Sea of Cortez Forecast
October 8, 2025, 3:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.HURRICANE PRISCILLA NEAR 21.4N 112.5W 982 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 08
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 130 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE...
270 NM SW QUADRANT AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 11.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N108W TO 25N112W TO 24N118W TO 20N118W TO
16N113W TO 18N109W TO 22N108W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF
SHORE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 17N102W TO 25N108W TO 28N118W TO 16N121W TO 11N119W TO
12N102W TO 17N102W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES AND THE GULF
OF CALIFORNIA...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED
SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA NEAR 22.2N 113.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA NEAR 23.3N 114.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE...AND
270 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 9.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N111W
TO 26N112W TO 27N119W TO 24N120W TO 20N118W TO 20N115W TO
24N111W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N107W TO 28N115W TO
29N120W TO 23N123W TO 11N116W TO 11N108W TO 19N107W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA NEAR 25.9N 115.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT WITHIN 75 NM SE
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 27N113W TO 29N117W
TO 28N119W TO 26N120W TO 23N117W TO 23N114W TO
27N113W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 27N113W TO 30N116W TO
29N121W TO 21N121W TO 12N113W TO 17N109W TO 27N113W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE WATERS FROM
MICHOACAN TO JALISCO AND TOWARD SOCORRO ISLAND, LOS CABOS AND THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. FARTHER SOUTH,
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS, FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND
LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS PERSIST NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, ASSOCIATED
WITH A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE AREA, INVEST EP90. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH BREEZES AND MODERATE SEAS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE OVER
MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, EXCEPT FOR GENTLE BREEZES AND SLIGHT
SEAS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
HURRICANE PRISCILLA IS CENTERED NEAR 21.4N 112.5W AT 08/1500
UTC, MOVING NORTHWEST AT 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 80 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE CURRENTLY AROUND 38 FT (11.5 M).
NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 210 NM OF THE
CENTER, EXCEPT WITHIN 75 NM IN THE NE QUADRANT. PRISCILLA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH THU, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH
THU NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF PRISCILLA IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE PARALLEL TO, BUT OFFSHORE OF, THE COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR THROUGH THU. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY PRISCILLA
ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-
CENTRAL MEXICO, AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS, IN ADDITION TO SOME
COASTAL FLOODING. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE. AS PRISCILLA MOVES OFF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA,
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH PRISCILLA WILL LEAD TO
HEAVY RAINFALL AND A FLASH FLOOD RISK ACROSS PORTIONS OF ARIZONA,
UTAH, THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS INTO SOUTHWEST COLORADO AND FAR
NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO FROM THU INTO SAT MORNING. PLEASE READ THE
LATEST HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT WEBSITE - HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND
THE LATEST PRISCILLA NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY AND PUBLIC ADVISORY AT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - SW 6-8, Seas S 2.1-7 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - SW 6-8, Seas S 2.1-7 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - SSE 11-14, Seas SSW 0-9.1 feet @ 12sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - SSE 11-14, Seas SSW 0-9.1 feet @ 12sec
SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - SSE 13-16, Seas SW 0-11.5 feet @ 13sec
TONITE - SSE 13-16, Seas SW 0-11.5 feet @ 13sec
THURSDAY - NW 9-11, Seas SW 0-6.5 feet @ 12sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NW 9-11, Seas SW 0-6.5 feet @ 12sec
LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
FRIDAY - Northern Half SE 12-15, Seas SSW 0-8.1 feet @ 11sec, Southern Half NNW 11-14, Seas SW 1.2-5.4 feet @ 11sec
SATURDAY - Northern Half W 9-11, Seas W 0-4.5 feet @ 8sec, Southern Half SSE 21-26, Seas SSE 11.9-12 feet @ 10sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half N 15-19, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half SSE 22-27, Seas S 13.4-13.4 feet @ 12sec
MONDAY - Northern Half W 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half S 18-22, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern Half WSW 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half WSW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?