Cabo Corrientes Forecast



July 11, 2026, 9:00 pm (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Cabo Corrientes Forecast


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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.

A WEAK RIDGE DOMINATES THE OFFSHORE FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUPPORTING LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS BASED ON RECENT
SCATTEROMETER DATA. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SE WINDS ARE
OBSERVED OVER MOST OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA BETWEEN THE RIDGE TO
THE WEST AND A MEANDERING SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA. SEAS ARE 1 TO 3 FT S OF 30N AND 3 TO 5 FT N OF 30N.
SEAS OF 3 TO 4 FT ARE NEAR THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF. A SURFACE
TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND AN APPROACHING
TROPICAL WAVE ARE HELPING TO INDUCE FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP
WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL
ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE GENERALLY MODERATE, PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, A RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE OFFSHORE
FORECAST WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
PRODUCING GENTLE TO MODERATE NW TO N WINDS ALONG WITH MODERATE
SEAS IN MIXED SWELL. IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, GENTLE TO MODERATE
WINDS AND MAINLY SLIGHT SEAS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. PULSES OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST IN THE
TEHUANTEPEC REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE, A BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM BY MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK WHILE THE
SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THE TIGHTENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA MAY INDUCE AT LEAST FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ACROSS THE OFFSHORE
WATERS OF SW MEXICO STARTING LATE SUN OR SUN NIGHT.

FOR THE FORECAST, A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM BY MID-NEXT WEEK WHILE
THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THE LATEST TROPICAL
WEATHER OUTLOOK GIVES THIS SYSTEM A LOW CHANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND A HIGH CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS.
IN ADDITION, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED DURING THE
PAST SEVERAL HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SOME
SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT WHILE IT MOVES
SLOWLY WEST- NORTHWESTWARD.

SHORT-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TODAY - N 11-14, Seas SSW 1.3-4.6 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NW 9-11, Seas SSW --? ft @ 14sec
MONDAY - S 13-16, Seas SSW 1.6-4.3 ft @ 14sec
MONDAY NIGHT - NW 9-11, Seas SSW --? ft @ 14sec

LONG-TERM CABO CORRIENTES TO MANZANILLO
TUESDAY - Not available yet
WEDNESDAY - Not available yet
THURSDAY - SSE 21-26, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
FRIDAY - SSE 20-25, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
SATURDAY - Not available yet