Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
November 15, 2025, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
IN ADDITION TO THE LARGE NW SWELL DESCRIBED IN THE SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION, A SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS FROM 18 UTC
SHOWED FRESH TO STRONG S TO SW WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT ALONG THE
COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. THE SAME PASS INDICATED MODERATE
TO FRESH SW WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, BUT LIGHT BREEZES AND 1 TO 2 FT PREVAIL ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE GULF. FARTHER SOUTH, THE SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS
SHOWED FRESH GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. GENTLE TO
MODERATE BREEZES AND 4 TO 6 FT SEAS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE ACROSS
THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF MEXICO.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY DRIFT
EASTWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA THIS
EVENING, BRINGING FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG WINDS AND SEAS TO
12 FT IN NW SWELL TO THE WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. EXPECT
FRESH TO STRONG SW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY SUN. LOOKING
AHEAD, ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BRING FRESH NW WINDS AND
ROUGH SEAS TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS LATE MON INTO
MIDWEEK. WINDS MAY PULSE TO STRONG IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA LATE MON.
LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING FRONTAL BOUNDARY: A COLD FRONT EXTENDS
FROM NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE TO OFF PUNTA EUGENIA TO
16N130W, WHERE IT BECOMES A STATIONARY FRONT TO 15N140W. THE
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD WHILE IT WEAKENS AND
DISSIPATES OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A RECENT ALTIMETER SATELLITE
PASS CONFIRMED 8 TO 12 FT SEAS FOLLOW THE FRONT, DUE LARGELY TO
NW SWELL. THE LEADING EDGE OF THE SWELL 8 FT OR GREATER EXTENDS
FROM NEAR CABO SAN LAZARO TO 13N130W TO 10N140W. THE ROUGH SEAS
HAVE REACHED THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND WILL
CONTINUE TO EXPAND SOUTHWARD TODAY, REACHING THE REVILLAGIGEDO
ISLANDS TONIGHT. THE AREA OF 8 FT OR GREATER SEAS WILL CONTINUE
SOUTHWARD AND REACH FROM 05N TO 20N WEST OF 110W BY SUN NIGHT,
THEN SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT.
FOR THE FORECAST, OUTSIDE OF THE AREA IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION, THE FRESH SW WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BETWEEN 90W AND 100W, SUPPORTING SEAS TO 9
FT. LOOKING AHEAD, THE LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS IT MOVES INTO THE TROPICAL PACIFIC AND MIXES
WITH SHORTER-PERIOD WIND WAVES GENERATED BY MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WINDS. ANOTHER FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE WATERS WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE EARLY NEXT WEEK, FOLLOWED BY LARGE NW SWELL
NORTH OF 28N AND EAST OF 130W. LOOKING AHEAD, A BUILDING RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN WATERS WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS
AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE TRADE WATERS WEST OF 120W BY MIDWEEK.
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 0.9-2.2 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
TUESDAY - NW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NW 4-5, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
THURSDAY - N 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - N 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet