Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
October 1, 2026, 8:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.4N 109.5W 950 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 01 MOVING
W OR 280 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE
QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
11 M. FROM 17N TO 22N BETWEEN 105W AND 114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT FROM 10N TO 24N BETWEEN 100W AND 118W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.5N 110.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 110 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 12 M. FROM 16N TO 23N BETWEEN 106W AND 114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 10N TO 25N BETWEEN 100W AND 118W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.8N 112.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM
NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 11 M. FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 108W AND 116W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 10N TO 26N BETWEEN 100W AND
120W.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO CABO SAN LUCAS, AND ALSO FROM 17N TO 20N
BETWEEN 110W AND 115W, INCLUDING THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE, FRESH TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND ROUGH SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER PERIPHERY OF RACHEL ARE
IMPACTING THE COASTAL WATERS OF JALISCO, INCLUDING THE CABO
CORRIENTES AREA. LARGE SWELL GENERATED BY RACHEL ARE REACHING THE
ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AS WELL AS THE WATERS BETWEEN
CABO SAN LAZARO AND CABO SAN LUCAS. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS AND
ROUGH SEAS ARE OBSERVED IN THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION, PARTICULARLY
FROM 14N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 97W. GENTLE TO MODERATE NW TO N
WINDS ARE NOTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA WHILE LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS DOMINATE THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, HURRICANE RACHEL WILL MOVE WILL MOVE TO 19.5N
110.0W FRI MORNING, 19.5N 110.7W FRI AFTERNOON, 19.6N 111.5W SAT
MORNING, 19.8N 112.5W SAT AFTERNOON, 20.0N 113.5W SUN MORNING,
AND 20.1N 114.6W SUN AFTERNOON. RACHEL WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN
INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 20.2N 117.3W MON AFTERNOON. SEAS
GENERATED BY RACHEL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, SOUTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA, ON SAT. ROUGH SEAS WILL PERSIST OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF
OF CALIFORNIA, INCLUDING THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF. WINDS AND SEAS
SOUTH OF THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION WILL DIMINISH EARLY ON FRI.
HURRICANE RACHEL IS CENTERED NEAR 19.4N 109.5W AT 01/2100 UTC,
MOVING WEST AT 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. PEAK
SEAS ARE 36 FT (11 M). NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. RACHEL IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD
THE WEST, AND THIS SLOW WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. RACHEL IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST THE NEXT DAY OR SO, BEFORE SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING THIS
WEEKEND. SWELLS GENERATED BY RACHEL WILL AFFECT THE COAST OF
WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM
YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - SE 9-11, Seas SSW 0-9.2 ft @ 12sec
TONITE - E 6-7, Seas SW 0-9.8 ft @ 13sec
FRIDAY - S 12-15, Seas SW 0-7.2 ft @ 12sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - S 10-12, Seas WSW 0-7.3 ft @ 12sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
SATURDAY - S 10-12, Seas WSW 0-7.3 ft @ 12sec
SUNDAY - ESE 13-16, Seas WSW 0-5.4 ft @ 12sec
MONDAY - WNW 6-7, Seas WSW 0-4.6 ft @ 12sec
TUESDAY - NW 12-15, Seas WSW 2.5-4.7 ft @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - NW 13-16, Seas SSW 1.7-3.7 ft @ 17sec