Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
September 6, 2026, 8:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 24.0N 122.9W 980 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 06
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 06 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM OF CENTER
...EXCEPT 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM
NE AND SW QUADRANTS...300 NM NW QUADRANT AND 240 NM SE QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 26N118W TO 29N122W TO
28N126W TO 24N128W TO 21N127W TO 22N119W TO 26N118W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 30N116W TO
26N128W TO 30N136W TO 19N137W TO 11N122W TO 20N112W TO 30N116W...
INCLUDING SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY AND WITHIN 60 NM OF
SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 24.4N 123.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 25.0N 124.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND
240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 6.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 30N124W TO 30N129W TO 26N132W TO 22N129W TO 25N127W TO
23N121W TO 30N124W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M. REMAINDER
OF AREA 30N118W TO 29N130W TO 30N140W TO 16N131W TO 14N123W TO
22N118W TO 30N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 26.7N 127.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 150
NM E SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SW QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 4.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 30N125W TO 30N132W TO
25N134W TO 24N131W TO 24N126W TO 26N123W TO 30N125W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 26N122W TO
30N125W TO 25N132W TO 30N138W TO 21N140W TO 18N128W TO 26N122W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN NE TO E SWELL.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR,
AND OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, HURRICANE MARIE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO
TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 24.4N 123.7W LATE TONIGHT, MOVE TO NEAR
25.0N 124.9W MON AFTERNOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT, TO NEAR 25.6N 126.3W LATE MON NIGHT, TO NEAR 26.7N
127.4W TUE AFTERNOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45
KT, TO NEAR 28.6N 128.4W LATE TUE NIGHT, THEN WEAKEN TO A REMNANT
LOW NEAR 30.7N 129.4W WED AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE TO
FRESH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY DEVELOP OVER THE NEARSHORE
WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
EARLY THIS WEEK AS MARIE MOVES FARTHER AWAY FROM THE FORECAST
WATERS. THE NEXT GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY AROUND THE MIDDLE PORTION OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK. LOOKING AHEAD, A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL
HUNDRED NAUTICAL MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE MIDDLE OR LATTER
PORTIONS OF THIS WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD.
HURRICANE MARIE IS CENTERED NEAR 24.0N 122.9W, OR ABOUT 480 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PUNTA EUGENIA, MEXICO AT 06/2100 UTC, MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 06 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
PEAK SEAS ARE TO NEAR 28 FT (8.5 M). LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120
NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS SEEN ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER, EXCEPT
90 NM IN THE SW QUADRANT. MARIE IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT BEFORE RESUMING A NORTHWESTWARD HEADING
AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IN TUE. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MARIE IS FORECAST TO BECOME
A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ON WED. SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE
WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST
MEXICO, THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
FRESH TO STRONG SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS ON THE OUTER FRINGE
OF HURRICANE MARIE ARE OVER THE OUTER OFFSHORE WATERS FROM
PUNTA EUGENIA TO CABO SAN LAZARO. SEAS WITHIN THESE WINDS ARE
8 TO 12 FT IN SOUTHWEST TO WEST SWELL. MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS
AND ROUGH SEAS IN SOUTHWEST TO WEST SWELL ARE OVER THE REST OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS. OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS, MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO
MODERATE SEAS ARE PREVALENT.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - W 8-10, Seas SSW 0-4.6 ft @ 14sec
TONITE - SSW 8-10, Seas SSW 0-4.5 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - NE 9-11, Seas SSW 0-4.4 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - SSE 2-2, Seas SSW 0-3.9 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TUESDAY - W 6-8, Seas SSW 0-3.7 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 7-9, Seas SW 0-3.7 ft @ 19sec
THURSDAY - ENE 12-15, Seas SW 0-3.8 ft @ 18sec
FRIDAY - NW 6-8, Seas SSW 0-3.1 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - WNW 8-10, Seas SSW 0.9-2.5 ft @ 14sec