Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
November 20, 2025, 9:03 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
FRIDAY - WNW 13-16, Seas WNW 3.8-5.2 ft @ 14sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NNW 11-14, Seas NW --? ft @ 11sec
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NNW 14-17, Seas NW 2.8-4 ft @ 11sec
TONITE - NNW 13-16, Seas NW 3.2-4.3 ft @ 11sec
FRIDAY - NW 6-7, Seas WNW 1.8-3.3 ft @ 17sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - WNW 11-14, Seas WNW 1.7-3.4 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NW 14-17, Seas W 2.8-4.4 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 NNW 13-16, Seas WNW 2.6-4.6 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-17, Seas NW 3.1-8 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 ESE 3-4, Seas WNW 1.8-5.9 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 14-17, Seas NW 3.2-7.9 ft @ 16sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 WSW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 N 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
GENTLE TO MODERATE NW TO N WINDS ARE OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA, WITH THE MODERATE SPEEDS CONFINED TO SOUTH OF
CABO SAN LAZARO. SEAS ARE 6 TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL NORTH OF CABO
SAN LAZARO AND 5 TO 7 FT SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO. IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, MODERATE W TO NW WINDS ARE OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION
ALONG WITH SEAS OF 3 TO 4 FT, AND LIGHT TO GENTLE NW TO N WINDS
ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF ALONG WITH SEAS OF 3 TO 4 FT,
EXCEPT IN THE FAR NORTHERN PORTION, WHERE SEAS ARE 3 FT OR LESS.
ELSEWHERE, A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ALLOWS FOR LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS, WITH SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS IN NW SWELL,
FOR THE FORECAST, THE 6 TO 8 FT SEAS NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO
WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST
TO ENTER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE OFFSHORE WATERS TONIGHT,
FOLLOWED BY LARGE SWELL BRINGING ROUGH SEAS TO THE WATERS N OF
CABO SAN BY SUN. THESE SEAS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH TUE.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - WNW 10-13, Seas W 2.2-2.6 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - N 7-9, Seas WNW --? ft @ 11sec
FRIDAY - WSW 6-7, Seas W 1.7-2 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - N 7-9, Seas WNW --? ft @ 11sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSE 1.2-1.6 ft @ 7sec
TONITE - NNW 7-9, Seas SSE 1.7-2 ft @ 7sec
FRIDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas SSE 1.7-2 ft @ 7sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - W 5-6, Seas SSW 0.8-1.4 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
SATURDAY - Northern Half WNW 10-12, Seas WSW 2.3-3.1 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half WSW 7-9, Seas SSW 1-1.8 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half WNW 12-15, Seas WSW 0.8-3.1 ft @ 14sec, Southern Half NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.5-3.5 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.1-4 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half WNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.7-4.5 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half N 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSE 1.2-1.6 ft @ 7sec
TONITE - NNW 7-9, Seas SSE 1.7-2 ft @ 7sec
FRIDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas SSE 1.7-2 ft @ 7sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - W 5-6, Seas SSW 0.8-1.4 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SATURDAY - WSW 7-9, Seas SSW 1-1.8 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.5-3.5 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.1-4 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3.7-4.5 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NNW 8-10, Seas S 0.4-0.9 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - N 6-8, Seas S 0.6-1 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 1.1-1.4 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NNW 7-9, Seas SW 1-1.6 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
SATURDAY - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 1-1.6 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.3-2.4 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.6-2.7 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
SATURDAY - N 11-14, Seas SW 1.6-2.6 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - N 13-16, Seas WSW 1.7-3 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY - N 14-17, Seas SW 1.9-4.1 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - W 7-9, Seas S 0.3-1.6 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - NW 7-9, Seas S 0.7-1.7 ft @ 7sec
FRIDAY - WNW 9-11, Seas SW 1-1.9 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NW 6-8, Seas SW 1-2 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
SATURDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SW 1-2 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas SSW 0.9-3.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - W 7-9, Seas SSW 1.1-3.6 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - NW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - NNW 8-10, Seas SSW 0.9-1.8 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - NNW 8-10, Seas SSW 0.9-1.8 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - SSE 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - N 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 09.5N90W TO 08N103W TO
07N110W TO 08N117W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N117W TO 09N124W
TO 08N130W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 03N TO
07N BETWEEN 78W AND 81W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE
ITCZ W OF 134W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN COLOMBIA SOUTHWESTWARD
TO 08N80W, AND CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWEST TO 9.5N90W TO 08N103W TO
07N110W AND TO 08N117W, WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO THE ITCZ TO
09N124W TO 08N130W AND TO WEST OF THE AREA AT 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 03N TO 07N BETWEEN
78W-81W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE
ITCZ WEST OF 134W.
MODERATE TO FRESH N TO NE WINDS ARE PRESENT NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN
115W AND 125W, AND ALSO FROM 20N TO 28N BETWEEN 125W AND 131W.
SEAS ARE 6 TO 9 FT IN LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL WITH THESE WINDS. A
COLD FRONT HAS RECENTLY ENTERED TO THE FAR NW PART OF THE AREA,
FOLLOWED BY FRESH N WINDS. ELSEWHERE, HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA N OF ABOUT 20N AND WEST OF 110W. THE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE HIGH PRESSURE AND RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURE IN THE
TROPICS IS GENERALLY ALLOWING FOR FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS FROM
12N TO 22N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W ALONG WITH SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FT AS
WERE HIGHLIGHTED IN OVERNIGHT ALTIMETER SATELLITE DATA PASSES, AND
MOSTLY FRESH TRADE WINDS ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 23N W OF 124W ALONG
WITH SEAS OF 7 TO 9 FT IN LONG-PERIOD N SWELL. MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WINDS ARE PRESENT ELSEWHERE BETWEEN THE ITCZ AND 25N AND W OF
120W.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION OVER AND NEAR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PANAMA AS THE
MONSOON TROUGH PASSES JUST SOUTH OF THESE LOCATIONS. SIMILAR
ACTIVITY IS NOTED WEST OF COLOMBIA TO NEAR 81W AND SOUTH OF THE
GULF OF PANAMA TO NEAR 04N.
MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS ARE ONGOING IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
AND DOWNWIND TO NEAR 89W ALONG WITH MODERATE SEAS. ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AMERICA OFFSHORE WATERS, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
AND SLIGHT SEAS PREVAIL, EXCEPT FOR MODERATE N WINDS IN THE GULF
OF PANAMA. MODERATE S TO SW WINDS ARE OVER THE WATERS BETWEEN
ECUADOR AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS ALONG WITH MODERATE SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH NE TO E WINDS AND MODERATE
SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE
FORECAST ELSEWHERE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS ARE ONGOING IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
AND DOWNWIND TO NEAR 89W ALONG WITH MODERATE SEAS. ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AMERICA OFFSHORE WATERS, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
AND SLIGHT SEAS PREVAIL, EXCEPT FOR MODERATE N WINDS IN THE GULF
OF PANAMA. MODERATE S TO SW WINDS ARE OVER THE WATERS BETWEEN
ECUADOR AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS ALONG WITH MODERATE SEAS.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION OVER AND NEAR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PANAMA AS THE
MONSOON TROUGH PASSES JUST SOUTH OF THESE LOCATIONS. SIMILAR
ACTIVITY IS NOTED WEST OF COLOMBIA TO NEAR 81W AND SOUTH OF THE
GULF OF PANAMA TO NEAR 04N.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 18-23, Seas SSW 1.2-1.8 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - ENE 14-18, Seas SSW 1-1.7 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas S 0.7-1.8 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - ENE 15-19, Seas S 0.7-2.2 ft @ 8sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
SATURDAY - ENE 18-23, Seas S 1-2.4 ft @ 8sec
SUNDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas SW 1.8-3.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - ENE 18-22, Seas SW 1.1-2.9 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - ENE 16-20, Seas SSW 1-2.8 ft @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - NE 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (10.6 days old)
Updated 09 Nov 2025 23:07:42 GMT (10.6 days old)
VICINITY OF GUAM
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2025/11/09/25313003/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (1.8 days old)
Updated 18 Nov 2025 17:58:56 GMT (1.8 days old)
95 miles SE of Monterey, California
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/11/18/t5xoet/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
WEAK53 PAAQ 181758
TIBAK1
Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
958 AM PST Tue Nov 18 2025
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...
EVALUATION
----------
* There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.
* Magnitude 4.1
* Origin Time 0854 AKST Nov 18 2025
0954 PST Nov 18 2025
1754 UTC Nov 18 2025
* Coordinates 35.5 North 120.9 West
* Depth 4 miles
* Location 95 miles SE of Monterey, California
180 miles NW of Los Angeles, California
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Further information will be issued by the United States
Geological Survey (earthquake.usgs.gov) or the appropriate
regional seismic network.
* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.
$$