Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast



April 13, 2024, 9:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N93W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 35
KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. WITHIN 12N93W TO 15N93W TO 16N96W TO
13N99W TO 10N105W TO 07N102W TO 12N93W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 11N104W TO 08N106W TO
07N103W TO 07N98W TO 10N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W
TO 14N95W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.09 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 30N115W TO
29N113W TO 29N112W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.


MODERATE SW WINDS ARE ONGOING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, ASSOCIATED WITH A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT APPROACHING BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE FROM THE WEST. OUTSIDE
OF THE TEHUANTEPEC AREA, LIGHT TO GENTLE VARIABLE WINDS PERSIST
ACROSS THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, EXCEPT FOR MODERATE NW WINDS
FROM THE ENTRANCE OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TO THE COLIMA
OFFSHORE WATERS. COMBINED SEAS ARE 5 TO 6 FT OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA
WITH A COMPONENT OF NW SWELL, AND 3 TO 6 FT ELSEWHERE EXCEPT 1
TO 3 FT OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST ASIDE FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, FRESH SW
WINDS IN THE NORHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA WILL REACH FRESH TO
STRONG SPEEDS TONIGHT AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
WATERS WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE THROUGH SUN. THIS WIL ALLOW
THE CONTINUATION OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA THROUGH EARLY SUN MORNING. IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD
FRONT, BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD CAUSE FRESH TO STRONG NW
WINDS WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SUN NIGHT INTO LATE
TUE. AFTERWARD, GENTLE TO MODERATE NW WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE
BAJA PENINSULA OFFSHORES THROUGH THU EVENING.

FOR THE FORECAST, THE COLD FRONTS WILL WEAKEN WHILE MOVING
EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATERS NORTH OF 25N INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA
THROUGH SUN, THEN DISSIPATE. SEAS TO 12 FT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FRONTS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH ON SUN. A LARGE NW TO N SWELL WILL
THEN PROPAGATE EQUATORWARD ON SUN AND MON REACHING AS FAR SOUTH
OF 10N. ALSO ON SUN AND MON, A LARGE S TO SW SWELL WILL CROSS THE
EQUATOR HEADING NORTHWARD. THESE INTERACTING SWELL WILL CAUSE
COMBINED SEAS OF UP TO 10 FT BETWEEN 08N-22N WEST OF 115W. ADDED
TO THIS MIX WILL INCLUDE A COMPONENT OF SHORTER PERIOD SEAS DUE
TO WIND WAVES TO CREATE AN AREA OF CONFUSED SEAS FROM ROUGHLY 10N
TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W. FARTHER EAST, THE LONG TAIL OF
FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E WINDS FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION WILL REACH AS FAR WEST AS 110W AND AS
FAR SOUTH AS 08N. SEAS WILL REACH UP TO 10 FT.

SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - WNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3-4.6 feet @ 19sec
TONITE - WNW 11-14, Seas SSW 3-4.6 feet @ 19sec
MONDAY - NW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.8-4.7 feet @ 18sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.8-4.7 feet @ 18sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
TUESDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas SSW 3.6-5.9 feet @ 18sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 12-15, Seas SSW 3.3-6 feet @ 17sec
THURSDAY - NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet