Sea of Cortez Forecast
July 27, 2024, 9:01 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOW LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ACROSS THE
MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, EXCEPT FOR LOCALLY MODERATE TO FRESH SW
TO W WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND CABO SAN
LUCAS ADJACENT WATERS. SEAS REMAIN IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE IN THE
OPEN WATERS IN MAINLY S TO SW SWELL, AND 1-3 FT IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, EXCEPT TO 4 FT NEAR THE GULF ENTRANCE.
FOR THE FORECAST, A PREVALENT SURFACE TROUGH ALONG THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WILL MAINTAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE SE WINDS IN
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND NW WINDS OF SIMILAR MAGNITUDE ALONG
THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF THE BAJA PENINSULA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. MODERATE TO FRESH N TO NE WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS THROUGH WED. WINDS WILL
REACH MODERATE TO FRESH SPEEDS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA SUN THROUGH
WED. MODERATE SEAS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS, BUILDING
SOMEWHAT OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA EARLY NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE, AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK A
FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE MIDDLE OR
LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 KT, ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE REMNANTS OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BUD WILL
MOVE NEAR 18.9N 123.4W SAT AFTERNOON, 18.5N 125.0W SUN MORNING,
17.8N 126.6W SUN AFTERNOON, AND DISSIPATE MON MORNING. SOUTH OF
20N AND WEST OF 120W, MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS COMBINED WITH LONG-
PERIOD SOUTHERLY SWELL WILL SUPPORT SEAS OF 7-9 FT THROUGH SAT
EVENING. OTHERWISE, AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM
BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST
OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE
FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM DURING THE MIDDLE OR LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK. THIS
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 KT,
ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. ANOTHER
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WELL
TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE MIDDLE AND LATTER PARTS OF NEXT WEEK WHILE IT MOVES
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
BASIN.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 8-10, Seas SSW 1.9-3.5 feet @ 13sec
TONITE - W 8-10, Seas SSW 1.9-3.5 feet @ 13sec
SUNDAY - W 10-13, Seas SSW 2.3-3.8 feet @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - W 10-13, Seas SSW 2.3-3.8 feet @ 14sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - SW 10-13, Seas SSW 2-4.7 feet @ 13sec
TONITE - SW 10-13, Seas SSW 2-4.7 feet @ 13sec
SUNDAY - SW 8-10, Seas SSW 0-4.8 feet @ 15sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - SW 8-10, Seas SSW 0-4.8 feet @ 15sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
MONDAY - Northern Half NW 10-13, Seas SSW 1.7-3.3 feet @ 15sec, Southern Half SW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.5-4.4 feet @ 15sec
TUESDAY - Northern Half W 12-15, Seas SSW 3.2-4 feet @ 14sec, Southern Half SW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-3.8 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 0-3.5 feet @ 13sec, Southern Half SSE 9-11, Seas SSW 1.2-3.8 feet @ 13sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half S 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half SSW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half SW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?