Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast



November 21, 2024, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N96W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10
TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 13N96W
TO 11N97W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W
TO 12.5N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO
40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM
16N95W TO 12.5N96W TO 10.5N98W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9
TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND
101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W
13.5N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30
TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM
16N95W TO 13.5N95W TO 12N99W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND
101W...AND FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 98W AND 102W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W
TO 13N100W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE
FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 101W...AND FROM 08N TO 11N
BETWEEN 98W AND 101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 25N TO 28N NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.


A RIDGE, ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR 29N123W,
DOMINATES THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS PATTERN
IS PROMOTING LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
OFFSHORE WATERS WHERE SEAS ARE 5 TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL, HIGHEST N
OF PUNTA EUGENIA. ELSEWHERE, THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE RIDGE AND A TROUGH IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO IS SUPPORTING FRESH
TO LOCALLY STRONG NW WINDS IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
SEAS ARE 4 TO 6 FT ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PART OF THE
GULF WHILE SEAS OF 2 TO 4 FT AREA NOTED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF.
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FT IN MIXED SWELL
DOMINATE THE REMAINDER OF THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS. SCATTEROMETER
DATA SHOW A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITHIN ABOUT 120 NM SW OF
THE COAST OF GUERRERO ASSOCIATED WITH A 1012 MB WEAK LOW PRESSURE
CENTER LOCATED THERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, GALE FORCE WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS
WILL PERSIST IN THE TEHUANTEPEC AREA THROUGH SAT MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS
THE WATERS W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND SUPPORTING GENTLE TO MODERATE NW WINDS. THE NW
SWELL AFFECTING THE WATERS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA THIS AFTERNOON
WILL REACH THE OUTER OFFSHORE WATERS N OF CABO SAN LAZARO BY FRI
MORNING. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN SOME BY SUN AS ANOTHER
COLD FRONT ENTERS THE NORTHERN FORECAST WATERS.

SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 3.2-4.4 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - NW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.8-4 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 2.6-4 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - NW 5-6, Seas SSW 0-3.2 feet @ 14sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SUNDAY - NW 5-6, Seas SSW 0-3.2 feet @ 14sec
MONDAY - W 6-7, Seas SSW 0.6-2.8 feet @ 13sec
TUESDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
THURSDAY - Not available yet