Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
October 16, 2025, 3:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE GAP WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC AS A 1013 MB HIGH PREVAILS OVER EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO.
ELSEWHERE, RIDGING EXTENDS OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA WATERS,
STEMMING FROM A 1030 MB HIGH CENTERED NORTHWEST OF THE AREA NEAR
37N144W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS RIDGE AND A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING FROM NORTHWESTERN MEXICO TO 18N106W IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NW WINDS AND 5 TO 8 FT SEAS
OVER THE BAJA WATERS. IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, MODERATE TO
OCCASIONALLY FRESH NW WINDS AND 1 TO 3 FT SEAS PREVAIL. MAINLY
MODERATE NW WINDS AND 5 TO 6 FT SEAS ARE NOTED OFFSHORE OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE WINDS IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC WILL DIMINISH BY THIS AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE
TO OCCASIONALLY FRESH NW WINDS AND LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS WILL
PREVAIL OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH FRI MORNING. PULSING
MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA THROUGH THIS EVENING. LOOKING AHEAD, A BROAD AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE, EP91, IS CENTERED OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS DISTURBANCE, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE
OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT, INCREASING WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ARE EXPECTED
OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - W 4-5, Seas SSW 0-3.4 feet @ 12sec
TONITE - W 4-5, Seas SSW 0-3.4 feet @ 12sec
FRIDAY - NW 2-3, Seas SSW 0-3.4 feet @ 19sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NW 2-3, Seas SSW 0-3.4 feet @ 19sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SATURDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.3-4.2 feet @ 15sec
SUNDAY - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 3.3-4.8 feet @ 15sec
MONDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-4 feet @ 16sec
TUESDAY - NW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - W 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?