Cabo Corrientes Forecast
October 5, 2026, 2:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Cabo Corrientes Forecast
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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.4N 116.2W 976 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 05
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS
90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120
NM NE QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 21N113W TO 24N114W TO 24N118W TO 21N120W TO 18N118W TO
17N116W TO 21N113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 26N114W TO 26N119W TO 23N123W TO 16N121W
TO 13N111W TO 19N109W TO 26N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.5N 118.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 180 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 10 M. ELSEWEHRE WITHIN 23N116W TO 24N119W
TO 22N122W TO 17N121W TO 17N117W TO 19N115W TO 23N116W WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 24N114W TO
27N119W TO 24N126W TO 19N125W TO 14N118W TO 17N113W TO 24N114W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 21.1N 121.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180
NM WITH SEAS TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N118W TO 25N123W TO
23N125W TO 19N125W TO 17N119W TO 20N118W TO 23N118W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 24N117W TO
26N127W TO 20N129W TO 14N123W TO 14N118W TO 19N115W TO 24N117W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
ELSEWHERE, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
AFFECTING THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF MEXICO EAST OF 105W AND IN THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS ARE
NOTED WITH THESE STORMS. IN THE REMAINDER OF THE MEXICAN
OFFSHORE WATERS, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE
SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, RACHEL WILL MOVE TO 20.5N 117.3W THIS EVENING,
20.5N 118.9W TUE MORNING, AND 20.7N 120.2W TUE EVENING. THE
CENTER OF RACHEL WILL CONTINUE WESTWARD TO 21.1N 121.7W WED
MORNING, THEN WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 21.7N 123.1W WED
EVENING, AND MOVE TO 22.0N 124.6W THU MORNING. SEAS WILL CONTINUE
TO SUBSIDE NEAR THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA THIS
MORNING, AND ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
TODAY AS RACHEL CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA.
LOOKING AHEAD, A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST TO THE
SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS CURRENTLY PRODUCING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO FORM DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATTER
PORTION OF THE WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD, JUST OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHERN TO
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. THE DISTURBANCE HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE
OF FORMATION IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A HIGH CHANCE IN THE NEXT
7 DAYS.
HURRICANE RACHEL IS CENTERED NEAR 20.4N 116.2W AT 05/1500 UTC,
MOVING WEST AT 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 31 FT (9.5 M). NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED
STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED WITHIN 180 NM SW AND 120 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES. A CONTINUED SLOW WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. FLUCTUATIONS IN
STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, WITH GRADUAL
WEAKENING BEGINNING BY THE MID PART OF THE WEEK. SWELLS GENERATED
BY RACHEL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE COAST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS
ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR INFORMATION ON
HURRICANE RACHEL LOCATED SW OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO.
OUTSIDE OF THE DIRECT INFLUENCE OF HURRICANE RACHEL, HIGH
PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA SUPPORT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND
SEAS OF 5-8 FT ARE FOUND IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA N OF 26N. SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER GENERATED BY RACHEL
ARE STILL IMPACTING THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR,
PARTICULARLY BETWEEN CABO SAN LAZARO AND CABO SAN LUCAS.
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR INFORMATION ON
HURRICANE RACHEL LOCATED SW OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO.
SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - W 2-3, Seas W 0-5.3 ft @ 10sec
TONITE - SSW 6-7, Seas W 0-4.6 ft @ 10sec
TUESDAY - SSW 6-7, Seas W 0-4.6 ft @ 10sec
TUESDAY NIGHT - NW 2-3, Seas W 0-4 ft @ 10sec
LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
WEDNESDAY - NW 7-9, Seas W 0-3.9 ft @ 10sec
THURSDAY - NNW 10-12, Seas WSW 0-4.3 ft @ 11sec
FRIDAY - S 5-6, Seas SSW 0-4.4 ft @ 20sec
SATURDAY - ENE 6-7, Seas SSW 0-4.9 ft @ 16sec
SUNDAY - ESE 30-38, Seas SSW 2.2-5.9 ft @ 15sec