Cabo Corrientes Forecast
September 29, 2026, 2:00 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Cabo Corrientes Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE POLO NEAR 25.9N 112.5W 963 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 29
MOVING NE OR 035 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 240
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 11.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N111W TO
26N112W TO 26N118W TO 24N117W TO 22N115W TO 23N112W TO
24N111W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3.5 TO 5.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 30N116W TO 25N116W TO
30N121W TO 22N119W TO 18N114W TO 22N110W TO 30N116W...INCLUDING
SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO WEAKENING INLAND OVER
MAINLAND MEXICO NEAR 31.0N 107.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT
GUSTS 40 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS
THAN 2.5 M.
.36 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 14.5N 102.9W 997 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
29 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE .WITHIN 16N97W TO 18N102W
TO 14N104W TO 11N104W TO 11N101W TO 12N98W TO 16N97W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N97W TO
18N103W TO 14N105W TO 11N104W TO 08N100W TO 10N96W TO 15N97W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL 16.5N 105.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...130 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 210 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N100W TO 19N104W TO 18N107W TO 15N108W TO
10N107W TO 10N103W TO 17N100W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 15N98W TO 20N108W TO 15N109W TO 10N106W TO 12N102W TO
11N99W TO 15N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 18.9N 107.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150
NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
21N107W TO 19N110W TO 14N108W TO 09N111W TO 11N106W TO 15N103W TO
21N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3 TO 5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N98W TO 20N105W TO
23N112W TO 16N115W TO 08N114W TO 09N105W TO 15N98W...INCLUDING
WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
THESE SYSTEMS WILL IMPACT A LARGE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST
WATERS. ELSEWHERE, FRESH NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ARE OFFSHORE
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ELSEWHERE
OVER THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS AND GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ROUGH
SEAS ARE OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA, WITH MODERATE SEAS ELSEWHERE,
EXCEPT SLIGHT IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
MAJOR HURRICANE POLO IS CENTERED NEAR 25.9N 112.5W, OR ABOUT 65
NM NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO, MEXICO AT 29/0300 UTC, MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
PEAK SEAS ARE TO NEAR 37 FT (11). SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT
THE CYCLONE IS NOT AS WELL ORGANIZED AS IT WAS EARLIER, WITH THE
EYE BEING CLOUDED UP. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
SEEN WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. POLO IS ANTICIPATED TO ACQUIRE A
GRADUAL ACCELERATION THROUGH TUE. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CORE
OF POLO IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS, THEN MOVE INLAND
OVER SOUTHERN SONORA TUE MORNING. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED BEFORE POLO MAKES LANDFALL ON BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. POLO
IS ALSO EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT MAKES ITS SECOND
LANDFALL IN MAINLAND MEXICO. RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST ON TUE
WHEN POLO MOVES WELL INLAND OVER MAINLAND MEXICO. POLO IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS
PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES
WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 8 EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF SONORA. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH POLO,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP2.SHTML?RAINQPF
SWELLS GENERATED BY POLO WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF, RIP CURRENTS, AND COASTAL FLOODING. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - NNE 14-18, Seas SW 1.6-7.7 ft @ 11sec
TONITE - NE 10-12, Seas SSE 0-9.4 ft @ 12sec
WEDNESDAY - SE 21-26, Seas S 0-13 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - SE 11-14, Seas SSW 0-14.3 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
THURSDAY - SSE 22-27, Seas SSW 0-13.7 ft @ 13sec
FRIDAY - SSE 22-28, Seas SW 0-13 ft @ 13sec
SATURDAY - SE 22-27, Seas SW 0-12.9 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - SSE 18-22, Seas WSW 0-12.5 ft @ 13sec
MONDAY - SSE 22-28, Seas WSW 0-7.4 ft @ 12sec