Tehuantepec Forecast



December 22, 2024, 3:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Tehuantepec Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO
40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO
12N97W TO 14N95W TO 12N95W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N94W TO
12N97W TO 15N97W TO 12N100W TO 07N104W TO 08N97W TO 13N94W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
...N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
14N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 14N97W TO 13N97W TO 12N95W TO
14N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. WITHIN 13N95W
TO 13N97W TO 11N101W TO 08N101W TO 07N96W TO 09N94W TO 13N95W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N95W TO
15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO
40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO
12N97W TO 14N95W TO 12N95W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N94W TO
12N97W TO 15N97W TO 12N100W TO 07N104W TO 08N97W TO 13N94W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
...N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
14N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 14N97W TO 13N97W TO 12N95W TO
14N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. WITHIN 13N95W
TO 13N97W TO 11N101W TO 08N101W TO 07N96W TO 09N94W TO 13N95W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N95W TO
15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.


GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN MEXICO AND LOW PRESSURE WITHIN THE
EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH WILL SUPPORT GALE-FORCE GAP
WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH TONIGHT. SEAS DURING
THE WARNING EVENT WILL PEAK AT 12 TO 15 FT. THE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL SHIFT EAST BY EARLY MON, WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
LOOSENING. THIS WILL DIMINISH WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE EARLY MON
WITH FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY PULSES THEREAFTER INTO MID-WEEK.
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS AND OFFSHORE WATERS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/OFFSHORES_EASTPAC.PHP FOR MORE
DETAILS.
PLEASE READ THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION ON A
GALE WARNING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, AND SIGNIFICANT NW
SWELLS THAT WILL IMPACT THE WATERS OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE EPAC MONSOON TROUGH IS
SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG NE GAP WINDS AND SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT IN
THE PAPAGAYO REGION. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE N
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, EXCEPT WELL OFFSHORE GUATEMALA WHERE
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE DOWNWIND FROM A GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
GAP WIND EVENT, WITH SIMILAR WINDS NEAR THE GULF OF FONSECA.
SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND 3 TO 5 FT SEAS IN MODERATE S TO SW SWELL PREVAIL, MIXED WITH
NW SWELL FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT. ACTIVE
CONVECTION IS PRESENT OFFSHORE PANAMA AND COSTA RICA AS
DESCRIBED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ SECTION ABOVE.

SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - N 20-25, Seas N 7.1-7.4 feet @ 7sec
TONITE - N 16-20, Seas N 5.8-6.3 feet @ 6sec
MONDAY - NNW 18-23, Seas SSW 2.9-4 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NNW 17-21, Seas SSW 3.4-4.6 feet @ 15sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TUESDAY - NNW 17-21, Seas SSW 3.4-4.6 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 15-19, Seas SSW 0-3 feet @ 13sec
THURSDAY - NW 12-15, Seas SSW 1.2-3.1 feet @ 13sec
FRIDAY - WSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - WSW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?