Sea of Cortez Forecast



July 15, 2024, 9:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Forecast


Questions/Comments visit http://svsarana.com

This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...CORRECTED

FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
AS SEEN IN AN ASCAT SATELLITE DATA PASS. SEAS WITH THESE WINDS
ARE PEAKING TO 8 FT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE
REST OF THE MEXICO OFFSHORE WATERS, INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. SEAS ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS ARE
4 TO 6 FT WITHIN MOSTLY NW SWELL. OVER THE SW AND SOUTHERN
MEXICO OFFSHORE WATERS, SEAS ARE ALSO 4 TO 6 FT OUTSIDE OF
TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN SE SWELL. IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, SEAS ARE
TO 3 FT.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE FRESH TO STRONG TO NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY TUE, THEN DIMINISH
TO GENTLE TO MODERATE SPEEDS TUE AFTERNOON AND BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TUE NIGHT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN THE GULF WILL SUBSIDE TO
LESS THAN 8 FT LATE TONIGHT. MODERATE SE WINDS ACROSS THE SW
MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED. MODERATE WINDS
WILL DEVELOP WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TUE NIGHT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK.

FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WILL PREVAIL N OF 10N
BETWEEN 115W AND 140W. SEAS OF 8 FT IN MIXED N AND S SWELL
WILL SPREAD NORTH OF EQUATOR TO 10N AND BETWEEN 115W AND 120W
THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. THE SWELL IN WATERS W OF 135W WILL
DIMINISH BY WED. MEANWHILE, THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT IS NEAR 116W
AS DESCRIBED ABOVE IS ANTICIPATED TO MERGE WITH AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH
NEAR 11N128W WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AFTER THAT OCCURS, AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING MID TO LATE WEEK AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE BASIN. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE OF
DEVELOPMENT IN 48 HOURS AND A MEDIUM CHANCE IN 7 DAYS.

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
TONITE - W 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - W 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - W 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - WSW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
TONITE - WSW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - SSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - SSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
THURSDAY - Northern Half W 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half SSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
FRIDAY - Northern Half W 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half S 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - Northern Half W 6-8, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half SSW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - Northern Half SSW 6-7, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half SSW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - Northern Half Not available yet, Southern Half Not available yet