Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
July 19, 2026, 9:01 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
Questions/Comments visit https://svsarana.com
This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E NEAR 12.1N 110.6W 1007 MB AT 0900 UTC
JUL 19 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 13N107W TO 15N108W TO 15N111W TO
13N111W TO 11N109W TO 12N107W TO 13N107W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N105W TO 16N108W TO 15N111W TO
14N107W TO 11N107W TO 11N106W TO 14N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIX-E NEAR 12.5N 112.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIX-E NEAR 13.2N 114.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER...
EXCEPT WITHIN 300 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.0 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 17N111W TO 18N113W TO 15N116W TO 10N115W TO 10N111W TO
13N109W TO 17N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N108W TO 18N110W TO 18N115W TO 10N116W
TO 09N112W TO 11N108W TO 17N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIX-E NEAR 15.5N 117.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
WITHIN 210 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 7.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
18N112W TO 20N115W TO 18N120W TO 13N120W TO 10N115W TO 12N113W TO
18N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 20N113W TO 21N118W TO 16N122W TO 10N120W TO 08N113W TO
14N110W TO 20N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 21.4N 125.2W 996 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL
19 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...240
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 7 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 26N122W TO 26N127W TO 23N132W TO 20N131W TO
18N125W TO 20N119W TO 26N122W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 25N117W TO 28N127W TO 21N136W TO
16N132W TO 11N120W TO 18N117W TO 25N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 24.8N 126.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 150
NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 29N123W TO
29N127W TO 27N133W TO 22N132W TO 20N128W TO 22N124W TO 29N123W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
24N121W TO 29N124W TO 30N129W TO 22N139W TO 14N134W TO 14N126W TO
24N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 30.2N
127.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N125W TO
30N132W TO 27N131W TO 27N127W TO 27N126W TO 30N125W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 27N124W TO
30N123W TO 27N130W TO 30N134W TO 25N136W TO 21N130W TO 27N124W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE WINDS ARE IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AS
CONFIRMED BY RECENT ASCAT-B AND ASCAT-C SCATTEROMETER PASSES.
OTHERWISE, RATHER BROAD HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER THE OFFSHORE
WATERS, WITH MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS. OUTER ASSOCIATED ROUGH
SEAS FROM ELIDA ARE NEAR THE FAR OUTER OFFSHORE WATERS BOUNDARY
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ARE FINALLY PULLING AWAY. MODERATE SEAS
DOMINATE ELSEWHERE, WITH ROUGH SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIX-E JUST BEYOND THE OUTER OFFSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. SEAS ARE SLIGHT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA,
WHILE WINDS ARE MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH IN THE NORTHERN PORTION.
VERY ACTIVE CONVECTION IS PRESENT NEAR THE MONSOON TROUGH ACROSS
MUCH OF THE OFFSHORE WATERS SOUTH OF 14N, AS WELL AS NEAR THE
COAST OF OAXACA AND GUERRERO WITH LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
FOR THE FORECAST, SEAS GENERATED BY ELIDA WILL FINALLY SUBSIDE
TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE, TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIX-E WILL STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 12.5N
112.3W THIS AFTERNOON, MOVE TO 13.2N 114.4W MON MORNING, 14.4N
116.2W MON AFTERNOON, STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE NEAR 15.5N 117.8W
TUE MORNING, 16.3N 119.3W TUE AFTERNOON, AND 16.8N 120.6W WED
MORNING. SIX-E WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO
17.3N 124.2W EARLY THU. ASSOCIATED INCREASING WINDS AND BUILDING
SEAS ARE FORECAST TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE WATERS WELL OFFSHORE
SOUTHWEST MEXICO TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS INTO THE EARLY
PART OF THE WEEK. FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO PULSE IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS, WITH LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS AT TIMES. IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS WILL
PREVAIL, EXCEPT FOR LOCALLY FRESH WINDS IN THE NORTHERN GULF AT
TIMES. WINDS MAY FRESHEN NEARSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE MIDWEEK
AS THE GRADIENT TEMPORARILY TIGHTENS THERE. LOOKING AHEAD, LOW
PRESSURE MAY DEVELOP WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO DURING THE MIDDLE TO
LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK AND INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS MAY IMPACT
PORTIONS OF THE OUTER OFFSHORE WATERS OF SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA: CENTERED NEAR 21.4N 125.2W AT 19/0900 UTC,
MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 996 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 60 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE CURRENTLY AROUND 23 FT OR 7 M.
NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 150
NM OF THE CENTER OF ELIDA. ELIDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-
NORTHWEST. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM TURNS NORTHWARD. STEADY
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS ELIDA
MOVES OVER PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS. ELIDA IS FORECAST TO
BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY MON NIGHT AND DISSIPATE BY LATE
WED. SWELLS GENERATED BY ELIDA WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE WEST
COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. PLEASE READ THE LATEST
HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
WEBSITE - HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND THE
LATEST ELIDA NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY AND PUBLIC ADVISORY AT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR DETAILS ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E, CENTERED ABOUT 647 NAUTICAL MILES
SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, AND ON TROPICAL
STORM ELIDA, CENTERED ABOUT 856 NAUTICAL MILES WEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - NNW 7-9, Seas SSW 1.7-4.5 ft @ 13sec
THURSDAY - SSW 5-6, Seas SSW 4.4-4.9 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY - WNW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - W 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?