Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America



May 30, 2026, 9:00 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Weather Summary for Mexico and Central America

**OUTSIDE BAJA FORECAST**

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.
SHORT-TERM ENSENADA - CEDROS
TODAY - NNW 14-18, Seas NW 4.8-7.2 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NNW 14-17, Seas NW 5.5-7.7 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas NW 5.5-7.7 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 5.5-7.5 ft @ 19sec

SHORT-TERM CEDROS - SAN LAZAROS
TODAY - NW 15-19, Seas WNW 5.1-7.8 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - NW 15-19, Seas WNW 4.7-7.9 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - NW 15-19, Seas WNW 4.7-7.9 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 3.9-7.4 ft @ 18sec

SHORT-TERM SAN LAZAROS - CABO FALSO
TODAY - NW 18-23, Seas W 4.8-7.2 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - NW 18-22, Seas W 5.3-7.7 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - NW 18-22, Seas W 5.3-7.7 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NW 16-20, Seas SSW 5.5-8.3 ft @ 18sec

LONG-TERM OUTSIDE OF THE BAJA
MONDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 5.5-7.5 ft @ 19sec, Middle 2/3 NW 13-16, Seas SSW 4.3-7.4 ft @ 17sec, Southern 1/3 NW 16-20, Seas SSW 5.5-8.3 ft @ 18sec
TUESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 14-17, Seas SSW 5.1-6.5 ft @ 15sec, Middle 2/3 NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 5.1-7.1 ft @ 16sec, Southern 1/3 NW 16-20, Seas SSW 3.5-6.8 ft @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 13-16, Seas S 5.2-6.5 ft @ 15sec, Middle 2/3 NW 14-17, Seas S 5.4-7 ft @ 14sec, Southern 1/3 NW 17-21, Seas S 5.6-7.3 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY - Northern 1/3 NW 12-15, Seas SSW 4.6-6.1 ft @ 19sec, Middle 2/3 NW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.9-6.5 ft @ 19sec, Southern 1/3 NW 17-21, Seas SSW 6.4-7.9 ft @ 19sec
FRIDAY - Northern 1/3 NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Middle 2/3 WNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern 1/3 NW 16-20, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**SEA OF CORTEZ FORECAST**

A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS INTO THE REGION TO JUST NW OF THE
REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE
AND A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NW TO N WINDS ACROSS BOTH THE BAJA
NORTE AND SUR PENINSULA OFFSHORE WATERS. LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS OVER THESE WATERS.
INSIDE THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, WINDS ARE GENTLE TO MODERATE FROM
THE NW AND WAVE HEIGHTS ARE 1 TO 3 FT. LIGHT TO GENTLE VARIABLE
WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN SW SWELL ARE ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, NE PACIFIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A RIDGE
ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK,
WHICH WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS ACROSS THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS. NW SWELL MOVING THROUGH THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS WILL MERGE WITH SW SWELL ACROSS THE
SW MEXICAN OFFSHORES TODAY THROUGH SUN. NEW N SWELL WILL THEN
ENTER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE WATERS ON SUN AND SUBSIDE EARLY
TUE.

FOR THE FORECAST, LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN WINDS FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. THE CURRENT NW TO N SWELL WILL COMBINE WITH WIND
GENERATED WAVES PRODUCED BY THE FRESH TRADE WINDS N OF THE
MONSOON/ITCZ LEADING TO ROUGH SEAS OVER THE WATERS W OF 120W
THROUGH TODAY. E OF 120W, NW TO N SWELL WILL MERGE WITH
SOUTHERLY SWELL OVER THE CENTRAL WATERS DURING THE WEEKEND, WITH
WAVE HEIGHTS OF 8 TO 9 FT FORECAST TO COVER A GOOD PORTION OF THE
WATERS S THROUGH SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO
THE EQUATOR E OF 120W, AND WESTWARD TO NEAR 140W.
LOOKING AHEAD, THE LATEST TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ISSUED BY NHC
MENTIONS THAT A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM
EARLY NEXT WEEK WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK
WHILE MOVING WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 KT
ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 15-19, Seas SSW 3.7-4.7 ft @ 22sec
TONITE - N 15-19, Seas W --? ft @ 17sec
SUNDAY - W 12-15, Seas SSW 2.6-4.4 ft @ 19sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - N 15-19, Seas W --? ft @ 17sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - WNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.9-5.2 ft @ 22sec
TONITE - NW 3-4, Seas SSW --? ft @ 18sec
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
MONDAY - Northern Half W 10-12, Seas SSW 2.6-4.5 ft @ 17sec, Southern Half Not available yet
TUESDAY - Northern Half W 13-16, Seas SSW 3.1-4.6 ft @ 15sec, Southern Half Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half W 14-18, Seas SSW 3.3-4.6 ft @ 18sec, Southern Half Not available yet
THURSDAY - Northern Half W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half S 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?, Southern Half W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - WNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.9-5.2 ft @ 22sec
TONITE - NW 3-4, Seas SSW --? ft @ 18sec
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - S 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**MAZATLAN TO BANDERAS BAY FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 1.8-4.1 ft @ 22sec
TONITE - NNW 2-3, Seas SSW --? ft @ 18sec
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - W 7-9, Seas SSW 1-4.7 ft @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - WSW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.2-4.7 ft @ 16sec
THURSDAY - WSW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**CABO CORRIENTES FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - W 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**MEXICAN RIVIERA FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM MEXICAN RIVIERA MANZANILLO TO BAHIAS DE HUATULCO
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - WNW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**TEHUANTEPEC FORECAST**
SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - NW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.3-6.5 ft @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY - SSW 5-6, Seas SSW 2-6.3 ft @ 16sec
THURSDAY - W 6-7, Seas SSW 2-6.4 ft @ 18sec
FRIDAY - SSE 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


**GAP WINDS FORECAST**

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 11N108W TO
10N126W TO 05N135W. THE ITCZ BEGINS NEAR 05N135W AND CONTINUES
BEYOND 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 01N TO
10N BETWEEN 77W AND 89W...AND FROM 03N TO 13N BETWEEN 110W AND
130W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 01N TO 09N W OF 130W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 11N108W TO
10N126W TO 05N135W. THE ITCZ BEGINS NEAR 05N135W AND CONTINUES
BEYOND 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
FROM 01N TO 10N BETWEEN 77W AND 89W, AND FROM 03N TO 13N BETWEEN
110W AND 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO FROM 01N TO
09N W OF 130W.

HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE WATERS NORTH OF 19N AND WEST OF 110W,
CENTERED ON STRONG HIGH PRESSURE NE OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER PRESSURE
WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH NE
TO E WINDS N OF THE ITCZ TO NEAR 22N AND WEST OF ABOUT 118W.
SEAS OVER THESE WATERS ARE IN THE 7 TO 10 FT RANGE IN A MIX OF
TRADE WIND SWELL AND NW TO N SWELL. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE
ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 110W, AS WELL AS S OF THE
TROUGH. SEAS ACROSS THE WATERS S OF THE TROUGH AND ITCZ ARE
GENERALLY 6 TO 8 FT IN BUILDING S TO SW SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN WINDS FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. THE CURRENT NW TO N SWELL WILL COMBINE WITH WIND
GENERATED WAVES PRODUCED BY THE FRESH TRADE WINDS N OF THE
MONSOON/ITCZ LEADING TO ROUGH SEAS OVER THE WATERS W OF 120W
THROUGH TODAY. E OF 120W, NW TO N SWELL WILL MERGE WITH
SOUTHERLY SWELL OVER THE CENTRAL WATERS DURING THE WEEKEND, WITH
WAVE HEIGHTS OF 8 TO 9 FT FORECAST TO COVER A GOOD PORTION OF THE
WATERS S THROUGH SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO
THE EQUATOR E OF 120W, AND WESTWARD TO NEAR 140W.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

FOR THE FORECAST, A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION WILL
RESULT IN LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD, WITH
NOCTURNAL PULSES OF MODERATE TO FRESH GAP WINDS ACROSS THE
PAPAGAYO REGION. LARGE SW SWELL WILL MAINTAIN ROUGH SEAS ACROSS
THE WATERS BETWEEN THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS AND COLOMBIA THROUGH SUN
BEFORE SUBSIDING. OTHERWISE, MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE FORECAST WATERS INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. EXPECT
CONVECTION TO REMAIN ACTIVE ACROSS THE AREA WATERS DURING THE
WEEKEND.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 14-18, Seas SSW 1.3-5.2 ft @ 18sec
TONITE - ENE 14-18, Seas SSW --? ft @ 18sec
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - ENE 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - E 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?


** TSUNAMI INFO **
tsunami
See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PHEBAtom.xml PTCW - Tsunami warnings and info for Pacific Ocean (4.6 days old)
Updated 25 May 2026 22:01:18 GMT (4.6 days old)
NORTHERN CHILE

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2026/05/25/26145000/1/WEGM42/WEGM42.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.


See https://www.tsunami.gov/events/xml/PAAQAtom.xml NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Center Bulletins (2.5 days old)
Updated 28 May 2026 00:28:32 GMT (2.5 days old)
85 miles SW of Atka Village, Alaska

https://www.tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2026/05/28/tfq16a/1/WEAK53/WEAK53.txt

Incident past 2 days, follow link for details.