Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast

July 20, 2026, 9:01 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO NEAR 12.9N 115.6W 996 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL
20 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT
AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
14N112W TO 15N113W TO 16N116W TO 15N117W TO 11N117W TO 11N113W
TO 14N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 16N109W TO 19N115W TO 15N118W TO 10N118W TO 09N115W
TO 11N110W TO 16N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 15.0N 118.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...160 NM SE QUADRANT...130 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 6.5
M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N116W TO 19N118W TO 18N122W TO 13N122W TO
12N117W TO 15N115W TO 19N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N114W TO 19N122W TO 15N123W TO
09N117W TO 09N113W TO 13N112W TO 20N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 16.4N 121.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
240 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 210 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 10.0
M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N118W TO 21N122W TO 19N125W TO 13N124W TO
12N119W TO 14N117W TO 21N118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N115W TO 23N121W TO 18N126W TO
14N126W TO 10N119W TO 15N113W TO 20N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 25.3N 127.1W 996 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL
20 MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...300 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 28N124W TO 29N129W TO 28N132W TO 21N132W TO
20N127W TO 23N123W TO 28N124W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 24N121W TO 30N125W TO 28N134W TO
22N139W TO 14N135W TO 13N126W TO 24N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL ELIDA NEAR 30.0N 127.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.0 M. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST
WATERS WITHIN 30N125W TO 30N131W TO 28N131W TO 27N127W TO 29N125W
TO 30N125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 26N124W TO 30N134W TO 23N138W TO 17N138W TO 15N134W
TO 26N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 32.7N
127.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 34.6N
127.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST
WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

OTHERWISE, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE
IMMEDIATE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR THE COAST PER THE EDGE OF A
ASCAT-C SCATTEROMETER PASS. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SE WINDS
EXTEND FROM THE CENTRAL TO THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITH
SOME OVERNIGHT CONVECTION THERE. WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS, EXCEPT LOCALLY MODERATE TO
FRESH E TO SE WINDS SOUTH OF 20N AND WEST OF 110W NEAR THE
REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS ON THE OUTER PERIPHERY OF FAUSTO. SEAS ARE
SLIGHT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, HIGHER NEAR THE ENTRANCE, AND
MODERATE ELSEWHERE, EXCEPT ROUGH NEAR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS
DUE TO FAUSTO JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA.
FOR THE FORECAST, TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WILL MOVE TO 13.8N
116.9W THIS AFTERNOON, STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE NEAR 15.0N
118.3W TUE MORNING, 15.9N 119.9W TUE AFTERNOON, 16.4N 121.5W WED
MORNING, 16.9N 123.1W WED AFTERNOON, AND 17.3N 125.2W THU
MORNING. FAUSTO WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES WELL
AWAY FROM THE AREA TO 17.9N 130.4W EARLY FRI. FRESH NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL PULSE TO STRONG AT TIMES IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
THROUGH THE WEEK WITH LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS. MODERATE TO FRESH SE
WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
THROUGH TODAY. WINDS MAY FRESHEN OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE BY
THE END OF THE WEEK. LOOKING AHEAD, A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO BY MIDWEEK.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THE
SYSTEM THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM WHILE IT
MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN AND
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC.

TROPICAL STORM ELIDA: TROPICAL STORM ELIDA IS CENTERED NEAR
25.3N 127.1W AT 20/0900 UTC, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 11 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE
CURRENTLY AROUND 16 TO 18 FT OR 5 TO 5.5 M. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION AND IS FOUND FROM 26N TO 30N BETWEEN 123W AND 130W.
ELIDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. A TURN TO THE NORTH
WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST THE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED. ELIDA IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TODAY OR TONIGHT.
SWELLS GENERATED BY ELIDA WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE WEST
COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. PLEASE READ THE LATEST
HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
WEBSITE - HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND THE
LATEST ELIDA NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY AND PUBLIC ADVISORY AT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.

PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR DETAILS ON
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO, CENTERED ABOUT 682 NAUTICAL MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, AND ON
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA, CENTERED ABOUT 952 NAUTICAL MILES WEST-
NORTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
TUESDAY - Not available yet
TUESDAY NIGHT - Not available yet

LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
WEDNESDAY - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.8-4.6 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - W 10-12, Seas SW 0.9-4.1 ft @ 25sec
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - W 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SUNDAY - WSW 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?