT (2 days old)
20 miles NW of Palmer, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2026/02/14/tafy9z/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.