Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
June 1, 2025, 3:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC SWIRL ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
ALVIN IS MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AS THE SYSTEM PROGRESSES NORTHWARD. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITH THIS FEATURE. MODERATE TO FRESH
CYCLONIC WINDS ARE OBSERVED NORTH OF 21N AND EAST OF 113W.
MEANWHILE, AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE IS
PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AFFECTING THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THE STATE AND ALSO NW SONORA. THE REMAINDER OF THE MEXICAN
OFFSHORE WATERS ARE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT THAT MAINTAINS MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS, INCLUDING IN
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
LONG-PERIOD, SOUTHERLY SWELL PRODUCING SEAS OF 6-9 FT (2-3 M) IS
PRESENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, EXCEPT FOR
SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. THE HIGHEST SEAS ARE NOTED NEAR 14N103W.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE OF ALVIN WILL
CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD TODAY WHILE LOSING ITS IDENTITY,
HOWEVER, LINGERING SWELL FROM FORMER ALVIN WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE COASTS OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND THE
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TODAY. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE TO
LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS DUE TO LONG-PERIOD SW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH MON BEFORE
SUBSIDING. LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL WILL INDUCE ROUGH SEAS OFFSHORE
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT WEEK, THEN SUBSIDE DURING THE
MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK. LOOKING AHEAD, AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
IS FORECAST TO FORM OFFSHORE OF THE COASTS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND
SOUTHERN MEXICO BY THE MIDDLE PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM
LATE IN THE WEEK WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD TO WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD.
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - SSW 12-15, Seas SSW 4.7-7.7 feet @ 17sec
TONITE - SSW 12-15, Seas SSW 4.7-7.7 feet @ 17sec
MONDAY - SW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-7 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY NIGHT - SW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-7 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
TUESDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas SSW 1.4-5.1 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY - WNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.7-4.6 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - SW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - WSW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?