Gap Winds Forecast



June 17, 2024, 9:01 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Gap Winds Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 17N99W TO 13N115W TO 07N128W.
ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N128W TO BEYOND 07N140W. NUMEROUS
MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 90W AND
100W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 101W AND
112W...AND FROM 05N TO 08N WEST OF 137W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE COAST OF
GUERRERO STATE IN MEXICO THROUGH 13N115W TO 07N128W. AN ITCZ
CONTINUES WESTWARD FROM 07N128W TO BEYOND 07N140W. NUMEROUS
MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED SOUTH OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF CHIAPAS AND OAXACA
STATES OF MEXICO FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W. SCATTERED
MODERATED CONVECTION IS SEEN FARTHER WEST FROM 09N TO 12N
BETWEEN 101W AND 112W...AND NEAR THE ITCZ FROM 05N TO 08N WEST OF
137W.

REFER TO THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION ABOVE FOR CONVECTION IN
THE AREA. A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS SOUTHEASTWARD FROM A 1027 MB
HIGH NEAR 32N142W TO WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NEAR 21N117W.
FRESH WITH LOCALLY STRONG NW TO N WINDS AND SEAS OF 7 TO 10 FT
EXIST WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE, WHILE MODERATE TO FRESH NW
TO N WINDS WITH 6 TO 8 FT SEAS ARE PRESENT WEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH W TO NW WINDS AND SEAS
AT 5 TO 7 FT ARE SEEN ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF CENTRAL
MEXICO. GENTLE TO MODERATE S TO SW WINDS AND 2 TO 4 FT SEAS
DOMINATE THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. MODERATE TO FRESH WITH LOCALLY
STRONG WSW TO W WINDS AND SEAS OF 7 TO 9 FT ARE FOUND OFFSHORE OF
OAXACA AND CHIAPAS STATES OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.
REFER TO THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH SECTION FOR CONVECTION IN THE
REGION. BROAD RIDGING ASSOCIATED WITH A 1027 MB HIGH NEAR
32N142W DOMINATES THE WATERS NORTH OF THE ITCZ AND MONSOON
TROUGH. NORTH OF 20N AND WEST OF 110W, MODERATE TO FRESH N TO NE
WINDS AND 6 TO 9 FT SEAS IN LARGE NW TO N SWELL ARE PRESENT,
EXCEPT NEAR 29N122W WHERE WINDS ARE FRESH TO STRONG WITH 9 TO 11
FT SEAS. FROM THE ITCZ AND MONSOON TROUGH TO 20N AND WEST OF
110W, WINDS ARE GENTLE TO MODERATE WITH 5 TO 7 FT SEAS IN MIXED
SWELL. EAST OF 110W, SW TO W WINDS ARE MODERATE TO FRESH WITH 6
TO 9 FT SEAS IN LARGE SW SWELL. SOUTH OF 07N, SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE
MOSTLY GENTLE TO MODERATE AND SEAS ARE 5 TO 7 FT SEAS IN
MODERATE SOUTHERLY SWELL.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
FOR THE FORECAST, THE HIGH PRESSURE AND RELATED RIDGE WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN STARTING MIDWEEK, WHICH SHOULD ALLOW WINDS AND
SEAS NORTH OF 20N TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE AFTER MIDWEEK. WILL DOMINATE
WATERS WEST OF 120W INTO THE WEEKEND. EAST OF 110W, SW TO W WINDS
ARE GOING TO INCREASE TO BETWEEN FRESH TO STRONG WITH SEAS
BUILDING TO BETWEEN 8 AND 10 FT BY TUE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NEAR THE MONSOON TROUGH THROUGH
AT LEAST MIDWEEK. SEAS OF 7 TO 8 FT WILL HOVER AROUND 03S WEST OF
THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS THROUGH FRI.

SHORT-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
TODAY - S 10-13, Seas SW 0-6.3 feet @ 16sec
TONITE - S 10-13, Seas SW 0-6.3 feet @ 16sec
TUESDAY - W 9-11, Seas SW 0-6.5 feet @ 14sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - W 9-11, Seas SW 0-6.5 feet @ 14sec

LONG-TERM GAP WINDS (Near 11N 86W)
WEDNESDAY - WSW 7-9, Seas SSW 0-6.6 feet @ 14sec
THURSDAY - S 17-21, Seas WSW 0-7.2 feet @ 9sec
FRIDAY - SSE 17-21, Seas WSW 0-8.1 feet @ 10sec
SATURDAY - NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
SUNDAY - NW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?