Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
July 16, 2026, 3:01 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 15.4N 115.2W 997 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
16 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE
...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N110W TO 19N116W
TO 15N117W TO 14N114W TO 09N114W TO 12N110W TO 18N110W WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 09N123W TO
09N129W TO 06N132W TO 04N127W TO 04N123W TO 06N121W TO 09N123W
SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 16.2N 118.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 130 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM
SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 7.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N113W TO 21N118W TO 17N122W TO
10N121W TO 08N119W TO 09N114W TO 18N113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N114W TO 20N122W TO
14N122W TO 08N129W TO 06N120W TO 10N112W TO 21N114W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 18.1N 121.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N115W TO 23N118W TO 21N126W TO 18N126W TO
13N123W TO 15N117W TO 21N115W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N113W TO 24N119W TO 22N127W TO
17N127W TO 09N124W TO 12N114W TO 18N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE PERIPHERY
OF T.S. ELIDA ARE REACHING THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. SEAS JUST
SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS ARE 8 TO 14 FT. MEANWHILE, FRESH TO STRONG
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE ACROSS THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION WITH SEAS OF 6
TO 7 FT. A BROAD RIDGE PREVAILS ELSEWHERE OFFSHORE OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND TO THE NORTHWEST OF ELIDA, WHILE A NW TO SE
SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
THIS PATTERN IS SUPPORTING GENTLE TO MODERATE NW TO N WINDS AND
3 TO 7 FT SEAS ACROSS THE BAJA OFFSHORE WATERS AWAY FROM ELIDA.
IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, GENTLE TO MODERATE SE TO S WINDS AND
SEAS OF 1 TO 3 FT PREVAIL, HIGHER NEAR THE ENTRANCE. AN UPPER-
LEVEL LOW SPINNING OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IS GENERATING SOME
CLOUDINESS AND A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AS WELL AS OVER PORTIONS OF NW
MAINLAND MEXICO. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS PRESENT OFF SOUTHERN
MEXICO NEAR A TROPICAL WAVE AS DESCRIBED ABOVE.
FOR THE FORECAST, TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WILL MOVE TO 15.7N 116.7W
THU MORNING, STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE NEAR 16.2N 118.6W THU
EVENING, 17.0N 120.0W FRI MORNING, 18.1N 121.4W FRI EVENING,
19.3N 122.8W SAT MORNING, AND 20.6N 124.0W SAT EVENING. ELIDA
WILL WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER 23.1N 126.4W LATE SUN.
OTHERWISE, A BROAD RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE OFFSHORE
FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH THU, ALLOWING FOR
GENTLE TO MODERATE NW TO N WINDS TO CONTINUE ALONG WITH MODERATE
SEAS IN MIXED SWELL. IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST TO WEST THROUGH GAPS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE GULF
THROUGH AT LEAST FRI, LOCALLY STRONG IN THE NORTHERN GULF FRI
NIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH AT LEAST THE UPCOMING WEEKEND, STRONGEST
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS, WITH LOCALLY ROUGH
SEAS AT TIMES.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR DETAILS ON TROPICAL
STORM ELIDA, CENTERED ABOUT 539 NAUTICAL MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - WNW 6-8, Seas SSW 0.9-3.4 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NW 5-6, Seas SSW --? ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
SATURDAY - Not available yet
SUNDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY - NNW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
WEDNESDAY - NNW 5-6, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?