Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast



June 1, 2026, 9:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.

A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS INTO THE REGION TO JUST NW OF THE
REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE
AND A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING
MODERATE NW TO N WINDS ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE
WATERS. NW SWELL IS PRODUCING SEAS TO 9 FT OVER THE WATERS N OF
CABO SAN LAZARO. INSIDE THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
AND SLIGHT SEAS PREVAIL, EXCEPT FOR 3 TO 6 FT SEAS IN SW SWELL
NEAR THE ENTRANCE. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE OFFSHORE WATERS,
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS DOMINATE ALONG WITH 5 TO 7 FT SEAS
PRIMARILY IN LONG- PERIOD S TO SW SWELL, INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC.
BROAD LOW PRESSURE OF 1008 MB, EP90, CENTERED ALONG THE MONSOON
TROUGH NEAR 09N126W, WELL SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA, IS PRODUCING NUMEROUS DISORGANIZED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCTIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO FROM DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK
WHILE MOVING WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 KT
ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC. THIS LOW HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS AND A HIGH CHANCE OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
FOR THE FORECAST, NW SWELL WILL PROPAGATE THROUGH THE OFFSHORE
WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE THROUGH FRI NIGHT, BRINGING ROUGH
SEAS. LOOKING AHEAD, AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM OFFSHORE
SOUTHERN MEXICO LATE THIS WEEK OR OVER THE WEEKEND, AND
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES W TO WNW AT 5 TO 10 KT.

SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - W 6-8, Seas SSW 1.3-5.2 ft @ 16sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - WSW 7-9, Seas SSW --? ft @ 17sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
THURSDAY - SSE 9-11, Seas SSW 2.3-5.7 ft @ 18sec
FRIDAY - W 9-11, Seas SSW 1.8-5.7 ft @ 17sec
SATURDAY - W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - WSW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - Not available yet