Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America



November 10, 2025, 3:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

Questions/Comments visit https://svsarana.com

This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N97W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS
30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO
14N96W TO 12N98W TO 12N97W TO 13N95W TO 14N94W N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 13N98W TO 12N98W TO
12N96W TO 13N93W TO 15N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 5.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N93W TO 11N98W TO 16N96W TO 10N105W TO 08N98W
TO 09N94W TO 14N93W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 5.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 15N95W TO
15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS
25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N96W
TO 12N99W TO 12N96W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC... NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 15N94W TO 14N103W TO 11N112W TO 06N107W TO 02N97W
TO 07N91W TO 15N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN NE
SWELL.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - NW 11-14, Seas NW 3.4-7.1 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY - NW 11-14, Seas NW 3.4-7.1 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NW 10-12, Seas NW 4.5-7.6 ft @ 18sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas NW 3.6-7 ft @ 16sec
TUESDAY - NW 9-11, Seas NW 3.6-7 ft @ 16sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY NIGHT - NW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NW 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NNW 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 ENE 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING OVER NORTH-CENTRAL MEXICO BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE GULF OF AMERICA. LOWER PRESSURE
IS EVIDENT ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, SUPPORTING FRESH NW
WINDS ACROSS THAT BASIN THIS MORNING. MODERATE TO GENTLE BREEZES
ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE OUTSIDE OF THE TEHUANTEPEC AREA. NW SWELL OF
8 TO 9 FT PERSISTS ACROSS THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS, BUT IS 5 TO
7 FT ELSEWHERE OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MODERATE SEAS IN A MIX OF NW
AND SW SWELL ARE NOTED OFF SOUTHERN MEXICO OUTSIDE OF
TEHUANTEPEC.
FOR THE FORECAST, GALE FORCE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE WINDS GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AND GREATLY EXPAND IN AREAL
COVERAGE LATER TONIGHT THROUGH TUE MORNING, AS A STRONG COLD
FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE GULF OF AMERICA AND STRONG HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS NORTH OF THE FRONT. A LARGE AND EXPANSIVE AREA OF GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD AS FAR SOUTH AND WEST AS
12N98W BY LATE MON NIGHT, WITH SEAS BUILDING TO AROUND 20 FT AT
THAT TIME. STRONG GALES TO 45 KT EXTENDING OUT TO 150 NM FROM
THE COAST OF TEHUANTEPEC ARE EXPECTED MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE
MORNING. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WED MORNING,
WITH WINDS THEN PULSING TO STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE THROUGH FRI
MORNING. ELSEWHERE, ROUGH SEAS OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST TONIGHT, THOUGH ROUGH SEAS WILL PERSIST
NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS THROUGH MON. IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS WILL PULSE THROUGH MON AS
TROUGHING PREVAILS OVER THE REGION.

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR 31N137W
TO 24N140W. EARLIER SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWED MODERATE
SE TO S WINDS OCCURRING E THE STATIONARY FRONT N OF 25N AND E TO
132W. LARGE NW SWELL BUILDING ACROSS THE NW WATERS WITH AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS LEADING TO ROUGH SEAS NORTH OF 21N AND WEST
OF 130W, WITH 12 TO 15 FT SEAS NORTH OF 23N AND WEST OF 135W, AS
NOTED BY RECENT SATELLITE ALTIMETER AND SOFAR BUOY DATA. WEAK
RIDGING EXTENDS OVER MUCH OF THE REST OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC N OF
18N, BETWEEN 135W AND BAJA CALIFORNIA. MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE
TRADE WINDS ARE OCCURRING NORTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH TO 21N,
WITH LOCALLY FRESH WINDS NOTED FROM 12N TO 16N AND W OF 125W.
MODERATE TO FRESH SE TO SW WINDS ARE OCCURRING SOUTH OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH. RESIDUAL NW SWELL IS PRODUCING ROUGH SEAS OF 8 TO
10 FT BETWEEN 105W AND 125W EXTENDING NORTHWARD TO OFFSHORE OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR, AND OVER THE WATERS SOUTH OF 10N.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 7-9, Seas WNW 1.7-2.6 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - W 5-6, Seas W 1.5-2.7 ft @ 16sec
TUESDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY NIGHT - WNW 3-4, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 4-5, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NNW 7-9, Seas SSW 0.8-2.3 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half WNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Northern Half WNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half WNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern Half WNW 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half N 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern Half N 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half N 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 4-5, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NNW 7-9, Seas SSW 0.8-2.3 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
WEDNESDAY - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - N 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - N 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNE 5-6, Seas SW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - N 4-5, Seas SSW --? ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY NIGHT - N 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
WEDNESDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - NNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - ENE 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - N 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNE 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
WEDNESDAY - NNE 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - N 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - NE 2-2, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNE 3-4, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
WEDNESDAY - NE 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - N 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - ENE 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - WSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N97W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS
30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO
14N96W TO 12N98W TO 12N97W TO 13N95W TO 14N94W N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 13N98W TO 12N98W TO
12N96W TO 13N93W TO 15N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 5.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N93W TO 11N98W TO 16N96W TO 10N105W TO 08N98W
TO 09N94W TO 14N93W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 5.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 15N95W TO
15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS
25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N96W
TO 12N99W TO 12N96W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC... NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 15N94W TO 14N103W TO 11N112W TO 06N107W TO 02N97W
TO 07N91W TO 15N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN NE
SWELL.


GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: AN OVERNIGHT SCATTEROMETER
SATELLITE PASS CONFIRMED STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE GAP WINDS
ALREADY ONGOING ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, ASSOCIATED WITH
A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN MEXICO. SEAS ARE BUILDING
ACROSS THE BASIN ACCORDINGLY. EXPECT STRONG GALES TONIGHT AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER CENTRAL MEXICO IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT, ALONG VERY ROUGH SEAS. THIS PATTERN WILL ALSO SUPPORT A
PLUME OF STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG WITH ROUGH SEAS
WILL REACH AS FAR WEST AS 110W, MIXING WITH LONGER PERIOD NW
SWELL. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY DIMINISH TUE
AFTERNOON THROUGH WED MORNING BEFORE FALLING BELOW GALE FORCE
AROUND MIDDAY WED. STRONG WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
ACROSS AND DOWNSTREAM OF TEHUANTEPEC TO NEAR 14N THROUGH FRI
MORNING.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THE GALE WARNING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
FOR THE FORECAST, GALE FORCE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE WINDS GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AND GREATLY EXPAND IN AREAL
COVERAGE LATER TONIGHT THROUGH TUE MORNING, AS A STRONG COLD
FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE GULF OF AMERICA AND STRONG HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS NORTH OF THE FRONT. A LARGE AND EXPANSIVE AREA OF GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD AS FAR SOUTH AND WEST AS
12N98W BY LATE MON NIGHT, WITH SEAS BUILDING TO AROUND 20 FT AT
THAT TIME. STRONG GALES TO 45 KT EXTENDING OUT TO 150 NM FROM
THE COAST OF TEHUANTEPEC ARE EXPECTED MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE
MORNING. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WED MORNING,
WITH WINDS THEN PULSING TO STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE THROUGH FRI
MORNING. ELSEWHERE, ROUGH SEAS OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST TONIGHT, THOUGH ROUGH SEAS WILL PERSIST
NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS THROUGH MON. IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS WILL PULSE THROUGH MON AS
TROUGHING PREVAILS OVER THE REGION.

FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH NE WINDS WILL PULSE TO STRONG SPEEDS EACH
NIGHT AND MORNING BY MIDWEEK ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH
MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE GULF OF
AMERICA AND THE NW CARIBBEAN, AND STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
NORTH OF THE FRONT. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG N TO NE WINDS WILL
BRIEFLY OCCUR ACROSS AND DOWNWIND OF THE GULF OF FONSECA AND
SOUTH OF EL SALVADOR TUE NIGHT INTO MIDDAY WED. OFFSHORE OF
GUATEMALA, EXPECT FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG N TO NE WINDS AND VERY
ROUGH SEAS MON NIGHT THROUGH WED AS A SIGNIFICANT GALE FORCE
WIND EVENT OCCURS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ROUGH SEAS WILL
EXPAND SOUTHEASTWARD TO WELL OFFSHORE OF EL SALVADOR AND
GUATEMALA EARLY TUE INTO WED.

FOR THE FORECAST, LARGE NW SWELL MOVING INTO THE NORTHWESTERN
WATERS, WILL PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF ROUGH SEAS THROUGH EARLY
THIS WEEK OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC. SEAS IN EXCESS OF 8
FT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 18N AND WEST OF 129W BY
SUNRISE, AND N OF 13N AND WEST OF 125W BY MON EVENING. VERY
ROUGH SEAS OF 12 TO 15 FT ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF 25N AND WEST OF
133W THROUGH MON. SEAS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
THROUGH MIDWEEK, WITH SEAS NORTH OF 20N FALLING BELOW 8 FT BY
EARLY WED, AND SOUTH OF 20N BY THU. LOOKING AHEAD, NEW NW SWELL
WILL MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS WED, LEADING TO ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH
SEAS OVER THIS SAME REGION WED NIGHT THROUGH LATE WEEK. STRONG E
TO NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS GENERATED BY A SIGNIFICANT GALE FORCE
GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WILL SPREAD LARGE NE
SWELL INTO THE WATERS FROM 05N TO 15N AND EAST OF 115W MON NIGHT
THROUGH WED BEFORE DIMINISHING.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 34-43, Seas SW 4.6-5.6 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - N 33-41, Seas SW 5-5.9 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - N 33-41, Seas SW 5-5.9 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - N 21-26, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
WEDNESDAY - N 21-26, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - N 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 20-25, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - S 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 09N85W TO 07N95W TO 11N115W TO
12N135W. ITCZ FROM 12N135W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 80W AND 85W...AND FROM 07N TO 09N
BETWEEN 90W AND 100W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 09N85W TO 07N95W TO
11N115W TO 12N135W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 12N135W TO 12N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 80W AND
85W, AND FROM 07N TO 09N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MODERATE TO FRESH GAP WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION
TONIGHT AS ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS WEAKLY INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN. GENTLE TO MODERATE NE TO E WINDS ARE
OCCURRING ELSEWHERE NORTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 88W, WHILE
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH S TO SW WINDS CONTINUE TO THE SOUTH OF
THE TROUGH, ALONG 09N, AS DEPICTED BY RECENT SATELLITE
SCATTEROMETER DATA. MIXED NW AND SW SWELL ARE SUPPORTING 4 TO 6
FT SEAS OVER THE REGIONAL WATERS, WITH 7 FT SEAS NOTED SOUTH AND
WEST OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION HAS DEVELOP ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA, INSIDE THE
GULF OF PANAMA, AND ALONG THE W COAST OF COSTA RICA.
A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR 31N137W
TO 24N140W. EARLIER SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWED MODERATE
SE TO S WINDS OCCURRING E THE STATIONARY FRONT N OF 25N AND E TO
132W. LARGE NW SWELL BUILDING ACROSS THE NW WATERS WITH AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS LEADING TO ROUGH SEAS NORTH OF 21N AND WEST
OF 130W, WITH 12 TO 15 FT SEAS NORTH OF 23N AND WEST OF 135W, AS
NOTED BY RECENT SATELLITE ALTIMETER AND SOFAR BUOY DATA. WEAK
RIDGING EXTENDS OVER MUCH OF THE REST OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC N OF
18N, BETWEEN 135W AND BAJA CALIFORNIA. MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE
TRADE WINDS ARE OCCURRING NORTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH TO 21N,
WITH LOCALLY FRESH WINDS NOTED FROM 12N TO 16N AND W OF 125W.
MODERATE TO FRESH SE TO SW WINDS ARE OCCURRING SOUTH OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH. RESIDUAL NW SWELL IS PRODUCING ROUGH SEAS OF 8 TO
10 FT BETWEEN 105W AND 125W EXTENDING NORTHWARD TO OFFSHORE OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR, AND OVER THE WATERS SOUTH OF 10N.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: AN OVERNIGHT SCATTEROMETER
SATELLITE PASS CONFIRMED STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE GAP WINDS
ALREADY ONGOING ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, ASSOCIATED WITH
A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN MEXICO. SEAS ARE BUILDING
ACROSS THE BASIN ACCORDINGLY. EXPECT STRONG GALES TONIGHT AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER CENTRAL MEXICO IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT, ALONG VERY ROUGH SEAS. THIS PATTERN WILL ALSO SUPPORT A
PLUME OF STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG WITH ROUGH SEAS
WILL REACH AS FAR WEST AS 110W, MIXING WITH LONGER PERIOD NW
SWELL. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY DIMINISH TUE
AFTERNOON THROUGH WED MORNING BEFORE FALLING BELOW GALE FORCE
AROUND MIDDAY WED. STRONG WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
ACROSS AND DOWNSTREAM OF TEHUANTEPEC TO NEAR 14N THROUGH FRI
MORNING.
FOR THE FORECAST, GALE FORCE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE WINDS GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AND GREATLY EXPAND IN AREAL
COVERAGE LATER TONIGHT THROUGH TUE MORNING, AS A STRONG COLD
FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE GULF OF AMERICA AND STRONG HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS NORTH OF THE FRONT. A LARGE AND EXPANSIVE AREA OF GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD AS FAR SOUTH AND WEST AS
12N98W BY LATE MON NIGHT, WITH SEAS BUILDING TO AROUND 20 FT AT
THAT TIME. STRONG GALES TO 45 KT EXTENDING OUT TO 150 NM FROM
THE COAST OF TEHUANTEPEC ARE EXPECTED MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE
MORNING. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WED MORNING,
WITH WINDS THEN PULSING TO STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE THROUGH FRI
MORNING. ELSEWHERE, ROUGH SEAS OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST TONIGHT, THOUGH ROUGH SEAS WILL PERSIST
NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS THROUGH MON. IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS WILL PULSE THROUGH MON AS
TROUGHING PREVAILS OVER THE REGION.

MODERATE TO FRESH GAP WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION
TONIGHT AS ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS WEAKLY INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN. GENTLE TO MODERATE NE TO E WINDS ARE
OCCURRING ELSEWHERE NORTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 88W, WHILE
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH S TO SW WINDS CONTINUE TO THE SOUTH OF
THE TROUGH, ALONG 09N, AS DEPICTED BY RECENT SATELLITE
SCATTEROMETER DATA. MIXED NW AND SW SWELL ARE SUPPORTING 4 TO 6
FT SEAS OVER THE REGIONAL WATERS, WITH 7 FT SEAS NOTED SOUTH AND
WEST OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION HAS DEVELOP ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA, INSIDE THE
GULF OF PANAMA, AND ALONG THE W COAST OF COSTA RICA.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 10N87W TO 10N86W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N86W TO 11N86W TO 11N88W TO 09N90W TO
08N90W TO 08N88W TO 10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW SWELL.

FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH NE WINDS WILL PULSE TO STRONG SPEEDS EACH
NIGHT AND MORNING BY MIDWEEK ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH
MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE GULF OF
AMERICA AND THE NW CARIBBEAN, AND STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
NORTH OF THE FRONT. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG N TO NE WINDS WILL
BRIEFLY OCCUR ACROSS AND DOWNWIND OF THE GULF OF FONSECA AND
SOUTH OF EL SALVADOR TUE NIGHT INTO MIDDAY WED. OFFSHORE OF
GUATEMALA, EXPECT FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG N TO NE WINDS AND VERY
ROUGH SEAS MON NIGHT THROUGH WED AS A SIGNIFICANT GALE FORCE
WIND EVENT OCCURS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ROUGH SEAS WILL
EXPAND SOUTHEASTWARD TO WELL OFFSHORE OF EL SALVADOR AND
GUATEMALA EARLY TUE INTO WED.

MODERATE TO FRESH GAP WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION
TONIGHT AS ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS WEAKLY INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN. GENTLE TO MODERATE NE TO E WINDS ARE
OCCURRING ELSEWHERE NORTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 88W, WHILE
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH S TO SW WINDS CONTINUE TO THE SOUTH OF
THE TROUGH, ALONG 09N, AS DEPICTED BY RECENT SATELLITE
SCATTEROMETER DATA. MIXED NW AND SW SWELL ARE SUPPORTING 4 TO 6
FT SEAS OVER THE REGIONAL WATERS, WITH 7 FT SEAS NOTED SOUTH AND
WEST OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION HAS DEVELOP ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA, INSIDE THE
GULF OF PANAMA, AND ALONG THE W COAST OF COSTA RICA.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY NIGHT - ENE 18-23, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
WEDNESDAY - ENE 23-29, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - E 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - E 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (0.9 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (0.9 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt

ZCZC
WEGM42 PHEB 092306
TIBGUM

GUZ001>004-100106-

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
906 AM CHST MON NOV 10 2025

...NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO GUAM/CNMI FROM A NEARBY EARTHQUAKE...


AUDIENCE
--------
EMERGENCY MANAGERS... MEDIA... GENERAL PUBLIC


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 5.5 OCCURRED IN
THE VICINITY OF GUAM AT 854 AM CHST ON MONDAY NOVEMBER 10
2025.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO
GUAM... ROTA... TINIAN OR SAIPAN FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.

* SOME AREAS MAY HAVE EXPERIENCED SHAKING.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* NO TSUNAMI IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS -USGS-
----------------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 5.5
* ORIGIN TIME 854 AM CHST NOV 10 2025
* COORDINATES 13.6 NORTH 145.0 EAST
* DEPTH 63 MILES
* LOCATION VICINITY OF GUAM


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND ON THE
INTERNET AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

$$



NNNN






See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (1.4 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 09:43:42 GMT (1.4 days old)
55 miles SE of Amukta Pass, Alaska

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/09/t5gddc/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt


WEAK53 PAAQ 090943
TIBAK1

Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
1243 AM AKST Sun Nov 9 2025

...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.

* Magnitude 5.4
* Origin Time 0037 AKST Nov 09 2025
0137 PST Nov 09 2025
0937 UTC Nov 09 2025
* Coordinates 51.7 North 171.2 West
* Depth 24 miles
* Location 55 miles SE of Amukta Pass, Alaska
240 miles E of Adak, Alaska


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.

* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.

$$