Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
September 30, 2026, 8:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 18.8N 108.0W 978 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 30
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...330 NM SE QUADRANT...120
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 11 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N103W TO 21N106W TO 20N111W TO 17N111W TO 13N107W TO
16N103W TO 17N103W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N99W TO 18N102W TO 13N105W TO 13N110W
TO 09N114W TO 08N104W TO 13N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.6N 109.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 4 M OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
22N106W TO 22N110W TO 20N112W TO 16N111W TO 15N107W TO 18N105W TO
22N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
25N108W TO 26N119W TO 19N120W TO 14N113W TO 21N113W TO 21N106W
TO 25N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.0N 110.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 390 NM SE AND 210 NM NW
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 11 M. ELSWHERE WITHIN 20N105W TO 23N108W TO 22N113W TO
17N114W TO 15N111W TO 16N108W TO 20N105W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 27N114W TO 26N120W TO 21N120W TO
15N116W TO 22N113W TO 22N106W TO 27N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
RACHEL IS IMPACTING THE AREA BETWEEN CABO CORRIENTES, SOCORRO
ISLAND, SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA. FRESH TO STRONG SW TO W WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ALSO
PERSIST OFF SOUTHERN MEXICO, IMPACTING THE COAST FROM COLIMA TO
OAXACA. LARGE SWELL FROM RACHEL IS IMPACTING THE WATERS OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE,
MODERATE NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ARE OFFSHORE THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO. LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
HURRICANE RACHEL IS CENTERED NEAR 18.8N 108.0W AT 30/2100 UTC,
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
978 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90
KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS OUT
TO 360 NM IN THE SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE, AND 150 NM IN THE
NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE. SEAS NEAR THE CENTER ARE AS HIGH AS 33 FT.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF RACHEL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
AWAY FROM MAINLAND MEXICO AND BETWEEN THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS THROUGH
FRI. RACHEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 2 TO 6 INCHES, WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS OF 12 INCHES,
ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO,
MICHOACáN, COLIMA AND JALISCO. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN. SWELLS GENERATED BY RACHEL WILL AFFECT THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND
SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST OF WEST- CENTRAL MEXICO AND THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - S 15-19, Seas S 0-9.5 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - SE 10-13, Seas S 0-9.5 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - SSE 18-23, Seas S 0-9.6 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - SE 6-8, Seas S 0-9.6 ft @ 13sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
FRIDAY - S 10-13, Seas S 0-9.6 ft @ 13sec
SATURDAY - SSW 12-15, Seas S 0-9.6 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - S 8-10, Seas S 0-9.6 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - NW 10-12, Seas S 0-9.6 ft @ 13sec
TUESDAY - NW 12-15, Seas SW 2-3.7 ft @ 13sec