Cabo Corrientes Forecast
October 26, 2026, 8:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Cabo Corrientes Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 15.4N 106.1W 997 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT
26 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 17N103W TO 18N107W TO 16N108W TO 14N106W TO 14N104W TO
17N103W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 20N107W TO 21N109W TO 15N113W TO 10N108W TO 09N104W TO
14N98W TO 20N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 16.7N 107.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND
60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N105W TO
19N107W TO 18N109W TO 16N108W TO 15N107W TO 18N105W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N104W TO
20N109W TO 17N114W TO 14N112W TO 14N106W TO 15N104W TO
17N104W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 19.8N 108.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...
60 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 4.5
M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N105W TO 22N109W TO 20N109W TO 19N110W TO
18.5N105W TO 19N105W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N102W TO
21N106W TO 20N110W TO 16N109W TO 14N106W TO 16N103W TO 18N102W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.
LATEST ASCAT SCATTEROMETER DATA REVEALS THAT THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC NORTH TO NORTHEAST GALE-FORCE GAP WINDS HAVE LOWERED
TO JUST BELOW GALE-FORCE MAXING OUT TO 30 KT. SEAS WITH THESE
WINDS ARE 8 TO 11 FT. MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE
OVER THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS. SEAS ARE 5 TO 7 FT IN MIXED
SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST LONG-PRIOD SWELL. THE EXCEPTION IS
OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF ABOUT PUNTA EUGENIA, WHERE
MOSTLY MODERATE NORTHWEST TO NORTH FRESH WINDS ARE PRESENT AS
SUGGESTED IN THE LATEST ASCAT SCATTEROMETER DATA PASS. FRESH
NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ARE JUST NORTH OF 29N. SEAS OVER THESE
WATERS ARE 4 TO 6 FT. SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FT IN SOUTHEAST LONG-PERIOD
SWELL ARE OUT AHEAD OF VANCE ARE IN THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWARD FROM THERE TO 23N, THEN INCREASE TO 6 TO 8
FT TOWARD CABO CORRIENTES.
FOR THE FORECAST, TROPICAL STORM VANCE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY
WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 15.6N 106.9W LATE TONIGHT, TO NEAR
16.7N 107.9W TUE AFTERNOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT, TO NEAR 18.1N 108.4W LATE TUE NIGHT, TO NEAR 19.8N
108.6W WED AFTERNOON, TO NEAR 21.3N 108.4W LATE WED NIGHT WITH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT, THEN WEAKEN TO A
REMNANT LOW NEAR 22.6N 108.2W THU AFTERNOON. VANCE IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE FRI AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST STRONG
TO NEAR GALE-FORCE GAP WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ARE
EXPECTED TO HOLD STEADY THROUGH TONIGHT, THEN DIMINISH TO FRESH
TO STRONG SPEEDS EARLY ON TUE AS THE GRADIENT OVER SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO JUST NORTH OF THE TEHUANTEPEC REGION CONTINUES TO RELAX.
SEAS IN THE GULF ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE TO BELOW 8 FT ON TUE.
WINDS THERE WILL THEN PULSE AT FRESH TO STRONG SPEEDS THROUGH THU
NIGHT, BUT OVER A SMALLER AREA DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF. WINDS
OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH LATE
WED. MODERATE, OR LIGHTER WINDS ALONG WITH MODERATE SEAS WILL
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE AWAY FROM VANCE AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC,
EXCEPT MAINLY SLIGHT SEAS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA THROUGH LATE
WED.
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - NW 2-3, Seas SSE 0-4.8 ft @ 11sec
TONITE - S 4-5, Seas SSE 0-4.6 ft @ 10sec
TUESDAY - SE 7-9, Seas S 0-4.5 ft @ 8sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - SE 21-26, Seas S 0-5.6 ft @ 9sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
WEDNESDAY - SE 21-26, Seas S 0-5.6 ft @ 9sec
THURSDAY - SSE 22-28, Seas S 5.6-5.6 ft @ 7sec
FRIDAY - S 9-11, Seas SW 0-3.2 ft @ 5sec
SATURDAY - NNE 8-10, Seas SSW 0-3.5 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - N 10-13, Seas SSW 1.7-5 ft @ 15sec