Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
March 7, 2026, 9:08 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
Questions/Comments visit https://svsarana.com
This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OF 1038 MB IS CENTERED WELL TO THE NW OF THE
FORECAST AREA NEAR 37N140W. A BROAD RIDGE EXTENDS SOUTHEASTWARD
FROM THE HIGH TOWARD THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A SURFACE TROUGH
IS ANALYZED JUST W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, AND EXTENDS FROM 31N118W
TO 24N111W. SCATTEROMETER DATA REVEAL A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS NEAR 26N114W. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS CURRENTLY
DOMINATE THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SEAS
ARE 5 TO 7 FT WITH THESE WINDS, EXCEPT FOR HIGHER SEAS OF 7 TO
9 FT IN NW SWELL OVER THE OUTER OFFSHORE WATERS N OF CABO SAN
LAZARO. GENTLE TO MODERATE NW WINDS ARE NOTED PER SCATTEROMETER
DATA ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, WITH SOME 20 KT WIND BARBS N
OF 30N AND W OF 114W. ELSEWHERE OVER THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS,
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS IN S TO SW SWELL ARE PRESENT.
FOR THE FORECAST, A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
FORM ALONG THE SURFACE TROUGH LOCATED JUST W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
BY THIS EVENING OR TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE DISSIPATING. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE LOW CENTER AND THE RIDGE TO THE W WILL
PROMOTE FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NW TO N WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS
TO AROUND 8 FT ACROSS THE OUTER FORECAST WATERS N OF PUNTA
EUGENIA ON SUN. THEN, AN AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH
SEAS IS FORECAST TO PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE
LOW CENTER ON MON, AFFECTING THE OFFSHORE WATERS BETWEEN CABO
SAN LAZARO AND PUNTA EUGENIA. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH BY MON
NIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES INLAND MEXICO. BY TUE, A RIDGE WILL REBUILD
TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE
AND LOWER PRESSURES OVER MEXICO WILL SUPPORT FRESH NW WINDS
BETWEEN LOS CABOS AND CABO CORRIENTE, INCLUDING LAS MARIAS ISLANDS
TUE NIGHT INTO WED. LOOKING AHEAD, THE NEXT GAP WIND EVENT IN
THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY THU, WITH WINDS
INCREASING TO GALE FORCE AS A RIDGE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE EASTERN
SLOPES OF THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS IN MEXICO IN THE WAKE OF A
NEW COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF AMERICA.
OF NOTE, IT APPEARS THAT THE SURFACE LOW WILL FORM FROM A LARGE
CUT-OFF LOW SYSTEM THAT WILL DROP SOUTH ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA.
THE SURFACE LOW WILL LINGER UNTIL THE CLOSED UPPER-LEVEL LOW
SHIFTS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA INTO THE UNITED
STATES.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AFOREMENTIONED STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE MAJORITY OF THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
WATERS N OF 15N AND W OF 120W THROUGH MON WHILE IT WEAKENS SOME
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NW. THE COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO STAY N OF 30N DURING THIS TIME. AS PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED, THE RIDGE WILL REBUILD TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA BY TUE.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - Not available yet
TONITE - Not available yet
MONDAY - Not available yet
MONDAY NIGHT - Not available yet
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - Not available yet
FRIDAY - Not available yet
SATURDAY - Not available yet