Gap Winds Forecast
June 30, 2025, 3:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Gap Winds Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 15.6N 102.6W 998 MB AT 1500 UTC JUN
30 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 105 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE
FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 99W AND 103.5W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 17.4N 105.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120
NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 8 M. ELSEWHERE FROM
15N TO 20N BETWEEN 101W AND 108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
4 M. FROM 09N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 103W AND 114W SW WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 19.2N 108.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
150 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 102W AND 113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. FROM
08N TO 15N BETWEEN 104W AND 114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 11N94W, THEN CONTINUES
W OF T.S. FLOSSIE FROM 14N112W TO 08N140W. ASIDE FROM THE
CONVECTION RELATED TO T.S. FLOSSIE, SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 04N TO 08N E OF 81W
TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...AND FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 111W AND
120W.
THE REMAINDER OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC REGION IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF A 1028 MB HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED NEAR 40N138W. ITS
ASSOCIATED RIDGE DOMINATES THE WATERS N OF THE ITCZ/MONSOON
TROUGH AND W OF 110W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND
THE MONSOON TROUGH CURRENTLY SUPPORTS AN AREA OF MODERATE TO
FRESH NE WINDS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH TO ABOUT 16N BETWEEN 115W
AND 119W. ELSEWHERE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE, GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS
ARE OBSERVED S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. SEAS ARE IN GENERAL 4 TO 6
FT.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 11N94W, THEN CONTINUES
W OF T.S. FLOSSIE FROM 14N112W TO 08N140W. ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION
RELATED TO T.S. FLOSSIE, SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 04N TO 08N E OF 81W TO THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA, AND FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 111W AND 120W.
.FROM 10N TO 11.5N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
A RIDGE POSITIONED NORTH OF THE AREA SUPPORTS FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG NE TO E WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO, AND DOWNWIND
TO ABOUT 89W. SEAS ARE 5 TO 7 FT WITHIN THESE WINDS. MEANWHILE,
LATEST SATELLITE-DERIVED WIND DATA SHOW MODERATE TO LOCALLY
FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS SOUTH OF 05N, AND LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
N OF 05N. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS DOMINATE THE REMAINDER OF THE
OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS, WITH THE HIGHEST SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT
BETWEEN ECUADOR AND THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - NE 18-22, Seas SSW 1.7-4.4 feet @ 18sec
TONITE - NE 18-22, Seas SSW 1.7-4.4 feet @ 18sec
TUESDAY - ENE 19-24, Seas S 1.6-4.9 feet @ 16sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - ENE 19-24, Seas S 1.6-4.9 feet @ 16sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
WEDNESDAY - NE 17-21, Seas SW 0-5.3 feet @ 17sec
THURSDAY - NE 20-25, Seas SW 2.2-5.6 feet @ 16sec
FRIDAY - ENE 16-20, Seas SW 0-4.8 feet @ 15sec
SATURDAY - ENE 14-18, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - ENE 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?