Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
September 4, 2026, 8:00 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 20.4N 139.3W 972 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 04
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...300 NM NW
QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 12.0 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 23N135W TO 26N140W TO 20N140W TO 18N138W TO 20N136W TO 23N135W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
23N132W TO 25N133W TO 28N140W TO 13N140W TO 15N135W TO 23N132W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA W OF AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM
N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N139W TO 25N140W TO 20N140W TO 21N139W TO
22N139W TO 24N139W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 25N137W TO 27N140W TO 22N139W TO 20N140W
TO 16N140W TO 21N136W TO 25N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA WELL W OF AREA. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA WELL W OF AREA. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN
25N139W TO 27N139W TO 29N140W TO 19N140W TO 21N139W TO 25N139W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN E SWELL.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 19.9N 117.1W 972 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 04
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4
M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE...330 NM NE QUADRANT AND
300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 12.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N113W
TO 25N120W TO 19N121W TO 16N118W TO 16N114W TO 20N111W TO 23N113W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
23N108W TO 30N117W TO 24N125W TO 19N125W TO 12N118W TO 12N113W TO
23N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 21.0N 119.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 330
NE QUADRANT...270 NM SE QUADRANT...240 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 330
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N114W TO
25N121W TO 23N125W TO 19N123W TO 17N119W TO 18N116W TO 22N114W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
23N110W TO 30N117W TO 25N123W TO 30N129W TO 19N130W TO 11N117W TO
23N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 22.7N 121.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM N SEMICIRCLE...130 NM SE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM
SE QUADRANT...270 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 330 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 11.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N117W TO 27N124W TO 22N128W TO
20N126W TO 18N121W TO 20N118W TO 24N117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN
24N112W TO 24N127W TO 30N135W TO 21N139W TO 13N131W TO 12N119W TO
24N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
MODERATE TO FRESH CYCLONIC WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS
ARE AFFECTING THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NOT DIRECTLY
IMPACTED BY HURRICANE MARIE. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS
HURRICANE AND THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH CONTINUE TO SUSTAIN MODERATE
TO FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS AND SEAS OF 2-4 FT IN THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE, PRIMARILY LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, HURRICANE MARIE IS NEAR 19.9N 117.1W AT 2 AM
PDT, AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT, AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 972 MB. MARIE WILL MOVE TO 20.3N 118.1W THIS
AFTERNOON, 21.0N 119.4W SAT MORNING, 21.9N 120.5W SAT AFTERNOON,
22.7N 121.4W SUN MORNING, 23.5N 122.3W SUN AFTERNOON, AND WEAKEN
TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 24.2N 123.3W MON MORNING. MARIE WILL
CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO THE 25.3N 125.8W EARLY
TUE. ELSEWHERE, A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN FRESH S
TO SE WINDS IN THE N GULF OF CALIFORNIA THROUGH TONIGHT. LOOKING
AHEAD, THE NEXT GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MAY
OCCUR BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
HURRICANE MARIE IS CENTERED NEAR 19.9N 117.1W AT 04/0900 UTC,
MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 972 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KT WITH GUSTS
TO 105 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 41 FT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 111W AND 120W.
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY, BUT A SLOW
WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON SATURDAY. SWELLS GENERATED
BY MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST
MEXICO AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND
ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION ON
HURRICANE MARIE CENTERED SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO.
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION ABOUT
HURRICANE KARINA CENTERED WELL EAST OF HAWAII, AND HURRICANE
MARIE LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO.
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - WSW 6-8, Seas SSW 0-7.4 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - W 6-8, Seas SSW 0-7.3 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY - W 9-11, Seas SSW 0-6.9 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - N 10-12, Seas SSW 2.3-6.9 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SUNDAY - N 10-12, Seas SSW 2.3-6.9 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY - NNE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-5.3 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - SSE 10-13, Seas SSW 0-4.5 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - S 11-14, Seas SSW 0-3.4 ft @ 16sec
THURSDAY - S 13-16, Seas SSW 1.6-3.7 ft @ 16sec