Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
July 23, 2026, 9:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 18.2N 126.9W 980 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 23 MOVING
W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...160 NM SE
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT.SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 13N TO 27N BETWEEN
121W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 18.8N 131.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN
150 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND
120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER...
EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 270 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0
TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 12N TO 27N BETWEEN 124W AND
138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 19.5N 136.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN
130 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND
120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER...
EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M. ELSEWHERE OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM NW QUADRANT
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 11N
TO 28N W OF 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED
SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, AS HURRICANE FAUSTO CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
OFFSHORE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE RIDGE AND A MEANDERING TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS N OF PUNTA
EUGENIA THROUGH TONIGHT INTO FRI MORNING. IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA,
MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED, INCREASING
TO FRESH SPEEDS FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST IN THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH LOCALLY
ROUGH SEAS. PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURE SECTION FOR DETAILS
ON THE NEXT TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP WELL OFFSHORE
OF MEXICO OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
HURRICANE FAUSTO IS CENTERED NEAR 18.2N 126.9W AT 23/2100 UTC,
MOVING WEST AT 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 30 FT. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. FAUSTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SMALL INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS
ARE POSSIBLE TODAY, FOLLOWED BY SLOW WEAKENING THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. SWELLS GENERATED BY FAUSTO ARE AFFECTING THE WEST COAST
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM
YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR DETAILS ON
HURRICANE FAUSTO, CENTERED ABOUT 995 NM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FAUSTO CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AND AWAY
FROM THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS, ALLOWING A RIDGE TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND TO THE
REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THIS PATTERN SUPPORTS FRESH TO STRONG NW
WINDS NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA, AND MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE NW TO
N WINDS BETWEEN PUNTA EUGENIA AND CABO SAN LUCAS. SEAS
GENERATING BY FAUSTO ARE STILL SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA, AND
MIXING WITH THE BUILDING NORTHERLY WIND WAVES TO PRODUCE SEAS 6
TO 8 FT ACROSS THE BAJA WATERS, HIGHEST N OF PUNTA EUGENIA.
GENTLE TO MODERATE NW TO W WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR DETAILS ON
HURRICANE FAUSTO, CENTERED ABOUT 995 NM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
HURRICANE FAUSTO DOMINATES CONDITIONS OVER THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
WATERS ROUGHLY FROM 12N TO 25N BETWEEN 120W AND 132W. FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS OUTSIDE OF THE IMMEDIATE CIRCULATION OF FAUSTO
EXTEND NORTHWARD TO 24N, WITH SEAS TO 8 FT REACHING AS FAR N OF
FAUSTO AS 27N. A COUPLE OF ALTIMETER PASSES ALSO INDICATE THAT
THE 12 FT SEAS ARE REACHING AS FAR N AS 23N. ELSEWHERE, A RIDGE
DOMINATES THE WATERS BETWEEN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND FAUSTO, AND ALSO
N OF 15N W OF 130W. MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS WITH MODERATE SEAS
PREVAIL. SW SWELL ARE ENTERING THE EQUATORIAL WATERS W OF 120W
WITH RAISING SEAS 6 TO 8 FT S OF 05N.
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - ESE 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - SE 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - Not available yet