Gap Winds Forecast



October 14, 2024, 9:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Gap Winds Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10.5N85W TO 08N119W. ITCZ FROM 08N119W TO
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 10N E OF
86W...AND FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 95W AND 105W. SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10.5N85W TO 08N119W, THEN
TRANSITIONS TO THE ITCZ AND CONTINUES TO BEYOND 08N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM
05N TO 10N E OF 86W, AND FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 95W AND 105W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN
130W AND 140W.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
HIGH PRESSURE OF 1025 MB IS ANALYZED NEAR 30N133W. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER PRESSURE IN
THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH
TRADE WINDS SOUTH OF 22N TO THE ITCZ, AND WEST OF 128W. SEAS
OVER THIS AREA ARE 6-8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
ARE IN THE VICINITY OF THE HIGH CENTER, WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE
7-10 FT RANGE IN NW SWELL. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE AND A TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS EAST OF THE HIGH CENTER, AND
EAST OF 120W, WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE 7-8 FT RANGE. LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS, AND MODERATE SEAS ARE ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH.
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS, AND SEAS OF 6-8 FT PREVAIL S OF THE
ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT
WESTWARD THROUGH TUE AND THEN WEST OF 140W WED. THE ASSOCIATED
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE WATERS
NORTH OF THE ITCZ TODAY, THEN BEGIN TO FRESHEN SOUTH OF 20N AND
WEST OF 130W TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU. MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE
WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS THROUGH THU. CROSS-
EQUATORIAL SWELL OVER THE WATERS SOUTH OF 15N WILL GRADUALLY
DECAY THROUGH TUE. NW SWELL HAS SPREAD INTO THE NW WATERS, AND
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH WED NIGHT. SEAS
WILL PEAK NEAR 11 FT ALONG 30N ON TUE WITH THIS NW SWELL.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER E MEXICO. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER PRESSURE WITHIN THE
EPAC MONSOON TROUGH IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO NEAR GALE- FORCE
NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, THAT EXTEND
OFFSHORE TO NEAR 14N. SEAS OVER THESE WATERS ARE IN THE 8-9 FT
RANGE.
THE STRONG GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS
PRODUCED SEAS REACHING 7 FT IN NW TO N SWELL ACROSS THE FAR
WESTERN WATERS OFFSHORE OF GUATEMALA. MODERATE E GAP WINDS ARE
ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION AND EXTEND WESTWARD TO 88W.
SEAS WITH THESE WINDS ARE IN THE 5-6 FT RANGE. ELSEWHERE NORTH
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. SOUTH OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH, GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS
PREVAIL, WHERE SEAS OF 4-6 FT IN SW SWELL PREVAIL.

FOR THE FORECAST, STRONG TO NEAR-GALE GAP WINDS ACROSS THE
TEHUANTEPEC REGION WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TO FRESH TO STRONG
SPEEDS THROUGH TUE MORNING, THEN WEAKEN QUICKLY. OTHERWISE,
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NW WINDS ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
NORTE WATERS WILL SPREAD SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LAZARO TODAY, AND
THEN TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WATERS ON TUE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN MODESTLY ON THU. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA THU THROUGH FRI TO INDUCE MODERATE TO
FRESH SW TO W GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF BASIN. NW SWELL MOVING
THROUGH THE THE NORTH AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA WATERS WILL
REACH THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WATERS TODAY THEN FADE THROUGH TUE.
A MORE SIGNIFICANT NW SWELL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE
REGIONAL WATERS TUE THROUGH THU, WITH SEAS OFFSHORE OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTE BUILDING TO 8-11 FT TUE NIGHT.

THE STRONG GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS
PRODUCED SEAS REACHING 7 FT IN NW TO N SWELL ACROSS THE FAR
WESTERN WATERS OFFSHORE OF GUATEMALA. MODERATE E GAP WINDS ARE
ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION AND EXTEND WESTWARD TO 88W.
SEAS WITH THESE WINDS ARE IN THE 5-6 FT RANGE. ELSEWHERE NORTH
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. SOUTH OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH, GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS
PREVAIL, WHERE SEAS OF 4-6 FT IN SW SWELL PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, MODERATE GAP WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE
PAPAGAYO REGION, PULSING TO FRESH AT NIGHT THROUGH TUE. SEAS
ACROSS THE AREA WATERS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH FRI AS GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PERSIST, AND SMALL NW AND
SW SWELL DOMINATES THE AREA WATERS.

THE STRONG GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS
PRODUCED SEAS REACHING 7 FT IN NW TO N SWELL ACROSS THE FAR
WESTERN WATERS OFFSHORE OF GUATEMALA. MODERATE E GAP WINDS ARE
ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION AND EXTEND WESTWARD TO 88W.
SEAS WITH THESE WINDS ARE IN THE 5-6 FT RANGE. ELSEWHERE NORTH
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. SOUTH OF
THE MONSOON TROUGH, GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS
PREVAIL, WHERE SEAS OF 4-6 FT IN SW SWELL PREVAIL.

SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 18-22, Seas SW 0-4.6 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - ENE 18-22, Seas SW 0-4.6 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 14-17, Seas SW 0-3.7 feet @ 14sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - ENE 14-17, Seas SW 0-3.7 feet @ 14sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
THURSDAY - WNW 6-8, Seas SSW 0-3.2 feet @ 12sec
FRIDAY - SW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SATURDAY - SSE 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - SE 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - Not available yet