Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast



September 10, 2026, 8:00 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 16.4N 117.9W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC
SEP 10 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 50 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF
CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 4.0 M. WITHIN
18N114W TO 20N116W TO 19N119W TO 17N119W TO 16N116W TO 16N114W TO
18N114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 16.7N 122.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. WITHIN
20N119W TO 20N124W TO 18N125W TO 16N123W TO 18N121W TO 17N118W TO
20N119W WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 16.9N 126.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 105
NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 7.0 M. WITHIN
22N125W TO 22N128W TO 18N131W TO 16N130W TO 15N127W TO 19N124W
TO 22N125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.

FRESH WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER PERIPHERY
OF TROPICAL STORM NORBERT ARE AFFECTING THE OUTER OFFSHORES OF
THE TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. FRESH TO STRONG N GAP WINDS
CONTINUE ACROSS THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION AND DOWNWIND TO NEAR 14N.
MODERATE TO LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS ARE WITH THESE WINDS. LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS DOMINATE THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAK RIDGE CENTERED NEAR 27N124W.
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE PRESENT ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE REMAINING MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS.
LOOKING AHEAD, AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. SOME
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES
GENERALLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION THROUGH 7 DAYS.

SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - N 11-14, Seas SW 0-4.1 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - W 3-4, Seas SW 0-3.8 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY - NW 4-5, Seas SSW 0-3.7 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - E 2-2, Seas SW 0-3.4 ft @ 15sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SATURDAY - NE 3-4, Seas SW 0-3.2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - W 4-5, Seas SW 0-3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - SE 10-13, Seas SW 1.1-3.3 ft @ 18sec
TUESDAY - W 6-8, Seas SSW 1-3.4 ft @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY - W 5-6, Seas SSW 0-3.4 ft @ 17sec