Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
July 20, 2026, 9:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO NEAR 14.2N 116.7W 994 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL
20 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N114W TO 16N117W TO
13N118W TO 11N117W TO 12N114W TO 14N113W TO 17N114W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N111W TO
19N114W TO 18N118W TO 13N119W TO 10N118W TO 11N112W TO 18N111W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 15.1N 117.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 16.0N 119.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...80 NM NW QUADRANT AND 150 NM
SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER 210 NM IN E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM
IN NW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM IN SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 7.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N116W TO 20N117W TO 19N121W TO 15N121W TO
12N119W TO 14N116W TO 18N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N112W TO 21N114W TO 20N122W TO
16N124W TO 10N120W TO 11N115W TO 17N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 17.0N 122.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM N SEMICIRCLE...140 NM SE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER 240 NM IN E SEMICIRCLE...210 NM IN
NW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM IN SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N119W TO 21N122W TO 20N125W TO 16N125W TO
13N120W TO 16N118W TO 20N119W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N115W TO 23N117W TO 24N124W TO
19N129W TO 13N126W TO 12N118W TO 20N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW AT 27N127W 1003 MB MOVING NNW 12 KT. WITHIN 29N126W TO
30N128W TO 28N129W TO 27N128W TO 27N126W TO 29N126W NE TO E WINDS
30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N125W TO
30N130W TO 27N131W TO 25N130W TO 25N125W TO 27N124W TO 30N125W N
TO NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
28N122W TO 25N127W TO 28N134W TO 19N139W TO 14N135W TO 17N126W
TO 28N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW AT 31N128W 1004 MB. WITHIN 30N125W TO
30N131W TO 28N130W TO 28N126W TO 30N125W NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 30
KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 5.5 M. WITHIN 30N123W TO 28N129W TO 29N135W TO
25N137W TO 22N131W TO 26N125W TO 30N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NORTH OF THE AREA. WITHIN 30N125W TO
30N133W TO 28N131W TO 28N129W TO 29N128W TO 29N126W TO 30N125W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NE SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
WINDS ARE SE FRESH TO STRONG, SEAS 7-10 FT, AND SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OCCURRING IN THE OFFSHORE ZONE OF THE
REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS DUE TO THE PERIPHERY OF TROPICAL STORM
FAUSTO. ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER. SEAS ARE 5-6 FT
IN SW SWELL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE PACIFIC OFFSHORE WATERS
AND 2-4 FT OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO: FAUSTO IS CENTERED NEAR 14.2N 116.7W AT
20/2100 UTC, MOVING NORTHWEST AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 994 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 75 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 18 FT. NUMEROUS MODERATE AND
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS OCCURRING FROM 10N-20N BETWEEN
105W-120W. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A MOTION TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. A TURN
BACK TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. STEADY TO
RAPID STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS,
AND FAUSTO IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT. SWELLS GENERATED BY FAUSTO ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WEST
COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON WEDNESDAY, AND PERSIST FOR
A COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. PLEASE READ THE LATEST HIGH SEAS FORECAST
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE -
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND THE LATEST
FAUSTO NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY AND PUBLIC ADVISORY AT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR DETAILS ON
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO, CENTERED ABOUT 650 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, NW WINDS SHOULD FRESHEN WITH ISOLATED STRONG
OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE ON WED AND THU. LOOKING AHEAD, A BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO
BY MIDWEEK. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AWAY
FROM THE FORECAST WATERS.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR DETAILS ON
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO, CENTERED ABOUT 650 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, AND ON A GALE WARNING FOR POST-
TROPICAL CYCLONE ELIDA, CENTERED ABOUT 610 NM MILES WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF THE COASTAL BORDER OF CALIFORNIA AND MEXICO.
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - WSW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - WSW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - Not available yet