Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
October 6, 2026, 8:00 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Mazatlan to Banderas Bay Forecast
Questions/Comments visit https://svsarana.com
This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.3N 118.6W 976 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 06
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS
90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N115W TO 24N119W TO 22N121W
TO 19N121W TO 18N119W TO 20N115W TO 23N115W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 22N112W TO 25N115W TO
26N121W TO 20N124W TO 15N119W TO 15N114W TO 22N112W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.7N 120.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180
NM OF THE CENTER WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N118W TO
24N122W TO 21N124W TO 19N123W TO 18N121W TO 20N118W TO 22N118W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
24N116W TO 27N125W TO 22N128W TO 15N125W TO 15N118W TO 18N115W TO
24N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 21.8N 123.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180
NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 7.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N121W TO 24N122W TO 25N126W TO 24N127W TO
20N126W TO 20N122W TO 23N121W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 25N119W TO 27N123W TO 26N129W TO
23N130W TO 17N127W TO 18N119W TO 25N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
HURRICANE RACHEL IS CENTERED NEAR 20.3N 118.6W AT 06/0900 UTC,
MOVING WEST AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 30 FT (9.5 M). NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED
STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 17N TO 22N AND BETWEEN 115W
AND 121W. A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. SWELLS GENERATED BY RACHEL WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THE COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR INFORMATION ON
HURRICANE RACHEL LOCATED SW OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO, AND
INVEST 92E OFF SOUTHERN MEXICO.
OUTSIDE OF THE IMPACTS DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE RACHEL,
MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE FOUND
IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS.
MEANWHILE, MODERATE TO FRESH EASTERLY WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE
OCCURRING SOUTH OF MEXICO DUE TO THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IN THE AREA. ELSEWHERE, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS AND SLIGHT
TO MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, RACHEL WILL MOVE TO 20.4N 119.6W THIS AFTERNOON,
20.7N 120.8W WED MORNING, 21.2N 122.1W WED AFTERNOON, WEAKEN TO A
TROPICAL STORM NEAR 21.8N 123.4W THU MORNING, 22.2N 124.7W THU
AFTERNOON, AND 22.6N 125.6W FRI MORNING. RACHEL WILL CHANGE LITTLE
IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO THE 23.7N 124.2W EARLY SAT. SEAS WILL
CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR TODAY AS RACHEL CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA.
LOOKING AHEAD, A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OFFSHORE OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO
NORTHWESTWARD. INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.THE DISTURBANCE HAS A
HIGH CHANCE OF FORMATION IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR INFORMATION ON
HURRICANE RACHEL LOCATED SW OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO.
SHORT-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
TODAY - NW 9-11, Seas WSW 0-3.1 ft @ 10sec
TONITE - NW 8-10, Seas WSW 0-2.9 ft @ 10sec
WEDNESDAY - N 10-12, Seas WSW 0-2.9 ft @ 10sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - WNW 2-3, Seas WSW 0-3.1 ft @ 11sec
LONG-TERM MAZATLAN TO BAHIA BANDERAS
THURSDAY - SSW 5-6, Seas WSW 0-3.1 ft @ 11sec
FRIDAY - SSW 6-8, Seas SSW 0-3.5 ft @ 19sec
SATURDAY - W 4-5, Seas SSW 0-4 ft @ 17sec
SUNDAY - NE 5-6, Seas SSW 0-4.4 ft @ 15sec
MONDAY - SSE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-10.8 ft @ 13sec