Sea of Cortez Forecast



June 18, 2024, 3:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Forecast


Questions/Comments visit http://svsarana.com

This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.

REFER TO THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION FOR CONVECTION IN THE
REGION. POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE MENTIONED IN THE SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION IS SUSTAINING FRESH TO STRONG WITH LOCALLY
NEAR-GALE SW TO W WINDS AND 8 TO 11 FT SEAS OVER THE OFFSHORE
WATERS OF OAXACA AND CHIAPAS STATES IN SOUTHERN MEXICO.
MEANWHILE, MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS AND SEAS OF 7 TO 9 FT IN
RESIDUAL NW SWELL LINGER WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. GENTLE TO
MODERATE W TO NW WINDS WITH 5 TO 7 FT SEAS EXIST NEAR BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR AND CENTRAL MEXICO. GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY
WINDS ALONG WITH SEAS OF 1 TO 3 FT ARE PRESENT OVER THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG SW TO W WINDS, ROUGH TO VERY
ROUGH SEAS, AND NUMEROUS HEAVY SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL IMPACT THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH FRI
MORNING, PRIMARILY OFF CHIAPAS, OAXACA AND SOUTHEASTERN GUERRERO
STATES. DANGEROUS SURF IS ALSO ANTICIPATED ALONG THE COASTAL
AREAS OF THIS REGION UNTIL FRI EVENING. FARTHER NORTH, FRESH NW
WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL PERSIST OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE UNTIL
LATE THIS MORNING, PRIMARILY BEYOND 120 NM OFFSHORE. RESIDUAL NW
SWELL IN THESE WATERS MAINLY NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH TONIGHT. FROM WED EVENING THROUGH FRI
MORNING, FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS SHOULD DEVELOP
NEAR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR, INCLUDING WATERS NEAR CABO SAN LUCAS AS
PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES.

A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS SOUTHEASTWARD FROM A 1025 MB HIGH
THAT IS NORTHEAST OF HAWAII TO WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NEAR
20N119W. THE ASSOCIATED GRADIENT IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH
NNW TO NE WINDS AND SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FT IN NORTHERLY LONG-PERIOD
SWELL NORTH OF 18N AND WEST OF 120W. GENTLE TO MODERATE NE WINDS
AND 5 TO 7 FT SEAS IN GENERALLY MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELL ARE
EVIDENT FARTHER SOUTHWEST FROM 08N TO 18N AND WEST OF 127W. LIGHT
TO GENTLE WINDS AND SEAS OF 4 TO 6 FT DUE TO MIXED MODERATE
SWELL ARE OVER THE WATERS NEAR THE ITCZ AND MONSOONAL TROUGH WEST
OF 118W. SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N TO 14N AND EAST OF
118W, FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG SW TO W WINDS AND 7 TO 9 FT SEAS
ARE NOTED. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION, GENTLE TO MODERATE
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND SEAS AT 6 TO 8 FT IN MODERATE TO LARGE
SOUTHERLY SWELL PREVAIL.

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 13-16, Seas SSW 3.4-4.4 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - W 13-16, Seas SSW 3.4-4.4 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - W 13-16, Seas SSW 3.5-4.2 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - W 13-16, Seas SSW 3.5-4.2 feet @ 15sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - S 8-10, Seas SSW 0-4.6 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - S 8-10, Seas SSW 0-4.6 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - W 11-14, Seas SSW 0-4.2 feet @ 15sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - W 11-14, Seas SSW 0-4.2 feet @ 15sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
THURSDAY - Northern Half WNW 14-18, Seas W 4.6-5.2 feet @ 6sec, Southern Half SW 10-12, Seas SSW 0-4.4 feet @ 15sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half NNW 14-18, Seas W 0-4.4 feet @ 7sec, Southern Half SSW 8-10, Seas SSW 0-4.2 feet @ 13sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half SW 5-6, Seas SSW 2.1-3.3 feet @ 18sec, Southern Half SSE 9-11, Seas SSW 1.9-4.1 feet @ 19sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half SW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half SW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - Northern Half WSW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half WSW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?