Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
February 28, 2026, 9:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America
**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**
Questions/Comments visit https://svsarana.com
This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
SATURDAY - Northern 1/3 Not available yet, Middle 2/3 Not available yet, Southern 1/3 Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**
A RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUPPORTING GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE NW WINDS
WITH MODERATE SEAS. WINDS ARE MAINLY LIGHT ELSEWHERE, INCLUDING
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SEAS ARE 4
TO 6 FT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE MEXICAN
OFFSHORE WATERS SEAS ARE 3 TO 5 FT, WITH SEAS OF 1 TO 3 IN THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER
PATTERN ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO FRESH SPEEDS N OF CABO
SAN LAZARO STARTING SUN NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARD THE
REGION AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. FRESH TO STRONG GAP
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE NIGHTLY IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
THROUGH THE PERIOD. LOOKING AHEAD, A STRONGER HIGH PRESSURE WILL
IMPACT THE WATERS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
BRINGING INCREASING WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
TUESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
THURSDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
FRIDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
SATURDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet
**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
.06 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2.5 M.
.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO
13N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
A RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUPPORTING GENTLE TO LOCALLY MODERATE NW WINDS
WITH MODERATE SEAS. WINDS ARE MAINLY LIGHT ELSEWHERE, INCLUDING
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SEAS ARE 4
TO 6 FT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE MEXICAN
OFFSHORE WATERS SEAS ARE 3 TO 5 FT, WITH SEAS OF 1 TO 3 IN THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER
PATTERN ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO FRESH SPEEDS N OF CABO
SAN LAZARO STARTING SUN NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARD THE
REGION AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. FRESH TO STRONG GAP
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE NIGHTLY IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
THROUGH THE PERIOD. LOOKING AHEAD, A STRONGER HIGH PRESSURE WILL
IMPACT THE WATERS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
BRINGING INCREASING WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS.
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
**GAP WINDS FORECAST**
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED FROM A 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W TO 04S86W TO 05S96W. THE ITCZ IS
SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR AND RUNS FROM 05S96W TO BEYOND 05S120W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE FEATURES.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED FROM A 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W TO 04S86W TO 05S96W. THE ITCZ
IS SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR AND RUNS FROM 05S96W TO BEYOND 05S120W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE FEATURES.
OF NOTE: DURING MARCH AND APRIL OF EACH YEAR, A DOUBLE ITCZ IS
PRESENT IN THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC BASIN,
ESPECIALLY DURING LA NINA EVENTS WHEN THE COLD EQUATORIAL SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE STRONGER.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
FOR THE FORECAST, THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER
PATTERN ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO FRESH SPEEDS N OF CABO
SAN LAZARO STARTING SUN NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARD THE
REGION AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. FRESH TO STRONG GAP
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE NIGHTLY IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
THROUGH THE PERIOD. LOOKING AHEAD, A STRONGER HIGH PRESSURE WILL
IMPACT THE WATERS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
BRINGING INCREASING WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS.
.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 11.5N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N86W TO 10N89W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 11.5N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N86W TO 09.5N91W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5
TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 06N BETWEEN 78.5W AND 80.5W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF PANAMA AND JUST S OF THE AZUERO PENINSULA...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 04N BETWEEN 79.5W AND 81.5W...INCLUDING JUST
S OF THE AZUERO PENINSULA...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 2.5 M.
FOR THE FORECAST, PULSING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE PAPAGAYO AREA THROUGH THU NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS
N OF AREA. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KT SUN NIGHT INTO MON WITH
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 TO 9 FT DOWNWIND OF THE PAPAGAYO REGION TO
NEAR 90W. AT THE SAME TIME, FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG N WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS ARE FORECAST IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AND JUST S OF
THE AZUERO PENINSULA, WITH N WINDS FROM THE CARIBBEAN FUNNELING
INTO THE GULF OF PANAMA. THESE MARINE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO
PERSIST MAINLY AT NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (6.4 days old)
Updated 22 Feb 2026 17:08:03 GMT (6.4 days old)
in the east central Pacific Ocean
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2026/02/22/tavds9/1/WEZS42/WEZS42.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (5.7 days old)
Updated 23 Feb 2026 10:06:22 GMT (5.7 days old)
50 miles SW of Nikolski, Alaska
https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2026/02/23/tawp7i/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt
Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.