Tehuantepec Forecast

February 1, 2026, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Tehuantepec Forecast

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 11.5N86W TO 11.5N86.5W TO 11N86.5W TO 10.5N87W TO
10.5N86W TO 11.5N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE
WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N86W TO
12N87W TO 09N89W TO 08N89W TO 08N87W TO 09N86W TO 11N86W NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 10N87W TO 10N86W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 09N92W
TO 07N93W TO 08N89W TO 09N86W TO 11N86W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 11N88W TO 13N92W TO
12N93W TO 05N95W TO 05N90W TO 08N87W TO 11N88W NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN N TO NE SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 10N90W TO 08N91W TO
08N90W TO 09N88W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N91W
TO 10N98W TO 09N108W TO 04N104W TO 03N97W TO 08N88W TO 12N91W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 10N89W TO 09N89W TO
09N87W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
10N88W TO 09N96W TO 09N106W TO 05N105W TO 03N98W TO 07N89W TO
10N88W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NE SWELL.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N95W TO
16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 30
TO 45 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N96W
TO 13N98W TO 12N100W TO 12N96W TO 12N95W TO 15N94W NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 16N96W TO
15N104W TO 10N105W TO 07N102W TO 06N96W TO 10N92W TO 16N96W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15.5N94.5W TO 16N94.5W TO 16N95W TO
16N95.5W TO 15N95.5W TO 15N95W TO 15.5N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 15N96W TO 12N100W TO 12N99W
TO 13N96W TO 15N94W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 14N94W TO 16N96W TO 13N106W TO 08N107W TO
05N103W TO 04N96W TO 14N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0
M IN NE SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO
15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N94W TO
13N105W TO 08N108W TO 05N106W TO 03N99W TO 05N96W TO 15N94W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.

.WITHIN 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N95W TO
16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 30
TO 45 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N96W
TO 13N98W TO 12N100W TO 12N96W TO 12N95W TO 15N94W NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 16N96W TO
15N104W TO 10N105W TO 07N102W TO 06N96W TO 10N92W TO 16N96W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15.5N94.5W TO 16N94.5W TO 16N95W TO
16N95.5W TO 15N95.5W TO 15N95W TO 15.5N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 15N96W TO 12N100W TO 12N99W
TO 13N96W TO 15N94W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 14N94W TO 16N96W TO 13N106W TO 08N107W TO
05N103W TO 04N96W TO 14N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0
M IN NE SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO
15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N94W TO
13N105W TO 08N108W TO 05N106W TO 03N99W TO 05N96W TO 15N94W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS EASTERN MEXICO AND THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC
MONSOON TROUGH IS SUPPORTING STRONG GALE-FORCE WINDS UP TO 45
KT, AND SEAS TO NEAR 15 FT, IN THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION. WINDS WILL
VERY GRADUALLY DIMINISH, FALLING BELOW GALE-FORCE BY TUE
MORNING. ANOTHER GALE FORCE GAP WIND EVENT IS POSSIBLE IN
TEHUANTEPEC STARTING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH
EARLY THIS WEEK. PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE
FOR MORE DETAILS.
ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER
WITH MODERATE SEAS, EXCEPT SLIGHT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, A SET OF NW
SWELL WILL IMPACT THE WATERS W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUE. ANOTHER SET OF LARGE NW SWELL WILL
ENTER THE WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE THE END OF THE WEEK,
SPREADING ACROSS THE WATERS W OF 110W DURING THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND.

ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, FRESH TO STRONG WINDS PREVAIL
IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE WELL
OFFSHORE GUATEMALA AND WESTERN EL SALVADOR DUE TO A PERSISTENT
AND STRONG GALE-FORCE GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
JUST TO THE W OF THE WATERS. OTHERWISE, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, A GALE-FORCE
GAP WIND EVENT OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WILL PRODUCE ROUGH TO
VERY ROUGH SEAS OVER THE WESTERN GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR
WATERS THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK, AND THEN AGAIN LATE
THIS WEEK WITH ANOTHER GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
SWELL GENERATED FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO GAP WIND EVENT WILL
MERGE WITH THIS AREA TO MAINTAIN ROUGH AND CONFUSED SEAS EARLY
THIS WEEK. FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP WINDS ALONG WITH ROUGH
SEAS WILL IMPACT THE GULF OF PANAMA THROUGH WED MORNING, WITH
SIMILAR CONDITIONS IN THE GULF OF FONSECA.

A SET OF LARGE NW SWELL, WITH SEAS IN THE 8 TO 12 FT RANGE
PREVAILS OVER THE NW WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 30N125W TO 10N140W.
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS GENERATED FROM A STRONG GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC GALE FORCE GAP WIND EVENT IS OVER THE DISCUSSION
WATERS N OF 06N BETWEEN 92W AND 105W. ELSEWHERE, SURFACE RIDGING
PREVAILS ACROSS THE WATERS NORTH OF 20N. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ
IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TRADES NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO NEAR 18N AND
WEST OF ABOUT 120W. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE WINDS, AND MODERATE SEAS
IN MIXED SWELL, PREVAIL.

SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 25-31, Seas NNW 12.5-12.7 ft @ 8sec
TONITE - N 19-24, Seas NNW 7.6-8 ft @ 7sec
TUESDAY - N 19-24, Seas NNW 7.6-8 ft @ 7sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 26-33, Seas NNW 12.6-12.7 ft @ 8sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
WEDNESDAY - NNW 21-26, Seas SSW 3.3-4.3 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - N 29-36, Seas N 11.1-11.2 ft @ 7sec
FRIDAY - NNW 29-36, Seas NNW 12.5-12.6 ft @ 8sec
SATURDAY - NNW 22-28, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - Not available yet