Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
July 18, 2026, 3:01 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 17.4N 122.5W 992 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
18 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE
QUADRANT...170 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM
SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 6.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N116W TO 22N120W TO 20N126W TO
14N125W TO 12N122W TO 15N114W TO 21N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 22N115W TO 23N127W TO
16N127W TO 09N123W TO 09N119W TO 14N113W TO 22N115W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 19.9N 124.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300
NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 7.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 26N121W TO
27N126W TO 24N131W TO 18N130W TO 16N123W TO 19N117W TO 26N121W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
25N116W TO 28N127W TO 22N135W TO 10N124W TO 11N118W TO 18N115W TO
25N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 23.7N 126.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE...
AND 300 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 7.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
25N120W TO 29N123W TO 29N127W TO 23N133W TO 20N130W TO 21N123W TO
25N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 26N119W TO 29N131W TO 22N138W TO 19N138W TO 14N125W TO
20N119W TO 26N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
OUTER CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM ELIDA HAVE
SHIFTED WEST OF THE OFFSHORE WATERS, EXCEPT FOR REMNANT ROUGH
SEAS WELL OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE
WINDS AND LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS ARE IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC DUE
TO A LOCALLY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AND NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE FLOW.
OTHERWISE, A BROAD NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS
ACROSS THE WATERS WEST OF 110W, INCLUDING OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS
UNDER THE RIDGE, EXCEPT MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND SIMILAR WIND SPEEDS NEAR THE
SPECIAL FEATURES TROPICAL WAVE. SEAS ARE MODERATE ELSEWHERE AWAY
FROM ELIDA, EXCEPT SLIGHT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ACTIVE
CONVECTION IS PRESENT NEAR THE MONSOON TROUGH ACROSS MUCH OF THE
OFFSHORE WATERS SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO, WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
FOR THE FORECAST, REMNANT ROUGH SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL
STORM ELIDA WELL OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WHICH WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY
GAP WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITH
OCCASIONALLY ROUGH SEAS. A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY NEAR 105W
OFFSHORE SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO HAS A HIGH CHANCE FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT, INCREASING WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS WILL BE POSSIBLE
NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS BY LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE, EXCEPT SLIGHT SEAS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA,
AND OCCASIONAL FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. WINDS MAY FRESHEN OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE BY MIDWEEK.
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA: TROPICAL STORM ELIDA IS CENTERED NEAR
17.4N 122.5W AT 18/0300 UTC, MOVING NORTHWEST AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE CURRENTLY 22 TO 23
FT, OR 6 M. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED
WITHIN 90 NM IN THE SOUTH QUADRANT AND WITHIN 150 NM IN THE WEST
QUADRANT OF ELIDA. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION IS
NOTED ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM IN THE EAST QUADRANT, 300 NM IN
THE NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE, AND WITHIN 480 NM IN THE SOUTH
QUADRANT. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS IN A BAND BETWEEN 480 NM AND 1200
NM IN THE SW QUADRANT. ELIDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SAT. A NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST LATER THIS WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT. WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN LATER ON SAT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. SWELLS GENERATED BY ELIDA WILL
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. PLEASE READ THE LATEST
HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
WEBSITE - HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND THE
LATEST ELIDA NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY AND PUBLIC ADVISORY AT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR DETAILS ON TROPICAL
STORM ELIDA, CENTERED ABOUT 782 NAUTICAL MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, AND ON A TROPICAL WAVE
LOCATED NEAR 105W WITH THE HIGH POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.5-5.1 ft @ 12sec
THURSDAY - SE 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - NW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?