Tehuantepec Forecast



September 27, 2020, 9:30 pm (UTC: +00:00)
Subject: Tehuantepec Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC: A STRONG GALE FORCE GAP WIND EVENT IS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU AS
COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. CURRENTLY, MARINE
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS N WINDS OF 30 TO 45 KT AND SEAS BUILDING UP TO
16 OR 17 FT TUE NIGHT.
OF NOTE, THE 20-YEAR CLIMATOLOGY OF THE TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND
EVENTS INDICATES THAT ON AVERAGE 16 GALE-FORCE EVENTS AND 5
STORM FORCE-EVENTS OCCUR IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC EACH COLD
SEASON. MOST GALE-FORCE EVENTS OCCURRED DURING NOVEMBER AND
DECEMBER, WHILE MOST STORM-FORCE WINDS OCCURRED IN JANUARY. BASED
ON LATEST MODEL TRENDS AND THE PRESENT EVOLVING SYNOPTIC SCALE
SETUP, IT APPEARS THAT THE FORECAST GALE TO NEAR STRONG FORCE
WIND EVENT MAY SUPERSEDE THE PREVIOUSLY RECORDED EARLIEST START
DATE OF OCTOBER 3RD.

SHORT-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TODAY - SW 10-14, Seas SW 4-7 feet @ 15sec
TONITE - SE 5-7, Seas SSW 5-8 feet @ 20sec
MONDAY - S 5-7, Seas SSW 5-9 feet @ 18sec
MONDAY NIGHT - SW 2-3, Seas SSW 6-9 feet @ 17sec

LONG-TERM TEHUANTEPEC
TUESDAY - NNW 34-46, Seas NNW 12-18 feet @ 7sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 32-43, Seas NNW 14-21 feet @ 8sec
THURSDAY - N 26-36, Seas NNW 10-15 feet @ 7sec
FRIDAY - N 26-36, Seas NNW 10-16 feet @ 7sec
SATURDAY - NNW 30-41, Seas NNW 11-17 feet @ 7sec