Sea of Cortez Forecast
November 17, 2024, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
.WITHIN 24N108W TO 24N109W TO 24N110W TO 23N109W TO 23N108W TO
24N108W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...NW WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 24N107W TO 24N108W TO 23N108W TO
22N107W TO 23N106W TO 24N107W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED RIDGING PREVAIL ACROSS THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA OFFSHORE WATERS. RECENT SCATTEROMETER
DATA SHOW THE RELATED GRADIENT CONTINUES TO SUPPORT MODERATE TO
FRESH NW WINDS OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA WHERE 8-12 FT SEAS
PREVAIL AND EXTEND TO THE COLIMA OUTER OFFSHORE WATERS.
SCATTEROMETER DATA ALSO CONFIRMS LOCALLY STRONG NW WINDS FROM
LOS CABOS TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS DUE TO A TIGHTER PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND A 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR
18N106W. MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS
ARE ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. GENTLE TO MODERATE W TO NW WINDS
AND 5-8 FT SEAS IN NW SWELL ARE ONGOING ACROSS THE REMAINDER S
AND SW MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS.
EASTERN PACIFIC SWELL EVENT: LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL CONTINUES TO
PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD, REACHING THE OUTER OFFSHORE WATERS OF
COLIMA THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED TO 8-10 FT ACROSS THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE OFFSHORE WATERS AND TO 8-12 FT ACROSS THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND JALISCO OFFSHORES. THIS SET OF SWELL
WILL CONTINUE TO DECAY WITH SEAS DROPPING BELOW 12 FT BY THIS
EVENING. ANOTHER SET OF LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL IS FORECAST TO
ENTER THE OFFSHORE AND ADJACENT WATERS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA MON
NIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 14 FT AND SUBSIDE BELOW 12 FT TUE
EVENING. FOR MORE DETAILS, PLEASE READ THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS
FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE
HTTPS//WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE DETAILS.
FOR THE FORECAST, SURFACE RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS
THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK. IT WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY ON MON ALLOWING FOR THE GRADIENT TO
SLACKEN SOME. LOOKING AHEAD, A NEW SET OF LONG-PERIOD NW SWELL
WILL REACH THE WATERS N OF PUNTA EUGENIA WITH SEAS TO PEAK AT
AROUND 14 FT FROM MON NIGHT INTO TUE EVENING, AT WHICH TIME THE
SEAS FROM THE FORMER SWELL EVENT WOULD HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW 8 FT.
AFTERWARD, NW WINDS ALONG THE BAJA OFFSHORES WILL DIMINISH TO
GENTLE TO MODERATE SPEEDS AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRI NIGHT. LOOKING
AHEAD, THE NEXT GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND GALE EVENT IS
FORECAST TO START WED EVENING. GALE FORCE WINDS AND VERY ROUGH
SEAS ARE FORECAST FROM WED NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SAT. AN ELONGATED
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SW OF JALISCO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
SLOWLY EASTWARD OR EAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE
WEEK BRINGING INCREASING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF COLIMA, JALISCO AND NAYARIT.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - WNW 15-19, Seas SSW 3.5-3.8 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 0-3.6 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNW 15-19, Seas SSW 0-3.1 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - N 9-11, Seas SW 0-3.5 feet @ 13sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - NNW 17-21, Seas NW 5.8-6.4 feet @ 6sec
TONITE - NNW 13-16, Seas NW 5.6-6.1 feet @ 6sec
TUESDAY - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.8-3.8 feet @ 13sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NNW 10-13, Seas SSW 2.7-3.7 feet @ 13sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half N 9-11, Seas SW 0-3.5 feet @ 13sec, Southern Half NNW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.3-4.2 feet @ 17sec
THURSDAY - Northern Half N 6-8, Seas SSW 0-2.6 feet @ 17sec, Southern Half NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 4-4.7 feet @ 17sec
FRIDAY - Northern Half NNW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half NW 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern Half N 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half NW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet