Cabo Corrientes Forecast
August 29, 2026, 8:00 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Cabo Corrientes Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 14.7N 117.0W 989 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
29 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT...200 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 160 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...270
NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N110W TO 20N114W TO
19N120W TO 09N122W TO 07N115W TO 09N111W TO 17N110W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 15.5N 118.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 16.5N 120.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 170 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 160 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 300 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 10.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N116W TO 22N123W TO 16N126W TO 12N122W TO
10N115W TO 15N111W TO 23N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.3N 123.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 360 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 12
M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N116W TO 26N123W TO 24N129W TO
18N130W TO 12N123W TO 18N115W TO 22N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 12.6N 134.8W 1003 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
29 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 4.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N132W TO 16N136W TO 15N139W TO
13N139W TO 11N137W TO 13N131W TO 14N132W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 12.9N 139.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N136W TO 17N137W TO 18N140W TO 11N140W TO
13N137W TO 15N136W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL W OF AREA NEAR 13.0N
143.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. OVER FORECAST
WATERS E OF 140W...WITHIN 16N138W TO 17N140W TO 12N140W TO
12N139W TO 14N138W TO 16N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN SE SWELL.
WHILE THE MAIN IMPACTS OF KARINA REMAIN WEST OF THE MEXICAN
OFFSHORE WATERS, STRONG TO NEAR- GALE FORCE WINDS AND ROUGH TO
VERY ROUGH SEAS ON THE FAR NORTHEAST PERIPHERY OF KARINA ARE
REACHING ACROSS THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. FRESH TO STRONG N GAP
WINDS ARE ACTIVE ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC, AS NOTED IN A
RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS. THE SAME PASS ALSO CONFIRMED
MODERATE TO FRESH SE WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE NOTED
ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE STRONG TO NEAR-GALE FORCE SE WINDS AND
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ON THE FAR NORTHEAST PERIPHERY OF KARINA
WILL IMPACT THE WATERS AROUND CLARION ISLAND INTO SUN, THEN
DIMINISH THROUGH MON AS KARINA CONTINUES TO MOVE W-NW AND AWAY
FROM THE AREA. FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP WINDS AND OCCASIONAL
ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
THROUGH EARLY SUN. MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA THROUGH LATE SUN. LOOKING
AHEAD, ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WELL TO THE SOUTH OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM
EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE IT MOVES WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TO
NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 KT.
TROPICAL STORM KARINA IS CENTERED NEAR 14.7N 117.0W AT 29/0900
UTC, MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 989 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 65 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE AROUND 32 FT (9.5 M). NUMEROUS
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 90 NM
NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. KARINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST,
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR SO, FOLLOWED BY A MORE WESTWARD TURN. KARINA IS FORECAST
TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY AND COULD BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE ON SUNDAY. SWELLS GENERATED BY KARINA WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO AND THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THIS WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - NE 11-14, Seas SSW 0-6.9 ft @ 16sec
TONITE - N 6-7, Seas SSW 0-6 ft @ 15sec
SUNDAY - W 6-8, Seas SSW 0-5.2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY NIGHT - NE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-5 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
MONDAY - NNE 12-15, Seas SSW 0-4.8 ft @ 14sec
TUESDAY - NNE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-4.4 ft @ 13sec
WEDNESDAY - ENE 7-9, Seas SSW 0-4.7 ft @ 16sec
THURSDAY - NE 8-10, Seas SSW 0-6.4 ft @ 10sec
FRIDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 0-7.9 ft @ 16sec