Cabo Corrientes Forecast
October 14, 2026, 2:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Cabo Corrientes Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM TRUDY NEAR 11.5N 99.5W 998 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 14
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...
70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
12N98W TO 13N99W TO 13N100W TO 12N101W TO 10N100W TO 11N99W TO
12N98W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 3.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
15N97W TO 13N100W TO 13N98W TO 10N100W TO 10N98W TO 12N96W TO
15N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 12.9N 101.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120
NM S AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 7.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
14N99W TO 14N102W TO 13N103W TO 11N102W TO 11N101W TO 12N99W TO
14N99W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 5.5 TO 7.0 M IN SE TO S SWELL.
REMAINDER OR AREA WITHIN 15N98W TO 16N102W TO 13N104W TO 10N102W
TO 10N99W TO 12N98W TO 15N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
4.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 14.6N 102.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210
NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 10.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 17N102W TO 16N104W TO 13N103W TO 12N101W TO 15N100W TO
15N97W TO 17N102W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 7.5 M IN S TO SE
SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N98W TO 19N105W TO 19N107W TO
13N108W TO 08N100W TO 09N99W TO 16N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 19.7N 108.1W 975 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 14
MOVING SW OR 230 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER.
SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N108W TO
20N109W TO 19N108W TO 20N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N107W TO 21N110W TO 20N111W TO
19N110W TO 18N108W TO 19N107W TO 21N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 19.3N 108.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
20N108W TO 20N109W TO 19N109W TO 19N108W TO 20N108W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M IN NW SWELL. REMAINDER OF ARE WITHIN
20N108W TO 19N109W TO 20N110W TO 19N110W TO 18N109W TO 18N108W TO
20N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 19.9N 108.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 4 M OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N108W TO
20N109W TO 19N109W TO 19N108W TO 20N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5
TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 22N107W TO 22N109W TO 20N108W TO
19N108W TO 19N107W TO 20N107W TO 22N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 31N114W TO 31N114.5W TO 30.5N114.5W
TO 30N114W TO 30N113.5W TO 30.5N113.5W TO 31N114W NW TO N WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 30N113W TO 31N114W
TO 30N114W TO 28N112W TO 30N113W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 31N114W TO
31.5N114.5W TO 30.5N114.5W TO 30N114W TO 30.5N113.5W TO 31N114W
NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
ASIDE FROM CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH SIMON AND TRUDY, MODERATE
TO LOCALLY FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE WATERS WEST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND EXTEND TO THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. SEAS
ARE IN THE 6 TO 9 FT RANGE IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL. FRESH TO
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS, AND MODERATE SEAS TO 6 FT ARE OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND SPREAD THROUGH THE TIBURON BASIN.
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS, AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS, ARE OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. FRESH NE WINDS EXTEND
ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SOUTHWESTWARD TO THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF TRUDY. SEAS TO 8 FT AND GREATER EXTEND TO THE NORTH
OF TRUDY TO 14.5N BETWEEN 97W AND 99W. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS,
AND MODERATE SEAS, ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH TRUDY ARE WITHIN 45 NM
OF THE COASTS OAXACA AND SE GUERRERO.
HURRICANE SIMON IS CENTERED NEAR 19.7N 108.1W AT 1500 UTC,
MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 2 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
975 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100
KT. PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 18 FT. SIMON REMAINS A SMALL SYSTEM, WITH
RECENT SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWING WINDS TO 20 KT ONLY
EXTENDING 90 NM FROM CENTER. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM W AND SW OF THE CENTER. THE
HURRICANE IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD WITHIN VERY WEAK
STEERING CURRENTS. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO MEANDER
WELL OFFSHORE OF WEST- CENTRAL MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY FORECAST. BY THU EVENING, A
NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD TURN IS EXPECTED TO
COMMENCE. INTERESTS IN WEST- CENTRAL MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST UPDATES.
ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON WILL LIKELY AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF WEST- CENTRAL MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LARGE AND POWERFUL SURF AND LIFE- THREATENING RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
TROPICAL STORM TRUDY IS CENTERED NEAR 11.5N 99.5W AT 1500 UTC,
MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 60 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE ESTIMATED AT NEAR 20 FT. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 10N TO
15.5N BETWEEN 94W AND 102W. TRUDY IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A
GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. TRUDY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND SHOULD BECOME A
HURRICANE WITHIN 24 HOURS, REACH MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS SOMEWHERE
AROUND 48 HOURS AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY FOR AROUND 60-72 HOURS
BEFORE STARTING A WEAKENING TREND. TRUDY IS FORECAST TO BE A
MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN AND
WEST- CENTRAL MEXICO LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
RESIDENTS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE
TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TRUDY, AND BE READY TO
POSSIBLY IMPLEMENT THEIR HURRICANE PLAN. THERE IS AN INCREASING
RISK OF WIND, RAIN, AND STORM SURGE IMPACTS, AND WATCHES COULD BE
REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THESE AREAS LATER TODAY. SWELLS
GENERATED BY TRUDY WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THU INTO THE WEEKEND, AND SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA LATER THIS WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LARGE AND POWERFUL SURF AND LIFE- THREATENING RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
FOR THE FORECAST, HURRICANE SIMON WILL DRIFT SLOWLY S TO SW
THROUGH THU, REACHING NEAR 19.2N 108.3W THU AFTERNOON, THEN BEGIN
TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD, REACHING NEAR 19.9N 108.7W FRI
MORNING, NEAR 21.2N 109.7W FRI AFTERNOON, AND WEAKEN TO A
TROPICAL STORM NEAR 22.6N 110.6W SAT MORNING, THEN GRADUALLY
WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW NEAR 26.9N 113.6W MON MORNING. TO THE E,
TROPICAL STORM TRUDY WILL MOVE TO 12.1N 100.4W LATE THIS
AFTERNOON, STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE NEAR 12.9N 101.2W THU
MORNING, REACH NEAR 13.7N 101.7W LATE THU AFTERNOON, NEAR 14.6N
102.0W FRI MORNING, NEAR 15.5N 102.4W LATE FRI AFTERNOON AS A
MAJOR HURRICANE, AND NEAR 16.5N 103.0W SAT MORNING. TRUDY WILL
THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND REACH NEAR 18.4N 105.0W SUN MORNING AND
NEAR 19.9N 106.9W MON MORNING. ELSEWHERE ROUGH SEAS IN NW SWELL
WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TODAY THROUGH
THU. A GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED LATE THIS
WEEK THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BEHIND
A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF AMERICA.
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - SSW 9-11, Seas SSW 0-7.7 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - SE 9-11, Seas SSW 0-7.3 ft @ 15sec
THURSDAY - SSE 14-17, Seas SSW 0-6.2 ft @ 14sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - SSE 14-18, Seas SSW 0-6.7 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
FRIDAY - SSE 14-18, Seas SSW 0-6.7 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - SE 12-15, Seas SSW 0-8.4 ft @ 18sec
SUNDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 0-6.2 ft @ 16sec
MONDAY - N 11-14, Seas SSW 0-5.7 ft @ 15sec
TUESDAY - N 6-8, Seas SSW 2.8-5.3 ft @ 14sec