Gap Winds Forecast
October 8, 2025, 3:01 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Gap Winds Forecast
Questions/Comments visit http://svsarana.com
This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10.5N86W TO LOW PRES...INVEST EP90...NEAR
15N96W TO 16N96W...THEN RESUMES WSW OF OCTAVE FROM 14N120W TO
09.5N133.5W. ITCZ FROM 09.5N133.5W TO BEYOND 09.5N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 01.5N TO 08.5N BETWEEN 77W AND 81W...AND
FROM 07.5N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 122.5W AND 132.5W.
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA ALONG
11N TO ACROSS COSTA RICA EXITING NEAR THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AT
10.5N86W TO LOW PRESSURE, INVEST EP90, IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
NEAR 15N96W, TO 16N96W, THEN RESUMES WSW OF OCTAVE FROM 14N120W
TO 09.5N133.5W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 09.5N133.5W TO BEYOND
09.5N140W. OTHER THAN THE CONVECTION DISCUSSED IN THE SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION ABOVE, SCATTERED MODERATE IS NOTED FROM 01.5N TO
08.5N BETWEEN 77W AND 81W, AND FROM 07.5N TO 11.5N BETWEEN
122.5W AND 132.5W.
LIGHT TO GENTLE WESTERLY WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE
WATERS N OF 04N/05N OUTSIDE OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION WHICH IS
DESCRIBED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ SECTION ABOVE. MODERATE TO
FRESH S-SW WINDS ARE S OF 04N/05N. SEAS ARE 5-8 FT IN SOUTHERLY
SWELL ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS, HIGHEST FROM OFFSHORE ECUADOR
TO THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS, EXCEPT 4-7 FT SEAS OFFSHORE COLOMBIA
AND NEAR THE GULF OF PANAMA.
OUTSIDE OF THOSE SYSTEMS, A WEAK AND BROAD SURFACE RIDGE
DOMINATES THE WATERS N OF 20N AND W OF 122W. GENTLE WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS ARE OBSERVED UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THIS RIDGE,
WITH MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS FOUND ELSEWHERE N OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH/ITCZ AND W OF 122W. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SOUTHERLY
WINDS ARE S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ, WITH SEAS OF 7-9 FT IN
SOUTHERLY SWELLS MIXED WITH SWELLS FROM BOTH PRISCILLA AND
OCTAVE RESULTING IN CONFUSED AND HAZARDOUS SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, PRISCILLA WILL WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR
22.2N 113.6W THIS EVENING, MOVE TO 23.3N 114.7W THU MORNING,
24.6N 115.3W THU EVENING, 25.9N 115.5W FRI MORNING, WEAKEN TO A
REMNANT LOW NEAR 26.8N 115.4W FRI EVENING, AND 27.7N 115.2W SAT
MORNING. PRISCILLA WILL DISSIPATE EARLY SUN. MEANWHILE, OCTAVE
WILL MOVE TO 16.0N 114.3W THIS EVENING, WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW
NEAR 17.2N 111.5W THU MORNING, AND DISSIPATE THU EVENING. LOW
PRESSURE, INVEST EP90, IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITH A HIGH
CHANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION, WILL BRING INCREASING WINDS
AND SEAS AS IT MOVES WNW AT 10-15 KT, ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE
COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD
BUILD ACROSS THE WATERS N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ IN THE WAKE
OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEMS DURING THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THE SOUTHERLY SWELLS TO ROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS WILL
GRADUALLY DECAY INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. NEW NORTHERLY, ROUGH
SWELL MAY PROPAGATE INTO THE N-CENTRAL WATERS BY THE END OF THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA ALONG
11N TO ACROSS COSTA RICA EXITING NEAR THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AT
10.5N86W TO LOW PRESSURE, INVEST EP90, IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
NEAR 15N96W, TO 16N96W, THEN RESUMES WSW OF OCTAVE FROM 14N120W
TO 09.5N133.5W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 09.5N133.5W TO BEYOND
09.5N140W. OTHER THAN THE CONVECTION DISCUSSED IN THE SPECIAL
FEATURES SECTION ABOVE, SCATTERED MODERATE IS NOTED FROM 01.5N TO
08.5N BETWEEN 77W AND 81W, AND FROM 07.5N TO 11.5N BETWEEN
122.5W AND 132.5W.
LIGHT TO GENTLE WESTERLY WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE
WATERS N OF 04N/05N OUTSIDE OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION WHICH IS
DESCRIBED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ SECTION ABOVE. MODERATE TO
FRESH S-SW WINDS ARE S OF 04N/05N. SEAS ARE 5-8 FT IN SOUTHERLY
SWELL ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS, HIGHEST FROM OFFSHORE ECUADOR
TO THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS, EXCEPT 4-7 FT SEAS OFFSHORE COLOMBIA
AND NEAR THE GULF OF PANAMA.
SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - ENE 7-9, Seas WSW 0-5.1 feet @ 12sec
TONITE - ENE 7-9, Seas WSW 0-5.1 feet @ 12sec
THURSDAY - E 4-5, Seas WSW 0-4.9 feet @ 12sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - E 4-5, Seas WSW 0-4.9 feet @ 12sec
LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
FRIDAY - SSE 10-13, Seas SW 0-4.8 feet @ 11sec
SATURDAY - S 6-8, Seas SW 0-4.8 feet @ 11sec
SUNDAY - S 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
MONDAY - SSE 12-15, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
TUESDAY - S 10-13, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?