Cabo Corrientes Forecast
October 29, 2026, 8:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Cabo Corrientes Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION VANCE NEAR 22.3N 108.6W 1008 MB AT 2100 UTC
OCT 29 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30
KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 23N106W TO 25N108W TO 24N110W TO 21N110W
TO 20N109W TO 21N106W TO 23N106W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES
AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE... SE TO S
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW VANCE NEAR 23.3N
108.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER WATER...
CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.
ASIDE FROM VANCE, FRESH TO MODERATE N TO NE GAP WINDS ARE
OCCURRING OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITH SEAS 6-8 FT.
ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER WITH 5-7 FT OVER THE
PACIFIC WATERS, 2-4 FT OVER THE N AND CENTRAL GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, TROPICAL DEPRESSION VANCE WILL BECOME A
REMNANT LOW AND MOVE TO 23.3N 108.7W AT THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF
OF CALIFORNIA FRI MORNING, AND DISSIPATE FRI AFTERNOON. FRESH TO
LOCALLY STRONG N GAP WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AND DIMINISH BY MON NIGHT. A
DEVELOPING EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD MOVE INTO THE WATERS WEST
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND OVER THE N GULF OF
CALIFORNIA SAT NIGHT INTO SUN WITH FRESH TO STRONG SE TO SW
WINDS. LOOKING AHEAD, FRESH NW WINDS SHOULD OCCUR OVER THE GULF
OF CALIFORNIA ON MON AND TUE IN THE WAKE OF THE EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION VANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 22.3N 108.6W AT
29/2100 UTC, MOVING NORTH AT 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 40 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE CURRENTLY AROUND 11-12 FT.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OCCURRING
FROM 23N-25N EAST OF 108W. THE MOTION TO THE NORTH MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL VANCE DISSIPATES TONIGHT OR EARLY
FRIDAY. WEAKENING IS FORECAST, AND VANCE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW THIS EVENING. SWELLS GENERATED BY
VANCE WILL AFFECT COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-
CENTRAL MEXICO, AS WELL AS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE. PLEASE READ THE LATEST HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE
- HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND THE LATEST
VANCE NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY AND PUBLIC ADVISORY AT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR INFORMATION ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION VANCE NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE WEAK LOW WILL BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND THEN MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD. BY
FRI NIGHT, FRESH TO STRONG S TO SW WINDS WILL DEVELOP SOUTH OF A
WARM FRONT AND FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE WINDS SHOULD OCCUR NORTH
OF A COLD FRONT. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE OVER THE OFFSHORE ZONES
WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON SUN WITH WINDS AND SEAS
DIMINISHING BY SUN NIGHT.
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - S 11-14, Seas SW 1.9-3.4 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - SSW 6-8, Seas SW 0-2.8 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - SSW 6-8, Seas SW 0-2.8 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - N 6-7, Seas SW 0-0.9 ft @ 4sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
SATURDAY - NNW 8-10, Seas WSW 0.4-0.8 ft @ 4sec
SUNDAY - N 10-13, Seas SSW 0.7-0.9 ft @ 7sec
MONDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 1-1.2 ft @ 7sec
TUESDAY - N 12-15, Seas NW 1.5-1.7 ft @ 4sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas SSW 3.1-4.9 ft @ 14sec