Gap Winds Forecast



January 21, 2025, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Gap Winds Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...STORM WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 15N95W TO 15N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.03 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 15N95W TO
15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS
30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W
TO 15N96W TO 13N96W TO 13N95W TO 14N94W TO 15N93W...N WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO
14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 14 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 15N97W TO 14N96W TO 13N95W
TO 14N93W TO 15N93W...N WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REST
OF AREA WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 15N97W TO 13N97W TO 11N97W TO
13N93W TO 15N93W...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.
.21 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N93W TO 16N95W TO 14N98W TO 12N97W TO
12N95W TO 13N94W TO 16N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N93W TO 16N95W TO 11N101W TO 09N99W TO 10N94W
TO 14N93W...NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. REST OF AREA
WITHIN 16N95W TO 14N99W TO 11N100W TO 09N99W TO 10N94W TO 12N92W
TO 16N95W...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 13N98W TO
13N96W TO 14N94W TO 15N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 22 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 13N99W TO 12N102W TO 09N99W
TO 09N96W TO 15N93W...NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
REST OF AREA WITHIN 14N91W TO 16N95W TO 14N100W TO 10N101W TO
08N99W TO 09N94W TO 14N91W...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT
IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 15N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 40
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N96W
TO 14N96W TO 14N94W TO 15N94W...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT. REST OF AREA WITHIN 16N94W TO 12N108W TO 09N110W TO
04N99W TO 06N92W TO 16N94W...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT
IN NE SWELL.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 31N114W TO 31N115W TO 30N115W TO 30N114W TO 30N113W TO
31N114W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...N WINDS 25 TO 35
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N113W TO 31N114W TO
31N115W TO 30N115W TO 29N114W TO 29N113W TO 30N113W...N WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 31N115W TO 30N115W TO
29N113W TO 29N112W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N112W TO 28N113W TO 24N111W TO
24N110W TO 26N109W TO 29N112W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 30N115W TO
29N114W TO 30N113W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 05N95W. THE ITCZ STRETCHES
FROM 05N93W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS DEPICTED
WITHIN 30 NM OF THE ITCZ AXIS.

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 05N95W. THE ITCZ
STRETCHES FROM 05N95W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS DEPICTED WITHIN 30 NM OF THE ITCZ AXIS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA IS FORCING FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG NE-E WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, SPREADING
DOWNSTREAM TO 89W. SEAS IN THESE WATERS ARE 4-6 FT. MEANWHILE,
GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND SEAS OF 3-6 FT ARE
FOUND SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF 03N.
ELSEWHERE, GENTLE OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS
PREVAIL.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING: STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL SUPPORT STRONG GALES ACROSS
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THIS AFTERNOON, INCREASING TO STORM
FORCE GAP WINDS BY THIS EVENING. SEAS ARE ALREADY ROUGH TO VERY
ROUGH ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND WELL DOWNSTREAM, BUT
WILL BUILD TO AT LEAST 23 FT BY WED MORNING, WITH A PLUME OF
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS REACHING UP TO 500 NM TO THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF. LOOKING AHEAD, THESE WINDS AND SEAS WILL
DIMINISH SLIGHTLY THROUGH THU, BUT GAP WINDS TO GALE FORCE MAY
PERSIST INTO SAT NIGHT WITH ROUGH SEAS PERSISTING LONGER.
THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN THAT IS
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA IS ALSO SUPPORTING FRESH NE GAP WINDS OVER LOW SPOTS
ALONG THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. COMBINED SEAS OFF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE ARE LIKELY AS HIGH AS 8 FT, DUE TO THE GAP
WINDS AND NW SWELL ENTERING THE AREA.
FOR THE FORECAST, STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO NE MEXICO
WILL SUPPORT GALES ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC EVOLVING INTO
STORM-FORCE GAP WINDS THIS EVENING. SEAS BY WED WILL INCREASE TO
23 FT OR HIGHER, WITH SEAS IN EXCESS OF 12 FT EXTENDING OVER 500
NM S AND SW OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE STORM-FORCE WINDS SLIDES TO THE EAST,
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE SLIGHTLY INTO THU. HOWEVER, GALE FORCE
WINDS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH SAT NIGHT. ROUGH SEAS MAY
PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TO THE NORTH, HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
INTO THE SW UNITED STATES IS SUPPORTING GALES OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH GALES WILL END BY
THIS EVENING AS THE HIGH WEAKENS SLIGHTLY, FRESH TO STRONG NW
WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE GULF THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. IN
ADDITION, PLUMES OF STRONG NE GAP WINDS WILL FUNNEL ACROSS THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO OFFSHORE PACIFIC WATERS MAINLY
N OF PUNTA EUGENIA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

FOR THE FORECAST, THE FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS BETWEEN THE
THE LOW PRESSURE NORTHEAST OF HAWAII AND THE RIDGE TO THE
NORTHEAST WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE WATERS NORTH OF 20N AND
WEST OF 130W THROUGH THU. LARGE NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO
PROPAGATE INTO THE WATERS WEST OF 125W, AND MIX WITH SHORTER
PERIOD SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TRADE WIND FLOW OVER THE DEEP
TROPICS. ALTOGETHER, EXPECT 8 TO 11 FT SEAS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA WEST OF 125W THROUGH TONIGHT. THESE WAVE HEIGHTS WILL
SUBSIDE TO 8 TO 9 FT AND DIMINISH IN AREAL EXTENT MID TO LATE
WEEK. MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS WILL PERSIST ELSEWHERE. BY LATE
WEEK, FRESH TO STRONG NE-E WINDS AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WILL
REACH AS FAR WEST AS 100W ALONG ROUGHLY 10N FROM STORM-FORCE GAP
WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.

.WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 10N88W TO 10N87W TO 10N86W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N86W TO 11N89W TO 09N89W TO
09N87W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N89W TO 11N90W TO 10N90W TO
09N88W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.


HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA IS FORCING FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG NE-E WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, SPREADING
DOWNSTREAM TO 89W. SEAS IN THESE WATERS ARE 4-6 FT. MEANWHILE,
GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND SEAS OF 3-6 FT ARE
FOUND SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF 03N.
ELSEWHERE, GENTLE OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS
PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NORTH OF THE AREA WILL
SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS AND OCCASIONAL ROUGH SEAS
IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO INTO THE WEEKEND. SEAS GENERATED BY STORM
FORCE WINDS IN THE TEHUANTEPEC AREA WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF GUATEMALA PERIODICALLY THROUGH LATE WEEK, WITH
SEAS FORECAST TO PEAK AROUND 22 FT IN N SWELL WED. MODERATE OR
WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.

SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SSW 3.4-4.2 feet @ 12sec
TONITE - ENE 19-24, Seas SSW 3.3-4.1 feet @ 12sec
THURSDAY - ENE 20-25, Seas SSW 2.7-3.7 feet @ 11sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - ENE 19-24, Seas SSW 2.9-3.8 feet @ 11sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
FRIDAY - ENE 22-27, Seas SSW 3.1-3.9 feet @ 11sec
SATURDAY - NE 22-28, Seas NE 4.1-4.6 feet @ 5sec
SUNDAY - NE 21-26, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - ENE 22-27, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
TUESDAY - Not available yet