Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast



November 2, 2025, 9:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING...
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO
14N95W TO 14N94W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W
TO 14N95W TO 15N93W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 12N97W
TO 13N94W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W
TO 13N95W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
WITHIN 14N93W TO 16N94W TO 16N97W TO 11N101W TO 09N100W TO 11N95W
TO 14N93W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.

A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION IS SUPPORTING
MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS, AND MODERATE SEAS, EXCEPT FOR SLIGHT
SEAS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF
AMERICA ON SUN AND A STRONG RIDGE WILL SETTLE ACROSS MEXICO AND
THE GULF IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. STRONG WINDS WILL FUNNEL
THROUGH THE CHIVELA PASS AND GAP WINDS IN TEHUANTEPEC WILL
RESUME, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE SPEEDS AND ROUGH SEAS BY SUN
AFTERNOON AND GALE FORCE WINDS BY SUN EVENING WITH SEAS REACHING
VERY ROUGH RANGES SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE. GALES WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH TUE NIGHT, HOWEVER STRONG TO NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THU EVENING. OTHERWISE, LONG PERIOD NW
SWELL WILL MOVE INTO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE OFFSHORE WATERS
THIS MORNING, AND SPREAD TO CABO SAN LUCAS BY TONIGHT BEFORE
GRADUALLY SUBSIDING THROUGH TUE EVENING. A SECOND SET OF LARGE NW
SWELL IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE WATERS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA LATE
THU.

FOR THE FORECAST, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE WATERS
W OF 120W INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. LARGE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD SE THROUGH MON NIGHT AND THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TUE.
A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW REGION TUE NIGHT PRECEDED BY FRESH
TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS. OTHERWISE, SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IS CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED. ANY
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM APPEAR UNLIKELY AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC
DURING THE FEW COUPLE OF DAYS.

SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NW 9-11, Seas SW 0.8-2.4 ft @ 20sec
TONITE - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 0.9-2.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - WNW 3-4, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
TUESDAY - NW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - NW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?