Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast

September 4, 2026, 2:00 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 20.1N 138.4W 969 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 04
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS
110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80
NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
240 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...300 NM NW QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 12.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N135W TO 25N137W
TO 25N140W TO 19N140W TO 18N138W TO 20N135W TO 22N135W WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N130W TO
26N132W TO 29N140W TO 07N140W TO 07N132W TO 15N132W TO 21N130W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SEAS.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA JUST W OF AREA. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS
TO 8.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N139W TO 25N140W TO 20N140W TO
21N139W TO 23N139W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 25N137W TO 28N140W TO 21N139W TO 15N140W
TO 17N138W TO 22N135W TO 25N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA WELL W OF AREA. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN
28N136W TO 29N140W TO 19N140W TO 20N136W TO 23N135W TO 28N136W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 19.6N 116.3W 972 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 04
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...160 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE...330 NM NE QUADRANT AND
300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 12.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N113W
TO 24N121W TO 19N121W TO 16N117W TO 17N113W TO 20N112W TO 22N113W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
23N109W TO 30N117W TO 25N124W TO 19N125W TO 12N118W TO 13N112W TO
23N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.7N 118.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 330
NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 300
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N115W TO
25N121W TO 23N124W TO 20N124W TO 17N120W TO 18N115W TO 23N115W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
23N110W TO 30N117W TO 30N126W TO 20N129W TO 11N120W TO 15N111W TO
23N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 22.2N 121.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM N SEMICIRCLE...130 NM SE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM
SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 12.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N117W TO 26N123W TO 24N126W TO
19N125W TO 18N121W TO 19N117W TO 24N117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN
24N112W TO 30N116W TO 25N126W TO 30N133W TO 21N136W TO 12N118W TO
24N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.

ASIDE FROM THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE MARIE, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN A RIDGE LOCATED NORTH OF THE AREA AND THE HURRICANE
SUSTAIN MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MODERATE TO FRESH
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND SEAS OF 2 TO 4 FT ARE FOUND IN THE NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE EVIDENT IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF
MEXICO.
FOR THE FORECAST, HURRICANE MARIE IS NEAR 19.6N 116.3W AT 8 PM
PDT, AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT, AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 972 MB. MARIE WILL MOVE TO 20.0N 117.5W FRI MORNING,
20.7N 118.8W FRI EVENING, 21.5N 120.0W SAT MORNING, 22.2N 121.0W
SAT EVENING, 22.9N 121.9W SUN MORNING, AND WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
STORM NEAR 23.5N 123.1W SUN EVENING. MARIE WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN
INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO THE 24.5N 126.0W LATE MON. ELSEWHERE, A
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN FRESH S TO SE WINDS IN THE
N GULF OF CALIFORNIA INTO FRI NIGHT.

HURRICANE MARIE IS CENTERED NEAR 19.6N 116.3W AT 04/0300 UTC,
MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 972 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 105 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 39 FT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 12N TO 23N BETWEEN 110W
AND 120W. THE WNW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
TONIGHT. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY SATURDAY.
SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD TO
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION ON
HURRICANE MARIE CENTERED SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO.
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION ABOUT
HURRICANE KARINA CENTERED WELL EAST OF HAWAII, AND HURRICANE
MARIE LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO.

SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - WSW 6-8, Seas SSW 0-7.4 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - W 6-8, Seas SSW 0-7.3 ft @ 16sec
SATURDAY - W 9-11, Seas SSW 0-6.9 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY NIGHT - N 10-12, Seas SSW 2.3-6.9 ft @ 15sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SUNDAY - N 10-12, Seas SSW 2.3-6.9 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY - NNE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-5.3 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - SSE 10-13, Seas SSW 0-4.5 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - S 11-14, Seas SSW 0-3.3 ft @ 16sec
THURSDAY - S 13-16, Seas SSW 1.3-3.5 ft @ 16sec