Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
September 10, 2026, 2:00 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E NEAR 16.4N 116.6W 1006 MB AT
0300 UTC SEP 10 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 18N113W TO 20N116W TO
20N117W TO 18N118W TO 16N118W TO 16N113W TO 18N113W WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOURTEEN-E NEAR 16.7N 118.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOURTEEN-E NEAR 16.8N 121.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 10 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM ELSEWHERE WITH
SEAS TO 5.0 M. WITHIN 19N117W TO 20N121W TO 18N123W TO 16N121W
TO 16N117W TO 19N117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOURTEEN-E NEAR 16.7N 126.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO
7.0 M. WITHIN 21N123W TO 22N125W TO 20N128W TO 17N129W TO
14N125W TO 18N121W TO 21N123W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5
M.
FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE OUTER PERIPHERY OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ARE
AFFECTING THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS, PARTICULARLY CLARION
ISLAND. FRESH TO STRONG N GAP WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE
TEHUANTEPEC REGION AND DOWNWIND TO NEAR 14N. MODERATE TO LOCALLY
ROUGH SEAS ARE WITH THESE WINDS. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS DOMINATE
THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
WEAK RIDGE EXTENDING BETWEEN THE PENINSULA AND THE REMNANT LOW OF
MARIE, WHICH IS NOW JUST NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. GENTLE TO
MODERATE SE TO S WINDS ARE EVIDENT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA WHILE LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. SEAS ARE 1 TO 3 FT, HIGHEST NEAR THE
ENTRANCE TO THE GULF. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN
SW SWELL ARE PRESENT ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE
WATERS, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS JUST AHEAD
THE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ALONG 103W.
LOOKING AHEAD, AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. SOME
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES
GENERALLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION THROUGH 7 DAYS.
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - N 11-14, Seas SW 0-4.1 ft @ 17sec
TONITE - W 3-4, Seas SW 0-3.8 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY - NW 4-5, Seas SSW 0-3.7 ft @ 15sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - E 2-2, Seas SW 0-3.4 ft @ 15sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
SATURDAY - NE 3-4, Seas SW 0-3.2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - W 4-5, Seas SW 0-3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - SE 10-13, Seas SW 1.1-3.3 ft @ 18sec
TUESDAY - W 6-8, Seas SSW 0.9-3.3 ft @ 17sec
WEDNESDAY - W 5-6, Seas SSW 0.9-3.3 ft @ 17sec